Introduction to Currency Adventures: Players in Currency MarketsUnderstanding Currency Markets
Currency markets are unique in the global financial ecosystem. Unlike stock markets that operate within specific exchanges, Forex is a decentralized market, operating 24 hours a day, five days a week, across multiple time zones. Major financial centers include London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney, creating a continuous flow of trading activity.
Key Features of Currency Markets:
Liquidity: The FX market is highly liquid. Currencies like the US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), and Japanese Yen (JPY) are traded in enormous volumes, allowing traders to enter and exit positions efficiently.
Volatility: Currency prices fluctuate based on multiple factors including interest rates, political developments, trade balances, and market sentiment. High volatility creates opportunities for profit but also increases risk.
Leverage: Forex trading allows traders to control large positions with relatively small amounts of capital. While leverage magnifies profits, it also increases potential losses.
Global Influences: Unlike equities, currency markets are influenced not just by individual companies but by macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, and global geopolitical events.
The combination of liquidity, volatility, and global influences makes currency trading an adventurous field where knowledge and strategy often dictate success.
The Concept of Currency Adventures
A currency adventure is not merely about trading for profit; it’s about understanding the dynamics that drive currency movements and making informed decisions. Every currency pair represents a relationship between two economies. For example, trading EUR/USD involves monitoring the Eurozone and US economies simultaneously.
Types of Currency Adventures:
Speculative Trading: Traders attempt to profit from short-term price movements. This could involve day trading, swing trading, or scalping.
Hedging: Businesses and investors use currency markets to protect themselves against adverse movements. For instance, an importer in India might hedge against USD appreciation to manage costs.
Arbitrage Opportunities: Some sophisticated traders exploit small discrepancies in currency pricing across different markets to earn risk-free profits.
Long-Term Investments: Currency investors may take positions based on long-term macroeconomic trends, interest rate differentials, or expected geopolitical shifts.
A currency adventure involves a continuous learning process — observing market patterns, analyzing news, and adapting strategies in real-time. It requires discipline, analytical skills, and emotional control, as the market’s rapid pace can lead to impulsive decisions.
Major Currency Pairs and Their Significance
Currency markets revolve around pairs, representing one currency relative to another. Understanding these pairs is critical for anyone embarking on a currency adventure.
Major Pairs:
EUR/USD: Represents the Euro against the US Dollar. It is the most traded pair, reflecting the health of the Eurozone and US economies.
USD/JPY: Indicates the strength of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. Often influenced by interest rate differentials and geopolitical stability in Asia.
GBP/USD: Known as “Cable,” it shows the performance of the British Pound versus the US Dollar, influenced by Brexit developments and UK economic indicators.
USD/CHF: Often considered a safe haven pair, influenced by global risk sentiment.
AUD/USD and NZD/USD: Represent commodity currencies, sensitive to global commodity prices, particularly metals and agricultural products.
Exotic Pairs:
These involve currencies from emerging markets, like USD/TRY (US Dollar/Turkish Lira) or USD/ZAR (US Dollar/South African Rand). While offering high profit potential, these pairs are highly volatile and carry significant risk.
Understanding the dynamics of these pairs — from macroeconomic trends to central bank interventions — forms the foundation of any currency adventure.
Key Players in Currency Markets
The Forex market is not a playground for the faint-hearted. Its complexity is amplified by the diverse participants, each with unique objectives and strategies.
1. Central Banks
Central banks are perhaps the most influential players in currency markets. They manage national monetary policies, control interest rates, and intervene directly in currency markets to stabilize their economy.
Example: The US Federal Reserve (Fed) adjusts interest rates to control inflation, which directly impacts the USD’s strength.
Central banks can also engage in quantitative easing, affecting currency supply and valuation.
2. Commercial Banks
Commercial banks act as intermediaries for currency transactions, offering services to businesses and institutional clients. They also trade for proprietary profits.
Banks often hold large inventories of currencies, allowing them to influence short-term market movements.
3. Hedge Funds and Speculators
These players actively seek profit from currency fluctuations. Hedge funds often employ sophisticated strategies, including algorithmic trading, arbitrage, and leveraged positions.
Speculators increase market liquidity but can also amplify volatility.
4. Corporations
Businesses engaged in international trade are critical participants. They buy or sell currencies to pay for imports and exports or to hedge against adverse movements.
Example: An American company importing electronics from Japan will need to buy JPY, impacting the USD/JPY pair.
