XAUUSD-Gold Game Just Changed: Post-FVG Violation SetupHey Traders,
Gold is currently sitting at 3774. From here, I’m aiming straight for 3807.
Why?
FVG got violated—we now have a clean IFVG.
That’s why my target is locked: 3807.
Set your stop-loss based on your own margin.
I believe we’ll hit that level sooner or later.
Every single like you drop keeps me motivated
to keep sharing these insights.
Big thanks to everyone supporting!
Dowjones
XAU/USD | GOLD Breaking Records – $4K Target Loading…!By analyzing the TVC:GOLD chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that nothing seems to be stopping its series of new record highs — it almost feels like the $4,000 target isn’t too far away! Every small correction in gold is simply gathering more liquidity and demand to push toward higher levels.
At this very moment, gold has printed a new ATH at $ 3,734 , and I expect the rally to continue. The next possible upside targets are $3,740, $3,780, and $3,800.
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DOW JONES forming a bottom ahead of the next rally.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a Channel Up since the start of September and right now it is consolidating after having hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, following a Higher High rejection at the top of the pattern.
As you can see, the 0.618 Fib was always pull-back tested after a Higher High, with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) also or at least coming very close to. As a result, the current 4H candle consolidation is technically a bottoming process before the new Bullish Leg.
The weakest Bullish Leg of this Channel Up has been +1.56%, which more than covers our 46900 Target.
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Dow overbought corrective pullback supported at 46100Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46845
Support Level 1: 46100
Support Level 2: 45960
Support Level 3: 45840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Update On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating aroundUS30 Update
On the low time frame, US30 is consolidating around 46,351 – 46,398 after testing the breakout zone.
Key levels:
46,398 – 46,351 → short-term decision zone. A breakout above this area could confirm bullish continuation toward 47,170.
46,177 – 45,796 → support zone for the main uptrend. As long as price holds above this, the bullish cycle remains intact.
Upside scenario: If price reclaims and holds above 46,398, momentum strengthens for another push higher, with 47,170 as the next major resistance.
Downside risk: If price fails to hold above 46,177, deeper correction could follow, with 45,796 as first support.
Cycle level: 41,097 is the cycle start and a critical must-hold area for the long-term bullish structure.
📌 Summary
Above 46,398 → bullish continuation toward 47,170.
Hold above 46,177 – 45,796 → main uptrend safe.
Break below 45,796 → correction risk, broader weakness possible.
41,097 → cycle start and major long-term support.
DowJones Key support at 46100Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46560
Resistance Level 2: 46700
Resistance Level 3: 46845
Support Level 1: 46100
Support Level 2: 45960
Support Level 3: 45840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES (US30): Confirmed BoS & More Growth
I see another confirmed break of structure and a violation
of an important intraday horizontal resistance on a 4h time frame on US30 Index.
Odds will be high, that the market will continue rising.
Next resistance - 46550
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Key Levels & Trend Confirmation – US30US30 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, US30 is holding above the breakout zone (46,177 – 46,214), showing early signs of continuation.
Key levels:
46,214 → first support on the low time frame. Holding this level keeps bullish momentum intact.
46,177 → important confirmation level for the main uptrend. If US30 closes below this, it could trigger a deeper pullback.
As long as price holds above these zones, US30 remains in a bullish structure with potential to push higher.
Downside risk: A breakdown below 46,177 would invalidate the current momentum and open space for correction toward 45,796 support.
Major cycle level: 41,097 remains the cycle start and must-hold support in the bigger picture. Losing this level would shift the cycle to red.
📌 Summary
Above 46,214 – 46,177 → bullish continuation remains in play.
Break below 46,177 → correction risk, watch 45,796 as next support.
Cycle start at 41,097 → key long-term level to keep the broader bullish cycle alive.
DowJones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Yesterday I shared a short setup on the Dow Jones using the rising wedge pattern. I entered at 46,267 and exited with a small profit at 46,179. I exited because I did not like the reaction at that level and anticipating a better entry.
Today, I’m looking to re-enter if price reaches 46,343, which could form a potential double top on the chart.
🧐 Market Overview:
Rising wedges generally act as bearish reversal patterns, that said, the broader market remains bullish following the FOMC, so I’ll be risking less and proceeding with caution.
However, the VIX has been sitting near multi-month lows, which often precedes sharp moves. If volatility picks up post-FOMC, rising wedge patterns could act as early warning signs of a pullback.
So I am willing to risk a small amount and potentially be rewarded BIG!
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46,343
Stop Loss: 46,539
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45,000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45,000
Also, if this plays out, I expect NAS and S&P to fall too which will likely drag crypto with it.
Thanks for checking out my post!
I would love to hear if you have any rising wedge trading tips? And if you are trading the Dow Jones or S&P today?
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
DowJones Key Tradin Levels - triple-witching dayKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46415
Resistance Level 2: 46640
Resistance Level 3: 46860
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45600
Support Level 3: 45360
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Record Highs as Fed Cut and Nvidia Deal Fuel MomentumUS30 – OVERVIEW
U.S. stocks hit fresh record highs on Thursday, supported by the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025, a drop in jobless claims, and news that Nvidia will invest $5 billion in Intel, boosting sentiment across the tech sector. The upcoming New York session is expected to drive additional volatility.
Technical Analysis
The Dow remains in a sensitive zone near key pivots.
🔹 As long as price trades below 46,250, bearish volatility could emerge, targeting 46,120 and, if broken, 46,000.
🔹 A decisive break above 46,300 would confirm bullish continuation toward 46,400 and 46,520.
Key Levels
Pivot Zone: 46,250 – 46,300
Resistance: 46,400 – 46,520
Support: 46,140 – 46,110 – 46,000
A clean move outside the 46,250–46,300 range will set the next direction, with the U.S. session likely to provide the catalyst for a breakout.
