| DXY | ROOM TO THE UPSIDE | UNDERSTAND THE DXY | ๐|Q2 | W22 | D27| Y26 |
๐| DXY | ROOM TO THE UPSIDE |
๐ก| UNDERSTAND THE DXY |
This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach:
โข Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐ฐ๏ธ
โข Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones ๐
โข Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐
โข Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution โ
This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative.
๐ก Core Philosophy
โCapital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.โ
A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading ๐๐
โ ๏ธ Understanding Losses
"Losses are part of the game" โ a mathematical certainty ๐ฒ
They donโt define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader.
They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth ๐
๐ Final Note
Appreciate you taking the time to review todayโs forecast.
Stay disciplined ๐ฏ
Protect your capital ๐
โ FRGNT ๐๐
๐ Disclaimer
This content is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
It reflects my personal approach to the markets โ a tested framework that has supported my own journey toward consistent profitability in currency trading.
Please understand that any forecasts shared are not financial advice. I will be looking for confirmation in line with my setup model and specific entry criteria from the key areas identified on the chart.
All analysis, whether presented via image or video, is shared strictly for educational insight and is not intended to breach any TradingView House Rules.
TVC:DXY
Dxyprediction
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy for the US Session (March 18thCurrently, gold is undergoing a period of consolidation. We are watching the resistance level around 5065, with a key short-term resistance at 5100-5120. Support is seen around 4960-4965. Trading should focus on range-bound movement.
Gold Short-Term Trading Strategies:
1. Buy gold on a pullback to 4965-70, with a stop-loss at 4957 and a target of 5068-5070. Hold if the price breaks through.
2. Sell gold if it rebounds to 5065-5080 but fails to break through. Add to the short position on a rebound to 5100-100, with a stop-loss at 5127 and a target of 4985-5000.
DXY 15M: Rejection at 98.00 Resistance โ Pullback Toward 97.60?Resistance / Supply: 98.00 โ 98.07
Intraday Support: 97.67 โ 97.61
Minor Support (Breakout Base): ~97.70
Scenario 1 โ Bearish Rejection (Higher Probability Short-Term)
Double rejection around 98.00 area.
Liquidity sweep above prior high possible before drop.
Target zone: 97.67 โ 97.61
If momentum increases, extension toward 97.55 possible.
This aligns with a classic breakout โ retest โ distribution structure.
Scenario 2 โ Bullish Continuation
Clean 15m close above 98.07.
Acceptance above resistance turns it into support.
Next upside range opens toward 98.15+.
DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending ChannelAs a preface here, I am not a Forex trader. I analyze DXY as a method for predicting manipulated moves on Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency.
Since I started with DXY analysis some 8 odd years ago, Iโve used the same channels. Price seems to (without argument) respect this channel and move in this fashion. So if anyone reading this has tips or knowledge I am missing. Iโd appreciate the tips and insights.
I draw here my expected DXY path - and related to that, the span of a true bull market on stocks and equities (4-7 years long beginning current)
Iโll be using this post here to use as a reference for my analysis of a Bitcoin flash crash to 8,000 USD. Bitcoin has always seem to react to major pivots on DXY (in this case, a bearish retest).
Love and respect to all of you.
- DD
DXY Buy Opportunity โ Support Retest Before Next Leg UpPair: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Timeframe: 30 minutes
Current Price: 98.602
Trend: Short-term bullish channel (highlighted in pink)
๐งญ Key Levels
Support Zone: 98.100 โ 98.350
Entry Point: 98.353 (buy zone confirmation)
Stop Loss: 98.099 (below support)
Target Point: 99.140
๐ Market Structure
The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady uptrend.
It has recently reached the upper boundary of the channel and is now expected to retrace toward the support zone (blue box).
After retesting this support level, a bullish continuation is expected.
๐งฉ Trade Idea
Plan: Wait for price to retest the blue support area.
If bullish candlestick confirmation appears (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer), enter a buy trade near 98.350.
Stop Loss: below 98.099 (safe margin under support).
Take Profit: near 99.140, aligning with the top of the projected move.
RiskโReward Ratio:
Approx. 1:3.5 โ good reward compared to risk.
