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Economic Cycles

ADAUSD - CARDANO Weekly CLS Model 1 - Dump itHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 👊 Trade Visual I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru. 📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy ⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy 🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation 🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal 🧱 Key Level – Order Block 📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs 🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks 💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand 🕒 Timeframe Alignments 🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps 🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method 🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading 🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions 🇬🇧 London Session Trading 🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal 📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets 🎣 Stop Hunt Trading 💧 Liquidity Sweep Mastery 🔪 Asia Session Setups 📀 Gold Strategy 🧠 Level Up & Mindset 🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading ⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success 🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily 💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan 🧪 Winning Trading Plan ⭕ Backtesting vs Reality 🛡️ Risk Management 🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading 📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size 🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency 🧪 Risk Reward vs Win Ratio 💎 Catch High Risk Reward Setups ☯️ Smart Money - Who control Markets Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours. David Perk
Short
by David_Perk
5
Oil at $60, Energy Stocks at ATHs — Something Has to BreakSomething unusual is happening in the energy market. • Crude oil is trading below $60, marking new lows since 2021 • Meanwhile, the Energy sector ( AMEX:XLE ) — dominated by oil & gas producers — is sitting at all-time highs Historically, this kind of divergence doesn’t last. Energy equities and oil prices are tightly linked through cash flows, margins, and capital discipline. When oil falls, earnings expectations usually follow. Yet today, stocks are completely decoupled. Why could this be happening? • Markets may be pricing a rebound in oil, not today’s spot price • Energy companies are far more capital-disciplined than in past cycles • Buybacks + dividends are supporting equity prices • Investors may be treating energy as a cash-flow yield play, not a commodity bet But the math still matters. If oil stays below $60: • Free cash flow compresses • Buybacks slow • Valuation multiples come under pressure If oil rebounds: • The divergence resolves via oil catching up, not stocks falling Either way, convergence is inevitable. The only question is who moves first. Oil 📉 or Energy stocks 📉? TVC:USOIL
AMEX:XLE
by OrbisInvestment
NIFTY 50 to Nifty -50%This is how I see the Indian economy going into the future. Double Top being the exit liquidity for major players. Indian Economy was never built on strong foundation. Indian economy is just a valuation game. -50% and Maybe I start DCA'ing into this. My Sweet spot would be 16k, but for that we need a real crash like covid or 2008. Hey but never say never. Is this the zone to be buying? HAHA no. Is it worth buying at 20k, Sure Is it worth buying at 16k, YUP.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by MrVelvet_
Demand drawing price down before reversal longWith the early December FVG filled and traded through, the Demand zone at the base of that price leg is now acting as a magnet drawing price deeper in discount pricing. Price will either continue dropping impulsively before reversing as shown in blue, or retrace back up to pick up more liquidity before reaching the demand zone and ultimately reversing as shown in purple...assuming market makers intend to continue long-term bullish market conditions.
Long
by trendylj
XLM - My top pick for a potential AltseasonCRYPTOCAP:XRP is a beast. One of the best asymmetric opportunities in crypto. But levering it directly is how people get wiped: Long calls = capped risk, total loss possible Daily leverage bleeds over time Futures are… futures There’s a simpler approach: high-beta proxies . These are assets tightly correlated to CRYPTOCAP:XRP that tend to move more, both up and down — and during risk-on regimes, that beta can convert into alpha . CRYPTOCAP:SOLO Ultra-high beta, but liquidity risk is real. NYSE:FLR Lower beta, improving fundamentals, still volatile. Then there’s BITRUE:XLMXRP An CRYPTOCAP:XRP fork led by an original founder, with deep liquidity and a multi-billion dollar market cap. Big enough to survive drawdowns, small enough to move fast. Market caps: CRYPTOCAP:SOLO — $63M NYSE:FLR — $940M CRYPTOCAP:XLM — $7.4B The BITRUE:XLMXRP pair tells the story. Long-term downtrend, yes — but during risk-on phases, CRYPTOCAP:XLM has repeatedly overshot CRYPTOCAP:XRP . Why? Retail reflexivity Faster marginal flows Lower unit-price psychology Altseason rotation dynamics If flows stay narrow and institutional, CRYPTOCAP:XRP likely leads. If altseason arrives, history says CRYPTOCAP:XLM ’s beta can turn into alpha . Moderate risk. Extreme upside. CRYPTOCAP:XLM is my top high-beta proxy for an CRYPTOCAP:XRP run ✨
COINBASE:XLMUSDLong
by quickshiftinn
liquidity sweep and break of structure THATS MY PLAN 📊 Market Structure Overall bias: Range → potential bullish continuation Price is currently consolidating after an impulsive move up, which is typically bullish if support holds. We see a clear higher low formed after the sharp pullback → structure is still intact. 🧭 Key Levels 🔹 Resistance 98.35 – 98.45 Prior high / rejection zone (marked on your chart) Liquidity resting above this level 98.60 – 98.80 Likely upside target if breakout occurs 🔹 Support 98.05 – 98.10 Intraday support & midpoint of the range 97.80 – 97.75 Strong demand zone Previous low + imbalance / FVG area Major invalidation level for bullish bias
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Jod_Afnan_FX
