Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin - Triangle pattern consolidation!The Bitcoin price action is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, as illustrated in the chart provided. After a significant bullish move earlier this month, BTC has now entered a phase of consolidation, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows. This has formed a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout as price nears the apex. The upper boundary of the triangle acts as dynamic resistance, while the rising lower trendline provides firm support. Given the preceding upward momentum leading into this consolidation, the bias slightly favors a breakout to the upside, though the market can always surprise.
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, Bitcoin would need to break convincingly above the descending resistance trendline. Should that occur, the next key level to watch lies within the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $120,500 and $121,400. This region represents an area of inefficiency where price moved rapidly in the past, and it is likely to attract selling pressure again. Bulls would ideally aim to reclaim this zone with strong momentum and potentially use it as support in a retest scenario. A successful retest of the triangle’s upper boundary could also trigger a liquidity grab above recent highs, particularly above the all-time high levels.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, a bearish breakout would involve BTC breaking below the ascending support trendline. If this happens, the most probable downside target would be the CME gap left behind from two weekends ago, located between $114,300 and $115,500. This price gap occurred due to the discrepancy between Friday’s closing price and Sunday’s opening price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, often a magnet for price reversion. After this gap is filled, it is possible that BTC sees a short-term bounce to retest the triangle from below, before potentially continuing lower to address further imbalances in price action.
How to Confirm a Valid Breakout
Trading triangle patterns can be deceptive, as BTC often exhibits false breakouts designed to trap traders on the wrong side. To confirm a valid breakout, it's crucial to observe at least a few 4-hour candles closing decisively above or below the triangle boundaries. Additionally, breakout strength should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. A breakout without volume confirmation is often a sign of a fake move, and entering trades under such conditions can be highly risky.
Final Thoughts
BTC is currently consolidating within this symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a period of indecision and potential volatility ahead. While both bullish and bearish scenarios are plausible, it is essential to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a position. Patience and discipline are key, especially when navigating patterns prone to fake-outs. For now, remaining on the sidelines until a confirmed breakout occurs may be the most prudent strategy.
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ETH - Altseason ??ETH has rallied sharply and is now entering the major resistance zone between $3,725 and $4,081, which has repeatedly acted as a local top during previous cycles.
This red zone represents a high-supply area, and historically ETH has struggled to break and hold above it without a significant catalyst.
Rejection here could lead to a pullback toward the $2,300–$2,000 range.
A clean breakout and weekly close above $4,081 would flip this resistance into support and open the path toward the all-time high (ATH) at $4,868.
If ETH reclaims this red zone and flips it to support, it will act as a major trigger for a broad Altseason.
Historically, such ETH strength is a key confirmation that capital is rotating from BTC into the altcoin market.
Currently, momentum is favoring bulls unless this red supply zone causes a strong rejection.
BITCOIN Former Resistance turned Support!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating right above the December 17 2024 Pivot trend-line, a level that started off as a massive Resistance delivering two strong rejections but has now been turned into Support, holding this consolidation.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) will soon cross this Pivot trend-line and will confirm it as a Support with the price technically looking for a new Bullish Leg towards the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at least ($138000), similar to the April - May uptrend, which also consisted of an Accumulation Phase much like the current.
Can the Pivot trend-line provide the necessary support for such a rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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DOGEUSD Is that a textbook Livermore Cylinder to $1.5 ??Doge (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone for the majority of its Bull Cycle since the October 09 2023 Low. We may technically claim that this has been so far one massive Accumulation Phase, along with the rest of the altcoin market.
A pattern that draws strong comparisons with that Megaphone has been 'Livermore's Accumulation Cylinder'. Jesse Livermore, an American stock trader, came with a revolutionary trading pattern a century ago, whose principles often apply perfectly to today's financial assets.
This is what we do on today's Dogecoin analysis, we apply this Accumulation Cyclinder on Doge's Bullish Megaphone. Even though not a perfect fit obviously, the main characteristics apply, with clearly visible Bullish and Bearish Legs.
Based on this model, the market is right now starting the aggressive break-out phase above the Cylinder. Technically the Accumulation is over and the price may pursue levels 8 and 9, which give price Targets of $1.50 and $12.00 respectively.
Now, even though $12.00 falls well after (6 months or so) the expected duration of the current Bull Cycle, $1.50 is well within its limits (October - November 2025) and exactly double the price of the previous Cycle High. This makes it a very attractive Top candidate.
So do you think Doge is inside a Livermore Cylinder that is about to break out parabolically?
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What to expect in the crypto market until 2026 ?!📈 Today, we will look at the graph of the total capitalization of the cryptocurrency market, as well as the implementation of our ideas from 2022 to 2025.
At that time, the cryptocurrency market was in a total depression, there was no talk of BlackRock or MicroStrategy buying cryptocurrencies, and we stubbornly wrote that this was the bottom... and then a miracle happened)
During this time, the total capitalization of the crypto market grew 5 times from $800 million to $4 billion.
ℹ️ You can find all posts in the channel by searching by date:
1️⃣ 18.11.22 - “How much can the crypto market capitalization grow by the end of 2025?”
The growth momentum is slowing down, but the following ideas give hope.
2️⃣ December 30, 2022 - “Plans for 2023-25”
If we are to believe this fractal, which has been working for over 2.5 years, then all the most interesting things are still ahead.
3️⃣ 29.02.2024 - “What to expect from the crypto market in 2024-26”
At the beginning of 2024, the previously published fractal was slightly adjusted to the market situation.
4️⃣ 04.03.2025 - “The total capitalization of the crypto market is on the verge of a foul.”
Then, despite the market depression and a lot of negative news, the total capitalization still managed to stay above the blue trend line.
