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$USCPCEPIMM -U.S Core Inflation (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM +0.2% September/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - Core consumer prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in September of 2025, slowing from the 0.3% in the August and July, and slightly under market expectations of a 0.3% increase. The data was released with weeks of delay as the ongoing US government shutdown suspended activity in the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Prices rose slower for shelter (0.2% vs 0.4% in August), transportation services (0.3% vs 1%), and new vehicles (0.2% vs 0.3%). In turn, the CPI rebounded for medical care services (0.3% vs -0.1%) and accelerate for apparel (0.7% vs 0.5%). From the pervious year, core consumer prices rose by 3% in September.
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM
by Mr_J__fx
DXY: Bullish Setup Brewing at Key Weekly Support!The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a compelling setup on the weekly timeframe! 📈 The price has reached a critical support zone between 99.120 and 94.802. This level also aligns with the lower boundary of a descending channel, adding confluence to this high-probability zone. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: Bullish Divergence: A clear bullish divergence has formed between the price and the RSI indicator, signaling potential exhaustion of sellers and a possible trend reversal. Channel Support: The price is testing the lower trendline of the descending channel, a spot where buyers have stepped in before. Support Zone: The 99.120–94.802 range is a high-value area for accumulation, making it a prime spot for a bounce. 📡 What’s Next?Technically, the DXY looks poised for a bullish reversal. However, global macroeconomic events and fundamental news (like Fed decisions or geopolitical developments) will play a crucial role in confirming this move. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases! 📅 What do you think of this setup? Are you bullish on DXY, or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by cryptosignalpnl
4
DXY Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! DXY Price is expected to retest the horizontal supply area early next week as liquidity builds up below Friday’s close. Smart Money may engineer a short-term rally into this zone before resuming the bearish move toward 98.38. ------------------- Stop Loss: 98.71 Take Profit: 98.38 Entry: 98.58 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:DXYShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar (Episode 2)2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar (Episode 2) 📉💵 📆 Feb 25 was just the beginning — and now we’ve got confirmation. DXY couldn’t hold above structure, and the drop is on. What began as a quiet theme is turning into the macro headline: The King Dollar is softening... on purpose. 🔍 Chart Context • 🔴 Rejection at 112.3 — clean and brutal** • 🔁 100.95 now flipped into resistance** • 📉 Heading toward Target: 94.37** — the long-term structure low The structure hasn’t changed — only the velocity has. This isn’t a flash move. This is policy-meets-price. 🧨 Fundamentals: Trump’s Soft Dollar Doctrine Back on January 23, Trump told the world exactly what he wanted: “I’d like to see interest rates come down… a lot.” “Oil down, prices down, inflation gone — and then rates down.” Translation? 💵 A weaker dollar to fuel exports, ease debt loads, and juice the real economy.** This is not weakness — it’s a recalibration. Add in: • Tariffs + labor policy inflation • Pressure on Powell • Geopolitical chess moves (Putin negotiations, Middle East detente) → and you’ve got a coordinated softening playbook. 📉 What’s Next? • 🔹 Break 98 = Target 94.37 opens wide • 🧱 If 94 cracks, we’ll re-assess — but for now, that’s the magnet • DXY needs a miracle to reclaim strength without Fed resistance easing 2025 could be the year the dollar gets normalized by force — not finesse. 🔄 Perspective Shift 🔄 This isn’t dollar death — it’s dollar diplomacy. Strong enough to hold global weight, soft enough to boost Main Street. You think this isn’t coordinated? Look again. 📡 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 First episode: ⚠️ I’m not a financial advisor — just a philosopher with better chart vision than 99% of the noise out there. What I share is my view, not a signal. You trade? You’re responsible. Just don’t blame me when I’m right again.
