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Elliottwaveretracement

NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by Money_Dictators
JIOFIN Setting Up for the Next Big Breakout!JIOFIN Daily chart Possible short-term dip toward 285 - 290. Long-term Levels: 335, 368, and 342. Overall Trend: Bullish Short-term trend: Bearish JIOFIN is ready for the final upsurge as the correction ends at wave (C). A major A-B-C correction of the primary degree is clearly visible on the daily timeframe chart. Upon closer examination, it appears that the JIOFIN is currently in wave (Y) of wave 4. After completion of the wave 4 structure, Stock will set for the wave 4 for the given long-term levels. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thanks :)
NSE:JIOFIN
by Money_Dictators
Nifty 50: Genuine Rally or Selloff Setup?The Nifty 50 Index went up, but this upward move was likely just a temporary correction, not the start of a new, long-term rise. Bottom (Wave W): The index first hit a low around 24,377 Bounce (Wave X): It then went up to a high near 25,448. This rise was a clear, three-part corrective move (like an ABC pattern) that stayed inside a rising channel . Clue: Because the move from the bottom (W) to the peak (X) was corrective, it suggests the overall trend is still bearish (downward). Points to look at: 1. Reversal: The index is currently around 24,836 and is starting to turn down from the top of that rising channel. This suggests the temporary rise is over. 2. Projected Drop (Wave Y): The main prediction is a significant drop (Wave Y) that will likely break the previous low of 24,377 . 3. Target: This decline is expected to head toward the lower blue trendline on the chart, completing a larger WXY corrective pattern. 4. Projection: Ending point of wave (Y) can act as the ride for the new impulse cycle. 5. Bearish Stance: Traders should be cautiously bearish (expecting the price to fall). 6. Price action perspective: Previous swing is bearish, better to look at short positions for safe entry. 7. Selling Opportunities: Any small upward movements (retracements) are seen as good selling opportunities (betting on the price going down), as long as the price doesn't break above the recent highs or the channel ceiling.24,300 is indeed a strong demand zone. Stay tuned! Money Dictators :)
NSE:NIFTY
by Money_Dictators
Elliot Wave📚 Elliott Wave Trading Strategy — Education Framework 1. Origins & Philosophy Ralph Nelson Elliott (1920s–1930s): Found that markets, while seeming chaotic, often move in repeating wave structures. Core Belief: Market psychology cycles between optimism and pessimism in a fractal pattern. Purpose: Provides a roadmap of where the market could be within a cycle (not a certainty). 2. The Two Types of Waves Impulse (Motive) Waves (1–5): Move in the direction of the main trend. Rules: Wave 2 never retraces >100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest. Wave 4 doesn’t overlap Wave 1. Net result = trend continuation. Corrective Waves (A–B–C): Move against the main trend. Three-wave structure: down (A), up (B), down (C) in a bull market. Typically retraces a Fibonacci % of the prior impulse. 3. Key Components Fractals: Small waves make up bigger ones, across timeframes. Degrees of Waves: From Grand Supercycle (multi-century) to Subminuette (intraday). Fibonacci Ratios: Common retracement levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) and extensions (161.8%) guide targets. 4. Practical Trading Strategy Elliott Wave by itself is subjective. The edge comes when combined with confirming indicators. Example Workflow for Swing Trading Identify Trend Direction: Use 50-day/200-day MA, Ichimoku, or ADX. Wave Counting: Label impulse waves 1–5. Wait for a corrective wave A–B–C. Entry: Many Enter end of Wave 2 or Wave 4 (buy dips in uptrend). Try entering a wave earlier, so that you lock in better Risk to Reward. Use momentum oscillators (RSI/Stochastics) to confirm end of correction. Exit/Profit Target: Project Wave 3 or 5 using Fibonacci extensions (often 161.8% of Wave 1). Stop Loss: Below Wave 1 start (if long). Above Wave 1 start (if short in a bear sequence). 5. Who Uses Elliott Wave? Day Traders / Swing Traders: To catch impulse waves. Long-term Investors: To avoid topping markets (useful in bubbles). Cross-Market Traders: Applies in stocks, forex, commodities, crypto. 6. Advantages ✅ Provides forward-looking framework (not just lagging). ✅ Works across asset classes and timeframes. ✅ Helps identify where we are in a market cycle. ✅ Blends well with Fibonacci, RSI, and trend filters. 7. Disadvantages ❌ Highly subjective (two traders may count waves differently). ❌ No guarantee — probabilities, not certainties. ❌ Developed in the 1930s, critics argue it hasn’t adapted well to algorithmic/modern markets. 8. Famous Elliott Wave Calls Dow 2002–03 Crash: Prechter predicted drop from 11,000 → 7,000. Gold 2011 Peak: Predicted ~$1,900 top. Bitcoin 2017: Analysts called $20K top → $3K. 9. Common Mistakes Forcing wave counts (bias confirmation). Ignoring other indicators. Trading every wave → instead, focus on the big impulses. No patience (wave structures can take weeks or months). ✅ Summary Strategy (Simple Version) Use MAs or trendlines → determine main trend. Count impulse waves → focus on Wave 3 and Wave 5 (strongest). Wait for corrective pullback (Wave 2 or 4). Enter with oscillator confirmation + Fibonacci retracement. Exit at Fibonacci extension or trend exhaustion.
