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Elliottwaveforecasts

GBPUSD | Prices Continue Uptrend✅ Short-Term Price Direction (H4): After a sharp decline from its peak, the H4 movement indicates a strong short-term uptrend from the recent low around 1.2100 - 1.2200. The price has created a series of clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). The price is currently consolidating below Short-Term Resistance around 1.3100 - 1.3200, which is also the Low Volume Node (LVN) on the Daily Volume Profile. This indicates potential uncertainty after the rapid rise. This consolidation is occurring within the newly formed High Volume Node (HVN) area on the H4 (around 1.2900 - 1.3000), which serves as strong Short-Term Support. Short-Term Bias: Bullish (Upward), as the HH and HL structures on the H4 are still intact. ✅ H4 Key Levels: - Short-Term Resistance (Consolidation Top): Around 1.3100 - 1.3200. - Short-Term Support (HVN/HL): Range 1.2900 - 1.3000 (Important). - H4 Value Area Low: Around 1.2700. ✅ Potential Scenarios - Strong Bullish Scenario: Price successfully breaks through and maintains above the Short-Term Resistance at 1.3200, paving the way for a test of the Daily POC at 1.3400 - 1.3500. - Correction/Reversal Scenario: A break and close below the Short-Term H4 Support (1.2900) will invalidate the H4 bullish bias and could lead to further declines to test the H4 Value Area Low at 1.2700 and the Daily Key Support.
Long
by NouzTrader
USDCAD - Breakout Will Flip the Trend BullishUSDCAD has been sliding inside a well-defined descending channel, completing a full five-wave drop toward the support zone. The structure from the top looks corrective rather than impulsive. That means the downtrend is weakening as it reaches its final leg. Your count shows Wave 3 finishing at the dashed red line zone, followed by a small Wave 4 bounce, and now the market is pushing into the last Wave 5. This final drop is expected to target the Fibonacci levels near 1.3915 and 1.3895 . Nothing suggests strength until those levels are tested. The price is still trapped inside the downward channel, and every bounce has been getting sold. That confirms sellers are still in control for now. Wave (C) is close to completion, but buyers haven’t proven anything yet. The bullish outlook only becomes valid after a clean breakout above the channel. Without that break, any upside move is just noise inside a bearish structure. The breakout must hold with a higher low to confirm a trend reversal. If the channel breaks decisively, a strong bullish reversal toward 1.40+ becomes possible. The entire structure suggests the downtrend is aging, so a major upside swing is likely once sellers exhaust. Until then, downside targets remain open and caution is necessary. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
by Money_Dictators
1
Microsoft: Overvalued but Still Bullish - Watching the 400–450Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT 1. Quick Trade Plan (for those who want levels first) 🎯 Market Bias: Long term bullish, but in a late phase of the cycle. Strategy: Don’t chase highs; buy the correction. 📌 Buy Zones Primary Buy Zone: 400–450 USD Strong support cluster and the preferred accumulation zone. Aggressive Early Entries: 450–470 on sharp dips, but main focus remains 400–450. ⛔ Invalidation Level 345 USD A break below this level invalidates the mid term bullish structure. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: ~600 TP2: 680–720 Potential completion of the final fifth wave. 🧭 For Current Holders Continue holding while above 345. Use a protective stop below 345 if trading shares. Options traders may hedge instead. 🆕 For New Buyers Avoid entering near ATHs. Wait for the 400–450 pullback. Use 345 as your hard-risk level. 2. Fundamental Overview: Great Business, Clearly Overvalued 💼📊 Microsoft has delivered very stable mid-teens growth for years: Revenue growth: 15–17 percent annually EPS growth: also 15–20 percent annually Last 3 quarters: EPS +9–12 percent, revenue in the same range This is a mature mega-cap, not a hyper-growth name. ⚠️ Buybacks Stopped Company regularly bought back shares for six years Stopped in March 2023 and hasn’t resumed This removes a major EPS-boosting engine 📉 Valuation (Peter Lynch style) EPS growth ≈ 15 percent P/E ≈ 30 Stock trades at ~2x its fundamental fair value Conclusion: Amazing business. Predictable. Cash generative. 