โ Possible Scenarios
1. โ
Bullish Scenario:
Price respects the support level โ breaks above 98.80 โ continues to 99.14.
โ Confirms continuation of bullish trend.
2. โ Bearish Scenario:
Price breaks below 98.10 โ invalidates bullish setup โ channel structure fails โ potential drop toward 97.80 zone.
๐ Conclusion
Current trend: Bullish, but waiting for a retracement and confirmation is key.
Buy zone: 98.35โ98.10
Target: 99.14
Stop Loss: 98.09
10.7 Gold Intraday Short-Term Operation Guide!!!Gold typically enters a correction phase on Tuesday after a strong rally on Monday. Maintain a bullish outlook for the day, with the primary support area being the 3955-60 range (which encompasses the early morning low, opening price, and high trading volume). Bulls are expected to mount a counterattack here. Today's market will not simply replicate Monday's unilateral surge, but will likely exhibit a pattern of "high-level fluctuations, false breakouts, and subsequent declines, followed by a test of the bottom and subsequent upward movement." Trading strategies should be abandoned in favor of buying at the bottom of the market fluctuations.
10.6 Gold US Trading Strategy, Bulls Push Up and No TopLooking at the 4-hour market trend, we are watching for short-term support at 3920, with a focus on the 3895-3900 support level. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. For intermediate positions, we should be cautious in chasing orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please pay attention.
9.30 Gold New High Technical Analysis!!!Technical Analysis:
From a 4-hour perspective, short-term support is seen at 3800-05, with key support remaining around 3785-90. Short-term resistance is seen at 3830-35. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the interim, caution is advised with caution when buying, patiently waiting for key entry points.
U.S Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal Setup โ Targeting 98.913Previous Trend:
There was a strong upward move, forming a rising channel (highlighted in pink).
Price reached the upper boundary of the channel and then reversed downward.
Current Price Action:
Price broke below the midline of the channel and is approaching a potential support zone.
This zone is marked by a blue rectangle (support/demand area).
Trade Idea: Long Setup (Buy Position)
Entry Point: Around 97.862
Stop Loss: Around 97.665โ97.679 (just below support zone)
Target Point: 98.913 (near previous high)
โ
Trade Rationale
Support Zone: The marked area has previously acted as a demand zone, likely to support price again.
Bullish Recovery Expectation: The idea is that price will bounce from this support zone and resume upward movement.
Good Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk: ~20 pips (from 97.862 to 97.665)
Reward: ~105 pips (from 97.862 to 98.913)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 โ a favorable setup.
โ ๏ธ Cautions
Price is still above entry level (98.020) โ the setup assumes a pullback to the 97.86 area before buying.
If price breaks below 97.665, the setup would be invalidated (stop loss hit).
Channel Breakout Risk: Since the channel is already broken to the downside, this trade assumes a temporary dip before a rebound โ which may or may not happen.
๐ Summary
Parameter Value
Entry 97.862
Stop Loss 97.665
Target 98.913
Risk-Reward ~1:5
Trade Direction Long (Buy)
Confirmation Needed Pullback to support zone
DXY Breakout Trade Setup โ Bullish Channel & High R:R OpportunitChart Overview:
Instrument: U.S. Dollar Currency Index (DXY)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Current Price: 98.371
Analysis Date: September 26, 2025
๐ Technical Structure:
1. Bullish Channel:
A clear ascending channel is drawn, indicating a strong short-term uptrend.
Price action has been respecting the channel well, moving between the upper and lower trendlines.
A bullish breakout is either anticipated or just confirmed above the channel.
๐ฆ Trade Setup (Long Position):
โ
Entry Point:
Price: 98.267 (blue horizontal line labeled "Entry Point")
This is slightly below the current price (98.371), suggesting an entry on a slight pullback after breakout.
๐ Stop Loss:
Price: 97.986 (also marked 97.982 on the lower blue line)
Located below a recent support zone and below the breakout structure.
This gives a safety buffer if the breakout fails.
๐ฏ Target Point (Take Profit):
Price: 99.676
This is based on the measured move from the height of the channel, projected upward from the breakout point.
๐ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Very favorable; visually it appears to be around 4:1 or higher.
Small stop loss area (red box) relative to the large target area (green box).