5. Retail Traders
Individual investors, or retail traders, have grown significantly in influence due to online trading platforms. Though smaller in size compared to institutional players, retail traders contribute to market liquidity and reflect public sentiment.
6. Brokers and Market Makers
Brokers facilitate access for retail and institutional clients. Market makers quote buy and sell prices, profiting from the spread. They play a crucial role in maintaining market liquidity.
Factors Influencing Currency Markets
Currency movements are driven by a mix of economic, political, and psychological factors. Understanding these forces is essential for navigating currency adventures.
1. Economic Indicators
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): A strong GDP indicates economic growth, attracting foreign investment and strengthening the currency.
Inflation Rates: Higher inflation may weaken a currency unless matched by higher interest rates.
Employment Data: Job creation and unemployment rates signal economic health, influencing currency demand.
2. Interest Rates
Interest rate differentials between countries create opportunities for carry trades, where investors borrow in a low-interest currency to invest in a high-interest currency.
3. Political Stability
Geopolitical events — elections, conflicts, or policy changes — can create sharp movements in currency markets. Safe-haven currencies like USD, CHF, and JPY often benefit during times of uncertainty.
4. Market Sentiment
Currencies are also influenced by perception. Positive news about a country’s economy can strengthen its currency, while rumors or fears can trigger sell-offs.
5. Global Events
Natural disasters, pandemics, or technological disruptions can also have far-reaching impacts on currency valuation.
The Adventure of Currency Trading
Engaging in currency markets requires more than knowledge; it demands strategy and discipline. Traders often use a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and risk management to navigate the market.
Technical Analysis
Chart patterns, trend lines, and indicators like Moving Averages or RSI help identify entry and exit points.
Technical analysis assumes historical price patterns may repeat due to human psychology and market dynamics.
Fundamental Analysis
Focuses on economic indicators, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events.
Helps traders anticipate long-term trends beyond short-term price movements.
Risk Management
Tools like stop-loss orders, position sizing, and diversification are essential.
Emotional control is critical; impulsive decisions can lead to significant losses.
Technology in Currency Adventures
Modern currency trading is powered by advanced technologies. Automated trading systems, AI-driven algorithms, and real-time news feeds have transformed the landscape, allowing traders to react faster and more efficiently than ever before.
Conclusion
Currency adventures are a journey into the complex, fast-paced world of global finance. They involve understanding the dynamics of currency pairs, the motivations of key players, and the multiple factors that influence markets. From central banks orchestrating monetary policy to retail traders executing speculative trades, every participant contributes to the global flow of currencies.
Success in currency markets requires knowledge, strategy, and discipline. It is a continuous learning process where traders must analyze, adapt, and execute with precision. While the risks are real and sometimes significant, the opportunities are equally vast for those willing to navigate the intricacies of global markets.
Ultimately, a currency adventure is not just about trading; it is an exploration of global economics, international relations, and human psychology, all converging in the vibrant, ever-changing world of currency markets. Those who master this adventure gain not just potential financial rewards but a deeper understanding of how interconnected the modern world truly is.
Currencystrength
Currency Risks in International Stock InvestmentCurrency Risks in International Stock Investment
In the realm of international stock investment, understanding and managing currency risks is pivotal. This risk can substantially influence the returns on global investments, making it essential for investors to grasp its nuances and develop strategies to mitigate its impact. Today, we’ll delve into different types of currency risks, factors influencing these risks, and effective ways to manage them.
Understanding Currency Risks
Currency risks, sometimes known as foreign currency exchange risks, are inherent in international stock investment. This currency exposure risk arises when the value of a foreign currency fluctuates, affecting the position’s value when converted back to the domestic currency.
To use an example of currency risk, consider an American investor who buys stocks in a European company. If the euro weakens against the US dollar, the value of these stocks in USD decreases, even if the stock's price in euros remains unchanged.
It's crucial for investors to understand these risks, as they can significantly impact the returns on global investments. Effectively managing this exposure may help in protecting and potentially enhancing returns in a globally connected market.
Types of Currency Risks
Currency exposure in the context of global investments encompasses various types, each impacting assets differently. Understanding these is crucial for investors engaged in international trade or stock markets.
Transaction Risk
This arises from the fluctuation in exchange rates between the time a deal is made and when it's settled. For instance, a US investor purchasing shares in a Japanese company faces transaction risk if the Japanese yen strengthens against the US dollar before the trade is completed. The investor would have to spend more dollars to buy the same amount of yen, illustrating currency exchange rate risk.