🔥 But fundamentally overpriced and in the late stage of its growth curve. 3. Technical Picture: Still Bullish, but Late in the Cycle 📐📈 📅 Long Term Channel Since 2010 Price has stayed inside a massive uptrend channel for 14+ years. As long as MSFT remains inside it, the primary trend stays bullish. 📏 200-Day Moving Average MSFT consistently bounces from the 200d MA on the weekly. That keeps the structural bull trend intact. 🌊 Elliott Wave Context Currently in the 5th sub-wave of a larger 3rd wave Upside still possible Potential final wave targets: 600–700 ⏳ What Comes After Once this major wave completes: Expect a multi-year sideways cycle (5–7 years) as the market distributes the massive positions accumulated since 2009. 4. Current Structure: A Correction Is Likely Before New Highs 🔄 We already saw an A–B–C correction, but structure suggests another A–B–C, forming a zigzag, before the final move higher. 🎯 Why 400–450 Is the Key Zone Major liquidity & support cluster Aligns with channel midline and prior consolidation Perfect area for a 5th wave launch If MSFT hits 400–450 and bounces → 600–700 is back on the table. 5. What To Do Based on Your Situation 🧭 ✔️ If You Already Hold MSFT Stay in the trade while above 345 Expect volatility You can hedge or use a stop below 345 🟦 If You Want to Enter Don’t FOMO near the highs ❌ Wait for a pullback into 400–450 Start with partial size, add on confirmation 345 = hard stop ⚡ If You Trade Short Term Shorts are counter-trend Treat every drop as a tactical move, not a macro reversal Unless 345 breaks 6. Final Thoughts ✨ Microsoft is still in a powerful long term uptrend, but: Fundamentally overvalued Technically late stage of its long cycle Likely to give a clean buyable correction Best accumulation zone: 400–450 Invalidation: 345 Upside targets: 600–700 It’s a “buy the dip, not the rip” market for MSFT. Not financial advice — manage risk according to your plan.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by sdk-trading
ETHUSD Bull Trap? - Final Breakdown Setup Is Almost Locked InETH is still stuck inside a clear falling channel, and the entire pattern is behaving like a corrective downtrend. The recent bounce from 2620 looks sharp, but it’s still just a counter-trend move. Nothing here screams trend reversal yet. Wave 3 ending at 2620 , and now the price is rising for a Wave 4 retracement. Wave 4 usually moves back toward the mid-channel and tests previous breakdown zones. The red box around 3200–3300 is the key trap zone. This is where sellers can return because Wave 4 must not enter Wave 1 territory, which sits higher. As long as ETH stays under that invalidation level, the bearish structure remains fully intact. The move looks like a classic (a)-(b)-(c) correction inside Wave 4. Once this corrective bounce completes, the chart suggests ETH will resume the downward path. The channel alignment and wave symmetry both support a final Wave 5 drop. If the bearish count plays out, ETH could slide toward 2400 – 2300 in Wave 5 before a major bottom forms. That’s the zone where sellers exhaust and buyers take control again. Until ETH breaks the invalidation level with strength, downside remains the more probable outcome. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Money_Dictators
Indexes Reverse ConfirmationMajor indexes, S&P, NASDAQ, DOW, SMALLCAP are testing of the April 2025 trend line. You can see this on the chart. A move below this line would confirm that November's downward rally was wave 1 of a bear market. If the S&P rises above 6870, this would confirm that November's rally was wave 4. However, I believe we are in a bear market because: 1) The entire structure of the indices looks mature overall. 2) Gold is falling, regardless of the downward movement of the DXY, and they usually have an inverse correlation. Also, gold has not confirmed the ATH on silver. 3) The DXY fell throughout 2025, and now, I think it is ending the second wave, minute degree, that is, on the eve of the largest upward rally since 2022. The reaction on DXY may end near 97.85. I wish you to be very rich! Happy holidays!
