Potential bullish rise?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.5
1st Support: 96.40
1st Resistance: 10.80
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY
US Dollar: Still Bullish! Wait For The Pullback, Then Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD is still bullish, and buys are still valid until there is a definitive bearish BOS.
There is a LQ-Low and a +OB below current prices, drawing prices to it. There, I will look for an HP trade to the upside.
So short term bearishness before the continuation higher.
Should the market break the low of the +OB, then buys are invalidated.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY broke above a key demand area, confirming bullish intent. A successful retest of the breakout zone may attract further buy orders toward the target level. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY Breakout Map — Is the Dollar Index Ready for a Power Move?🎯 DXY BULLISH BREAKOUT: The "Limit Order Layup" Strategy 🚀
Hey Thief OGs! 👋 The King Dollar 👑 is getting ready for a potential rally, and we've got the map 🗺️ to navigate it. This is a swing/day trade plan focusing on a classic technical setup with a tactical entry twist.
📈 The Overall Plan (Bias): BULLISH 🐂
The strategy waits for a bullish confirmation using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) pullback 🔙 followed by a MACD golden cross ✨. We're buying the dip, expecting a continuation upward 📊.
⚡ The Thief's Entry Tactic (The "Layering Method") 🎁
The key is patience and precision. We don't chase the price.
✅ Wait for the Trigger: Confirm a daily close ABOVE 99.200.
🎯 Deploy Limit Orders: After the breakout, set multiple buy limit orders at key support levels to get a good average entry price.
Suggested Layers: 🟢 98.400, 🟢 98.600, 🟢 98.800, 🟢 99.000
💡 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite!
🛡️ Risk Management (The Escape Plan) 🚨
Stop Loss (SL): A hard stop is placed at 98.200. This level is the line in the sand – if price breaks below here, our thesis is likely invalid ❌.
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OGs), I do not recommend you set only my SL. It is your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk.
🎯 Profit Targets (The Getaway) 💰
Take Profit (TP): We are targeting 100.200. This zone aligns with where the Moving Average may act as strong resistance, and the market could become overbought. When the trap is set, we escape with profits! 🏃♂️💨
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OGs), I am not recommending you set only my TP. It is your own choice. You can make money, then take money at your own risk.
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch & Key Correlations 🌐
The DXY doesn't move in a vacuum. Keep an eye on these:
EUR/USD ( FX:EURUSD ): 👑 The inverse king. A rising DXY typically means a falling EUR/USD 📉.
GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD ): Similar to the Euro, a strong dollar often pressures Cable downward 📉.
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ): 🪙 Gold is priced in USD. A stronger dollar can make gold more expensive for other currencies, often putting downward pressure on it 📉.
USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ): A strong dollar trend usually powers USD/JPY higher 📈.
Key Point: If our DXY bullish idea is correct, you should generally see EUR/USD and GBP/USD weakening 📉, and USD/JPY strengthening 📈.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#DXY #TradingSetup #SwingTrading #Forex #DollarIndex #TradingStrategy #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #LimitOrder
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy!
📈 Setup Summary
Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash)
📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀
🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”:
💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage!
🔹 Sample Limit Layers:
• 97.800
• 98.000
• 98.200
(💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!)
🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone”
👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer!
💰 Target Zone (TP):
🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely
💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes!
⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅
🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning
✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure
✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈
✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually
✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack
🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs)
Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍
💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY
💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation
💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY
🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY
💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY
💡 Key Tip:
When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭
⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers
👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs):
I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼
You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭
This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠
Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun
#DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
Is the Gold Bull Market Over? Gold has had a double digit correction form the all time high.
Pulling back just over 11% is very healthy if the bull market trend is to resume.
On an intra day 4 hour time frame gold is still looking very weak.
However the weekly pattern was able to hold a key weekly bullish level.
Gold is at a very tricky inflection point so i would personally wait until you get some key breakout or breakdown signals.
Look towards your miners to see if they are gaining additional liquidity. They will often lead.
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical OutlookUS Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Outlook
DXY has shown a clean bullish structure shift, breaking above previous highs and confirming multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) around the 99.00–99.20 zone.
Currently, price is trading at 99.33, inside the premium zone, and testing the weak high area near 99.40–99.60.
📊 Market Structure:
The structure has turned bullish after a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) and a clean BOS above 98.80.
The equilibrium zone (98.40–98.60) previously acted as strong demand and was respected multiple times.
Price is now in a premium range, suggesting potential for a short-term pullback before further continuation.
