Fourth Quarter 2025 Nigerian share picks... Final Update!Q4 2025 TradingView: Nigerian Stock Picks Final Update: October - December 2025 Performance. This update tracks performance from the October 2025 picks (start of Q4) to the most recent prices, reflecting how the portfolio evolved into year-end.
Strong Performers with Significant Gains
VSPBONDETF:Up +50.2%
The standout performer of Q4. Strong demand for fixed-income exposure drove aggressive upside momentum, making it the top gainer in the portfolio.
ARADEL:Gained +37.9%
Sustained bullish momentum in the energy space. Strong accumulation and trend continuation confirmed ARADEL as a core Q4 leader.
DANGCEM:Up +16.0%
Continued leadership in the cement sector, supported by infrastructure demand and steady institutional participation.
MULTIVERSE:Gained +15.8%
A strong recovery move, outperforming expectations and reclaiming lost ground from earlier weakness.
Moderate or Mild Growth**
VFDGROUP:Up +9.2%
Consistent and orderly advance, reflecting stable fundamentals and improving sentiment.
LEGENDINT:Gained +8.4%
Gradual appreciation with improving investor interest and supportive volume structure.
HMCALL:Up +7.1%
A steady mover, maintaining stability and contributing positively to portfolio balance.
Decliners
TRANSPOWER:Down –2.2%
Minor pullback after prior gains; consolidation rather than structural weakness.
SUNUASSUR:Dropped –9.5%
Underperformed due to lingering softness in insurance sector sentiment.
CONOIL:Down –11.3%
The weakest name in Q4, reflecting pressure in downstream oil stocks despite broader market strength.
Overall Market Sentiment
**Average portfolio change:+12.2% for Q4 2025**
This reflects a clearly bullish Q4, driven primarily by energy, cement, and fixed-income ETF exposure. Gains comfortably outweighed losses, with leadership concentrated in ARADEL, VSPBONDETF, and DANGCEM.
Trading Takeaway
The Q4 2025 Nigerian stock portfolio delivered strong risk-adjusted performance, led by energy and defensive yield plays. While insurance and downstream oil lagged, the portfolio’s diversification allowed strong winners to dominate overall returns.
Going forward, investors may consider:
Profit protection on extended names like VSPBONDETF and ARADEL.
*Accumulation on pullbacks in structurally sound stocks such as VFDGROUP, HMCALL, and SUNUASSUR.
**Not Financial Advice (NFA)**
DANGCEM
Technically managing Risk as a Nigeria Stock Market InvestorHow Low Can It Fall Before an Investment Decision?
Before entering a position, it's important to determine how much risk you're willing to accept. As an investor, ensure you are on the weekly timeframe
This approach helps to avoid significant losses while waiting for the right entry points based on technical and price action analysis.
Dangote Cement (DANGCEM): Key Level to Watch – ₦480Dangote Cement (DANGCEM): Key Level to Watch – ₦480
Dangote Cement’s price action is currently forming a pennant pattern, which typically signals a possible continuation of the bullish trend. However, traders and investors should pay close attention to the ₦480 zone, which may act as a critical support level.
If ₦480 holds, we could see a rebound and continuation of the uptrend.
If ₦480 fails, there is a risk of further downside before another recovery attempt.
For long-term investors, the outlook remains bullish. Dangote Cement continues to demonstrate strong fundamentals, making it a stock worth holding despite potential short-term fluctuations.
📌 This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade and invest responsibly.
Third Quarter 2025 Nigerian share picks Update..26Percentage Up!Third Quarter Price Movement Analysis Report - 1st September 2025
1. Overview
The analysis highlights percentage changes for individual stocks, the average change, and the overall portfolio change assuming equal investment across all 10.