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by dogecoin_chain
$BTCUSD - #Bitcoin cycle analysisHi guys! 👋🏻 🔔I'd like to share with you my current Bitcoin BTCUSD analysis here. 🔔 The last correction is taking an impulse 5-wave structure, it seeems like we are about to complete the 5th wave of the Intermediate A, bounce back to $102K to complete the B and drop back to the levels near $70K - 64K to complete the correction. 🔔 I know it sounds disappointing but we need a correction to regain power. Now, before throwing tomatoes, please see cycle charts below. And never underestimate the power and rules of cycles in the market. 🔔 Why channels always matter 🔔Wave paths 🔔Fibo 🔔 Path to $150K shall look like this 🔔Concetration of Supports and Resistances Sharing for educational purposes! ✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻 If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by azizelliott
1
Wave 4 Trap Complete as Bitcoin Prepares for Final Flush6 Days Ago: 3 Days Ago: 1 December 2025 BTC moved into the expected corrective zone last week but stayed inside the falling channel, showing that wave 4 was only a temporary bounce. Buyers failed to break any key resistance, and momentum kept fading. This kept the broader outlook bearish and hinted that wave 5 was still pending. BTC has now broken below the short-term rising structure, confirming that wave 4 topped out near the 0.786 retracement. The rejection from that zone triggered a clean shift back into the main downtrend, with price sliding toward the key 86,280 support. As long as BTC holds below the upper channel boundary, the market remains positioned for further downside, with the 1.618 extension around 79,650 emerging as the next probable target for wave 5 completion. Note: The rejection from the 0.786–resistance zone shows buyers failed to take control. Wave B at 86,280 is the immediate pivot level; staying below it keeps downside pressure intact. The next major target for wave 5 sits near the 1.618 extension around 79,650.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Money_Dictators
6
SRF on the Edge of a Sharp BreakoutSRF seems to have finished its ABC correction near the 2770–2800 support zone, and the price has bounced back above 2859 , which now acts as a short-term trigger. If the stock stays above this level, it can move toward 3000 first, then 3160 , and possibly 3200 . The chart shows buyers gradually taking control again after the correction, but the outlook stays positive only as long as price holds above the support region. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
NSE:SRFLong
by Money_Dictators
GBP/USD Signals Trend Shift – Impulsive Upside ExpectedThe chart shows that GBP/USD has completed a full W–X–Y corrective pattern, with the final wave (y) and its C wave forming a clean bottom near the long-term support line. From that low, price has started a strong upward move, which looks like the beginning of a new impulsive Wave 1. The current pullback toward the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci zone is typical behavior for a Wave 2 retracement before the next strong rally. As long as the price stays above the invalidation level at 1.30094 (the wave (y) bottom), the bullish scenario remains valid. This suggests that GBP/USD is preparing for a larger Wave 3 push to the upside. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Long
by Money_Dictators
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.Colleagues, the past forecast has not been canceled, but I see some changes and therefore feel it is necessary to make a fresh forecast. Apparently, the corrective wave “B” has extended to the area of 57.930. This is quite close to the low of wave “C” at 56.408 and the price should not update it, otherwise there will be a full-fledged break of the structure. In connection with the above, I think that the price is already completing the downward movement and I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the area of the maximum of wave “A” - 62.990. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Hellena_Trade
18
BTCUSD - Wave 5 Decline Still Likely AheadPrevious Analysis: BTC is approaching a critical reaction zone where the current rise looks more like a corrective push than the start of a new trend. Price is moving toward the highlighted supply region, which aligns with a potential wave 4 completion inside the descending channel. The structure from the recent low shows an internal a–b–c formation, suggesting this bounce could run into exhaustion as it enters the red zone. Unless BTC breaks out of the channel with conviction, the broader momentum still leans bearish. A rejection from this region would likely trigger the final wave 5 leg, driving price toward deeper Fibonacci levels and completing the corrective cycle before any meaningful recovery attempt can begin. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Money_Dictators
