Gold Above 4300 – Watching for FVG Fill Before Next LegPrice consolidated all of yesterday’s Asian and London sessions before breaking bullish through NY, clearing the 4300 resistance.
Today, we’re holding above that breakout level and sitting just beneath the weekly high at 4398.
A 4H FVG rests below price around 4345–4360 — that’s my first area of interest for a retrace and possible continuation higher.
If price dips to fill that gap and shows strength, I’ll look for a long toward 4398–4420.
Otherwise, I’ll wait for a clear reclaim above the weekly high before confirming continuation.
Staying patient tonight — the easy part is waiting for the market to tell me what it wants to do.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #PriceAction #NOFOMO
Dollar
Weekly Outlook — Gold Futures (MGCZ2025)Price is sitting between key levels after last week’s explosive move.
I’m watching 4,300 as immediate resistance — if bulls can’t hold above this level, I expect a sweep toward 4,200–4,150 (H4 + Daily FVGs) before continuation.
Monday might just be a setup day, building liquidity for a Tuesday/Wednesday move.
Key Levels:
🟦 4,392 – Previous Weekly High
🟨 4,300 – Near-term resistance
🟧 4,200 – Daily Low / Support zone
🟩 4,150 – H4 FVG top
Let’s see how Monday sets the tone for the week.
#Gold #Futures #TradingPlan #ICT #PriceAction
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent.
A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter).
Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time.
However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least.
What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1.
A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150...
Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility.
I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
USD/AUD Short Term OutlookHey guys, This is a thesis I've had for quite some time but seems to be unfolding of late. With the talks and worries about the regional banks in America and the private credit companies loan books not looking good as the consumer is being squeezed from tariffs, higher interest rates, unemployment slowly ticking up and student debts having to be paid back again after credit growth soared after covid i feel we could see a recession hit the US sometime over the next year. I doubt it will be a collapse anything like 2008 or anything but even a slow down on growth and a pull back on spending could lead to big declines from these AI bubble fueled highs as P/E have risen way out of hand. Something like the 2000s seems more accurate to current conditions.
IF this thesis is right you will see marked declines in the AUD against the USD and i have laid out my first target of .60 as it fits the technical pattern and we have a confluence of support there. We have also recently rejected off the resistance lines, broken the rising wedge (RED Lines), slipped back under the 100SMA. This provides a great enter point with a tight stop loss and a clear take profit.
I will be posting my future outlook for the AUD so please check it out to get the bigger picture
Also do your own research
EURUSD in channel resistance rangeHello friends
The EURUSD currency pair has reached the ceiling in the channel resistance range and you can take a sell position at this price.
The stop loss if the price stabilizes above the trend line in the 4h time frame is in the price range of 1.16900
The take profit is in the channel bottom range in the price range of 1.14800
Dear traders, please do not forget about capital management, risk management and adherence to the stop loss.
When the price reaches the target, the update for this currency pair will be posted again, so follow me to be informed about low-risk and successful trading ranges and be the first to know
I hope you are profitable.
Dollar Index Big Map: Trend Is Your Friend This year, the dollar has been in the red all the way down — until it hit the strong support line of a multi-decade uptrend (white). From there, it bounced to the upside. So, what’s next?
I’d like to share with you a big map of the Dollar Index.
I assume that we are still within the large second leg ((Y)) of the ((WXY)) corrective structure (white).
Within this structure, we can see a smaller-degree (WXY) correction (blue).
Currently, the market is moving in the last leg C of the final upward move in blue wave (Y).
Many times, I’ve observed how beautifully these wave structures align with strong pivot points.
The ultimate target for wave ((Y)) is near the top of wave ((W)), around 121.
This level also matches the target where blue wave (Y) equals blue wave (X) — an amazing correlation!
There are two key confirmation levels marked on the map:
Bullish confirmation — above 110 (this would invalidate the bearish scenario).
Bearish confirmation — below 89 (this would invalidate the ((WXY)) structure).
Asian Session Prep | Price Holding Above Yesterday’s HighNew day, new opportunity — and the bulls are still in control.
