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HDFCLIFE Monthly: Channel Support in Focus After Sharp FallHDFCLIFE is still holding its overall uptrend, as it continues to respect the rising channel. The recent fall from around 820 appears to be a correction, not a full breakdown. Price has again reacted near the 550 – 580 zone, which has acted as support in the past, so as long as this area holds, the structure remains fine. On the upside, 700 – 720 is the first level to watch. If price manages to move above this, it can slowly head back toward 775 and 820 . But if there is a monthly close below 550, then the trend weakens and further downside is likely. So 550 is the key support, and 700+ is where strength comes back. We will update further information soon.
NSE:HDFCLIFE
by BrightRally_Research
NYSE NOW: Impulse Structure Targets Higher LevelsPrice is still in a broader downtrend but has shown a strong V-shaped recovery with rising volume, signaling real buying interest. Immediate resistance sits near 106 , and price may pull back slightly to form sub-waves before continuing. If momentum holds, short-term targets are 109 → 116 → 126 . From an Elliott Wave view, the prior 5-wave decline looks complete, and the current move can be the start of a new impulse. A breakout above the 4th wave zone near 126would confirm strength, opening the path toward higher targets at 152 → 192 → 215 , while failure near resistance could lead to consolidation. We will update further information soon.
NYSE:NOW
by BrightRally_Research
1
#XMR Just Flipped Structure — Is This the Trap? Yello Paradisers! Are you ready for what could be the most misleading move on #XMR before the next major expansion phase begins? 💎#XMR has now completed its B/X corrective leg and confirmed a breakout from the descending channel, which is an early signal of a shift in market behavior. We are clearly seeing a change of character, as price is no longer forming lower lows and lower highs, but instead transitioning into a structure of higher highs and higher lows. This shift was supported by a clean RSI simple divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum before the breakout even occurred. 💎However, the descending channel that was just broken sits perfectly within a higher timeframe ascending channel, which suggests that this move is still part of a larger corrective structure rather than a full bullish reversal. In this type of market behavior, a C or Y leg is typically still pending, which is why an upside move from here is expected before the primary downtrend continues. 💎 The price is holding above the minor support around $316, which is the exact level where the change of character occurred. As long as this level holds, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. The major support sits near $280, and this is the key invalidation level for the bullish bias. A breakdown below this zone would signal continuation of the broader downtrend and open the door for further downside. 💎On the upside, the market is approaching a minor resistance around the $400 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. If price manages to break above this area, the next major resistance is located around $540, which also acts as a strong confluence with the Fibonacci retracement of the primary downside impulse. 💎This is exactly the type of market condition where many traders get trapped, mistaking a corrective rally for a full trend reversal. The structure clearly suggests that this is a temporary bullish phase within a larger corrective move, not the beginning of a sustained uptrend. That is why with Paradisers, we are playing it safe right now. If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and wait only for the best, highest-probability trading opportunities. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
NIFTY 50 - Recovery Attempt but Trend Still Unclear Nifty has fallen sharply, and that fall looks mostly complete. Now it is trying to bounce, but the bounce is still weak. For now, this is just a short-term recovery, not a clear uptrend. The market needs to go above 23,860 to show the first real sign of strength. Until that happens, upside moves can fail. On the upside, there are clear resistance zones: Around 24,350 (R1) Around 25,100 (R2) Around 25,900+ (R3) On the downside, if the market fails to hold and falls again, it can retest lower levels near 22,900 – 21,800 zone. We will update further information soon.
