Dollar Weekly WrapThe dollar ripped to fresh lows early in the week on the FOMC spark and is now set to close with a heavy bearish rejection candle.
Next week’s macro stack:
Tue – U.S. PMI flash
Thu – Q2 GDP final and Durable Goods
Fri – Personal Income/Spending and PCE
Price sits just below a five-week liquidity shelf around the 98.00 area.
Technically the market is oversold near the lower range, so high probability to target next week 98ich highs and lower on cross pairs. lets see how it will play out!
DXY
Gold Futures — Bearish Momentum Building After Fed CutGold continues to show weakness after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Price rejected the 1H FVG overhead and is pressing down toward yesterday’s low (3660).
Key Scenarios:
Bearish Case (favored): If we break and close below yesterday’s low (D-L 3660), sellers likely push toward the weekly low (WL ~3627). That move would clean up the liquidity pool and fill the H-TF imbalance.
Bullish Case: Only if buyers defend the daily low and reclaim the 1H FVG with strength could we see price revisit 3710 (daily high).
Momentum remains on the downside, with ADX > 25 confirming trend conditions. Watching closely for the daily low sweep and possible continuation.
DOLLAR/GOLD/RATESDXY is sitting at a key monthly support.
Gold is getting extremely hot.
is it time for a flip? majority sentiment feels like gold is going up forever (i agree to an extent, but im not against some pullback/higher lows first)
FED mentioned inflation was a bit sticky.
sharing purely to see how she ages
GOLD = red
DXY = BLUE/BLACK
GBP/USD - Channel Breakout @ H1 (BoE Interest Rate Today)CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD - Channel Breakout with strong volume and today BoE Interest Rate, it gives high movement.
"The Fed is still signalling more rate cuts, but at the same time still sees okay growth, which is a positive combination for share markets"
The Fed reduced rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, as expected, and indicated it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest of this year, initially sending the dollar plunging.
Support by Likes and Comments.
Thank you.
DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 96.755 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 96.629 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY at a Critical Juncture — What’s the Fed’s Next MoveHey Guys,
I’ve put together a swing-style analysis for the DXY.
This one’s been highly requested — my followers are valuable to me, and I never turn them down.
DXY Daily Levels:
- Resistance: 100.606 – 99.837
- Support: 96.530 – 95.902
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently dropping due to Fed policies.
No steps are being taken to push the dollar higher.
Because of this, investors are choosing gold as a safe haven instead of buying dollars.
Gold keeps hitting new ATHs, and naturally, the dollar index is sliding.
Unless the Fed takes action to support the dollar, this decline will continue.
In short, the drop in the dollar is entirely due to the policies implemented by the Fed Chair.
Remember — DXY isn’t heavily influenced by technical analysis; it’s driven by Fed policy.
That said, since the index has fallen so much, I believe we might see some steps taken in the coming months to lift the dollar.
I’ll be sharing updates right here.📢
Once support or resistance levels are broken, I’ll post new insights immediately.
Every like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks to all my friends who support me — you’re the best. ❤️
Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceUS Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 97.36
1st Support: 96.47
1st Resistance: 98.12
Disclaimer:
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Fed Cuts Rates — Gold Reacts, Watching for Follow-Through or ReThe Fed has just delivered a 25 bps rate cut, and there’s a mixed tone in the after-move: inflation still high, jobs softening, and the dot-plot shows more cuts are expected — but with divided opinions.
On the chart, Gold spilled out of consolidation post-Fed, touched key support, and is now pressing back toward a 4H FVG (supply zone).
Scenarios:
Upside: If price pushes up toward the 4H FVG, gets rejected cleanly → potential short entry.
Downside: If that rejection holds, or support breaks, expect slide toward high timeframe FVG region in 3600s.
Trade with eyes open — volatility likely stays high. Support & resistance zones are critical here.
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USD/JPY has been oscillating within a defined range for several weeks, bouncing between key support and resistance levels.
Price action remains choppy and directionless within the current range.
Potential Scenario:
• A break below the support zone could trigger a downside move toward the next identified targets.
• For a more confident entry, it’s recommended to wait for a confirmed breakdown below support before entering short positions.
Upcoming FOMC and BoJ policy meetings could act as catalysts for the next directional move.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Dollar Index (DXY) – Pre-FOMC Rangebound PlayPrice is boxed between 96.20 and 96.40 as market makers build volume on both sides ahead of the Fed.
Key Levels
• 96.40 – top of the current node, first spot for squeeze fuel.
• 96.20 – base of the range, stop pockets just beneath.
Until the statement drops, expect tight, whipsaw action—classic pre-FOMC positioning. Patience over prediction.
US Dollar Index - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Is the Rate cut priced In | Potential Gold Correction
In this video I highlight the possibility that the highly anticipated rate cut decision is already priced in . If this is the case then we could be at the brink of a healthy correction .
I demonstrate what that could look like if we start to pull back and go into correction territory.
I support this idea with not only the psychological motive but additional confluences using the TPO chart .
