XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Dowjones
US30 - Downward Outlook, by stability below 41560US30
Dow Jones Today's has a bearish momentum as long as trades below 41345, also there is a retest possibility to 41560 before dropping.
However, if the price can stabilize below the pivot zone it will drop to get 41030, and closing below this level will continue the bearish trend toward 40720.
A bullish trend will be activated to get 41760 by closing a 4h candle above 41560.
Pivot Line: 41345
Resistance lines: 41560, 41760, 41955
Support lines: 41030, 40725, 40420
Dow Holds Steady Above 41,000Unlike the Nasdaq and SP500, Dow did not trace the full potential of its double top formation between 2024 and 2025 peaks, yet in a similar manner to the US indices, it rebounded from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the May 2024-Jan 2025 uptrend, coinciding with oversold levels on the 3-Day RSI previously seen in October 2023.
The Dow’s rebound from the 40,660 low aligns with the bottom end of the duplicated channel of its respected up-trend between May 2024 and Jan 2025, strengthening positive rebound opportunities in tandem with the broader market sentiment.
Should the Dow hold above the 41,000-mark, levels 41,700, 42,600, and 43,400 may come back to play. From the downside, a clean close back below the 40,600-mark can extend losses in the direction of the double top formation’s target, aligning with possible support levels at 40,200, 39,500, and 38,700.
Key Events to Watch:
- Trade war Developments
- FOMC Meeting on Wednesday
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
US30 Rebounds from Key Support – Bulls Eyeing New HighsKey Support & Trendline Confluence:
The price recently bounced off the long-term ascending trendline, which has been a strong support level since late 2023.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($40,205) provided additional confluence for a potential reversal.
Resistance Levels & Breakout Potential:
Immediate Resistance: $42,000 – A break above this level could confirm a bullish continuation.
Major Target: $45,065 – If momentum sustains, this all-time high could be tested soon.
Bullish Scenario:
A successful breakout above $42,000 could lead to an accelerated move toward $45,065 and beyond.
The trendline’s support indicates that bulls remain in control, and the recent rebound suggests renewed buying interest.
Risk Management & Confirmation:
Bullish confirmation: Sustained price action above $41,500 with strong volume.
Invalidation level: A breakdown below $40,000 could indicate a potential trend reversal.
Conclusion & Strategy:
Short-Term: Monitor price action around $42,000 for breakout confirmation.
Mid-Term: Expect a bullish move toward $45,000+ if the trendline holds.
Long-Term: If price breaks all-time highs, further upside potential is possible.
🚀 Bullish Confirmation Above $42,000 | ⚠️ Caution Below $40,000
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Resistance
Dow Jones Index looks bearish after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance.
An inverted cup & handle pattern on that on an hourly and a strong
intraday bearish momentum this morning leaves clear bearish clues.
I think that the market can retrace at least to 41580 support.
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US30 - Bullish Dominant, While above 41560US30
Dow Jones has bullish momentum as long as it trades above 41560 and 41750. The main pivot line for today is 41560, so the general trend remains bullish, with a chance of a retest.
For the market to turn bearish, the price must break below 41560 and close a 4H candle under this level.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 41560
Resistance: 41950 | 42210 | 42380
Support: 41560 | 41345 | 41030
Dow Jones on the weekly chartAs you can see, due to recent economic news and Trump's economic approaches, we have unfortunately witnessed a decline in major indices, including the Dow Jones. We are currently at the last available support level, which is the bottom of the Dow Jones long-term channel, and we need to see how it reacts to this level in tomorrow's news and the CPI release.
DowJones The Week Ahead 17th March '25Dow INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 200 DMA
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 41640Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41640
Resistance Level 2: 41956
Resistance Level 3: 42450
Support Level 1: 40650
Support Level 2: 40080
Support Level 3: 39650
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AriasWave Market Update - You Might Want To Watch This... Part 1In this video, I'm finally breaking my silence. I can’t hold back my bearish outlook any longer, so I’m launching a series of videos to break down exactly why I see trouble ahead and what it could mean.
While I won’t cover everything in this first video, I’m kicking off the conversation now that the floodgates are open—thanks, in part, to the circus in Washington, D.C. (or so you think). From crypto and stocks to bond yields and beyond, I’ll cover it all.
Stay tuned so you’re not left chasing false hope in a dead-cat bounce.
Us30 Reversal /Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉
🔹 Market Bias: Bearish
🔹 Key Zones:
Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 40,500 (First support)
TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone)
TP3: 39,920 (Final target)
🔹 Analysis:
Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉
Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure
Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️
🔹 News Event Consideration:
If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉
If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄
🔹 Risk Management:
Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news.
If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias.
🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment!
#US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
Dow 200 Points from Major SupportThe Dow Jones is just about 200 points from major support. I should caution there's often a move through support and slightly below, but this is where all the buyers are.
(I should have drawn the arrow to hit the next major resistance/support around 2031 lol, but you get the idea)
Good luck!