Dow Jones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTRadingMethod👋 Hello Traders.
Yesterday I mentioned I’d be watching for a breakout and retest setup — that plan still stands. However, I’ve also taken a short position off the diagonal resistance line.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m currently seeing rising wedge structures across Nasdaq, S&P, Russell 2000, and Dow Jones. These patterns typically lean bearish, and I can’t ignore the confluence. That said, wedges can fail, and with the market leaning bullish after of the FOMC announcement, I’m aware this is swimming against the trend.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46 267
Stop Loss: 46 450
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45 000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45 000
(I’m already short from 46 267 and will look to add if price retests that level.)
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Bearish patterns like rising wedges can offer high R/R setups, but always remember — strong bullish backdrops (like major data events) can cause them to fail. Risk management is everything.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and share your thoughts on what you think the markets will do today and how you would trade rising wedges :)
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
S&P 500 | H1 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
Similar to the Dow Jones setup, the US500 is also showing a rising wedge pattern. Yesterday, price broke to the downside and is now retesting the wedge — a classic technical setup.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 5.4
Entry: 6 653.6
Stop Loss: 6 676.8
Take Profit: 6 526
🧐 Market Overview:
Rising wedges are typically bearish continuation/reversal patterns, and the current retest provides an opportunity to align with that probability. That said, wedges can fail, especially around major news events, so risk management is key specially with markets being bullish after the fomc announcement.
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading wedge retests, always allow the market to confirm direction. A strong rejection on the retest adds confluence and avoids false breakouts.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Dow at record highs, outperfoms peers! But are risks brewing?The Dow Jones DJIA surged to new record highs, driven by defensive sector strength and expectations of Fed rate cuts. Dow outperformed due to its heavier weighting in defensive sectors (industrials, financials, consumer staples), which are favoured during economic uncertainty and falling yields. Technical analysis suggests further upside potential, as investors seek stability and dividends in Dow components amid lingering recession risks. However, key support levels must hold to sustain the rally.
The Dow has completed a V-shaped recovery, breaking above previous double-top highs from 2024/2025 (45,150), now acting as support. An open triangle pattern was identified, with the current move likely the fifth wave to the upside. The index trades above all major moving averages, confirming bullish momentum, but RSI shows hidden bullish divergence, supporting the case for continued upside only if support holds after a pullback.
Dow has critical support at 45k, must hold to maintain bullish momentum. A drop below 45,581 could trigger a correction. Short-term upside shows 47k, with a major Fibonacci cluster and technical inflexion in focus. Intermediate levels sit at 46300/45900/45640, with important long-term Targets at 45k, 49500, 50k, 53k.
Risks & Potential Scenarios
Divergence: Despite strong momentum, technical divergence suggests a possible corrective move if the Dow falls below 45581.
Bullish : Holding above 45581 and 45k supports further upside toward 47k and beyond.
Bearish : A break below 45581 could trigger a deeper pullback before any renewed rally.
Market Sentiment :
The bond market’s caution contrasts with stock market optimism, so stay vigilant.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
DowJones Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46415
Resistance Level 2: 46640
Resistance Level 3: 46860
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45600
Support Level 3: 45360
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with hte 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 45,675.57
1st Support: 45,297.04
1st Resistance: 46,443.48
Disclaimer:
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DowJones Key trading levels ahead of Fed rate decisionKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46210
Resistance Level 2: 46415
Resistance Level 3: 46640
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45610
Support Level 3: 45360
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello everyone who reads this,
The big question on everyone’s mind: Which way will the FOMC interest rate decision send stocks and gold?
Here’s my two cents and how I plan to approach it.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m seeing rising wedges on both the Dow Jones and the S&P500 across multiple timeframes. Rising wedges typically lean bearish.
Dow Jones: To play it safe, I’ll wait for a break + retest. If it breaks down, I’ll wait for the retest and then look to go short and vice a versa on the long side.
FOMC generally causes a lot of volatility and I don't want to get whipsawed around, hence I am taking a more conservative approach by trading the retest, which might only happen tomorrow.
S&P500: The hourly rising wedge has already broken to the downside. On the retest, I’ll be watching for short setups. If the retest holds, it would also confirm a double top, which adds further confluence.
If stocks break down on FOMC, expect BTC and alts to feel the pressure.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! It would be great to hear what your thoughts are about the interest rate decision and what trades you are looking at. Lets make money together!
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
DowJones Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46210
Resistance Level 2: 46415
Resistance Level 3: 46640
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45610
Support Level 3: 45360
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES The Cyclical Pivot that MUST hold.Last week (Sep 03, see chart below) we gave a buy signal on Dow Jones (DJI) right at the bottom of its medium-term Channel Up, which quickly hit our 46100 Target:
This time we switch to a much wider and longer term outlook on the 1W time-frame as we are just a day before the Fed Rate Decision. The index has been trading within a strong Channel Up ever since the April 07 2025 market bottom, product of the Trade War correction early in 2024.
The 1D MA100 (red trend-line) crossed above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) forming a peculiar Bullish Cross, which interestingly enough, it is the 3rd time we see it since September 2020.
As a result, it is highly critical and as you can see, after such cross, the 1W MA50 has historically led the index higher.
What is perhaps even more critical however is the Pivot trend-line, which is essentially the former All Time High (ATH) turned into Support for the Channel Up pattern that have pushed the market higher since 2020.
As you can see, that level always held and the two rallies that we've had on the pattern like the current one, completed +25% and +22% rallies above it before an eventually correction that broke below the 1W MA50.
As a result, we could see another +20% rise at least, translating into a 54000 long-term Target, as long as both the 1W MA50 and the Pivot hold.
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