Translation Risk
This is relevant for investors holding foreign assets or stocks. It occurs when the value of these assets changes due to market fluctuations, affecting the domestic value of these assets. For example, a British investor holding stocks in a Canadian company will face translation risk if the Canadian dollar weakens against the British pound. Such a devaluation would reduce the value of the Canadian shares when converted back to pounds.
Economic Risk
This broader risk involves changes in currency value driven by macroeconomic shifts in a foreign market. A German company investing in Brazil may face economic risk if Brazil’s downturn leads to a devaluation in the Brazilian real. This would lower the returns on the position when converted back to euros.
These aspects collectively define the currency risk in international trade and investment, highlighting the importance of managing exposure.
Factors Influencing Risks
Several factors contribute to risks in global investments, each playing a significant role in fluctuating prices.
Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Prices are primarily influenced by supply and demand dynamics in the foreign exchange market. Factors like trade balances, economic strength, and investor sentiment often cause exchange rates to vary, impacting investments denominated in that currency.
Interest Rates
Central banks' monetary policies, particularly interest rate adjustments, are a key driver. Higher interest rates in a country typically strengthen its currency by attracting foreign capital, seeking higher returns.
Inflation Rates
Generally, a country with lower inflation sees its currency appreciate as its purchasing power increases relative to other currencies, affecting the return on investments in countries with differing inflation rates.
Political Stability and Economic Performance
Political events, government policies, and the overall economic environment of a country influence investor confidence. For instance, political instability or economic downturns may lead to a currency devaluation.
Geopolitical Events
Global events, such as conflicts, trade agreements, or sanctions, might create uncertainty in the market, leading to volatile market movements.
Managing Currency Risks
Effectively managing risks is crucial for investors involved in global markets. By understanding and employing various strategies, one can mitigate currency risk and protect potential returns from adverse price movements.
Hedging Strategies
- Forward Contracts: These are agreements to buy or sell a currency pair at a future date at a predetermined price. By locking in exchange rates and hedging foreign currency risk, investors can protect against potential unfavourable shifts in prices. For example, an investor fearing a devaluation of the euro against the dollar in the coming months may enter a forward contract to sell euros at today's value, mitigating the exposure to future devaluation.
- Hedging through Inversely Correlated Assets: Investing in assets or securities that have an inverse relationship with the currency can also be a strategy. For instance, holding stocks that are likely to appreciate when the local currency depreciates might serve as a natural hedge.
Diversification
- Diversifying a portfolio across different currencies and geographic regions can dilute the impact of fluctuations. Holding a global mix of equities, bonds, and other assets may balance out losses in one region with gains in another.
- Investing in multinational corporations that operate and generate revenue in multiple currencies can also be a form of diversification, as these companies are often less affected by price volatility in any single market.
By employing these strategies, investors can mitigate the overall impact of price fluctuations on their international investments. However, it's important to note that while these methods might reduce exposure, they can also limit potential gains.
The Bottom Line
In conclusion, astutely managing these risks is fundamental for success in global stock investment. By understanding the types, factors, and strategies to mitigate this exposure, investors can navigate global markets more effectively.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Portfolio Selection for the Week – 10th February 2025This portfolio selection is for educational purposes only!
The key to successful trading lies in consistency. Consistent decision-making, combined with a positive edge, is what leads to long-term success in the markets. This is why we regularly conduct portfolio selection.
At present, the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the strongest currency, followed by the US Dollar (USD), Australian Dollar (AUD), and Canadian Dollar (CAD). On the weaker side, we see Swiss Franc (CHF), Euro (EUR), New Zealand Dollar (NZD), and British Pound (GBP).
Most currency pairs have been experiencing secondary trends. Once this phase concludes, we can look to align trades with the dominant market trend.
If you find this content valuable, hit the boost and share your thoughts in the comments!
Wishing you a profitable trading week! 🚀📈
Why Is the Mexican Peso So Liquid?Why Is the Mexican Peso So Liquid?
The Mexican peso, a dynamic player in the global forex market, embodies a unique blend of historical resilience and modern financial attractiveness. As we delve into the reasons behind its impressive liquidity, this article offers valuable insights for traders and investors eager to understand the intricacies and opportunities presented by one of Latin America's most prominent currencies.