10
Coca Cola - $78 Target for New Highs Imminent 🥤The Coca-Cola Company (KO) suggests the stock has definitively finished a long period of price correction and is now ready for a significant upward trend. This pullback, which had been complex, officially concluded when the price hit its low at $65.36. Critically, the strong bounce that followed has broken the stock out of its long-term downward trading range, confirming that the selling phase is fully over. Following this successful breakout, the chart indicates that a major new five-wave rally is starting, with the stock currently engaging the powerful middle part of this upswing (Wave 3). The analysis projects that after completing this rally, the price will ultimately reach a target around $78.00. This suggests that the stock is now in a strong phase of growth, making it a key focus for traders looking for the next major increase in value. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
NYSE:KO
by Money_Dictators
AUD/JPY | Bullish Momentum After Australian CPI Data ReleaseThe AUD/JPY pair gained a strong bullish boost after higher-than-expected Australian consumer inflation data, which dampened speculation of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Currently, the price is at a new weekly high and awaits confirmation of a breakout. 1. Market Fundamental Factors (Drivers of the Upside) Higher Australian Inflation: The hotter (higher) Australian consumer inflation figures dampened market bets for further interest rate cuts by the RBA. Impact: This significantly boosted the Australian Dollar (AUD), lifting the AUD/JPY pair to the 101.70 area (a new weekly high). 2. Technical Analysis and Indicators Long-Term Bias: The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is rising steadily, and the price is holding above it, reinforcing the bullish bias. Trend Conditions: Trend conditions will remain favorable as long as the price is above the rising SMA, which is currently below 98.00. 3. Bullish Scenario ⬆️ Strong Upside Trigger: Bulls await a breakout through the nearly three-week-old trading range (currently around 101.70). A decisive MACD push into positive territory would strengthen this case. Next Target: A move will head towards the 102.45-102.50 region, or the highest level since July 2024, touched last week. 4. Bearish Scenario ⬇️ Initial Key Support: Weakness below the 101.40 area is likely to find decent support near the 101.00 round number. Trading Range Support: A break below 101.00 could retest the trading range support around the 100.40-100.35 region. Bias Reversal: A convincing break below 100.35 could trigger technical selling and drag the price below the psychological 100.00 mark, towards the next relevant support near the 99.65 - 99.60 region.
Long
by NouzTrader
Gold – Daily Chart: Expanding Flat Bearish StructureWave (IV) is developing as a complex expanding flat on the daily timeframe. The current count projects a deep wave C, with downside Fibonacci targets (3,250/2,920) aligning closely to the base channel support. Sharp reversals remain a risk as this structure unfolds, and volatility is expected near the key channel-fib confluence. Expanding flat structure mapped Wave C targets anchored at base channel and fib zones Technical roadmap highlights where reversals and volatility may spike
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EWaveInsights
2
Dogecoin minor degree TriangleThe Aprile 2025 - November figure at Dogecoin has triangle signs. Pay attention to yellow markers at DOGE chart and at USDt dominance chart. Here are points where might be good to take profit, if you are in LONG and open SHORT. Waves E of triangles are frequently advancing modestly, thus 0.3085 might be a very terminal point for the figure, which may not be reached. I think Dogecoin is in a bear market since 2021. Please note, this triangle is related to Nov 2024 rally, and that rally is compound into a bigger bear trend, intermediary degree. The target for that degree is below 2022 July low. If we had a first wave at USDt dominance, the norms for pullback for first waves are between 61 to 82%. Good luck, I wish you will be very rich.
