DUOL - NOT FOR TREND-FOLLOWING TRADERS DUOL - CURRENT PRICE : 271.28
Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) is in a downtrend since 14 May 2025. The stock has recently tested the support level near USD 263, which coincides with a previous demand zone. This bounce from support highlights buying pressure, indicating the likelihood of a short-term reversal.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved near 30 level, signaling that the stock is in oversold territory. Oversold conditions often precede a technical rebound as selling pressure eases.
The confluence of oversold momentum and price stabilization at support suggests a possible bounce play. If buying volume increases, the stock could recover toward USD 297 – 325, its next resistance zone.
ENTRY PRICE : 271.00 - 272.00
TARGET : 297.00 and 325.00
SUPPORT : 260.00 (CUTLOSS below 260.00 on closing basis)
Notes : As the dominant trend is clearly bearish (downtrend) since 14 May 2025, this setup is not for trend-following traders.
Double Bottom
Adobe (ADBE) – Double Bottom + EMA50 Breakout PotentialOn the Daily timeframe, NASDAQ:ADBE is showing early signs of strength:
A Double Bottom pattern has formed, often seen as a bullish reversal signal.
RSI divergence was present at the pattern lows, and RSI has broken above its trendline, suggesting momentum shift.
Price closed above the EMA50 , an important technical milestone.
MACD is in positive territory, supporting a potential continuation upward.
Volume has not spiked dramatically, but it is gradually increasing compared to recent history.
Key Levels:
If the downtrend resistance line is broken and price retests neckline/downtrend area successfully, the pattern projects a move at least towards the next local resistance zone.
Confirmation is crucial: a breakout without retest can be a false signal.
Important Note:
This analysis is not a buy/sell signal. It highlights potential upside if key technical levels are broken and confirmed. Patience for breakout + retest may provide a clearer setup.
(For educational purposes only, not financial advice.)
Adobe (ADBE) — Daily — Double BottomSetup
Pattern: Double bottom on the daily chart with two clear lows and a visible neckline.
Timeframe: Daily
Measuring rule (target)
Measure the vertical distance from the bottoms to the neckline and add it to the breakout point. Using this method the measured target equals +$24.38 per share from the breakout.
Entry & trigger
- Enter long on a confirmed close above the neckline (daily close above neckline).
- If you prefer an earlier entry, a volume-backed intraday break above the neckline can be used, but prefer a daily close for confirmation.
Stop loss
- Place stop loss just below the recent low (the second bottom). Use a few cents/pips buffer below that low to avoid noise.
Position sizing & risk
- Risk per share = entry price − stop loss price.
- With the stop placed just below the recent low, risk per share is small and gives a risk/reward ratio ≈ 1.02 .
Given the measured target of +$24.38, ensure your entry and stop sizing produce the stated R:R — example calculations below.
Notes & trade management
- Prefer a daily close above the neckline with increased volume for higher probability.
- If price returns to retest the neckline, consider adding only if support holds and risk remains acceptable.
- Trail stop to breakeven after a significant portion of the measured move is achieved (for example, after +50% of the $24.38 move).
$USDT Dominance Bullish Divergence Signals RotationUSDT dominance is flashing a clean bullish divergence while MACD builds a tidy double-bottom structure. When the USDT share of the market starts climbing, it usually means traders are rotating into cash for safety. That often lines up with softer BTC momentum and underperformance across altcoins.
What I’m watching:
Momentum: bullish divergence suggests buyers are defending the recent higher low on dominance.
MACD: a double bottom with a fresh uptick strengthens the case for a push higher.
Market knock-on: a rising USDT dominance tends to pressure BTC first, then bleeds into ALT/BTC pairs.
How I’m planning it:
If dominance breaks above the recent swing high with expanding momentum, I’ll trim risk on alts, favor BTC over high-beta names, and wait for cleaner entries after a reset.
If dominance stalls at resistance and rolls over, that’s my cue for a short-term risk-on bounce, with attention on strong ALT/BTC setups.
Alerts: prior swing high on dominance, MACD signal cross, and any bearish divergence that hints at a rollover.
Invalidation:
A daily close back below the most recent higher low on dominance plus a MACD roll-down would weaken the thesis and point to a relief phase for alts.
