The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is on a strong 3 month rally that has taken the market by surprise. However if we look on the (much) larger time-frames such as today's 1M (monthly), we see that this move wasn't so unexpected. First of all, the price rebounded just before it hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). On a large scale, DXY is simply extending the Channel Up...
TVC:DXY chart mapping/analysis for intraday & short-term swing trade strategies.
TVC:DXY chart mapping/analysis for med-long term swing trade strategies.
The U.S. Dollar Index is trading inside a Channel Up pattern for more than 2 months. The price is approaching an inner Rising Resistance, similar to late August, a quick breah of which caused the Higher High peak on Fibonacci 1.618. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the Rising Resistance. Targets: 1. 105.350 (bottom of Channel Up, Fib 1.0, -1.44% from a potential...
The U.S. Dollar Index is rising on an almost overbought 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 69.699, MACD = 0.650, ADX = 30.040) supported by a HL trendline. Following the 1D Golden Cross (first since July 26th 2021), it is now facing the most important Resistance for the long term, R1 at 105.900. We will go long if a 1D candle closes over it and target the R2 level (TP...
Very brief follow up with the EURUSD short term bull case I was building last week, and finally put on a trade on Friday before close, both the Euro FX futures CME:6E1! gapped up, and the MOEX:DX1! futures gapped down. If this follows through, that bodes well for my AMEX:FXE calls. I will add, the options market in AMEX:FXE are not very liquid. You will...
In previous posts I already showed how DX is moving towards the CL. It failed two time, then they cleaned out the Stop/Losses and now DX is on it's way to the Center-line. Now that we have good confirmation, it would be a no brainer to load the boat even more on a pullback at the CIB line. (yellow).
So, here we have the USD Index at the Centerline at a balanced level. What if the US$ starts go north? I would say, markets, which are btw. also totally overbought, are tanking. This scenario is on point with the CPI today. Obvious or a fluke? As always, anything can happen, even a new spike in the Indexes.
SLO2 @ 105.15 ⏳ SLO1 @ 104.50 ⏳ TP1 @ 103.40 TP2 @ 102.40 TP3 @ 101.70 TP4 @ 100.55 📈 The 2D TF is showing the probability of an UTBO @ 103.85 🙏 ✍️ If UTBO happens, I'm anticipating the following: AUDUSD...DT 📉 EURUSD...DT 📉 GBPUSD...DT 📉 NZDUSD...DT 📉 USDCAD...UT 📈 USDJPY...UT 📈 🔑 DT = DOWNTREND TF = TIME FRAME UT = UPTREND UTBO = UPTREND BREAKOUT ✨ Curve...
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has come the closest it's been to the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) in 6 months (since March 09 2023). So far the price action has shown a bearish reversal sentiment as the Higher Lows trend-line of the rally since the July 14 bottom, broke last week, but the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) supported. This bearish sentiment will be confirmed...
the whole view is mentioned on the chart do not want to spam too much.. remember to always enjoy your profits ;)
The US Dollar Index crossed today under the S1 (100.800) for the first time since February 2nd and this sets in motion the second part of this new bearish leg of the Channel Down pattern. The 1D timeframe turned oversold (RSI = 28.999, MACD = -0.360, ADX = 23.314) and with the 1D RSI imitating the November 11th 2022 Low (as well as the MACD), it is likely to get a...
The USD has given a couple of bullish signals and these are: 1. A higher high and breakout close of the highest close in the last 10 candles; 2. the MACD is turning up, crossed up the signal line too; 3. the VolDiv is beginning to turn upward and significantly turned up (white dot trigger); 4. The higher high and higher low pattern to bottom out of a downtrend...
DXY is having the strongest bearish 1D candle since the May 31st rejection at the top of the long term Channel Down. The 1D time frame is deep in red technicals (RSI = 36.647, MACD = 0.090, ADX = 40.756) but the fact that the price crossed under the 1D MA50 gain, calls for more selling. Based on the previous bearish leg, we aim at a medium term correction of...
The US Dollar Index / DXY is pulling back after the rejection on the Falling Resistance. The completion of a 1day MACD Bearish Cross yesterday is enhancing the rejection with a stronger sell signal as on March 10th. Sell and target Support A at 101.000. If however a 1day candle closes over the Falling Resistance, buy on the short term and target the 1day MA200...
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) had a major Bearish Rejection last week, and the 1W chart perfectly portrays the triple sell signal that just emerged. As you see the price hit and pulled-back off 1) The Lower Highs trend-line of the Descending Triangle pattern, 2) the 0.618 Fibonacci level and 3) the 1W RSI got rejected on its Higher Highs trend-line. This Triple...
Just a quick note that as Biden signed the raise of the US debt ceiling, the USD is going to be bullish for a bit, and then meet the upper range resistance, and then lose it to get back to range support. Projection Targets marked.