Education
by GabrielAmadeusLau
EUR/USD – Elliott Wave + FVG Orderblock | Key Short Setup Ahead🔎 Analysis Breakdown: 1. Wave Structure: Market is completing the corrective ABCDE pattern, with wave D testing the upper supply area. 2. Supply Zone: The highlighted zone shows active sellers, increasing probability of rejection. 3. Liquidity & FVG Orderblock: Below, we have a fair value gap (FVG) and orderblock acting as a magnet for price. 4. Scenario: If price rejects the D leg zone, bearish momentum could accelerate towards the FVG orderblock area (1.1580 – 1.1560). ⚠️ Invalidation: Any clean break and sustained close above the D-leg supply zone would invalidate this short setup. --- Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a critical juncture. Sellers are active, and rejection here could open the door for a deeper drop into the FVG orderblock zone. Keep risk tight and watch for confirmations before entry. 💬 What’s your take — are you bearish from here, or do you expect a breakout? Comment below 👇 --- #EURUSD #ElliottWave #Forex #SmartMoney #Liquidity #FVG #Orderblock #Trading
Short
by Greenfireforex
ICP Wave 2 correction! Simple ABC zigzag...is the move done thouSince the 14th of August the crypto markets have been in a corrective phase, a much needed retracement if you ask me. There were plenty of bullish moves before the 14th on loads of alts (Arbitrum) to keep us busy but we need the reset so we can continue with confidence that the bottom will not fall out from under us. Displayed is a wave 2 retracement of wave 1, which is the second 1,2 pattern (Extremely Bullish) in the move up. Likely we will see this fractal play out on a smaller degree, following in past fractals footsteps. Triple 1,2 is the move i believe is the most probable at this point (Expanding Diagonal is super rare) Happy Trading 🌊
COINBASE:ICPUSDLong
by Fractical
2
HBAR (Local) Elliot Wave ii UnderwayHBAR appears to have completed a leading diagonal for wave 1 after finding a bottom at the major support high volume node (HVN). Wave 2 has retraced the expected 61.8% Fibonacci but alt coins have their own Golden Pocket at the 78.6% retracement which aligns with the S1 pivot and high volume node. The descending resistance line has been tested as support leaving a doji but does not look strong enough to be the bottom yet. Wave 3 should be a powerful move up. This analysis is invalidated below macro wave 4 -$0.12556 Safe trading
COINBASE:HBARUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
Gold 1M & 15M Bearish Breaker Block Setup, Targeting 3,202 ZoneI’ve marked a bearish breaker block on the 1-minute chart (3,316–3,319), also visible on the 15M timeframe. ✅ Last bullish push before the sharp downside breakout. ✅ Price retested this zone, wicked through it, and then sold off aggressively — reinforcing bearish order flow and the potential for deeper downside. I’m tracking this move as the final C wave of an ABC corrective pattern. ✅ The C wave started from the 3,319 high and is unfolding in a 5-wave substructure. ✅ 1-Minute breaker block around 3,316–3,319 — I’m watching for rejection here, which aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement as an estimated end of wave 2. ✅ My current expectation: wave (3) and (5) of C could extend lower to the 3,256–3,202 zone. 🧩 Key Confluences: Bearish breaker block rejection 15M downtrend structure remains intact #XAUUSD #gold #forex #elliottwave #bearishbreakerblock #orderflow #priceaction
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by EWaveInsights
EURJPY: Short Setup with Target Zones in FocusEURJPY outlines a clear W-X-Y corrective pattern. Wave (W) ended at 161.297 , followed by an upward corrective move in Wave (X), which topped at 162.665 with a classic ABC formation. Currently, the price is hovering around 162.084, likely forming Wave B of the final Y leg. A brief move higher could complete this B wave before the pair resumes its decline toward the 160.922–160.680 area, which marks the projected end of Wave C of (Y). The broader correction is framed by two descending blue trendlines, providing dynamic resistance and support, while a short-term red ascending trendline is currently holding the price action but may soon give way. If the price stalls or rejects around the 162.3–162.5 zone, it could signal the start of the next leg down, making it a potential setup for short positions. After the reversal from Wave Y, potential upside targets are 161.600, 162.500 , and 163.100 . We will update it soon!