Dow Just crossed the infamous 200MA - Should we worry?The Dow Jones, continues to underperform international markets in 2025.
The Trump Administration is an unstable one which is causing such fear and uncertainty.
It seems like the very essence of policies, procedures and compliance are falling out with the ad hoc and sudden decisions being made by a small group of plutocrats.
Here is why the Dow Jones might remain to stay in trouble and for further downside to come.
Tariff Tensions:
Trump's ramping up tariffs on Canadian metals, and it's freaking out investors 😱📉
Recession Fears:
Mixed signals about a possible recession have everyone on edge 😬🔻
Tech Trouble:
Tech giants like Tesla are tanking, dragging the whole market down 🤖📉
Global Trade Chaos:
Uncertain trade policies are stirring global chaos and confusion 🌍🤯
Market Volatility:
Investor nerves are sky-high with volatility spiking, making everyone super cautious 😟📈
And the technicals speak for themselves.
The Price has broken below the M FOrmation and wait for it... The Infamous 200MA.
So the signs of downside are strong. WIll the US markets allow such downside to come, we'll have to see but as things stand - we have a bearish outlook with a target of 36,296.
What do you think?
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30 Rebounds from 90-Day Low | CPI to Determine Next MoveUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has dropped over 700 points, as mentioned in yesterday’s analysis .
Technical Outlook:
The price reversed from a 90-day low and is now attempting to test the 41,785 and 41,955 levels ahead of the CPI release. As long as it trades below the resistance level of 41,955, further downside is expected, targeting 41,560 and 41,030.
However, a 4H candle close above 42,060 would signal a potential bullish shift.
CPI Impact:
CPI < 2.9% → Bullish 📈
CPI > 2.9% → Bearish 📉
Key Levels:
Resistance: 41955 | 42200 | 42588
Pivot: 41785
Support: 41345 | 41030 | 40420
DOW JONES: Starting the final stage of 3year Bull Cycle.Dow Jones got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 29.297, MACD = -550.130, ADX = 76.606) as it is currently testing its 1W MA50. This is a level that has been intact since November 2023 and is of high importance to the trend as it has a key cyclical attribute. The driving growth pattern of Dow since the 2009 bottom is a Channel Up and every time a Bull Cycle starts, the 1W MA50 is the first level of support, with every touch of it being the strongest buy opportunity. When the 3 year Bull Cycle is coming to an end, the 1W MA50 breaks and the index approaches the 1M MA50 during its Bear Cycle correction, which becomes the ultimate buy entry for the new long term 3 year Bull Cycle.
The current Cycle should starts getting completed technically after September 2025, so there is a high chance that the 1W MA50 holds here. The three Bull Cycles we've had so far had a fairly similar growth percentage, rising by +70.38% to +76.64%. If the +70.38% minimum range is followed on the current (4th) Bull Cycle, then we're aiming at 48,000 (TP) towards the end of the year. The 1M CCI seems to be printing the exact same build up to the Bear Cycle as in the past.
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DowJones INTRADAY Key Trading Levels post CPI dataThe softer-than-expected inflation data has fueled optimism among equity investors, as cooling inflation could alleviate pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain an aggressive tightening stance. The positive market reaction suggests that participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a more gradual approach to interest rate adjustments.
With inflation appearing to moderate, the Federal Reserve may be more inclined to pause or slow the pace of rate hikes in the coming months. The data supports the case for a more dovish stance, as policymakers assess the effectiveness of prior rate increases and the risk of economic slowdown. Markets will continue to monitor upcoming economic releases and Federal Reserve statements to gauge the likelihood of a shift toward a less aggressive monetary policy.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42256
Resistance Level 2: 42600
Resistance Level 3: 43000
Support Level 1: 41150
Support Level 2: 40576
Support Level 3: 40073
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps.
- Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales.
- President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023.
- As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done.
- Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully.
- Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls.
- Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.
Dow Jones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 41900 zone, Dow Jones is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 41900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): More Down
With a confirmed bearish breakout of a key daily horizontal support,
US500 index opens a potential for more drop.
Next key support is 5425.
It looks like the market is going to reach that soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dow Jones: A Make-or-Break Buy Setup with Smart Money BackingDow Jones Industrial Average - Buy Setup
Technical: U.S. markets have struggled recently due to uncertainty over tariffs imposed by President Trump. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have broken key support levels, the Dow remains resilient, holding the critical 41,648 support. A break below would confirm a large double-top pattern, signaling a bearish outlook. This is a pivotal moment. The rebound from overnight lows is encouraging, but with the U.S. CPI release tomorrow, caution is warranted. While speculative, COT and seasonal data favour a short-term move higher.
Fundamental: The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increasing long interest in the Dow, suggesting "smart money" accumulation.
Seasonal: Historically, from March 12 – May 2, the Dow has posted gains 84% of the time, averaging +3.68% over the past 25 years.
Setup:
Entry: 41,800 – 42,000
Stop Loss: 41,285 (below the Nov 2024 low at 41,648)
Target: 44,290
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.