The Mexican Peso: An Overview
The Mexican peso, a currency with a rich history and a significant presence in the global market, often surprises investors asking, “How much is the Mexican peso worth?” when they discover it’s one of the strongest emerging market currencies around.
Its performance in the forex market is closely tied to macroeconomic indicators, particularly those from the United States, including benchmark interest rates. The currency has benefitted from Mexico's nearshoring boom and soaring remittances, alongside a healthy fiscal position, contributing to its appeal to investors and traders worldwide.
As the most traded currency in Latin America, the Mexican peso’s popularity underscores its importance in the regional and global financial landscape. With this background in mind, let’s take a look at 3 reasons the Mexican peso is so liquid.
Reason 1: Strong Economic Fundamentals
The liquidity of the Mexican peso today is closely tied to Mexico's strong economic fundamentals. In 2023, Mexico's economy has shown resilience and growth, marked by a significant increase in exports. This export-driven growth, reaching a record high, is supported by Mexico's robust trade relationship with the United States, making it the US's top trade partner with nearly $600 billion in two-way trade over the first nine months of 2023.
Inflation control is another pillar of Mexico's economic stability. After peaking at 8.7% in 2022, inflation has been effectively managed, witnessing a decrease to around 4.26% in October 2023. This decline demonstrates the successful monetary policies of the Bank of Mexico, indicating a resilient economic environment.
A key indicator of this economic improvement is in a comparison of the US dollar currency to the Mexican peso. In July 2023, the peso reached a low of 16.62 pesos per dollar vs a peak of 25.7 pesos per dollar in April 2020, showcasing its strongest performance in recent times. This strength is a direct reflection of investor confidence in the Mexican economy and can be observed in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform.
Additionally, foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico has reached new heights, with almost $33 billion recorded in the first nine months of 2023. The announcement of significant investments, like Tesla's planned "gigafactory" in Nuevo León, underscores the international business community's interest in Mexico, contributing to the peso's liquidity.
Reason 2: Active Participation by the Central Bank
The liquidity of the Mexican peso is significantly reinforced by the active role of Banco de México, the country’s central bank. The bank's monetary policy plays a crucial role in maintaining the attractiveness of the peso, which in turn contributes to its liquidity.
One of the key strategies employed by Banco de México is its effective management of the overnight interbank funding rate. Throughout 2023, Banco de México maintained a consistent approach to this rate, reflecting its commitment to financial stability.
For instance, the target for the overnight interbank funding rate has been kept unchanged at 11.25% for several periods in 2023, following a series of incremental increases in the preceding years. These decisions are a reflection of the bank's responsiveness to economic conditions and its aim to balance growth with price stability.
Another important aspect of the bank's policy is the accumulation and management of international reserves. These reserves, which exceeded USD 203 billion as of October 2023, provide a buffer against external economic shocks, helping the country maintain economic stability in the face of global volatility. This stability is essential for sustaining the peso's liquidity, as it reassures investors about the country's economic resilience.
Reason 3: High Trading Volume and Global Interest
The history of the Mexican peso reveals a journey of economic reforms and policy shifts that have shaped its current state in the global market. Over the years, these changes have been contributing to stabilisation and reliability of the peso, making it a more attractive option for traders and investors and boosting its trading volume.
This high trading volume creates a virtuous cycle that may further enhance the currency's liquidity. More trading volume signifies a greater number of transactions and a broader investor base, which, in turn, increases the currency's visibility and appeal in the global market. As more traders and investors engage with the peso, it may lead to rate stabilisation and smoother market movements, which are key factors for a liquid market.
Additionally, the factors previously discussed, such as the strong economic fundamentals and the active role of the central bank, contribute to this cycle. A growing economy, along with effective monetary policies, boosts investor confidence. In response, more traders and investors are drawn to the currency, thereby increasing its trading volume and liquidity, and the cycle repeats.
The Bottom Line
In conclusion, the Mexican peso's resilience and appeal are clear indicators of its significance in the forex market. With its robust economic fundamentals, proactive central bank policies, and high trading volume attracting global interest, the peso stands as an attractive currency for traders and investors. For those looking to engage with this dynamic currency, opening an FXOpen account offers a gateway to the vibrant world of Mexican peso trading, providing an opportunity to participate in the market's ongoing growth and vitality.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
London Session Forex Market Analysis: USD Strength Leads the wayHi Traders,
Here’s a quick market analysis for the London session.