NSE:NIFTY
by BrightRally_Research
XAUUSD — Resistance Now Takes Center StageXAUUSD — Wave 5 Sell Zone Now Becomes the Weekly Decision Point Gold is moving into next week with a very sensitive structure on the chart. The broader trend is no longer in clean expansion mode, and price is now testing a zone where the market must decide whether this is only a temporary rebound inside weakness, or the start of a deeper selloff. For Kelly, this is not the kind of chart to chase emotionally. This is the kind of chart where structure has to lead. Technical structure On the chart, gold is still trading inside a large descending channel, which keeps the broader medium-term tone defensive. The current recovery has pushed price back into the wave 5 sell zone around 4890–4920, and that area matters because it sits right under the upper half of the broader bearish structure. So far, buyers have managed to lift price into resistance, but they have not yet changed the higher-timeframe framework. Below current price, two technical layers stand out: 4554 as the first strong support 4400 area as the next liquidity zone Deeper than that, the chart still keeps a wider long-term target zone near 3700 on the map if the broader bearish wave sequence continues to develop. Wave structure From an Elliott perspective, the current rebound can be read as a recovery into a wave 5 sell area, not a confirmed bullish reversal. That is the key distinction. The market already printed a sharp decline, then rotated higher into resistance. When price rebounds into a mapped sell zone inside a descending channel, the cleaner interpretation is often that the market is completing a corrective phase before deciding whether to continue lower. For Kelly, that keeps the current move highly reactive. If buyers cannot reclaim and hold above the sell zone with real momentum, then this area can become the launch point for the next leg down. What matters next week The weekly map is relatively clean. Bearish scenario If gold remains capped below the 4890–4920 resistance band and starts slipping back under local support, the chart opens room toward 4554 first. If that floor gives way, the next rotation can extend into the 4400 liquidity zone. That path would keep the broader bearish channel intact and support the idea that the market is still trading toward a larger downside objective over time. Bullish invalidation scenario If buyers break and hold above the current sell zone with acceptance, then the bearish wave count weakens. That would force the market into a stronger recovery phase and delay the downside continuation. But right now, the chart is not there yet. Price is testing resistance, not reclaiming structure. Macro backdrop The macro side fits this more cautious technical picture. Fed Governor Christopher Waller has recently sounded careful about easing, with officials emphasizing that rates may need to stay unchanged for longer while inflation risks remain alive. At the same time, broader Fed commentary and Beige Book-style assessments have highlighted that Middle East conflict is adding to U.S. economic uncertainty. That mix can keep gold supported on fear, but it can also delay the kind of policy relief that usually gives gold a cleaner upside tailwind. For Kelly, that creates a market where macro uncertainty supports volatility, but not necessarily a clean bullish continuation. That is why the chart matters even more here. Kelly’s read This is still a resistance-led chart. Gold has rallied into a meaningful sell zone, but it is doing so inside a broader descending channel and without fully breaking the higher-timeframe bearish framework. That keeps the upside fragile unless buyers can prove much more above current levels. For Kelly, the cleaner view into next week is simple: as long as gold stays below the wave 5 sell zone, the path of least resistance remains vulnerable to another move lower. Conclusion Gold enters next week at a technical decision point. The rebound has reached the 4890–4920 wave 5 sell zone, but the broader chart still sits inside a descending channel, with 4554 and 4400 as the next major downside references if resistance holds. The rebound is visible — but unless price reclaims structure above resistance, the chart still looks like a setup where sellers may take control again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kelly_Koou_Gold
2
CTRA - Healthy Dip Before Next RallyCTRA is in a clear uptrend, but after a strong rally, it’s now taking a healthy pullback. Price got rejected near $37 and is slowly moving down toward a strong support zone around $29 , where buyers previously stepped in. Wave 4 can become a crucial demand zone for the current prices. Before the next big move, it may show a small bounce and then dip again into this zone to complete the correction. The stock has already pulled back about 50% of its previous move, and now it’s approaching a strong support area. We’re watching for a possible reversal near the 61.8% Fibonacci level, which lines up with the previous support zone (earlier pullback area) and a known demand zone where buyers have stepped in before. Target for this setup is 33.45 - 34.64 - 36.10+ . Entry is only possible after the price action confirmation or sub-wave formation. We will update with further information soon. By @BrightRally_Research