TL;DR: USDT dominance looks ready to push higher on bullish divergence and a MACD double bottom. Historically, that leans risk-off for BTC and alts until dominance cools off again.
Double Bottom Reversal likely for GBPAUDPrice has been moving in a clear downtrend inside a descending channel. After this recent fall, notice how price seems to have formed a double bottom. This particular pattern often shows up after a big decline like so.
The neckline, is a key level to watch now, and price is starting to break above it. A strong breakout candle can confirm this pattern, but the safer play is to wait for price to come back and retest the neckline. If the old resistance now holds as support, that’s the ideal spot to join the move.
The projected target comes from measuring the height of the double bottom and adding it to the neckline. In this case, the upside target points towards the 2.0539. A stop loss can be placed either below the neckline after retest, or more conservatively below the second bottom.
The one-hour double bottom can be reliable too, but its reliability is more dependent on volatility, unexpected events, and overall market conditions. For now, if the neckline holds on a retest, and shows good rejection, there's a high probability price will be pushing higher.
$SOL / $BTC 50WMA Reclaimed - Alt Season Confirmed!Ladies and Gentlemen,
CRYPTOCAP:SOL / CRYPTOCAP:BTC has officially closed the Week above the 50WMA and is back within the POI.
Double bottom confirmed this setup.
Along with the longest cup and handle I’ve ever seen lol.
Let the rotation for Alt Season begin!
Avalanche with a close above the double bottom necklineNot sure whether it will validate the breakout here or go back below the neckline, but that was a very convincing bullish candle close above the neckline on the previous daily candle so it should give it some reasonable probability. *not financial advice*
ITC at strong support zone. A good opportunity for accumulation.ITC Chart Update (Weekly & 4H Timeframe)
On the weekly chart, ITC is moving within a well-defined parallel channel, with immediate support in the 385–400 zone. A breakdown below this zone could take the stock towards the next strong support near 300.
On the 4-hour chart, ITC is forming a falling channel, with support also placed around the 390–400 zone. If this level holds, we may witness a potential upside move in ITC.
Conclusion: The 390–400 zone will play a decisive role. Sustaining above it may trigger an upward move, while a breakdown could extend weakness towards lower levels.
EURUSD Breakdown or Double Bottom? Catalysts at Jackson Hole!EURUSD has broken below the key 1.16 support ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium, raising the stakes for both bulls and bears as markets become more aware of the likelihood of a hawkish stance.
But will it be the case?
Let's see what the possible scenarios are at play.
Bearish Catalysts :
Hawkish Fed Signals: Recent FOMC minutes and a potential hawkish tone from Chair Powell could push EURUSD lower. Rate cut odds for December have dropped sharply, and further Fed focus on inflation may accelerate downside.
Technical Breakdown: The loss of 1.16 opens the door to 1.1530, 1.1460, and possibly 1.14. No clear bullish divergence on RSI suggests more downside risk.
Geopolitical Risks: Uncertainty around the Ukraine ceasefire could weigh further on the euro.
Bullish Catalysts :
Oversold Conditions: EURUSD is approaching oversold territory, with a potential double bottom forming near 1.1530/1.1460.
Dovish Surprise: If Powell signals concerns over the labour market or hints at a pause, a short-covering rally could target 1.16 and above.
ECB Commentary: Any unexpected hawkishness from ECB President Lagarde could support the euro.
Key Levels to Watch :
Support: 1.1530, 1.1460, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.1660
Trading Plan :
Volatility is likely post-symposium. Bears may look for breakdowns and rallies to resistance for entries, while bulls might watch for reversal signals at key supports if the Fed surprises dovishly.