We’ve observed some notable movements in the currency pairs under review. As a quick recap from our weekly trade planning session (Portfolio Selection):
Strong currencies: USD remains the leader, followed by JPY, CAD, CHF, and AUD.
Weak currencies: EUR, NZD, and GBP.
The USD's bullish momentum is clearly dominating across the board, providing opportunities to target selling the weaker currencies against the USD.
Remember to approach the markets with a clear plan and stick to your trading plan.
Happy Trading!
Midweek Portfolio Selection: Weekly & Daily CSI AnalysisJoin me for the Midweek Portfolio Selection, where we analyse the Weekly and Daily Currency Strength Index (CSI) to identify shifts in the currency landscape. This process helps refine our trading bias to stay aligned with market dynamics.
In this episode, we’ve observed notable changes, particularly in the AUD and USD.
Key Highlights:
Buy Pairs: AUD, CAD, JPY, CHF, USD
Sell Pairs: EUR, GBP, NZD
Combining these buy and sell pairs increases the probability of capturing strong directional movements in the forex market.
If you find this video helpful, please give it a thumbs up and share your thoughts in the comments.
Wishing you a successful trading week!
Happy Trading!
Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest.
General CSI Overview:
Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD
Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR
In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected.
It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend.
Trade carefully and happy trading!
Forex Portfolio Selection Using Currency Strength Index (CSI)Hello Traders,
Today, I’ll share my portfolio selection approach in forex trading. This method helps identify the best forex pairs to trade based on their relative strength.
The simplest and most effective strategy is to use the Currency Strength Index (CSI), combining the H4, Daily (D1), and Weekly (W1) cumulative strength. By analyzing this data, we can identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time.
Once we have this information, the next step is to pair the strongest currencies with the weakest. Here are today’s portfolio selections:
BUY Pairs: GBPUSD, GBPCAD, GBPNZD
SELL Pairs: USDJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY, USDCHF, CADCHF, NZDCHF
The key benefits of this portfolio selection process are:
A focused view on the most profitable currency pairs
An objective approach to trading decisions
Clear direction on which way to trade (buy or sell)
Like, comment by letting me know what you think and follow me for more trading education.
Happy trading!
Weekly Trade Planning SessionIn today's session, I will be analyzing the USD/JPY, GBP/USD, CAD/JPY, and EUR/USD pairs.
The framework I follow includes:
Portfolio selection
Currency ranking
Multi-timeframe analysis.
Below is the portfolio selection for this week:
AUD/CAD: Bearish (-5%)
AUD/JPY: Bearish (-59%)
AUD/USD: Bullish (17%)
CAD/JPY: Bearish (-54%)
EUR/CAD: Bullish (16%)
EUR/JPY: Bearish (-38%)
EUR/USD: Bullish (38%)
GBP/JPY: Bearish (-17%)
GBP/USD: Bullish (59%)
USD/CAD: Bearish (-22%)
USD/CHF: Bearish (-63%)
USD/JPY: Bearish (-76%)
Happy Trading!
How To Read Currency PairsHere's a quick and comprehensive guide on how you can read currency pairs as a forex trader!
As usual my objective is to simplify all aspects of trading, so that even someone who has never seen a chart before, can make sense of the topic at hand.
Let's get into it -
Currency pairs are a combination of 2 different currencies and we can trade them based on how they are compared to each other in terms of price (weighted against each other).
How can we use this to make money?
1. Understand the Exchange Rate
Let's assume that the current exchange rate for EURUSD is 1.10, that means of €1 is valued at $1.10.
2. Buy Euros
If you start with $1000 and you believe the exchange rate may increase in the future, it would be a good idea to convert your Dollars into Euros at the current rate.
$1000 / 1.10 (exchange rate) = €909.09
3. Wait for Appreciation
Now, let's assume the exchange rate increases to 1.15. This means that €1 is now worth $1.15.
4. Exchange Back to Dollars
With your 909.09 Euros, you can convert them back into Dollars at the new exchange rate.
€909.09 x 1.15 (new exchange rate) = $1045.45
So, in this example, you've potentially made a profit of $45.45 by anticipating and benefiting from a favorable change in the exchange rate.
Major Currency pairs
CAPITALCOM:EURUSD CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDCHF OANDA:AUDUSD OANDA:NZDUSD FX:USDCAD
Minor Currency Pairs
FX:EURGBP OANDA:EURAUD FOREXCOM:GBPJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:NZDJPY FX:EURJPY OANDA:GBPAUD FX:AUDNZD OANDA:EURCAD FX:GBPCAD
That's a mouthful to take in so I'll leave you there.