NYSE:CTRA
by BrightRally_Research
6
XAUUSD May Be Entering a Corrective Wave Gold May Be Entering a Corrective Wave — Strong Data Is Starting to Matter Again Gold still looks elevated on the chart, but the structure is beginning to suggest that the market may be shifting from impulsive upside into a corrective phase. A small but important macro note first: the latest New York Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey did not come in weak. The headline index actually rose to 11.0 in April, versus -0.5 expected and -0.2 prior, while new orders and shipments also improved. That matters because firmer activity data can support yields and the dollar on the margin, which often makes gold more vulnerable to short-term cooling after a strong run. From a technical perspective, the chart is now at a very interesting point. The previous advance looks like a completed 5-wave impulsive structure, and price is no longer moving with the same clean strength that defined the earlier rally. Instead, the market is beginning to trace what looks like an ABC correction, with price rotating under resistance rather than expanding away from it. That usually tells us momentum is becoming less one-sided. Elliott structure on the chart The key idea here is simple: the impulsive move appears mature price is now transitioning into a correction the current rebound can be interpreted as a potential wave B retest which leaves room for a wave C pullback if resistance holds In other words, this is the kind of structure where traders should probably stop chasing the last bullish move and start paying closer attention to where the correction may want to complete. Key zones to watch Sell zone / Wave B resistance: around the 4835–4845 area Near-term pivot: around 4800–4815 Liquidity strong buy zone / Wave C target: around 4760–4770 The upper zone matters because that is where the market may finish the rebound leg of the correction. If price pushes into that resistance area and starts to lose momentum again, the chart would fit a classic A-B-C pattern, with the next move rotating lower into the liquidity zone below. Why the bearish correction scenario makes sense What I find important is that price is no longer trending in a clean vertical way. The structure is becoming more segmented, more reactive, and more wave-like. That often happens when the market is no longer in pure expansion mode. At the same time, the stronger-than-expected Empire State data gives the market a reason to slow gold’s upside in the short term. It does not automatically destroy the broader bullish picture, but it does make a pullback scenario more reasonable — especially when the chart is already showing a possible corrective sequence. So for me, the issue is not whether gold is suddenly bearish in the bigger picture. The issue is whether the current structure is preparing for a healthy correction before the next directional move. Main scenario If gold continues to rebound into the 4835–4845 sell zone but fails to build acceptance above it, then the market may complete wave B and rotate lower into wave C. That would open the path toward the 4760–4770 liquidity strong buy zone, which is the first area where buyers may become interesting again. This is the cleaner technical scenario on the chart right now: completed impulse → corrective rebound → wave C decline into support Invalidation If price breaks through the upper resistance and starts holding above it with clean momentum, then the corrective interpretation weakens. In that case, the market would no longer be behaving like a simple ABC retracement, and the structure would need to be reassessed. Until then, I still prefer to treat strength near resistance with caution. Cecilia’s view Gold still has a strong larger story behind it, but this particular chart is beginning to feel less like continuation and more like correction inside strength. That is an important distinction. Because when a market stops expanding and starts moving in waves, the best opportunities often come after the correction, not in the middle of it. So right now, I am not interested in emotional chasing near the top. I am more interested in whether the market completes this corrective path cleanly and gives a better reaction from lower support. Final thought The current structure suggests that gold may be entering a short-term corrective cycle, and the stronger-than-expected New York manufacturing data adds another reason for the market to pause before trying to push higher again. For now, the cleaner map is: rebound into resistance watch for wave B exhaustion look for wave C into the liquidity buy zone That does not make gold weak. It simply means the market may need to breathe before the next real move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Cecilia_Jane_Trader
1