🎯 Key Levels:
Premium / Supply Zone: 99.40–99.60 (possible liquidity grab or rejection zone)
Equilibrium / Demand Zone: 98.40–98.60 (ideal re-entry zone for continuation buys)
PDH (Previous Day High): 99.40
PDL (Previous Day Low): 98.60
🧭 Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Short-term Rejection:
If DXY rejects the 99.40–99.60 supply area, expect temporary USD weakness.
This could cause pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD to bounce up short-term.
Scenario 2 – Continuation Buy:
If price pulls back into 98.60 equilibrium zone and forms bullish confirmation, expect continuation toward 99.80–100.00.
Supported by the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (yellow) dynamic trend alignment.
📈 Momentum Indicators:
RSI/Stochastic are both near overbought zones, indicating short-term exhaustion.
A minor retracement is likely before continuation of the bullish leg.
Summary:
The DXY remains structurally bullish but short-term overextended.
Look for a pullback toward equilibrium (98.60 zone) before the next impulse move.
This macro setup supports short-term pullbacks on USD pairs, but the broader trend remains USD bullish
DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W45 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Weekly Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
GBPUSD Rejection: Has the Pound Topped Out?GBPUSD Rejection: Has the Pound Topped Out? A Critical Deep Dive for Nov 3-7
Hello, TradingView fam! 👋 The British Pound has had a powerful run, but it has slammed into a wall of sellers, closing the week at a pivotal 1.31440 . The euphoric buying has given way to a sharp rejection from the highs, and a classic bearish reversal pattern is now staring us in the face. Is this the end of the road for the bulls, or just a healthy correction before the next leg up? The week of November 3rd to 7th will be absolutely crucial.
Let's break down the technicals across all timeframes, blending timeless theories with key indicators to map out the opportunities ahead. 🇬🇧🇺🇸
🔭 The Macro Perspective: Weekly & Daily Charts - The Bullish Engine Stalls
The market tells you a story. Your job is to listen.
The higher timeframes show a strong uptrend that has encountered a formidable obstacle, and the bears are beginning to make their presence known.
Weekly Chart (1W) : While the primary trend under Dow Theory is still bullish, the most recent candle is a major cause for concern. We have a textbook Shooting Star ( Japanese Candlestick ), a powerful rejection candle, forming right at a multi-month resistance zone. This indicates that sellers have aggressively defended this level and have overwhelmed the buyers for now.
Daily Chart (1D) : The daily chart confirms the bearish reversal thesis. A potential Double Top pattern has emerged, with the second peak failing to hold. More importantly, there is a clear and significant bearish divergence on the RSI. Price made a higher high, but the RSI made a lower high, signaling a severe exhaustion of bullish momentum.
⚔️ The Swing Trader's Arena: 4-Hour & 1-Hour Analysis
This is where the most compelling evidence for a top is found. A classic and highly reliable reversal pattern has formed.
4-Hour Chart (4H) : This is the money chart for the week ahead. A clear and well-defined Head and Shoulders pattern is now in play. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible, and the price is currently sitting directly on the crucial neckline support . A confirmed break and close below this neckline is a high-probability signal for a significant move lower. From a Wyckoff Theory perspective, this represents a completed distribution phase.
1-Hour Chart (1H) : The short-term trend has already flipped bearish. The price has broken decisively below the Ichimoku Cloud and the VWAP, both of which are now acting as dynamic resistance. Any rally back towards the 1.3180-1.3200 area is likely to be viewed as a prime selling opportunity by short-term traders.
🔬 The Intraday Microscope: 30M, 15M, & 5M Views
For intraday traders, the momentum is firmly with the sellers. The strategy is to follow the path of least resistance.
30M/15M Charts : These timeframes show a clear downtrend with a series of lower lows and lower highs. We can see a Bearish Flag pattern forming, which typically represents a brief consolidation before the next wave of selling pressure resumes. The RSI is staying below the 60 mark, indicating bearish control.
5M Chart : On the 5-minute chart, the VWAP is the line in the sand. As long as the price stays below it, shorts are in control. Scalpers should be cautious of any sharp bounces, as they could be bear traps . A sustained break above the VWAP would be the first sign that the intraday selling pressure is easing.
🎯 Actionable Trade Scenarios for the Week Ahead
The technical evidence is heavily skewed towards the bears, hinging on the confirmation of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
The Primary Bearish Breakdown Scenario 🐻
Entry: The highest probability entry is to short a confirmed 4H candle close below the Head and Shoulders neckline, which sits around 1.3100 . A more conservative entry is to wait for a breakdown and then short the retest of the broken neckline as new resistance.
Targets: The first target is the psychological support at 1.3000 . The measured move target for the Head and Shoulders pattern projects a move down towards the major support zone of 1.2920 .