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Arbitrum ready for the double bottom breakout?It’s already broken above the neckline recently then dipped back below so another dip back below is certainly possible, however after the recent bullish sentiment from Jackson Hole, I think probability favors the breakout getting confirmed in the very near future. *not financial advice*
BANDUSD attempting an invh&s + double bottom breakoutBAND has been available for a significant iscount lately but the sale may be ending soon as it is now attempting both an inverse head & shoulders breakout, as well as sending wicks above the neckline of a slightly larger double bottom pattern. The double bottom pattern is in chartreuse and the inverse head and shoulder pattern is in lilac. We can also see BAND looks lke it’s about to have a golden cros in the next week or 2 which should increase probability to confirm the breakout of these two bullish patterns as it will add bullish confluence as long as prce action isn’t two high above the 30&200 moving averages at the time of the golden cross *not financial advice*
Chainlink climbing the measured move line staircaseLooks like Chanlink is ready to confirm the double bottom breakout here as the past few candles have already started to climb up the measured move line like a staircase.Always possible for a dip back below the neckline at this point but probability slightly favors the readout being validated instead for now. *not financial advice*
10Y Futures Case Study: Trading the Breakout with Defined Risk1. Introduction
The 10-Year Yield Futures market has recently drawn attention as it builds a constructive base and attempts to shift momentum higher. After weeks of choppy movement, price action on the 4-hour chart has resolved into a breakout scenario that could define the next leg for yields. At the heart of this case study is a double bottom formation, a classical reversal structure, confirmed at 4.321. What makes this setup more compelling is the presence of nearby support and resistance zones, providing a precise technical framework to define entries, targets, and stop placement with discipline.
2. Double Bottom Pattern
The double bottom is one of the most reliable chart patterns signaling the potential exhaustion of selling pressure. It typically forms after a downtrend, with two consecutive troughs creating a strong support base before buyers regain control. In the current 10-Year Yield Futures chart, the first bottom occurred near 4.20, followed by a retest close to the same level. The neckline breakout emerged at 4.312, marking the confirmation point. Applying classical pattern analysis, the measured move points toward a target near 4.396. This alignment of structure and projection provides traders with a clear and objective technical roadmap.
3. MACD Confirmation
Momentum indicators often add depth to price action analysis, and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most widely followed. Built from the relationship of short- and long-term moving averages, it helps reveal underlying shifts in strength. In the current 10-Year Yield Futures chart, the MACD displayed a positive divergence: while price carved lower lows during the second bottom, the MACD lines began to slope higher. This divergence often signals weakening bearish momentum and the early stages of accumulation. In this case, it reinforces the validity of the double bottom breakout and its bullish potential.
4. UFO Support & Resistance
UnFilled Orders, or UFOs, represent areas where pending buy or sell orders may remain active, providing powerful zones of support or resistance. On the 10-Year Yield Futures chart, a key UFO support sits just below the breakout at 4.278, making it a logical stop-loss placement to protect the trade. Meanwhile, the upside target of the double bottom at 4.396 coincides with a UFO resistance zone. This overlap creates a clear exit area where supply may re-emerge. By combining classical charting techniques with order-flow–based zones, traders gain a structured plan that balances opportunity with risk control.
5. Trade Idea (Illustrative Case Study)
In this case study, the trade idea develops around the breakout point of 4.312 with the current price at the time of writing this article of 4.321. A trader could consider going long if the market sustains above this neckline level. The projected target is the resistance zone at 4.396, while the protective stop loss can be placed just below the UFO support at 4.278. This creates a defined risk profile with a reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 2:1. Alternatively, more conservative traders might consider a wider stop beneath the second bottom, offering more tolerance against volatility but at the expense of risk-reward efficiency. Both options maintain risk clarity and structure.
6. Contract Specifications & Margin Overview
The 10-Year Yield Futures (ticker: 10Y or 10Y1! on TradingView) is a cash-settled futures contract that tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield directly. The gain or loss per tick per contract is as follows: 1 tick = 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00.
According to CME’s margin schedule (which changes as market conditions change through time), the current margin requirement is approximately $300 per contract. These relatively modest requirements make the product accessible while still providing meaningful exposure to U.S. interest rate markets.
7. Importance of Risk Management
Even with technically strong setups, the defining factor between consistent traders and inconsistent ones is risk management. Futures are leveraged products, meaning a small price move can translate into significant profit or loss. Using stop-loss orders helps enforce discipline, ensuring that one trade does not spiral into uncontrolled exposure. In this case, the support at 4.278 provides a logical technical area for a stop. Regardless of market outlook, avoiding undefined risk is key to long-term survival and consistency.