CADCHF: Bullish Setup After WXY CompletionCADCHF has likely finished its correction phase (called a W-X-Y in Elliott Wave), which basically means the market has already gone through a messy sideways/down move and may now be ready to trend. Price recently dipped below support (a fake breakdown) and quickly reacted, suggesting sellers are losing control. Right now, the market is trying to form the first move up (Wave 1), but it’s not confirmed yet. For real strength, currency needs to break and hold above the marked resistance level. Breakout above wave B will confirm the bullish cycle. Bullish targets are 0.5148 - 0.5751+ . We can extend the targets after the breakout of wave X. We will update with further information soon. By @BrightRally_Research
by BrightRally_Research
XAUUSD – Wave 5 in Progress While Macro Pressure Eases Gold is not just moving — it’s transitioning into a late-stage impulsive structure. Recent data shows the Fed’s unrealized losses have narrowed to $844.2B, down significantly from $1.06T. While this doesn’t directly shift monetary policy, it signals reduced systemic pressure — creating a more stable backdrop for risk assets and gold to continue trending structurally. Market Structure & Elliott Wave Price has completed a clean impulsive sequence from the bottom: Wave (1) → (2) → (3) expansion confirmed Wave (4) formed a controlled pullback within structure Current price is developing Wave (5) The structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the channel support. Fibonacci Confluence Wave (4) respected the 0.5 – 0.618 retracement zone Current expansion aligns toward the 0.236 extension (≈ 5,100) This level acts as a psychological + technical resistance This confluence strengthens the probability of a final push higher before any major correction. Key Zones Buy Zone (Wave 5 continuation): ~4,700 – 4,750 Mid resistance: ~4,970 Final target (Wave 5): ~5,100 Scenario Planning Primary scenario: Price holds the buy zone → continues channel expansion → completes Wave (5) toward 5,100. Alternative scenario: Failure below channel support → deeper correction before continuation. Kelly Perspective Kelly_Koou_Gold doesn’t chase tops. We follow structure, wave logic, and confirmation. Wave 5 is where profits are made — but also where discipline matters most.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kelly_Koou_Gold
19
Educational : How to Spot a Potential Trend ReversalHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we are going to learn, Technical Analysis : How to Spot a Potential Trend Reversal, and how we can confirm or estimate whether the strength/probability behind them is high or low. We’re sharing this study as an educational post, so let’s go through it together. But please remember — this is an educational post only. There are no tips or advisory here. Right. We’ve used a very good example here — the chart of HFCL Limited — so that you and I can clearly understand what points we are seeing. We use these points to confirm things. But even then, remember, even then this study can go wrong. However, the more points that are aligned or giving confirmation in the direction we are anticipating, the higher the probability of winning or the accuracy can be. But what is the invalidation? What would invalidate this view? That’s also part of this study. Meaning, there is always a chance that our study can be right and can be wrong too. So let’s try to understand this in detail. When we look at a stock chart, we are essentially looking at a map of human emotions—greed, fear, and indecision. Today, let’s break down a recent setup in HFCL Limited to understand how multiple technical tools come together to build a "case" for a potential upward move. Instead of looking at just one indicator, professional analysts use a "confluence" of factors. Here is the step-by-step logic of how a trend changes direction. 1. Context : Elliott Wave Theory According to Elliott Wave theory, markets move in repetitive cycles. After a long correction labeled here as Wave (4), we look for the start of wave (5). The Concept: Wave (5) is usually the final leg of a major uptrend and often goes higher than the peak of Wave (3). The Current View: The price has stabilized around 60 and is starting to curve upward, suggesting the "Road Map" for Wave (5) might be beginning. Possible Elliott Waves Counts 2. The First Symptom: Bullish Divergence Before the price actually starts moving up, the "momentum" often shifts first. This is called Bullish Divergence . What happened: The price was making "Lower Lows" (falling), but the indicators (like RSI and MACD) were making "Higher Lows." The Lesson: This tells us that even though the price is falling, the selling pressure is exhausting. It’s like a car slowing down before it hits a U-turn. 3. Psychological Support: The RK's Cloud In Technical Analysis, people give a lot of importance to the 200 EMA — they treat it as the final support. When the 200 EMA of even the higher time frames breaks, then price usually takes support on the RK’s Mass Psychological Cloud, and here too it has taken support exactly there. This is the Mass Psychological Cloud. Price often reacts to areas where investors feel "comfortable" buying. In this study, the price landed perfectly on the **Mass Psychological Cloud** (a zone of support). It didn't just touch it and fall; it took support and bounced. This shows that buyers are stepping in at these levels to defend the stock. 