High RRR makes this setup attractive for risk-managed traders.
๐ Additional Observations:
Trend: Strong bullish momentum leading into the breakout.
Volume / Confirmation: Not shown on the chart, but ideally youโd want volume confirmation for the breakout.
Timing: Entry and confirmation should align with break and retest of the channel top.
โ
Summary of the Trade Plan:
Component Value
Entry 98.267
Stop Loss 97.986
Take Profit 99.676
Risk-Reward ~4:1
Trade Type Long (Buy)
Strategy Breakout + Retest
โ ๏ธ Important Notes:
Wait for confirmation (like a bullish candle close above the channel or successful retest).
Be aware of macroeconomic news that can affect DXY (e.g., Fed announcements, interest rate decisions, inflation data).
Use position sizing appropriate to your risk tolerance.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) โ Bullish Pullback & Long Setup (2H Char1. Price Action & Structure
The chart shows a bullish channel (red shaded area) where price has been making higher highs and higher lows since around September 18.
Price recently reached the upper trendline of the channel and is now pulling back toward the middle/lower zone.
2. Key Levels
Support Zone: Around 97.575 โ 97.257 (blue labels).
This is where the chart suggests a potential buy/long entry.
The gray box marks the area where price is expected to reverse to the upside.
Stop-Loss Level: Slightly below 97.257, around 97.238 (red level).
If price breaks below this, it would invalidate the bullish setup.
Target Point: 98.799 โ 98.805
This is the projected move upward, shown with the big arrow.
3. Expected Scenario
The zigzag line indicates that price may dip into the support zone, consolidate, and then bounce back up strongly toward the target point.
This is a long (buy) trade setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio since the potential reward is much bigger than the stop loss risk.
4. RiskโReward Ratio
Risk (downside): Around 0.3 points (from 97.575 entry to 97.238 stop).
Reward (upside): Around 1.2 points (from 97.575 entry to 98.799 target).
Thatโs roughly 4:1 R:R โ a very good trade setup if price respects the support zone.
Summary
โ
Bullish Bias โ Price is in an uptrend channel.
๐ Buy Zone: 97.575 โ 97.257
๐ Target: 98.799 โ 98.805
๐ Stop Loss: Below 97.238
๐ฏ Expectation: Short-term dip followed by a strong bullish rally.
DXY 4H โ Bullish Reversal Setup from FVG Zone | Target 98.63Technical Analysis
Downtrend Channel (Bearish Structure)
Price has been moving inside a descending channel (highlighted in red).
Recently, it touched the lower boundary and formed a rounded bottom pattern (possible reversal signal).
Trendline Breakout
A short-term downtrend line has been broken to the upside.
This suggests momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish.
Fair Value Gap (FVG Zone)
Price is currently testing an FVG zone around 97.00โ97.28.
This zone acts as a potential entry area for long trades.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Target
Entry Point: 97.28 โ 97.27
Stop Loss: 96.90 (below FVG zone support)
Target Point: 98.63
RiskโReward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 โ good setup.
Potential Scenario
If price holds above the FVG zone and doesnโt break below 96.90, we may see a bullish move toward 98.63.
But if the FVG fails and price closes below 96.90, it could resume the downtrend.
โ
Summary:
Market structure shows a possible bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
A clean long setup is planned: Buy near 97.27 โ Stop 96.90 โ Target 98.63.
Confirmation needed: Strong bullish candle closing above the FVG zone
US Dollar Index - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dollar Index - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7.2 Gold bulls continue to rise, bears come to an end temporarilFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper focus is on the 3345 line of suppression, the lower short-term support focuses on the 3314-3316 line, and the key support of 3295-3301 line is focused on. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold 3316-24 line long, retrace to 3295-3303 line to add more positions, stop loss 3293, target 3340-45 line, continue to hold if broken;
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bearish Setup โ Supply Zone Rejection & ๐น Trend Overview
๐ Overall Trend: Bearish (Downtrend)
๐ Price is forming lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel.
๐ป Recently bounced off a support zone, now heading toward a potential pullback.
๐ต Supply Zone (Resistance Area)
๐ Zone Range: 100.049 โ 100.601
๐งฑ Acts as a resistance block where sellers might step in.