CRYPTO:DOGEUSD
by dogecoin_chain
2
SOLUSDT - 30M ANALYSISHey traders! Based on the recent price action, SOL has finished a clean 5-wave impulse down, which usually signals the start of a correction. Right now the structure looks very much like a developing Zig-Zag: - Wave A has played out, - Wave B is close to completing, - and I’m watching for a break of the B-wave resistance to confirm the start of Wave C to the upside. If that happens, the next target zone sits around 146–150. However, it’s important to keep the alternative in mind: Wave B can still form as an expanded flat, meaning price could dip lower and even take out the Wave 5 low before reversing. If that happens, the bullish ABC idea is still possible — it just becomes a deeper setup. So for now: Keep an eye on how price behaves around the B resistance level, stay patient for confirmation, and don’t forget your risk management. This is not financial advice — always DYOR.
by TheWaveHunter
Lean Hogs has probably finished bear marketLean hogs has hopefully finished bear market. A potential triangle on the right side could indicate that this move may terminate soon. My primary target for hogs is ~180. On the left side is an ABC zigzag, which can also be a final pattern. :) Do you know what do lean hogs and Oil have in common? Price and terminal goal. Today, their prices are approximately the same. I think oil will reach at least 137 and pork will reach 180. Pork is a more valuable asset from this point of view :) I wish everyone to be very wealthy.
CME:HE1!Long
by dogecoin_chain
2
ORCL - Launchpad to New HighsWave Projection of Oracle (ORCL) suggests the stock is currently in the final stages of a major correction, specifically concluding the last downward leg, wave (C), of a larger pullback. The chart indicates that after a temporary bounce, the price is expected to make one final, sharp drop to complete this corrective phase. This action is essential for the market to "reset" before the next significant rally. The critical support area for the end of this correction is identified in a tight range between $207.72 (the $1.618$ Fibonacci extension) and the immediate low of $210.70 . This zone offers strong confluence with previous structural support, making it the highest probability area for the market to find a decisive bottom. The analysis projects that the current selling pressure will exhaust itself within this $207-$211 range. Once the price successfully reaches and holds this projected support zone, the analysis anticipates the launch of a major, long-term bullish impulse wave, likely the start of the final wave (5) of a large-scale uptrend. This new wave is expected to drive the stock significantly higher, with a target to surpass the previous all-time high of $345.77 . This pattern suggests that the current decline should be viewed as a final buying opportunity before a powerful upward trend begins.
NYSE:ORCL
by Money_Dictators
METROBRAND - An Important Case of Final Correction & ImpulseMetrobrand has been trading inside a broad downward-sloping channel for a long time, repeatedly getting rejected from the upper trendline. Each corrective structure appears as part of a complex W-X-Y-X-Z pattern, and currently, the price seems to be completing the final leg (Z). The earlier lows around 990 were tested twice, showing strong support, and now price is recovering from that zone. The recent rise indicates that sellers are losing strength and buyers are slowly stepping in again. The ideal accumulation range lies between 1,020 and 986 (0.786 retracement), and as long as the stock holds above this zone, the downside risk remains limited. A minor dip or consolidation is still possible in the coming weeks before a stronger uptrend kicks in. Once the price stabilizes and confirms reversal with higher highs and higher lows, we may see momentum building toward the upper resistance. If the stock sustains above 1,125 and later breaks out of the channel resistance, it has the potential to travel toward 1,245 initially. A successful breakout with volume can trigger a major upside move, extending toward 1,460 or even higher levels. Overall, the risk–reward now tilts in favor of long-term buyers, provided the stock respects the lower support zone near 986. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
NSE:METROBRAND
by Money_Dictators