4. Breaking the Chains: Curve & Rounding Bottom Breakouts Once the support is established, the price needs to break its old "falling" habit. Curve Trendline: For months, the price was capped by a downward curve. Recently, it broke above this Curved Resistance Trendline. Curve Trendline breakout Rounding Bottom: This is a classic "U-shaped" pattern that signals a shift from a bearish sentiment to a bullish one. Rounding Bottom Breakout Volume Confirmation: Notice the tall green bars at the bottom? That is Volume . A breakout with high volume means big institutional players are likely participating in the move, not just small retail traders. 5. Trend Confirmation: Moving Averages (EMA) To confirm the trend is now "Healthy," we look at the 50 EMA (Red) and 200 EMA (Black). Daily & Weekly Alignment: The price has managed to climb above both these major averages on both the Daily and Weekly timeframes. Supported by major Moving Averages on Daily time frames Supported by major Moving Averages on Weekly time frames Why it matters: Trading above the 200 EMA is generally considered the "Long Term Bull Zone." When the price stays above these lines, the path of least resistance is usually upward. Invalidation Level is the price point where your analysis officially becomes "wrong." Why it matters: The "Deal-Breaker": Every technical setup is a story. If you believe Wave 5 has started from a specific low (like 59.82 in your chart), then that low is your foundation. If the price breaks below it, your "story" is no longer valid. Objectivity: It removes emotions. Instead of hoping the price will bounce, you have a pre-decided exit point based on logic, not fear. Defining the Trend: In a Bullish trend, the market must make "Higher Lows." If the price breaks the previous major low, the Bullish structure is destroyed. The Golden Rule: A professional analyst doesn't just look for where the price will go; they always know exactly where they will admit they were wrong. Summary Checklist for Learners If you are tracking a reversal, look for these steps: 1. Is momentum slowing down while price falls ? Bullish Divergence says yes 2. Is there a psychological zone or "cloud" holding the price ? Cloud providing Support 3. Has it broken a major trendline or a "Rounding Bottom"? Breakout confirms it Yes. 4. Was the breakout backed by high trading activity ? Volume say Yes. 5. Is the price safely above its long-term moving averages ? 50 & 200 EMAs say Yes. 6. Price can go in our favour untill Invalidation level is not triggered. Right direction is better than speed. Understanding why a price moves is the first step to becoming a disciplined observer of the markets. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:HFCLEducation
by RK_Chaarts
DXY 4H - waiting for longDXY printed an impulsive 5-wave advance from 95.550 → 100.660. Since that high, price has shifted into a corrective phase. The current retracement is sitting inside the typical 38.2–61.8% Fib correction zone, and it looks like we may already be in the late stage of that pullback. Longs only after 1H prints the first clean 5-wave structure up from the corrective base. Best trigger: break above the local swing high after that initial 5-wave push. 🎯 Target • > 103.000 (continuation toward higher resistance)
TVC:DXYLong
by ProTradyX
Daily Chart Outlook on MP Materials Corp.In the last outlook i put forward a bullish and bearish scenario, the bearish one played out with price declining in a C wave and reversing pretty much dead on where i suggested. NYSE:MP is again looking for a break to the upside with a continuation in wave 3 or C, as i have detailed on both the chart comments and the future projections, there is an alternative count to again consider. both bullish and bearish scenarios begin the same way, we wont exactly know which one will play out until we develop the green wave ii correction and break out of that. More comments on the chart. A few caveats: 1. Some of the projections i have put forward are based on estimates of uncompleted waves, once i feel i can anchor the next wave i will update the chart and recalculate the levels for the next wave, the chart is an evolving puzzle and there is only so much we can determine based on the information we have. 2. I put more emphasis on price levels as opposed to time, dependent on volatility the waves could play out quickly or prolonged, i do factor in an element of 'the right look' in terms of wave proportionality, but also want the patterns i am projecting to be easily visible on the outlook, so bear that in mind. Note: i create my outlooks with the browser tabs hidden (F11) so if they look squashed, that is why. If you appreciate my analysis then please show your appreciate with a like, share and follow.