Price broke above yesterday’s high before the Asian killzone, showing strong intent early. Now, as we move into the session, it looks like we’re setting up for a continuation — using the previous Daily High (4234.7) as intraday support.
I’ll be watching for a clean reaction around that level during the next impulsive hour. As long as price continues respecting that structure, I’ll maintain a bullish bias.
💡 Key Notes:
Setup: Killzone Continuation
Bias: Bullish
Key Level: 4234.7 (Previous Daily High → Support)
Session Focus: Asian Killzone (8PM–11PM CST)
Target Zones: 4250 short-term, 4280 stretch target
Blind Spot: Price might retrace deeper before expansion — watch for liquidity sweeps near 4220 before continuation.
#Gold #Futures #DayTrading #PriceAction #AsianSession #KillzoneTrading #NoFOMO #Discipline #ICTInspired #TraderMindset
How High Will Gold Go? It Depends on the DollarThe inverse relationship between gold and the dollar is evident. Interestingly, we observe that when the dollar falls, gold rises—but the magnitude of gold’s increase is often greater than the dollar’s decline.
As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up.
From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up.
From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up.
And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up.
With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential.
Conversely, when the dollar increases, gold declines by almost the same magnitude.
Apart from de-dollarization, what are the other reasons dollar will face more headwinds?
There are three elements
• Existing debt,
• more money printing and
• tariffs,
All these 3 elements are not going to go away anytime soon, as long as the debt continue to rise, more money to be printed and more tariffs impose, dollar downtrend is likely to continue. When dollar is down, gold is up.
And these trends did not happen recently. It is taking shape over the past decades with a lower dollar, we can see how nicely the trends have seated on its historical troughs and peaks forming the channel for the dollar, and also in the gold over the decades.
This tutorial video version:
Mirco Gold Futures and Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
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• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Momentum Breakout into Strength | D-H Flip ConfirmedStrong continuation from last session’s impulsive push.
I caught my move during the Tokyo impulsive hour after price broke cleanly above 4175 — confirming a momentum breakout setup on the 15-min chart.
The previous Daily High (4191.2) has now flipped into solid support, reinforcing the bullish narrative I’ve been tracking since the start of the week.
My original weekly target was 4200 — we’ve exceeded that level now, and the momentum still looks healthy.
Price action is slowing ahead of the London session, which could set the stage for another expansion leg. If bullish pressure holds, I’m watching 4230–4250 next, with 4500 as a stretch target.
💡 Key Notes:
Setup: Momentum Breakout
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 4177.3 | Exit: 4185.1
Result: +$386 (5 Contracts)
Time in Trade: 42m
Context: Daily High Flip + Strong Impulse Continuation
#Gold #Futures #DayTrading #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingView #MGC #Trader #NoFOMO #Discipline #MomentumBreakout #ICTInspired
DXY Weekly Outlook (Count 3)This is a weekly timeframe outlook of the TVC:DXY . This is in alignment with my previously posted outlook which so far is playing out close to how I expected. This shows the wider view of what I think could be playing out. Still targeting the same yellow zone for a potential termination of the yellow (C) wave, after which we could see a counter trend consolidation. Current price action on the lower timeframe looks like it is forming a bearish flat correction which could be wave 2 in red. I'll look get a lower time frame update together, when time allows. More comments on the chart.
GBPUSD – Short SetupPrice is retesting a key resistance zone after a corrective bounce within a bearish trend. Sellers may step in if rejection confirms.
Sell Entry: 1.3340 – 1.3360
Stop Loss: 1.3380
Take Profit: 1.3250
📊 Bias: -Bearish
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always confirm entries with your own strategy and manage risk accordingly.
#GBPUSD #Forex #PriceAction #SellSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
DXY: The Dollar’s Long Cycle — Heading Back to 9/11 Levels?The U.S. Dollar Index ( INDEX:DXY ) has navigated through decades of pivotal global shifts — from the end of the Gold Standard and the 1979 Oil Crisis to the Plaza Accord, the Global Financial Crisis, and now the post-pandemic monetary reset.
Each of these events marked critical macro turning points — and each time the dollar found new structural strength after major dislocations.
Now, DXY has consolidated above long-term resistance and appears to be building energy for another leg higher.