8. Closing Remarks
The alignment of a double bottom breakout, positive MACD divergence, and key support and resistance zones creates a textbook technical case study in the 10-Year Yield Futures market. With a clearly defined entry, target, and stop-loss, this setup demonstrates how combining price patterns with momentum and order-flow levels can help build structured trade plans. Yet, no analysis guarantees outcomes, and discipline remains at the core of every approach.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
USDT Dominance at crucial 3.8 percent support level !USDT dominance is hanging around the 4% mark, and history shows it doesn’t spend much time below here. The 3.8% zone has been a strong bounce point—think March 11, 2024, and again late December / late January, both forming a clean double-bottom.
Right now, we could be setting up for the same pattern. If 3.8% holds, a bounce is likely, and we could see dominance climb back toward the 6–6.5% zone before rolling over.
But if it breaks decisively below 3.8%, that would be a first in years and could trigger a larger market shift—possibly a super cycle where BTC runs toward 150–200K.
Historically, late August into September often brings corrections or dumps, so I’m watching closely over the next few weeks.
Bottom line:
3.8% holds → bounce likely.
3.8% breaks → game changes completely.
What’s your take—bounce or break?
Unity📈 UNITY PSX — Bullish Cypher + Double Bottom + Pullback Buy Zone 💎
🌀 Pattern:
X: 17.60 → A: 35.61 → B: 25.01 → C: 40.14 → D: 22.02
✅ Perfect Bullish Cypher completion at D
📊 Double bottom at D → neckline breakout
📍 Current Setup:
Hit 32.00 🎯 — now retracing to 28.00 🛡 (Fib breakout retest)
This zone is a buy-on-dip 28.50 to 25
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 32 🔁 (recent high)
TP2: 35 🚀 (A-point retest)
TP3: 39--40🌙 (C-point retest — extended move)
🛑 Stop-loss: Below Double Bottom
💼 Fundamentals — Power Boost:
1️⃣ Net Profit Rs 1.09 bn vs. Rs 1.21 bn loss last year 📈
2️⃣ EPS +0.92 vs. –1.01 previously 💰
3️⃣ Gross Profit +10.5% to Rs 7.41 bn (cost of sales down 12.6%) 🏭
4️⃣ Operating Profit +36% to Rs 6.80 bn; Other Income +202% to Rs 2.13 bn 💵
5️⃣ Dividend 75% cash declared 🏦
⚡ Summary:
Technicals + Fundamentals = High-confidence setup 📊
VRSK – Bullish Pin Bar at Key Support after Earnings Flush?NASDAQ: VRSK delivered good quarterly results, yet price action showed a sharp flush-down bar breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Recently, price retested the key previous low level at $262, triggered some small stop-losses, and closed back at $262 with a bullish small pin bar. Double bottom setup on VRSK.
Key factors supporting this level:
1. Flush-down move likely to stop out weak holders.
2. Break below lower Bollinger Band, indicating short-term oversold condition.
3. Stochastic oversold and attempting a bullish cross.
4. Bullish pin bar closing back above support.
OSCR forming a Double Bottom – Bullish Reversal PotentialNYSE: OSCR - Oscar Health shows a potential double bottom, with a force bottom likely clearing stop-losses. Price has reclaimed key support, and stochastic is turning up, suggesting early bullish momentum.
Despite earnings missing estimates, the stock closed strong above support — a positive reaction to bad news. Risk and reward looks favorable at current levels.
USDCHF Signals Wave 3 With Double Bottom!OANDA:USDCHF has not only formed a Double Bottom Pattern but also may be generating a potential Elliot Impulse Wave!
Bulls are giving the April & June Lows of .8038 - .8088, another go for a second time today after surpassing the first attempted High created July 17th to break above the level.
So far Price today has broken above July 17th Highs and if Bulls are able to hold this level, this would Confirm:
1) A Breakout of the Double Bottom
2) Wave 3 continuing the Impulse Wave in the Elliot Wave Theory!
The Higher Low @ .79106 created on July 25th, broke the downtrend structure as a 78.6% retracement of the Lower Low @ .78719 created July 1st which was a new 14 Year Low, finishing Wave 2 and initiating Wave 3 of the Impulse Wave.
The Extension of Wave 3 typically will end at the 1.236% or 1.618% level which gives us 2 potential Price Targets to start:
Price Target 1) .81479 - 1.236%
Price Target 2) .82213 - 1.618%
Once Wave 3 has ended, we will look for opportunities at the Wave 4 - Wave 5 juncture!






