NYSE:MPLong
by TheWaveCave
Genesis Minerals Weekly outlook (Count 3)Genesis Minerals ASX:GMD Weekly outlook looking for the chart to progress higher in wave (5). i hold a position in this stock, not massive, but nice looking chart. More comments on the chart. A few caveats: 1. Some of the projections i have put forward are based on estimates of uncompleted waves, once i feel i can anchor the next wave i will update the chart and recalculate the levels for the next wave, the chart is an evolving puzzle and there is only so much we can determine based on the information we have. 2. I put more emphasis on price levels as opposed to time, dependent on volatility the waves could play out quickly or prolonged, i do factor in an element of 'the right look' in terms of wave proportionality, but also want the patterns i am projecting to be easily visible on the outlook, so bear that in mind. Note: i create my outlooks with the browser tabs hidden (F11) so if they look squashed, that is why. If you appreciate my analysis then please show your appreciate with a like and follow.
ASX:GMDLong
by TheWaveCave
#BTCUSDT - 4H - Elliott Wave AnalysisHonestly, the charts have been brutal to watch lately. Slow, choppy, going nowhere. But if you know how market structure works, this feeling is familiar. It's exactly what the tail end of a major Wave 4 looks like. And that's actually good news, because the worst of it is nearly behind us. Look at BTCUSDT. We're grinding through the final leg of this correction, Wave Z. The last piece of a long, exhausting puzzle. And it's not just #BTCUSDT and also #XAUUSD, #XAGUSD, the major FX pairs. They're all sitting at the similar point right now. The overlap is ending. The mess is clearing. We're rotating back into a trader's market; clean trends, real momentum, setups where the risk-reward actually makes sense. The impulses are coming back. If you had the discipline to sit on your hands through this phase, that patience is about to pay off. But you need to be in position before the candles start moving. The window to prepare is closing.
by ElliottWaveStrategy
XAUUSD — CPI Could Decide the Next MoveXAUUSD — CPI night stands in front of a still-constructive recovery structure Gold is heading into a key macro catalyst with the chart still leaning constructive. The setup is no longer in pure breakout mode, but it is also not showing a clean reversal. For Kelly, this is the type of market where structure matters first, and CPI decides whether momentum expands or stalls. The U.S. CPI release for March 2026 is scheduled for April 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET, which makes tonight’s session the main volatility trigger for gold. Technical structure From the chart, gold is still holding above the buy zone / liquidity + trendline support around the current base. That matters because the market has already rebuilt from the March low and is now trading inside a rising short-term structure rather than falling back into liquidation. The key levels on this map are clear: 4750–4765 area as the immediate reaction zone around current price 4858 as the weekly high reference 4900–4950 FVG as the next major upside magnet 5100–5150 target zone as the broader extension area if momentum accelerates As long as price stays above the rising support and the nearby buy zone, the chart still supports a continuation path higher. A stable hold here keeps the market aligned with another push toward the weekly high first, then into the FVG above. What CPI changes tonight CPI is the event that can either validate this structure or interrupt it. The market already knows inflation has been moderating gradually: in the latest BLS release, February CPI rose 0.3% month over month and 2.4% year over year, while core CPI rose 0.2% month over month and 2.5% year over year. That means tonight’s print will matter less as an isolated number and more as a signal of whether disinflation is continuing cleanly or starting to stall. For gold, the read is straightforward: a softer-than-feared CPI would support the case for lower yields / softer USD reaction, which could help gold break back toward 4858 and potentially extend into the 4900–4950 imbalance zone a hotter CPI could pressure gold into a deeper retest of the trendline and the buy-liquidity shelf before buyers attempt to rebuild Kelly’s trade map For Kelly, the chart still favors buy-the-dip structure rather than chasing random candles into the release. Bullish scenario If gold defends the current buy zone and reacts well after CPI, the first upside path remains the week high near 4858. A clean reclaim there opens the door toward the 4900–4950 FVG, and if momentum expands, the higher 5100–5150 target zone stays on the map. Corrective scenario If CPI creates a sharp downside reaction first, the focus shifts to whether price can still hold above the rising support and liquidity base. A pullback into support would not damage the broader view by itself. It only becomes a structural problem if the market