Get started

Election

Hypothetical UK Election Trade ...Election results come in... (for which party will be in government). which results in a rise or fall in GBP due to it's significance (in this instance it was seen as a good result and GBP rose). -We know there is going to be volatility, so we can profit regardless of whether the price goes up or down as when the price reaches certain points (A if price rises and B if price falls) it will trigger a trade which will cancel the other one -Can be executed on many pairs/ stocks if large results are due. -Eliminates bias with OCO order. --(DISCLAIMER) Set TP and Trigger point on major support resistance, you don't want to trigger then go the opposite direction!! Straddle Trades can be good for profiting regardless on where the price goes (in times of high volatility) and you could have made some good profits here, this could be replicated for trades such as EUR/GBP, Non farm payroll, US Elections etc... and are also known as OCO (One Cancels the Other) orders
Education
by Sampdm8
US stock market: growth out of control The Dow Jones Index is showing the longest period of growth in its history. Given that this growth is completely divorced from economic development, even the most avid bulls in the US stock market are beginning to doubt about prospects: the growth is clearly out of control. There is another fact: when the market grows very rapidly in a very short period, it becomes extremely vulnerable to correction. According to many analysts, a correction in the US stock market is inevitable and its minimum scale is 10% -20%. Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital, expects a 15% correction in early 2020. The problem of the US stock market in terms of continuing the bull rally is the lack of drivers for such growth: the economic growth rate has long lagged behind the stock market growth rate, on the eve of the Presidential election, there are no serious economic reforms to be expected, companies are stopping their share buyback programs, and their financial results for the fourth quarter in a row show worse growth rates. Perhaps the only chance for stock market growth is an active interest rate cut by the Fed. But the Central Bank made it quite clear that it is not going do that. Recall, we consider 2019 the last year of unjustified growth in the US stock market. Already in 2020, it is going to adjust. The scale of correction is from 50% and higher. Given that in recent years, shares of technology companies in the US stock market have grown by an average of 7-8 times, the US stock market will no doubt become the object of massive sales. We recommend participating in this process, selling both the market as a whole (Nasdaq index) and the shares of individual issuers (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Oracle, etc.).
NASDAQ:NDAQShort
by Trade24Fx
GBP Pairs Might Rise Back To 2008 LevelsOn December 12th 2019, as the British polls were coming to an end, conservative Boris Johnson was winning. With Boris's the idea to get rid of the Brexit deal that was introduced back in 2008 which lead to a 29.5% crash on all GBP pairs within a year, price on GBP pairs came rising up to over 400 pips within a few hours. This leads me to believe, a good swing trade setup is in the making where market price can reach record highs since 2008 before Brexit was introduced. All in all, This would lead to about a 30% increase at over 6,800 PIPS.
Long
by AzzenWazHere
Tesco - Pattern consolidation for long trajectory.Tesco: -In the daily chart: Price action has consolidated into a rangebound symmetrical triangle, this usually symbolises continuation (to the upside) but I do not discount the possibility of a short if we fail to breakout long and in-turn breakout in the opposite direction. Identifying a breakout: In this case price has had bullish candles deviate outside of the range, however, using both a price and time filters for confirmed entry, no bullish daily candle has so far managed to close outside. As we are right at the upper wall of the pattern, this could occur soon for a nice RRR ONLY IF we get a bullish daily candle close long. Catalysts for the move: UK election - If the conservatives gain a majority on Thursday night then I expect this entry position to be triggered, if not then i expect the opposite for this and the FTSE100 in general if labour win or there is uncertainty with a hung parliament.
LSE:TSCOLong
by TomSaundersFXS
GBP/CAD Market Situation And Future Swing ProbabilitiesPositive expectations for the upcoming U.K. general elections could keep sterling supported throughout the session, especially if polls continue to confirm the Tories’ lead. A couple of medium-tier reports from the U.K weren't actually impressive. Monthly GDP was above the previous but QoQ and YoY were lower than previous no good changes. The construction site wasn't doing good. Industrial Production and manufacturing were only better than previous but trade balance ended up the deficit for the Oct. Economic release were mix but the prospect of more opinion polls confirming a lead by the Tories may have some weight reason to push the pound higher on this cross pair.
by Anatta0
SPX S&P500 Breakout or Top Out? Either way, The Bull Continues!Euphoria would have to take hold with major progress in China Trade, Brexit, improving earnings and guidance, etc, for the overall market to continue this pace without a consolidation. I expect a return to 2,950 around EoY 2019, but a rhythmic bounce up to 3,300 by May 2020. Election based volatility will have a major impact. If Warren gets the nomination, expect another $2,850 test. If Biden or Buttigeg get it, expect to hold a similar upward rhythm. Either way, the Great Bull will continue to run through 2020.