Invalidation: A strong reclaim of the right shoulder's high, specifically a daily close above 1.3220 , would invalidate the bearish setup.
The Low-Probability Bullish Reversal Scenario 🐂
Entry: This is a counter-trend trade. It would require an extremely strong defense of the neckline around 1.3100 , confirmed by a large bullish engulfing candle on the 4H or daily chart.
Targets: A retest of the right shoulder at 1.3200 , and then the recent highs around 1.3280 .
Invalidation: Any confirmed 4H close below the 1.3100 neckline.
Conclusion: The Bears Are Knocking at the Door
The confluence of factors—a weekly rejection candle, daily bearish divergence, and a clear 4H Head and Shoulders pattern—presents a powerful bearish case for GBPUSD. While the bulls could still mount a defense at the neckline, the weight of the technical evidence suggests a breakdown is more likely.
This week is all about confirmation and execution . The plan is set. Now, we wait for the market to give us the signal.
What are your thoughts on Cable? Are you preparing to short the breakdown, or are you buying the dip? Let's discuss in the comments below! 👇
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own research.
DXY Continuing the bullish trend?DXY Weekly Outlook
The dollar has been bullish over the past few weeks, continuing to break structure to the upside. I expect this momentum to carry on a bit further, but as price approaches a strong supply zone, we could see some short-term downside.
This potential pullback would likely cause a temporary push-up for EU and GU before the dollar resumes its bullish move overall.
I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as confluence for my main pairs — and right now, it aligns perfectly with my EU and GU outlooks.
Key Levels:
Possible bullish reaction around 99.600
Potential bearish reaction around 100.000 (psychological level)
Bullish continuation setup?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivo,t which s a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.10
1st Support: 98.40
1st Resistance: 100.38
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
GBPUSD Challenges 6-Month SupportThe GBPUSD pair is holding above a critical 6-month support level extending from May 2025, after failing twice to break above the 1.3800 mark (2-year resistance) — signaling potential double-top risks to the downside or a neutral-to-bullish range to the upside, depending on which key level breaks first.
Downside scenario – a close below 1.3140, the 6-month support since May 2025 aligning with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend between January and July 2025 – could extend losses toward 1.2940, 1.2740, and 1.2670, corresponding with the 50% and 0.618 retracement levels.
Upside scenario:
A sustained hold above 1.3140-1.31 zone could redirect gains toward 1.3520, 1.3600, and 1.3800, after which a bullish breakout may develop, targeting highs last seen in 2021 near 1.4200.
- Raza Hilal, CMT
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDJPY🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDJPY currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 153.477
💰TP: 155.036
⛔️SL: 152.140
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The yen continues to accumulate near the 153 resistance area, with a gap in the 148-149 range continuing to attract sellers to open trades. Currently, short-term buy remains the priority, with a breakout of the 153 resistance area toward 154-155 expected.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Gold Futures (MGCZ25) – Monthly Close SetupPrice has ranged all week between 4040 and 3930. With an H4 FVG still sitting above, we might see one last liquidity grab before the next directional move.
⚖️ Neutral bias for now — watching for clean displacement at range extremes.
📍 If price reclaims 4040 → possible push into the H4 FVG.
📍 If it rejects and drops below 4020 → lower FVG fills toward 3930 could be next.
#Gold #Futures #ICT #MarketStructure #NOFOMO
Potential bullish continuation?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support. It could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is in line with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 99.08
1st Support: 98.40
1st Resistance: 100.38
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US Dollar: Bullish-Neutral. Buys Are Valid As +FVG Holds!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 27 - 31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD didn't move a lot last week, but it did move higher with Monday and Tuesday moves. The rest of the week was sideways, but it held above the +FVG. As long as the +FVG holds, prices should continue higher.
A candle body close below the +FVG will be a bearish indication.
Mindful that FOMC is Wednesday. That is decision day for the markets. Don't jump into long term moves until after the announcements for Wednesday.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY has started a new long-term Bullish Leg to 103.500.Four months ago (June 26, see chart below) we gave a strong Buy Signal on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which in a month's time it hit our 100.000 Target:
Now we see the 3-year Channel Down starting the next Bullish Leg having priced its bottom (Lower Low) on September 17. As you can see this is almost the exact same triple Lower Lows bottoming process as in 2023, using also the same Fibonacci retracement levels as Targets. We have the huge 1W RSI Bullish Divergence to also confirm this.
Based on this symmetry, we have started a Bullish Leg similar to July's 2023. That peaked marginally below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. As a result, we expect DXY to target at least 103.500 by early 2026.
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