Thanks for your support
USD Index Technical Outlook – Key Buy & Sell LevelsThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading inside a clear downward channel, showing a bearish market structure. Price is hovering near 98.23, just below the key resistance zone between 98.5 – 99.2, where Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, and 0.618) also align, making it a strong supply area. As long as price remains below this zone, the bias stays bearish, with potential downside targets at 97.5 and then 96.5, in line with the channel support and Fibonacci extensions. However, if buyers manage to push above 99.2, it would signal a possible trend reversal and shift the outlook towards bullish continuation. Overall, the structure suggests that the U.S. Dollar Index is more likely to face rejection near resistance and continue lower in the short term.
🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup)
- 98.50 – 99.20 is a strong resistance area where price aligns with the Fibonacci retracement (0.382 – 0.618) and the upper channel trendline.
- Sell Trigger: If price shows rejection (bearish candles, wicks, or reversal patterns) within this zone.
🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup)
- 97.50 – 96.50 area is the channel support and also near Fibonacci extension levels.
- Buy Trigger: Look for bullish confirmation (bounce, bullish engulfing, or rejection wicks).
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
DXY vs. EURUSD – Pre-FOMC DivergenceDollar Index (DXY)
Yesterday’s move was fully absorbed inside a tight range, leaving the internal range high at 99.804 ahead of the Fed meeting.
Liquidity is at 98.00 stacked above that zone; market makers could easily run the stops toward the 98 handle before any larger downside move.
EURUSD
Meanwhile, EURUSD broke out of its major range, giving us a new weekly structure with a key reference low at 1.13914.
Cross-Market View
This sets up a classic divergence:
Dollar – trapped in a premium sell range, heavy liquidity overhead.
Euro – fresh upside structure.
For cross-pairs this often means sharp pullbacks or erratic price action as we approach the FOMC decision.
Trade Notes
Stay nimble and keep stops tight.
EURUSD: Exhausting Uptrend Around 1.1930-1.2400The EUR/USD pair shows signs of losing momentum on the chart, which is expected as it is currently in the final (5th) wave of a larger wave C or 3.
The RSI indicates a second consecutive bearish divergence, but the uptrend could continue for a while. The price is likely to reach at least 1.1930, which is the level where wave C equals wave A, for symmetry.
The blue box highlights the target area based on the Fibonacci sequence. It starts at 1.1930 and peaks around 1.2400, where wave 5 of wave C is projected to cover 61.8% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3.
We’re not predicting the reversal point yet; we’ll let the market reveal it in due time.
Wishing us all lucky trades!
Gold Pauses Ahead of FOMC – Big Move Loading?Gold has been consolidating just below its all-time highs as traders await the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow.
Key levels on my chart:
Resistance: ATH 3737.5 → 3749.8 (DH)
Support: 3715.2 (WH) → 3711.6 (DL)
If the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than expected, Gold could break higher and run liquidity above 3750. On the flip side, a smaller cut or hawkish tone could give the dollar strength, driving Gold lower — first target 3700 → 3680.
I’m staying cautious during Asia and London, expecting chop until NY session. My focus will be on how price reacts after the announcement — that’s where the cleaner opportunities should come.
Patience is key here — the real move is still loading.
LIQUIDITY SWEEP ON DXY BEFORE FALLINGIn this weekend dollar index analysis presentation, my thesis is sideways liquidity sweep before a daily bear flag breakout to the downside. Momentum and RSI on the higher timeframe are still to downside suggesting more selling. Price is still trapped below all our moving averages confirming our trend bias. On the weekly time frame we have a couple of inverted candles at a fib 0.618 support zone suggesting a likely reversal from a higher low but I think these inverted candles are liquidity sweeps from the 0.382 fib retrace resistance level. The daily chart has a strong shooting star which initiated selling pressure to the current trendline support level at 97.432 where our last daily candle was a doji indecision or pause.
In the coming first trading week of September, I will be watching for clear break of the trendline on the daily chart and a confirmed breakout of the fib 0.618 support zone at 97.187 for an initial target of 96.702 and final target of 96.155.
Thank you and have a great profitable trading new month. Cheers!!
EURUSDHello Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD has been trapped in a sideways range for the past few weeks, showing choppy back-and-forth movements.
However, the recent break above the descending trendline suggests that a potential bullish breakout could be underway.
After some short-term consolidation, the pair could gain bullish momentum and head toward the next resistance levels.
Thursday’s U.S. CPI data will be a key catalyst that may drive volatility and determine the pair's next direction.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBP/USD - Bullish Channel - All Eyes on USD Inflation ReportBuy GBP/USD - Bullish Channel Patterns makes bullish movement Today
Fundaments Updates :
All Eyes on USD Inflation Report, this week give scope of Interest Rate Cute.
Expecting strong movement in upcoming PPI & CPI data for US.. USD Weak in upcoming days.
Thank you. Support buy Likes and Comments
President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys,
It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you.
Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher.
Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next.
Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern.
I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700.
Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
Dollar Index (DXY) – Watching Both Sides LiquidityOn the daily timeframe, we can clearly identify liquidity resting on both sides of the chart:
Relative equal lows acting as sell-side liquidity.
Low-resistance highs representing buy-side liquidity.
From my perspective, the main draw on liquidity remains the sell-side lows. However, before targeting that area, price may first reach higher to grab the buy-side liquidity. Once this liquidity is collected, I expect a potential shift in momentum and a move to the downside.
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🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!