2. Individual Stock Performance
| Stock | Previous (₦) | Current (₦) | % Change |
| -------------- | ------------ | ----------- | ----------- |
| **ARADEL** | 514.5 | 512.2 | **−0.45%** |
| **BUACEMENT** | 100.0 | 151.8 | **+51.80%** |
| **DANGSUGAR** | 48.4 | 58.0 | **+19.83%** |
| **DANGCEM** | 440.0 | 520.2 | **+18.23%** |
| **ELLAHLAKES** | 7.1 | 13.45 | **+89.44%** |
| **ETRANZACT** | 7.25 | 10.85 | **+49.66%** |
| **HMCALL** | 4.2 | 4.28 | **+1.90%** |
| **MULTIVERSE** | 8.75 | 10.90 | **+24.57%** |
| **NB** | 59.0 | 70.20 | **+19.00%** |
| **TRANSPOWER** | 320.0 | 286.5 | **−10.47%** |
3. Top Gainers and Losers
Top Gainers:
ELLAHLAKES** (+89.44%) — Small-cap rally, nearly doubled in price.
BUACEMENT** (+51.80%) — Strong institutional demand.
ETRANZACT** (+49.66%) — Fintech sector showing renewed momentum.
Moderate Gainers:
DANGSUGAR (+19.83%), NB (+19.00%), MULTIVERSE (+24.57%), DANGCEM (+18.23%).
Flat/Minor Move:
HMCALL (+1.90%), ARADEL (−0.45%).
Top Loser:
TRANSPOWER (−10.47%) — noticeable decline, likely on profit-taking.
4. Averages vs Portfolio Performance
Average of individual % changes:** **+26.35%**
→ Indicates the “average stock” in the basket rose strongly, pulled higher by extreme gainers like Ellah Lakes and BUA Cement.
5. Key Insights
1. **Small caps drive volatility:** Ellah Lakes’ +89% jump skews the average, but has limited effect on overall portfolio returns due to low nominal price.
2. **Cement stocks strong:** Both Dangote Cement (+18%) and BUA Cement (+52%) reflect strong sector sentiment.
3. **Fintech momentum:** ETranzact’s +49% surge suggests renewed investor confidence in payment platforms.
4. **Blue chips steady:** Nigerian Breweries and Dangote Sugar both posted \~+20% gains, showing defensive strength.
5. **Weakness in Power sector:** Transcorp Power fell −10%, the only significant drag in the basket.
Third Quarter 2025 Nigerian share picks Update....Percentage Up!Here's a summary and update on the third quarter 2025 Nigeria stock picks based on the price comparison between July and August - 1month:
Q3 2025 Trading View: Nigerian Stock Picks Update
Strong Performers with Significant Gains:
BUACEMENT: Up 48%, showing strong momentum as a cement sector leader.
DANGSUGAR: Increased by nearly 37%, notable growth in the sugar sector.
ELLAHLAKES: Shares rose over 36%, a promising performer.
DANGCEM: Cement stock up about 20%, continuing solid growth.
ETRANZACT: Up 24%, showing steady improvement in the tech/payment sector.
MULTIVERSE: Grew by 24%, indicating healthy gains in diversified tech.
NB: +28.8%, good growth for the banking/finance sector.
Moderate or no Growth:
ARADEL: Small increase of about 1%, steady but minimal movement.
HMCALL: Stable with a minor 1.4% increase, remaining consistent.
TRANSPOWER: No price change, holding steady for now.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Average gain across all picks is approximately +22%, a strong positive trend overall.
Indicates a bullish sentiment on these carefully selected third-quarter stocks.
Opportunity exists to take advantage of higher momentum sectors like cement, sugar, and tech/payment companies.
Trading Takeaway:
The Q3 2025 picks demonstrate robust growth potential, especially in key sectors like construction materials and tech/payments. Conservative performers provide portfolio stability while high growth stocks offer upside. Continual monitoring for volume and market news is recommended to capitalize on gains and manage risks moving forward.
DANGOTE CEMENT PULLING BACK TO VALUE ZONEInvestors' sentiments is shifting bearish for Dangote Cement stock after the pullback from its recent high. Smart Monies are expected at the value zone above 200 which may subsequently drag the price high to test the recent swing-high or making a new high, creating a higher-high scenario.
N.B
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
-ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades