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
USD/CAD Bullish Bias Supported by COT Data and Seasonal Trends🗓 Monthly Chart Overview • Price Inefficiency Zone: There's a clear imbalance between 1.40165 and 1.41248, suggesting a potential magnet for price. A retracement to at least the 50% level of this inefficiency could be expected. • Bullish Structure: Price has formed a bullish order block and is currently retracing, which often precedes a continuation move upward. • This setup hints at accumulation before a bullish expansion. 📆 Weekly Chart Insights • Inefficiency Filled: Price has filled previous inefficiencies, showing healthy market structure. • Liquidity Behavior: We've seen price sweep lows, then begin sweeping highs, while respecting bullish blocks—a strong indication of a shift in directional intent. • This behavior supports the idea that USD/CAD is preparing for a bullish continuation. 📅 Daily Chart Momentum • Aggressive Breakout: After a period of consolidation, price broke out aggressively to the upside, confirming bullish momentum. • Structure: The daily chart maintains a bullish structure, reinforcing the higher timeframe bias. 💹 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data • USD Positioning: The U.S. Dollar is showing net buying interest, supporting strength. • CAD Positioning: The Canadian Dollar is net bearish on average when compared to last year’s data. • This divergence in sentiment adds confluence to a bullish USD/CAD bias. 📊 Seasonal Trends • Historically, USD/CAD tends to rise from August through November, with September, October, and especially November being the most bullish months. • This seasonal tendency aligns with the current technical and fundamental setup. 🏦 Macro Considerations • Interest Rates: Keep a close eye on central bank rate decisions and forward guidance, as they can significantly impact USD/CAD volatility and direction. 🔍 Summary USD/CAD shows strong bullish potential across monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. Technical structure, COT data, and seasonal trends all point toward a continuation to the upside. A revisit to the inefficiency zone around 1.4060–1.4120 could be a key target in the coming months.
Long
by Wiiso
Will DXY Sustain The Pressure Amid Current Uncertainties?Fundamental approach: - The US dollar retreated this week, pressured by expectations of continued Fed easing and signs of emerging economic weakness. - The Fed's latest Beige Book revealed that economic activity remained flat, with increasing layoffs across districts, and middle- to lower-income households reducing their spending, reinforcing dovish expectations. Chair Powell's scheduled remarks and the ongoing government shutdown, which began on 1 Oct, have delayed critical data. The Sep NFP was not released, and the Sep CPI is rescheduled for Fri, 24 Oct, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the dollar's outlook. - Meanwhile, the euro gained ground as European currencies strengthened against the greenback, with the dollar down around 10% YTD.​ - The dollar may face continued downside pressure as markets await the Fed's October 28-29 meeting, where a 0.25% rate cut is widely anticipated. However, delayed economic data releases could inject volatility into near-term trading.​ Technical approach: - DXY is trading within the ascending channel and retesting the support at 98.60. The index is slightly above both EMAs, indicating the upward momentum persists. - If DXY remains above the key support at 98.60, confluence with the ascending channel's lower bound, the index may rise to retest the psychological resistance at 100.00. - On the contrary, breaking below the support and both EMAs may prompt the DXY to retest the following support at 97.15. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXY
by DatTong
1
Dollar Index Big Map: Trend Is Your Friend This year, the dollar has been in the red all the way down — until it hit the strong support line of a multi-decade uptrend (white). From there, it bounced to the upside. So, what’s next? I’d like to share with you a big map of the Dollar Index. I assume that we are still within the large second leg ((Y)) of the ((WXY)) corrective structure (white). Within this structure, we can see a smaller-degree (WXY) correction (blue). Currently, the market is moving in the last leg C of the final upward move in blue wave (Y). Many times, I’ve observed how beautifully these wave structures align with strong pivot points. The ultimate target for wave ((Y)) is near the top of wave ((W)), around 121. This level also matches the target where blue wave (Y) equals blue wave (X) — an amazing correlation! There are two key confirmation levels marked on the map: Bullish confirmation — above 110 (this would invalidate the bearish scenario). Bearish confirmation — below 89 (this would invalidate the ((WXY)) structure).
TVC:DXYLong
by aibek
DXY Weekly Outlook (Count 3)This is a weekly timeframe outlook of the TVC:DXY . This is in alignment with my previously posted outlook which so far is playing out close to how I expected. This shows the wider view of what I think could be playing out. Still targeting the same yellow zone for a potential termination of the yellow (C) wave, after which we could see a counter trend consolidation. Current price action on the lower timeframe looks like it is forming a bearish flat correction which could be wave 2 in red. I'll look get a lower time frame update together, when time allows. More comments on the chart.
TVC:DXYShort
by TheWaveCave
DXY: The Dollar’s Long Cycle — Heading Back to 9/11 Levels?The U.S. Dollar Index ( INDEX:DXY ) has navigated through decades of pivotal global shifts — from the end of the Gold Standard and the 1979 Oil Crisis to the Plaza Accord, the Global Financial Crisis, and now the post-pandemic monetary reset. Each of these events marked critical macro turning points — and each time the dollar found new structural strength after major dislocations. Now, DXY has consolidated above long-term resistance and appears to be building energy for another leg higher. If history rhymes, we may see the dollar rally toward the levels reached during the aftermath of the September 11 attacks — a zone that historically represented both global uncertainty and U.S. capital inflows. Bias: Bullish Target Zone: 120–122 Timeframe: Multi-year (monthly chart perspective)
INDEX:DXYLong
by The_Quantastic
DXY index Near Resistance – Will Powell Trigger the Next Move?To kick off this week, let's take a quick look at the upcoming key indexes in the economic calendar before diving into the DXY analysis ( TVC:DXY ). On Tuesday, we have Fed Chair Powell speaking, which could stir some excitement in the DXY index and ripple through correlated financial markets . Then, on Thursday , we have a bunch of key indexes like Core PPI, Core Retail Sales, PPI, and Unemployment Claims coming out. These releases could spark some volatility as well. So, before we jump into the DXY analysis , I wanted to give you a heads-up on this week’s events From a technical analysis standpoint , the DXY index is currently moving near a Heavy Resistance zone($101.30-$99.42) . At the same time, it has managed to break above the upper line of its descending channel and is now in a pullback phase to retest that broken line. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the DXY is completing wave B of a zigzag corrective(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect that wave B will finish around the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and we might see the DXY index approach that Resistance zone($100.58-$99.93) before Powell’s speech tomorrow . First Target: $99.770 Second Target: $100.06 Stop Loss(SL): $98.28 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. U.S. Dollar Index Analysis (DXYUSD), 4-Hour Time Frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DXYLong
by pejman_zwin
12
DXY Ready for Next Bullish Leg After Liquidity SweepDollar Index maintaining bullish structure after recent BOS on 3H timeframe.Market formed consolidation phase early October before expansion.Buyers showing control pushing price towards 100.57 objective.Current retracement indicates liquidity grab before next bullish impulse.Demand zone 98.50–98.80 remains key area for continuation.Technical sentiment stays positive as long as price holds above 98.50.Fundamentally, dollar supported by strong U.S. data and cautious global tone favoring safe-haven demand.Momentum outlook remains bullish with potential continuation toward 100.50+ zone.
TVC:DXYLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
US Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly OutlookThe DXY is currently trading around the 99.00 zone after a major market structure shift (MSS). Price has retraced into a fair value gap (FVG) within the 50–70% premium zone, showing signs of potential bullish continuation. If the market holds above the FVG, we could see a push toward the 20% and 30% Fibonacci retracement levels, targeting the buy-side liquidity area near 110.00+. This long-term projection suggests that the dollar might regain strength over the next few years before facing another macro correction. 📅 Timeframe: Monthly 💡 Bias: Bullish towards liquidity highs ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #DXY #USDX #DollarIndex #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #MarketStructure #FVG #Liquidity #Herotraderfx #TradingView
TVC:DXYLong
by Herotraderfx
Has Gold Reached Its Fullest Potential?Has gold reached its fullest potential? It depends on the US dollar. As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up. i) From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up. ii) From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up. iii) And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up. With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential. Mirco Gold Futures and Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Long
by konhow
2
DXY Strategy Unlocked — Will Bulls Control the Next Swing?⚡ US Dollar Index (DXY) Swing/Day Trade Setup ⚡ 💹 Asset: DXY (US Dollar Index) 📈 Plan: Bullish — Pending Order Strategy 📊 US Dollar Index (DXY) Real-Time Data Daily Change: +0.55 (+0.56%) Day's Range: 97.62 – 98.60 52-Week Range: 96.38 – 110.18 🔔 Trade Setup (Thief Plan) Breakout Entry: 98.800 ⚡ (Set TradingView alarm to catch the move in real time) Stop Loss: “Thief SL” @ 24,000.0 (only after breakout confirmation). 📝 Adjust your SL based on your strategy & risk appetite, Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s). Target: Resistance/overbought zone at 100.20 🎩 Escape target: 100.000 (take profits before market flips). 😰 Fear & Greed Sentiment Index Level: 64 (Greed) Market Mood: Moderately greedy, driven by: 📉 Net new 52-week highs vs. lows (bullish) 📊 VIX near averages (neutral) 🛡️ Bonds underperforming stocks (risk-on) 📈 Junk bond demand narrowing spreads (greed signal) 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score Fed Rate Cut Probability: 90% (Sept 18 FOMC, 25 bps cut expected) Key Drivers: ✅ Labor Data: NFP (Sept 5) is crucial for direction. ⚠️ Trade Policy: Court ruled Trump tariffs illegal (appeal pending). ⬇️ Consumer Confidence: Michigan Index at 3-month low (58.2). ⬆️ ISM Manufacturing: Ahead of release, possible USD support. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions supporting USD. 🐂 Overall Market Outlook Score Bullish (Long): 60% Bearish (Short): 40% Bias: Short-term bullish as long as 97.60 holds. USD rebound + bond yield strength + equity weakness backing USD. ⚠️ Risk: Break below 97.60 → next target 96.55 (bearish). 💡 Key Takeaways 🎯 NFP Report (Sept 5) = decisive catalyst. ⚖️ Fed debates + trade policy = medium-term uncertainty. 📉 Breakout above 98.80 is the key to bullish continuation. 🔍 Related Markets to Watch FX:EURUSD FX:GBPUSD FX:USDJPY OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:US30 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #DayTrading #SwingTrading #BreakoutStrategy #ThiefTrader #TradingSetup
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
What data releases are at risk from the shutdown? The US dollar came under renewed pressure this week as the federal government entered its first shutdown in nearly seven years. The shutdown, expected to last at least three days, means traders should not expect the September nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report this week. This key release, often one of the most closely watched on the calendar (by traders and the Federal Reserve), will now be delayed until government operations resume. Other reports likely to be delayed or canceled include: Wednesday, 8 October: FOMC Minutes Wednesday, 15 October: Core and headline CPI inflation Thursday, 16 October: Producer Price Index (PPI) Thursday, 16 October: Retail sales Friday, 17 October: Housing starts
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull Markets
DXY Daily Outlook: Bearish Pressure BuildsLooking at the DXY (US Dollar Index) chart as of September 30, 2025, the long-term structure is clearly in a descending wedge pattern, showing sustained weakness since the sharp rejection from the 100.23 level earlier this year. Price action has been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, respecting the upper and lower trendline resistance and support. Currently, DXY is trading around 97.80, slightly above the mid-support zone, but momentum suggests that bears remain in control. The chart also highlights multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) points, showing failed attempts by bulls to reverse the trend. Each rally has been capped below descending resistance, most recently around the 98–99 zone, which is now acting as a supply area. The ongoing compression in price suggests a possible breakout direction soon. From a Fibonacci perspective, the major retracement levels drawn from the swing high (100.23) to the swing low (96.18) give clear downside targets. If the wedge breaks bearish, first support lies near 96.18, followed by Fib -0.382 (94.63), then deeper at -0.618 (93.67). A strong bearish continuation could extend toward the -1.618 projection (89.62), which aligns with long-term demand. On the other side, if bulls manage to reclaim 98.50–99.00 with strong volume, it could trigger a corrective leg toward 100.23 (previous high and wedge resistance). However, given repeated rejections, this remains the less likely scenario unless macro fundamentals (such as Fed policy or global risk sentiment) strongly shift in favor of the dollar. The RSI/Momentum structure would likely be neutral-to-bearish given the flat but declining structure. The price remains below the major moving averages (200-day SMA/EMA), adding weight to the bearish bias. Momentum / indicators Momentum on the daily appears neutral-to-bearish (rallies are weaker and get rejected). RSI on daily (if checked) is likely flat-to-slightly below neutral, not showing strong bullish divergence — therefore rallies are corrective. Price is trading under the major moving averages on the daily (200MA acts as dynamic resistance), reinforcing the bearish bias unless reclaimed decisively. Key daily levels Immediate resistance / supply: 98.00 – 99.00 (daily rejection zone). Invalidation for bearish view (daily close basis): daily close above 100.23 / decisive break and hold above 100.5–101 would flip bias. Near-term support: 96.18 (first target / pivot). Secondary targets if 96.18 breaks: 94.63, 93.67 then 89.62 as extended target on a strong bearish continuation. Price-action scenarios Bearish continuation (favored): Price respects the upper descending trendline, forms a daily rejection or bearish engulfing at ~98.0–99.0 → short with first target at 96.18, partial take at 94.63 if momentum continues. Neutral / consolidation: Price oscillates 97–98.5, chopping in wedge — wait for a daily close below 96.60 or above 99.50 before taking directional trade. Bullish breakout (less likely): Daily close above 100.23 with follow-through and volume would signal trend change toward 102+ — invalidate shorts and look for long setups only after retest. In Summary Trend: Bearish within a descending wedge. Resistance: 98.50 → 99.00 → 100.23. Support: 96.18 → 94.63 → 93.67 → 89.62. Long-term bias: As long as 99–100 zone is not broken decisively, DXY is likely to head lower toward 94–90 levels in coming months. Risk factor: Only a macro-driven breakout above 100.23 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward 102+. One-line Conclusion Daily bias = bearish while price stays under the 98–100 supply zone; preferred approach is to short on daily rejections or after a break+retest of 96.18, with extended targets at 94.6 → 93.7 → 89.6, and clear invalidation only on a daily close above ~100.23. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYShort
by SibiSh