Hope this post helps and as usual...
Happy Hunting Predators
🦁🐯🦈
EUR/USD - JUST A CORRECTION?
The price unfolds as previously forecasted.
Currently we finished 5 subwaves in the upside that formed the corrective Wave A, as part of the Wave 4 from the bigger 5 Waves on the downside now.
We will expect the corrective Wave 4 to continue to unfold, before we can say for sure that the Wave 5 impulse started on the downside!
See the chart for a more clear idea of what I'm talking about. Thank you!
From a fundamental perspective, there are a number of factors that are weighing on the euro. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future, which makes the euro less attractive to investors. Additionally, the eurozone economy is facing headwinds from the ongoing war in Ukraine and rising inflation.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is trading below the 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also trading below the support level of 1.0832. If the pair breaks below this level, it could decline to the next support level of 1.0609.
However, there are some technical indicators that suggest that the EUR/USD pair could be bottoming out. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold levels, and the stochastic oscillator is crossing over from oversold territory. This suggests that the pair could be due for a rebound.
Overall, the EUR/USD exchange rate is facing a number of headwinds from a fundamental perspective. However, there are some technical indicators that suggest that the pair could be bottoming out. Traders should closely monitor the price action in the coming days to see if the pair can break out of the current downtrend.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents only my personal thoughts and knowledge at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
Weekly Trade Planning Session
Welcome to this week's Trade Planning Session! In this video, I examined the cumulative CSI (Currency Strength Index) of this past week and compared it to the previous weeks' cumulative CSI.
Based on this evaluation, we have identified the GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and CADJPY as potential buy pairs, while the EURAUD, EURCAD, EURGBP, and EURUSD are potential sell pairs for the upcoming week starting on June 4th, 2023.
Utilizing the 4 Bar Rules, we have determined specific buy and sell points for each pair. These points will serve as reference for making informed trading decisions throughout the week.
We hope you find this session informative and enjoyable as you navigate the exciting world of trading!
Have a blessed trading week.
AUDUSD @ Crispy Potato27/03/22
THE FORECAST FOR WEEK 4 MARCH 2022 IS = DIVIDED ASSESSMENT
DAYS
PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 4 MARCH = BEAR
Monday produced a doji and continued its rally from last week. Tuesday was the largest candle, mostly body some tail on the bottom, and almost none on the top. Wednesday - Friday the candles all Bull but gradually decreased in body size and tails beginning to increase. By Friday we were back on a doji. The volume would be considered average given recent volumes. It increased through to Wednesday and began to slightly turn down by Friday. The OBV is trending Bull. Ther is a resistant point coming up at the $75 mark. This current rally has a steep angle, the candle sizing is waning. A correction seems probable this week.
WEEK
PROBABILITY OF DAYS FOR WEEK 4 MARCH = BULL
This week was a solid Bull candle, mostly body small tails on either side. Indicate little resistance to Bears and next to none for Bull. There is an oversold factor that will begin to play its rolls soon, it will be displayed with tails to the top. As this week approaches the resistance line, it also approaches a support line. This week looks Bull but the resistance can not be ignored. Based on the path of least resistance this week looks like Bull.
Pound is all set to sellEither it's 4Hr,Daily,or hourly chart all signals are alarming Heavy sell off on Pound technically. Fundamentally Tense situation between Russia and Ukraine also signals Dollar buy as safe haven, Inflation at 7.5% signals aggressive monetry adjustment. Main Support at 1.3507 break would set my target. 1.3200 in a week.
Currency Strength ChartBeing able to identify currency strength is an absolute game changer when it comes to forex trading.
Using this chart alongside of Economic News, Market Structure and being at the right place, right time are extremely critical when making a decision to execute a trade. In this chart we have the most popularly traded currency index's so that you will always know the current strength of the currency pairs you plan to trade.
Happy Trading,
May the Pips Ever Be In Your Favor!
JD
ARKfx
USD Index: 7/12/21 - 7/16/21This is a USD index I created. I use these to help gage currency strength when looking for a pair to trade. I have more of a neutral bias for the dollar right now. Waiting to see how price action plays out.
GL Traders!
"Don’t blindly follow someone, follow the market and try to hear what it is telling you." - Jaymin Shah






