Ripple -Keep an eye on cycles Hello everyone. I hope you had some wonderful days with your family and loved ones over the last two weeks during the Christmas and New Year holidays. Now we are at the start of a new year, which is usually the time when we step back and scan higher degree time frame charts to get a sense of what may happen in 2026, especially by looking at monthly and even yearly structures. The first market I want to look at is Ripple. As you know, XRP has a lot of upside potential and there is a lot of optimism around this coin, mainly because it was trapped in a very large range for a long time due to the lawsuit filed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission against Ripple Labs back in December 2020. The SEC claimed that XRP was an unregistered security, which created huge legal uncertainty. Many US exchanges delisted or suspended XRP, large funds avoided it, and new capital stayed away. With demand capped, price moved sideways for years. Now that the market has finally broken to new all time highs, it feels like everyone wants to ride this trend further, and I do think more upside is possible. However, as you know, markets never move in straight lines, and even in strong uptrends we get sharp and sometimes aggressive pullbacks. These large swings, especially when they appear late in a cycle, can offer both opportunities and serious risks. If you look at the cycle analysis on the monthly chart, it suggests we could already be in the late stages of the current bull run. On top of that, the structure can be interpreted as a fifth wave coming out of a large triangle. This opens the door for another push higher, possibly toward the 4 area, or even higher into the 5 to 6 zone. However, this could also represent a final leg up before the market starts a much larger and higher degree correction. If we do get one more strong push higher next year, it is important to be very careful. Cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile, and once sentiment shifts, retracements can be deep and fast. If you are already riding this move and are waiting for one more new high, that could very well be the opportunity to take profits, while others are rushing in late. All the best and good luck catching some nice trades in 2026. Grega
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by ew-forecast
*TRX/USDT: Market Structure Shift (MSS) & End of Accumulation After a prolonged period of selling pressure and moving within a bearish channel, Tron (TRX) entered a **Consolidation** phase. We are now witnessing strong signs of a Market Structure Shift (MSS). **Why enter a Long position?** 1. **Valid Breakout:** Price has strongly broken the range ceiling and stabilized above key moving averages. 2. **Volume Confirmation:** A visible increase in trading volume on bullish candles indicates Smart Money entry and buyer support at these levels. 3. **Price Action:** The formation of **Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL)** on the 4H timeframe confirms the end of the downtrend and the start of a new bullish leg. 💎 **Precision is Our Edge:** Unlike vague general analyses, our strategy is built upon **"precise numbers."** We enter the market with a defined stop loss and an engineered entry point, not guesswork. 🎯 **Trade Setup (Long):** * **Entry:** 0.2960 (Wait for stabilization or a minor pullback to this zone) * **Stop Loss:** 0.2930 (Strict invalidation below support) * **Targets (TP):** Open (Manage based on momentum)
Long
by ChartPhoenix
1
NIFTY 50 | Structural Trend Update (Daily Timeframe) Pattern Context NIFTY 50 is shaping a large Cup & Handle–like structure on the daily chart. The cup reflects a rounded base formation after a corrective phase, followed by a steady recovery. The handle phase is developing as a shallow consolidation near prior highs, indicating absorption rather than distribution. Trend & Structure Price continues to hold above rising short- and medium-term moving averages, maintaining a higher high–higher low structure. Pullbacks remain controlled and time-based, not price-destructive — a key trait of healthy trends. Momentum Insight (RSI) RSI has shifted into a bullish range (above 50) and is sustaining higher troughs. No major bearish divergence observed during recent consolidations, suggesting momentum is pausing, not reversing. Market Behaviour Repeated tests near the resistance zone are being met with range compression, highlighting supply absorption. Volatility remains contained, which typically precedes directional expansion. Process-Based View (No Prediction) As long as price respects the handle low / rising structure, the broader trend remains constructive. Any directional follow-through should be evaluated only after confirmation, not anticipation. Risk Framework Trend validity is intact until structure breaks, not until opinions change. Decision-making remains rule-driven, not headline-driven.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by anandparikh11
1
Microsoft (MSFT) - Context after a pullback | 1DThis chart is not about predicting the next move. It’s about understanding where the market currently is in its process . After a strong multi-month uptrend, MSFT entered a corrective phase that brought price back toward its long-term mean. Instead of continuing lower, price began to stabilize and compress , forming a base rather than accelerating to the downside. Notably, this same price area previously acted as a zone of accumulation , where downside pressure faded and longer-term positioning started to build before the next leg higher. The current behavior shows similar characteristics: reduced volatility, overlapping ranges, and diminishing downside follow-through. This does not imply an immediate continuation or guarantee higher prices. What it does suggest is a shift from directional movement into a context-building phase , where risk conditions differ from both trend expansion and panic-driven selloffs. At this stage, the key question is not “how high can it go?” It’s “is downside risk still expanding, or has it begun to compress?” Recognizing that transition helps avoid emotional decisions and premature entries during consolidation. Context first. Decisions later.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TrendGo_Official
Bitcoin enters 2-day Gaussian channel, 3 months of sideways?Bitcoin has officially entered the 2-day Gaussian Channel, a technical event that has historically coincided with prolonged sideways price action. Looking left, past instances suggest this phase can last several months, often frustrating both bulls and bears before a clear trend emerges. Key Observations Price is currently trading inside the 2D Gaussian channel. Historically, this has led to ranging/sideways price behaviour rather than immediate trend continuation. The sideways trading range can take up to 90 (red circles), meaning the end of November before a meaningful direction change in price action. Potential Scenarios Bullish Case – Price action has not yet confirmed the sideways trading period. A 2 day candle must close on or above $114k by August 31st. Bearish Case – failure to close above $114k by August 31st would confirm the sideways trading period. Furthermore it would confirm the end of the Bitcoin bull market, the technical cycle ends now in 30 days. The end of the bull market?! Unless you think this time is different, every cycle prior has ended in 526 days or less post halving, leaving the market with 30 days until the technical top. That's why whales have been gladly using retail exit liquidity those past few weeks. They have a plan, retail has influencers. Conclusion The entry into the 2-day Gaussian channel signals a likely multi month sideways market for Bitcoin. Patience will be key, traders should prepare for a rangebound environment while positioning for the eventual breakout. Ww ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by without_worries
28