USDJPY | Prices Starting to Exhaust and Potential to DeclineMarket Structure Overview The current price is around 154.58 – 154.60. Overall, USDJPY has remained in a major uptrend (bullish) since early October 2025. However, the current price pattern is showing signs of trend exhaustion in the upper area of ​​the channel—approaching the supply zone of 155.00 – 155.50. The RSI is starting to decline from the overbought area, while the momentum histogram also shows weak divergence (weakening upward momentum). ✅ Elliott Wave Structure (H4) From the swing structure visible on the chart, the Elliott Wave pattern can be identified as follows: ✅ Elliott Wave Count: - Wave (1): Initial rise from 149.00 → 151.50 - Wave (2): Correction to 150.40 - Wave (3): Strong impulse up to 154.00 - Wave (4): Mild correction to 152.00 – 152.20 - Wave (5): Final rally towards the 155.00 area (currently forming) This means the price is at the end of the impulse phase (Wave 5) — which is usually followed by a major correction (ABC Correction). ✅ Technical Patterns and Confirmation Technical Patterns Formed: - A rising wedge pattern (a tapering upward pattern) is clearly visible at the end of the trend. - A wedge like this often signals a distribution or reversal pattern at the end of an impulse wave (wave 5). - The upper area of ​​the wedge and the supply zone of 155.00 – 155.50 have the potential to become a strong reversal zone. 📊 Confirmation Indicators: - RSI: forming a bearish divergence — higher price high, lower RSI high. - Momentum Histogram: starting to shrink, indicating weakening bullish momentum. - This supports the possibility that Wave 5 is nearing completion. ✅ Projected Movement Direction 📉 Main Scenario (Reversal / Downward Correction) After Wave 5 completes around 155.00 – 155.50, the price has the potential to reverse downwards, forming a large ABC correction (the beginning of Wave A). Initial correction targets: - Target 1: 154.00 (minor support & lower wedge) - Target 2: 153.00 - Target 3 (extension): 151.50 – 152.00 If the price breaks through wedge support (BOS downwards), it confirms the Wave A correction has begun. 📈 Alternative Scenario (Continued Breakout) If the price breaks strongly above 155.50 with high volume, it indicates the Wave 5 extension is continuing. Continued targets: 156.00 – 156.50, before a major correction begins. However, this opportunity is smaller, due to numerous signs of exhaustion in the upper area. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅Short-Term Position (Potential Reversal) - Sell Entry: 155.00 – 155.40 (supply zone & upper wedge area) - Stop Loss: 155.80 (above wedge + structure invalidation) - Take Profit 1: 154.00 - Take Profit 2: 153.00 🎯 RR ratio around 1:3 Entry confirmation: emergence of a bearish engulfing/minor downward BOS on H1–H4. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅Long-Term Position (Buy the Dip) If the Wave A–B–C correction completes below (around 151.50 – 152.00), then a new potential Wave (1) of the major uptrend (the next cycle) could begin. - Buy Entry: 151.50 – 152.00 (strong demand zone) - Stop Loss: 150.40 - Take Profit: 155.00 – 156.00 🎯 RR around 1:4 – long-term accumulation position
Short
by NouzTrader
Silver (XAGUSD) 4H – Potential Ending Diagonal in C of (B)Price action in the 4H chart for Silver suggests we’re nearing the completion of a possible zigzag, with wave C possibly building out a clear ending diagonal (wedge) in the final leg of (B). This aligns with classic Elliott Wave behaviour, where a wedge pattern often signals the conclusion of a strong corrective rally before a significant reversal or new trend begins. The current rally is testing both the upper parallel and key Fibonacci zones (0.618/0.764). Watch for breakdown triggers below wedge support, which would confirm the reversal and set up a new bearish sequence. If price keeps grinding higher within the wedge, further subdivisions may occur before wave C/B finally tops. What’s your view on this structure? Do you expect a deeper reversal or more upside first? Share your ideas below!
ICMARKETS:XAGUSD
by EWaveInsights
DXY (Dollar Index) Daily Outlook (Count 3)This is a daily timeframe outlook of the TVC:DXY . This is in alignment with my previously posted weekly outlook and is a slight alteration of the last posted Daily outlook, both shown in the related publications area. In this update I am looking for the DXY to continue lower potentially in an ending diagonal pattern towards the red and yellow target zones at around 93.8. As mentioned on the chart, if we see price decline in a traditional impulse with no overlap between wave 4 and 1 then the measured move target will be surpassed. I have a short trade shown on the DXY chart but this is only indicative of the move I expect, I am instead long FX:EURUSD which moves inversely to the DXY. More comments on the chart.
TVC:DXYShort
by TheWaveCave