by Money_Dictators
2
Binance Coin BNB is Likely to go down, until at least end of MayBNB has been in a correction since the start of December '24. And as time went by, it developed into an combo correction. I believe we are at the end of the purple B-wave of the green (Y) wave. We are right now finithing the white ((c)) wave of purple B wave, so we are going to see a small wave up until around the 630-640 level. And after this the purple C wave is going to take on downwards. And since very rarely the c wave has a shorter timespan than the a wave, we are not going to see this correction end until the end of may/ start of june. I believe the purple C wave are going to take us down to the 382 level in that yellow box. The 383 level is the 61.8% retracement of the primary white ((1)) wave. And this level is also roughly around the 100% Fib level of the purple A wave. If price comes to the green box I've drawn out. I belive that would be a good time to start looking for a confirmation to short.
by TheDane
2
Bearish Setup on NFLX: Correction Wave (C) UnfoldingTF: 4h NFLX appears bearish at the moment. The corrective structure on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential decline. The current formation indicates that wave B likely completed at 998.61 , and the stock has now begun its descent into wave (C) of the correction. The correction may extend to the 100% projection of wave A at 788.67 , or potentially deepen to 659.06 , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave A. After the completion of wave (C), traders can buy for the target up to wave B at 998.61 . I will continue to update the situation as it evolves.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Money_Dictators
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend. The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal. Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140. I'll be sharing more details shortly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Money_Dictators
17
GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Elliott Wave Mapping the Next MoveThis GBP/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis. Wave (1) and (2): The market had an impulsive bullish movement in Wave 1, followed by a corrective Wave 2. Wave (3): A strong bullish move with momentum. Wave (4): A corrective phase, forming a triangle pattern (a-b-c-d-e), which suggests the market is preparing for another impulsive leg. Entry Confirmation: A breakout above the triangle pattern. First Target: 1.31457 (Fibonacci 0.382) Second Target: 1.32105 (Fibonacci 0.5)
by Money_Dictators
1
GOOGL - Elliott Wave Final ShowdownGOOGL has dropped over 27.28% , reaching a minor profit-booking zone. The $150 level serves as a key demand zone, where a potential price reversal could occur. The formation is either expanded flat or a running flat on the daily timeframe chart. Confirmation is best observed near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. If bearish momentum persists, prices may decline further to the $142-$140 range before a strong rebound. Once the correction ends, the upside targets are $168, $180, and $195. A new low will form if the previous low is breached. Further research will be uploaded soon.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by Money_Dictators
4
XAUUSD - 4H Update: Potential End of Impulse Wave StructureGold continues its impulsive rally, currently completing what appears to be the final leg of wave ⑤ within an ascending channel. This aligns with the larger Elliott Wave count we've been tracking. Key points to consider: Wave Structure : We can observe the completion of five internal waves within wave ⑤, with price now at critical resistance levels near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension ($3,065.338). Bearish RSI Divergence : While price has continued to climb, RSI has started to show signs of bearish divergence, signalling weakening momentum and a potential reversal. Support Levels : Should a correction materialize, the next key areas to watch are the 0.236 ($3,025.340) and 0.382 ($2,997.608) Fibonacci retracement levels, which align with the lower trendline of the ascending channels. Wave ⑤ may be nearing exhaustion, with both the Fibonacci extension and bearish divergence suggesting caution for longs. We could see a retracement to support zones if price reverses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EWaveInsights
Asian Paints Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis – March 17, 2025The price action of Asian Paints (NSE: ASIANPAINT) has been following a clear Elliott Wave structure. The stock completed a primary wave (3) at the peak, with a truncated 5th wave, indicating weakness in the final leg of the impulse. It is currently undergoing a wave (4) correction, following a W-X-Y pattern, with the price moving lower towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target at ₹1,931. The invalidity level is set at ₹1,297, below which the larger wave structure would need reconsideration. Indicators like RSI and MACD are reflecting oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation before further downside. A confirmation of wave (4) completion would signal the start of wave (5) towards new highs. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Support: ₹1,931 (1.618 Fib Extension) Resistance: ₹2,492 (Wave Y previous support) Invalidation Level: ₹1,297 This wave count suggests that Asian Paints is nearing the end of its correction phase. A reversal from the target zone could set the stage for the next bullish impulse. 📢 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational and study purposes only. Any profits or losses from trading based on this analysis are entirely your own responsibility. Do your own research before making any trading decisions.
NSE:ASIANPAINT
by kalpeshloke
1