📊 Cryptocurrency market capitalization as of 22.07.25:
◆ Bitcoin - $2.36 trillion
◆ Ethereum - $442 million
◆ Ripple - $206 billion
◆ SOL and BNB - $110 billion each
◆ USDT and USDC - $162 billion and $65 billion, respectively.
In total, this is $3.45 trillion out of $3.89 trillion of the total crypto market capitalization.
♎️ Too much capital is concentrated in the top 7 projects; we need a process of capital flow and the launch of exponential growth. Especially since all of the above fractals “suggest” that the time has come and anything is possible.
🔃 The total capitalization of the crypto market must continue to remain above the blue trend line, i.e., it cannot be adjusted by more than -13-16% to $3.25-3.35 trillion.
Roughly speaking, the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC cannot be adjusted by more than -10% due to its high dominance at the moment. (Such an adjustment of the #BTCUSDT price fits into the scenario we published a few days ago.)
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BITCOIN Isn't even overbought yet!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been rising strongly within a structured Channel Up pattern but even this consistent and steady uptrend since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) hasn't been enough to touch the Pi Cycle's overbought trend-line (red).
Throughout BTC's historic Cycles, all Tops have been priced after the overbought level was breached, which currently sits around $180000 (and rising). Given that the 4-year Cycle Theory won't change, even a repeat of the 'weaker' +136.49% last rally of the previous Cycle (Jun-Nov 2021), would take us to $180k exactly but still will be below the overbought trend-line. This just shows the immense upside potential of the market even at the current stages.
So do you think we will get that kind of rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Breakout Bonanza - Ride the Wave, BroYo, check this Bitcoin chart, fam! We’re sittin’ at 107,725, and it’s lookin’ like a wild ride. That break above 127,725 is screamin’ bullish—time to ride the blue arrow up! But watch out, a drop below could send us crashin’ to 107,475 with that red arrow vibe. Stay sharp, dude!
$UNI - $10 from here?Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔I'll be trying this setup for Uniswap
🔔 We have bounced from the strong support at $4.80, which we retested in April 25 and May 7 forming a pattern impersonating a double bottom
🔔 With the current chart pattern and levels, I'll be expecting a jump with a target on $10.
🔔 Might drop to $5.70 before another move upwards.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
BITCOIN Accumulation Phase almost completed. Higher from here?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is making a strong rebound on the bottom of its 1-month Channel Up and this analysis is in direct response to the one we published last week (July 15, see chart below), where we called this one-week consolidation:
We won't be going into too much detail then, as you can see the price made the Accumulation 2 Phase, after an identical +25.9% Bullish Leg, same as April's and by breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
As per the May 05 fractal hit, as long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) supports this Channel Up, the market should start Bullish Leg 3 towards Accumulation Phase 3 and eventually peak at around +43% from its start at $140000.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated in the exact same order? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Risk 116. Target 123-125KMorning folks,
Prior 1H H&S was done, we were watching on 120K resistance area, as we said last time. Now, on 1H chart H&S is showing signs of failure - too extended right arm, no downside breakout. Price is taking the shape of triangle . All these signs are bullish. Because butterflies very often appear on a ruins of H&S, we suggest that this one could be formed here...
The risk level for this scenario is 116K lows - BTC has to stay above it to keep butterfly (and triangle) valid, otherwise, deeper retracement to 112K area could start.
Upside target starts from 123K top and up to 125K butterfly target.
Altseason Loading?BTC Dominance chart has once again respected the long-term descending trendline resistance, showing a sharp monthly rejection. Historically, similar rejections have marked the beginning of ALT seasons, where capital flows out of Bitcoin into altcoins, boosting their performance significantly.
Chart Highlights:
-Major triangle pattern since 2017
-Clear rejections from the upper trendline coincide with previous ALT seasons (2018, 2021)
-Current rejection resembles those past cycles
-A move down in dominance could fuel strong altcoin rallies
If BTC dominance continues to decline, we could be entering another powerful altcoin season in the coming months.
Cheers
Hexa🧘♀️
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Breakout or Bull Trap? XRP at Critical Weekly LevelWeekly Chart Insight: XRP Closing Above Previous High
XRP has just closed above its previous weekly high—a significant development that could signal a shift in market sentiment. Historically, when price closes above such a critical level on the weekly timeframe, it often leads to continuation, unless a sharp rejection quickly follows.
At this stage, the focus shifts to the 4-hour timeframe for confirmation. An impulsive move above the current consolidation zone could indicate that this breakout is legitimate, potentially leading to another bullish weekly candle.
However, caution is warranted. If the next two daily candles close weakly or fail to maintain structure above the breakout level, it could hint at a fakeout or liquidity grab before a deeper correction.
My Current Bias:
I remain neutral-to-bullish, contingent on:
An impulsive continuation on the 4HR
Strong daily closes above the key range
Price not falling back and closing below the weekly breakout level
If price begins to consolidate and hold this level, that would reinforce the bullish case. But if we see immediate selling pressure and a re-entrance below the breakout, I’ll reconsider the bias based on developing structure.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has recently posted a new all-time high and is now undergoing a healthy correction. This pullback is expected to extend toward a key support zone, which aligns with both the previous breakout level and the bottom of the ascending channel.
Once the correction is completed near the channel support / previous high, we anticipate a bullish continuation.
The next leg higher could take Bitcoin toward the upper boundary of the current channel.
As long as price remains above the key support area, the overall structure stays bullish and this correction is likely to be a buy-the-dip opportunity within a broader uptrend.
Will Bitcoin use this pullback as a launchpad for new highs? Share your view in the comments! 🤔👇
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