๐ Confluent with EMA 70 at 100.178, strengthening its validity.
๐ธ Trade Setup โ Short Position
๐ ENTRY POINT: 100.088
โ STOP LOSS: 100.587 โ 100.595 (Just above supply zone)
๐ฏ TARGET: 98.000 (With intermediate support levels)
๐ Support Levels
๐น 98.112 โ First minor support
๐น 98.106 โ Close-range confirmation
๐น 97.885 โ Additional support zone
๐ฆ Main Target: 98.000
โ๏ธ Risk/Reward Ratio
๐ง Small risk above supply zone
๐ฉ Large reward to downside = Favorable R:R
๐ Summary
๐ Expecting a pullback into supply zone.
๐งจ Look for bearish confirmation around 100.088.
๐ฏ Target the downside at 98.000 for profit.
DXY Bearish Setup: Sell from Supply Zone to 99.100 TargetTrend: ๐ Bearish Bias
Key Zones & Strategy:
๐ถ Supply Zone (Sell Area)
๐ 100.584 โ 100.906
โ ๏ธ Price may face selling pressure here
๐ต Entry Point:
๐ฏ 100.584 (bottom of supply zone)
๐ด Stop Loss:
โ 100.906 (just above resistance)
๐ข Target Point:
โ
99.100
๐ Aligned with lower support line
Technical Indicators:
๐ Descending Channel
๐ฝ Price moving within parallel downward trend lines
๐ EMA (70) โ Orange Line
๐ Acting as dynamic resistance
Trade Setup Summary:
๐ Sell in the Supply Zone
๐ Stop Loss: 100.906
๐ฏ Target: 99.100
โ๏ธ Good Risk-Reward Ratio
Warnings & Tips:
โก Watch for Breakouts:
If price breaks above 100.906 โก๏ธ ๐ Bearish idea invalid
๐ฐ Check News Events:
FOMC, CPI, or other USD events may cause volatility
Dollar Index at Risk: Key Support Holds the Fate of the TrendThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken down from a Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a bearish reversal after a successful retest of the neckline. The price is currently near a key support area, and if it fails to hold, a drop toward the lower strong support zone is likely.
Additionally, RSI is showing bearish divergence and is below the neutral 50 level, indicating weakening momentum.
DYOR, NFA
3.31 Gold officially breaks through 3100In the early Asian session on Monday (March 31), spot gold once again saw a surge in prices shortly after the opening. The most active gold futures contract in New York was traded in one minute from 10:22 to 10:23 Beijing time on March 31, with 890 lots traded, and the total value of the trading contracts was US$279 million. Affected by Trump's latest tariff news, spot gold maintained the current bull market trend. The gold price broke through the US$3,000 mark and broke through US$3,100 only half a month after breaking through the US$3,000 mark. As of 10:39 Beijing time, it was reported at US$3,105.23 per ounce.
Gold technical analysis: Gold closed higher with a big positive line last week, and after consolidating at a high level, it increased strongly and closed at a high level. The weekly K-line is still strong, with a big bald positive line. There will be further continuation this week. However, the monthly line closed today. After the volume is released, we must also be careful of the wash of the high and fall. The daily chart has continued to rise and set a new high. The Asian session is a slow consolidation and then a slow new high. The consolidation is not the high, and the volume is the top. At present, there is further rise in the short term. Gold was stimulated by risk aversion over the weekend. It opened high and fell back on Monday. However, gold fell back under pressure at 3100 in the short term. We must pay attention to adjustments. Then gold is just adjusting. Wait patiently for it to fall back before going long. The technical side of gold shows a strong upward trend. US$3070 has become a new short-term support level. The current upward momentum is sufficient and there is momentum for further rise. The influence of gold bulls on the current trend of gold has reached the highest level in history, but the trading scale and heat have not reached the most crowded range in history. There is still room for funds to further increase positions, which provides support for gold prices.
3.31 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3100-3103, short (buy short) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3110, target around 3085-3075, and look at 3070 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back around 3070-3073, long (buy long) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3060, target around 3085-3095, and look at 3105 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)






