SP:SPXLong
by TenaciousH
1
ORBEX:BoJo Pushes for Election, Draghi Hints to Fiscal Measures!In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #GBPUSD and #EURUSD #FXMajors! GBPUSD Dragged down by: - BoJo push for an early election on December 12 - Increasing likelihood of October exit failure EURUSD Under Pressure as: - ECB reiterates downside risk, stubbornly low inflation - Draghi hints to fiscal policy measures Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
The CAD Has Fallen Out of FavorThe CAD has experienced a long bullish run and it is approaching a known supply area. There is some weary news coming up for Canada in the near future ( I think we all know what that is). In combination with that, Canada has a minority government when fiscal policy intervention is heavily needed. The CHF has been struggling, but I think this isn't due to medium to long term problems and we will see the safe haven shine again in the short-term. Let's see if my analysis is correct as we are already seeing the heavy short volume on the daily timeframe. As always, trade at your own risk.
Short
by TogamiTrader
BTC & USD important dates (halving, expirations, election)!hello, Just posting this few links in order to come back and check the dates before going full in. Be aware of them! www.barchart.com en.wikipedia.org www.bitcoinblockhalf.com Because what we trade are futures, we are not trading past, and so we can not be sure of anything, we can be only sure we will be all death. 100% certain. Anyway according to past: Future expirations: - we usually (that means more then 50%) start to dip or pump close to future expiration-s and on future expiration dates, I never really checked for BTC, but when i was trading futures (oil, gold etc), that was the first thing i checked before entering positions. I included also USD dolar index future expirations, bcs BTC is tradable against Moon / Neptun and not against fiat like dollar, u get the point right : Expiration pattern - Fresh buys happen usually after expiration-s, it takes few days, it does not happen right after expiration date, same for fresh sell, Fresh buy pattern, fresh sell pattern BTC halving: guess you heard of mining reward cut on half, well if you havent thats kinda prety important date for speculators, if BTC will follow past, its bullish news, maybe this time it will follow LTC example, (pumped to 120K and then dumped to 65K), we could say Halving pattern ...just saying, because after the halving next important FA news for next year is: US presidental elections: Please note in past (which can not be guarranty of future movement) Currency usually started to strenghten prior to election date, in order to atrract the Voters. p.s. Doesnt matter if US, JAPAN, France, German, UK,..we could say Election pattern Soory for long talk, i am not used to talk so much, i use to just say: entry: 9700 & 9600 TP:? Liq: 8500 margin: 1:5 :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dejc123
2
POTUS Election ChartThe point? Markets tend to chop around before Presidential Elections. George Bush Senior is probably the best performing Presidential stock market to not get re-elected. Clinton likely had the best performing stock market thanks to the internet, unbridled leverage in real estate due to tax-free capital gains of $500,000 every 2 years for couples in their principal residences. George Bush Jr had the worst performing stock market over 8 years with almost a zero return. Obama's term picked up the mess from the Clinton's leveraging the system and Bush deleveraging the system. Everyone blames everyone but not many really understand what happened. No one wants to believe the facts and points to facts that don't matter. What matters is regulatory policy and tax law. It wasn't "greedy people abusing the system", it was a "poorly leveraged system". What do we want next? What will we get next? IF history is any guide, we are in the equivalent of the 1980's now with a decent comparison to the time period from 1984-1987 at the moment after coming out of a 16 year-sideways grind (inflation adjusted). We have technology still taking off in the form of EV's, 5G, AI, and all sorts of infrastructure spending ahead, hopefully mass transit, high speed rail and hyper-loops (underground boring of tunnels). I'd suggest that Trump is doing his best at trying to push forth what Reagan's economic plans were: strong defense, deficit spend, tax rate cuts, stimulate investment, bring capital home, while using force all over the world (Panama, Grenada, Libya, Nicaragua, etc.). Well - the point I want to make here is that the primaries are just about a year away and there will be mudslinging and bashing going on for the better part of the next year and that's when stock markets rock back and forth. Let's stay tuned with what's going on so we don't go too crazy: 1. Government shut-down shot down the momentum in the economic growth prospects at year end 2018. 2. Boeing 737 Max8 instills fear in passengers and the most efficient airplane ever built is grounded, stunting spending, jobs, profits, investment and casted doubt on a major institution and the ability of the Gov't to oversee safe airplanes. 3. Massive growth in Electric Vehicles is causing a steady decline in demand for gas & diesel vehicles with huge repercussions long term for the whole industry and related industries. 4. Upheaval in trade talks in the attempt to level out the playing field causing a massive rift in communications between countries. 5. Tensions from nuclear development, threats to world peace from certain dictators shooting off rockets last year created worldwide concern about the safety of the all of us. 6. Climate change worries are escalating as storms, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, cyclones, and earthquakes are shaking everyone to their core and fearing for the future of our population. 7. Mass migration from Syria to Europe and South America/Central America to the USA is putting severe pressure on countries' ability to handle the influx and care for, feed and place everyone in homes and jobs. 8. Mass frustration over deficit spending in almost every country is forcing Central Banks to keep rates near zero to stimulate demand and has allowed huge deficits to accumulate that are virtually impossible to pay off, but can be carried ONLY at low rates. I'm sure there are plenty more points to make, but I'm going to stop here and add more later. I look forward to your comments, quips and questions. All the best, Tim West May 31, 2019. 1:35PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
6