Happy Thursday, Happy GDP Day, As I am publishing this, DAX has already pumped higher based on DE GDP positive data. May be, the doomsayers are afterall losing their story. DAX is now aiming to takeout 13440 and go for 100 DMA at 13638. This may bring us firmly into bull territory. Our line in the sand today is 13230 Macro EU DE Business Climate, ECB MPM...
Happy Midweek, Happy Wednesday, DAX is at a precarious level. Bulls need to regain above 13275 & 13360. Bears are pushing to break 13050 & 12955. Line in the sand today is 13175. Macro EU DE 10y Bond Auction, US Durable Goods Order, Nondefense Capital Goods Orders, Pending Home Sales Buy Break: 13 160, 210, 265 Reversal: 13 085, 010, 12 985, 920,...
Happy Tuesday, DAX has converted 50 DMA into resistance and that is our line in the sand today at 13 235. Bulls still have hope till 12440. Below that, bears are firmly in control aiming for 11440 Macro DE PMI, EU PMI, ECB Panetta Speech, Consumer Confidence, GB PMI, US PMI, Home Sales Buy Break: 13 190, 255, 360 Reversal: 13 130, 080, 12 975,...
Happy New Week, Happy Monday, 13400 level is still important for DAX. But the battleground is now between 13250 & 13700 for this week Macro US Chicago Fed National Activity Index Buy Break: 13 480, 590, 685 Reversal: 13 440, 360, 250 Sell Break: 13 450, 375 Reversal: 13 530, 600, 710, 780 I regularly publish my daily analysis & trading plan...
Happy Friday, Happy Janmashtami, After Wednesday's big move, yesterday was an inside bar. So 13600 becomes line in the sand. Bears want to regain control <13600 & bulls want to go back >13740 Macro No news is good news ?! Buy Break: 13 660, 780, 815 Reversal: 13 580, 530, 450, 370 Sell Break: 13 585, 535, 460 Reversal: 13 670, 745, 820,...
Happy Thursday, Happy Janmashtami What a move on DAX yesterday. As it has now broken 13510, 13510 becomes line in the sand. Break of that will open up 13360 & beyond Macro EU HICP, ECB Schnabel Speech - US Jobless Claims, Phil Fed Mfg Survey Buy Break: 13 690, 755, 805, 850, 915 Reversal: 13 595, 530, 450, 365, 290 Sell Break: 13 600, 540, 455 ...
Happy Mid Week Day, Happy Wednesday, Happy FOMC Day, Dax managed to touch 61.8 retracement at 13968 of recent down move. If support at 13852 holds, it can go to 14373 Line in the sand today stands at 13852 Macro EU GDP, US Retail Sales, FOMC Buy Break: 13990, 14065, 14160 Reversal: 13900, 13840, 13800, 13750, 13690 Sell Break: 13915, 13845,...
Happy Tuesday, Line in the sand for Dax is 13850. However, for the rally to continue 13900 has to break. Bulls need to defend 13810 & 13780. Bears need to take out 13730 Macro : EU/DE Zew Survey, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, CAD CPI Buy Break: 13860, 13920, 14010, 14070 Reversal: 13800, 13740, 13690, 13600 Sell Break: 13820, 13760,...
Happy Independence Day to all my Indian brothers & sisters, It is peak of summer vacation in Europe so expect choppy jumpy moves Macro Nothing of great significance today Line in the sand for DAX is 13830. A break below will bring some selling. A move above 13870 may start another run. Buy Break: 13875, 13955, 13990, 14030 Reversal: 13795, 13715,...
Happy Friday, Bulls are trying to reach for 14k handle while bears are barely holding their shorts (full on pun intended) Line in the sand for DAX today is 13580 Macro EU Industrial Production, GB GDP Estimate, US Michigan Cons. Sentiment Index Buy Break: 13690, 13760, 13830 Reversal: 13660, 13580, 13520, 13430 Sell Break: 13670, 13600,...
Happy Midweek, Happy CPI Day, As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, DAX not being able to hold above 13680 was ominous Now a sustained move below 13440, break of 13300 will open it up to 12920. Will it happen today, we will see It still has chance to gain back above 13680 13530 is the line in the sand today Macro : DE HICP, US CPI Buy Break: 13550,...
Happy Tuesday Macro: US Nonfarm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs DAX not being able to hold 13680 and reach for 13780 is very ominous The consolidation continues with no direction yet. Line in the sand today is 13660 Buy Break: 13640, 13760, 13840, 13860 Reversal: 13640, 13450, 13390, 13325, 13200 Sell Break: 13650, 13550, 13460, 13400 Reversal: ...
Happy New Week, Happy Monday, Nothing significant on economic calendar today. With academic vacation & summer in full swing, markets may range unless some geopolitical development happens. DAX is likely to 13580 & 13770. Breaking of those H or L will bring some movements. Today's line in the sand is 13620. Buy Break: 13680, 13750, 13820 Reversal: ...
Happy Friday, Happy NFP Day, Macro : US NFP DAX's line in the sand today is 13600 - yesterday's low. Bulls need to defend that and close above 13670. Buy Break: 13690, 13725, 13770 Reversal: 13600, 13570, 13500, 13450, 13390 Sell Break: 13620, 13560, 13490 Reversal: 13680, 13720, 13750, 13850, 13930 Green Goblin levels are here...
Happy Thursday & Happy BOE day Dax bulls are eyeing 13925 now but they will need to defend 13450. Near & below that level, things may change. Macro: EUR Economic Bulletin, ECB Elderson Speech, GB BOE (everything), US Trade Balance, Jobless Claims, Fed's Mester Speech Our pivotal level today is at 13600. Buy Break: 13670, 13725, 13760, 13820 ...
Happy Midweek. The Gandalf line for DAX is currently at 13300. Bulls are in-charge but still very fragile. Today's macro can break them. It has always been my experience that when price action approaches Big Brown levels, it gets into consolidation because it is decision time. Currently that level is 13440 (B) Macro: DE - Trade Balance, BME PMI, EUR - PMI,...
*** Tradingview has hidden my analysis for August 1, 2022 because it contained a link to my twitter profile. *** This is likely to be relatively quiet day unless some news appears. Practically entire Europe is now in vacation mode. Volumes are very thin and hence ticks can be jumpy. DAX is on a retracement journey. So potential retracement levels are 13350,...
Happy Monday, Happy August Dax now has to establish above 13580 to be completely bullish. The trend is definitely up and anybody can see that. I will publish monthly analysis separately but current move looks like a pullback on overall downtrend. If that is true then a continuation in monthly trend towards downside could be very gib. Alternatively, it can stay...