If history rhymes, we may see the dollar rally toward the levels reached during the aftermath of the September 11 attacks — a zone that historically represented both global uncertainty and U.S. capital inflows.
Bias: Bullish
Target Zone: 120–122
Timeframe: Multi-year (monthly chart perspective)
Gold Off to the Races | No Pullbacks, Just PressureNew week and Gold came out the gate running. Momentum’s been relentless — no pullbacks, no hesitation.
Price is still riding strong from last week’s 8HR FVG base, and now pressing into new highs around 4,150+.
With global tension fueling safe-haven demand, this could be a continuation week — but it’s getting stretched.
Watching 4,070–4,081 for possible re-entry if we get a midweek dip.
A close below 4,100 could signal exhaustion, while staying above keeps bulls firmly in control.
⚖️ Staying patient, no chasing — letting the market show if this leg still has fuel.
— Woodz | #NOFOMO #GoldFutures #MarketStructure
DXY: Key Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce?The U.S. Dollar Index has found footing around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near 97.8, breaking a long downtrend. Its push toward the 99.35–100 range suggests a possible retest of a broken structure and alignment with the 50-day EMA. I noticed this move also aligns with short-term recovery signals.
Technical View (1D)
RSI climbing above 50 hints at renewed momentum.
MACD turning green shows early signs of follow-through.
Price is testing 100–101, a former support turned resistance.
If momentum holds, 102, 104, and 106 are the next resistance zones.
Support remains steady at 98, 97, and 95.8, which are shown as strong confluence points with Fibonacci structure.
Scenarios:
If DXY closes above 100.3, I’d expect continuation toward 102.4 or 104.2.
Failure to clear 100 followed by a drop under 98.5 could send it back toward 97.2 or even 95.8.
For now, my bias stays neutral to slightly bullish in the short term. A clean breakout above 100 would confirm a structural shift upward. None the less, I’m watching U.S. yields and upcoming CPI data closely and considering the factor that stronger inflation or a hawkish Fed tone could fuel the next DXY leg higher.
Thank you for your time and support, and as always please remember that this is always NFA and DYOFR, respectfully.
SILVER (XAGUSD) 15M – Bearish Rejection Setup Ahead TVC:SILVER
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price reached the accumulation + resistance zone, facing repeated rejections.
Structure is forming a lower-high pattern beneath the descending trendline.
If the rejection confirms, a sharp drop toward the next liquidity pool (49.00 area) can follow.
Market Overview
Silver has been ranging within a broad accumulation zone after rejecting the upper resistance region around 50.8–51.2. The market shows weakness near the top of the channel, hinting at a bearish continuation phase. If momentum fails to break above the diagonal resistance, a downside move toward 49.5–49.0 becomes highly probable before a possible reaction from the strong demand box.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1: 49.52 | 🎯 Target 2: 49.03 | 🎯 Target 3: 48.70
❌ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 50.80 | 🎯 Target 2: 51.20 (if resistance breaks cleanly)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 : 50.80 – 51.20
Support 🟢 : 49.50 – 49.00 – 48.70
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTCUSD 2H – Bullish Continuation Expected BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
🚀
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price reacted strongly from the strong demand box, confirming a potential bullish reversal zone.
After sweeping liquidity below the previous low, BTC reclaimed structure and is now pushing upward
If the yellow demand area (112–113 zone) holds, the market is likely preparing for the next impulsive move toward 120.
Market Overview
Bitcoin has completed a textbook liquidity grab beneath previous lows, followed by a clean recovery candle, signaling smart money absorption. The current move shows bullish intent as the market breaks short-term resistance. Holding above the demand box could trigger continuation toward 117–120, aligning with overall bullish structure reaccumulation after a major drop.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 117 | 🎯 Target 2: 119 | 🎯 Target 3: 120
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Downside Target 1: 112 (if demand fails) | 🎯 Target 2: 109
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 : 117 – 120
Support 🟢 : 112 – 113
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Dollar Index (DXY): More Growth is Coming
Dollar Index keeps recovering.
The market managed to violate a significant resistance cluster yesterday
and closed above that.
It opens a potential for more rise.
The next historic structure is 100.0.
The index will aim at that next week.
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