starts losing the base decisively and fails to recover it quickly. Kelly’s read This is a chart with bullish structure, but event risk directly ahead. That is an important distinction. Gold does not need to rally immediately to stay constructive. It only needs to keep holding the support architecture that has been building beneath price. For Kelly, the cleaner message is this: the chart is still pointing higher, but tonight’s CPI is the filter. If support survives the release, the market still has room to continue toward 4858, then 4900–4950. Conclusion Gold enters CPI night with a still-healthy recovery structure and a clear technical roadmap above current price. As long as the buy zone and rising trendline remain intact, the broader path still favors another move higher, with 4858 as the first upside test and 4900–4950 as the next major objective. CPI may trigger the move, but structure will decide whether gold turns volatile or resumes the climb.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kelly_Koou_Gold
3
XAUUSD Gold Daily Outlook (Count 2) Primary 5 of cycle wave IIIIn this updated FX_IDC:XAUUSD Daily outlook i have zoomed in on the Primary wave 5 of cycle wave III. In the recent monthly outlook i said it was a little early to call wave 4 in cyan completed, it still is to be fair but so far price looks to be heading in the right direction. it's possible Gold has completed an intermediate degree yellow wave (1) and wave (2) is now underway. In the alternate outlook this would instead be A and B of an ABC corrective X wave, leading to another decline. i have a trade running which i have largely closed (75% closed) this has been detailed in my 'minds' posts. i will look to add when i think wave (2) is completed, running trade is targeting $6000. More comments on the chart. A few caveats: 1. Some of the projections i have put forward are based on estimates of uncompleted waves, once i feel i can anchor the next wave i will update the chart and recalculate the levels for the next wave, the chart is an evolving puzzle and there is only so much we can determine based on the information we have. 2. I put more emphasis on price levels as opposed to time, dependent on volatility the waves could play out quickly or prolonged, i do factor in an element of 'the right look' in terms of wave proportionality, but also want the patterns i am projecting to be easily visible on the outlook, so bear that in mind. Note: i create my outlooks with the browser tabs hidden (F11) so if they look squashed, that is why. If you appreciate my analysis then please show your appreciate with a like and follow.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TheWaveCave
1
#XAUUSD - H4 - Elliott Wave Analysis#XAUUSD needs patience right now. The chart we're tracking is messy. No clear impulse has formed in the zone, which means we still can't confirm Wave 4 is finished. The odds are gradually shifting toward a longer, drawn-out W-X-Y-X-Z corrective sequence. The plan: don't assume Wave 5 is underway just because price went up last day. Complex corrections are built to punish early guesses. They chop. They fake. They exhaust. Just step back and let the market show its hand. The next few days should bring more clarity. Protect your capital. The real setup is still ahead.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ElliottWaveStrategy
XAGUSD - H4 - Elliott Wave AnalysisGold and Silver didn't do what we wanted today, and we got stopped out. Do I hate hitting a stop loss? Absolutely. It’s frustrating. But let's remember exactly why we use them. A stop loss isn't a punishment; it’s the only thing keeping your account alive. Taking a small, calculated loss is just part of the job. If you don't know how to take a punch like a pro, the market will eventually knock you out. So, is the macro trend completely broken? Honestly, it’s too early to tell. These 4th Waves love to throw nasty surprises and trap people in messy, overlapping chop. Right now, the worst thing you can do is revenge trade. Don't force it. Trading isn't about being in a position 24/7; it's about waiting for the perfect pitch. I’m sitting on my hands, tracking the charts, and waiting for the market to actually clear up. When the next clean structure forms, I'll be ready. Stay patient.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by ElliottWaveStrategy
#GBPAUD - H4 - Elliott Wave AnalysisYou can have the most accurate analysis in the world. You can map every Elliott Wave perfectly. But without strict risk management, you will eventually blow your account. Our number one priority at EWS is not catching every single pip; it is preserving capital. This is exactly why every single roadmap we provide comes with a strict Invalidation Level. When the price crosses that line, the structural count is objectively wrong. We don't hope. We don't pray. We don't widen our stop losses. We accept the small loss and wait for the next high-probability setup. Survive the chop. Profit heavily on the impulses.
Short
by ElliottWaveStrategy
DXY (Dollar Index) Daily Outlook (Count 3)This is a daily timeframe outlook of the TVC:DXY . This is in alignment with my previously posted weekly outlook and is a slight alteration of the last posted Daily outlook, both shown in the related publications area. In this update I am looking for the DXY to again continue lower potentially in an ending diagonal pattern towards the target zones which start at around $93.8. As mentioned on the chart, if we see price decline in a traditional impulse with no overlap between wave 1 and 4 then lower targets can come in to play which aren't shown on this chart. More comments on the chart, but here are the caveats: 1. Some of the projections i have put forward are based on estimates of uncompleted waves, once i feel i can anchor the next wave i will update the chart and recalculate the levels for the next wave, the chart is an evolving puzzle and there is only so much we can determine based on the information we have. 2. I put more emphasis on price levels as opposed to time, dependent on volatility the waves could play out quickly or prolonged, i do factor in an element of 'the right look' in terms of wave proportionality, but also want the patterns i am projecting to be easily visible on the outlook, so bear that in mind. Note: i create my outlooks with the browser tabs hidden (F11) so if they look squashed, that is why. If you appreciate my analysis then please show your appreciate with a like and follow.
TVC:DXYShort
by TheWaveCave
Panduhh's Elliott Wave Viewpoint of MetaHere this time I used simple elliott wave for the levels. This is just as useful as my pivots, however it can blind your bias if you don't stay objective. The count could be dead wrong, it doesnt have to complete a C wave however its close to it's 38 percent pull back which is a likely rejection point (Dont assume) if we are expecting a wave 5. Acceptance below 38 percent could see initiative take it down. However, I see that as unlikely. Stay nimble and adapt. Like I said. None of what I said has to happen.
NASDAQ:META
by PanduhhDaytrades
What next for Dow Jones?As outlined elsewhere, more than a month ago, we expected a drop in the price of the Dow. Fast forward a month later and we see a $4,500 from the Grey zone, which was put there more than a month ago and identified as a key area. The focus is on studying market structure to identify high-probability scenarios across major asset classes. Price should be analyzed through a structured, forward-looking framework, with the aim of understanding how moves develop rather than reacting after they happen. A long-term perspective is essential in this process—it filters out short-term noise, provides context for price action, and allows larger, more meaningful trends to unfold with clarity rather than confusion. For example, taking a short a month ago would have been very productive and less stressful than usual day trading. This approach shifts the focus from prediction to preparation—building a clear framework for what is likely, rather than reacting to what has already happened. By consistently applying structure and maintaining a broader view of the market, it becomes possible to navigate periods of volatility with more clarity and less uncertainty, recognizing that the most significant opportunities often develop over time, not in isolated moments. For those who want more than isolated chart snapshots, looking to follow the structure as it develops—not just the outcome—the full context and ongoing analysis can be found elsewhere...
TVC:DJI
by TheElliottWaveLab
XAUUSD Gold Monthly Outlook (Count 2) Supercycle wave (III)In this updated FX_IDC:XAUUSD monthly outlook i have zoomed in a little on the super cycle wave (III). The last outlook was looking for a yellow wave (5) high and cyan wave 4 correction. I think we may have that correction completed, it is a little early but the type of correction fits with the guideline of alternation and the 38.2% level has been reached with so far a nice reaction. i have added to some gold and silver miner positions today and last Friday and will be looking for some long trades on gold and silver themselves. I will look to get some lower time frame charts out, i'll maybe up date the recent 4H outlook which did mention the $4080 level as a retracement target. There are plenty of comments on the chart so I'm not going to recap too much here, but i will mention the caveats: 1. Some of the projections i have put forward are based on estimates of uncompleted waves, once i feel i can anchor the next wave i will update the chart and recalculate the levels for the next wave, the chart is an evolving puzzle and there is only so much we can determine based on the information we have. 2. I put more emphasis on price levels as opposed to time, dependent on volatility the waves could play out quickly or prolonged, i do factor in an element of 'the right look' in terms of wave proportionality, but also want the patterns i am projecting to be easily visible on the outlook, so bear that in mind. Note: i create my outlooks with the browser tabs hidden (F11) so if they look squashed, that is why. If you appreciate my analysis then please show your appreciate with a like and follow.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TheWaveCave
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