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Elliotwaveanalysis

Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area 1.14647.Colleagues, the corrective movement in wave “4” seems to be completed at 1.16529. Further I expect the continuation of the impulse movement in wave “5” at least to the support area at 1.14647. All this impulse will mark the movement in the bigger wave “C”. Fundamental Context The US Dollar remains firm as markets downgrade expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This keeps pressure on the euro, especially since Eurozone macro data is still weak and provides little support. At the moment, EUR/USD is mostly driven by USD dynamics rather than European fundamentals. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
10
Nvidia: Downside Pressure Nvidia has recently faced notable downward pressure, but so far has managed to hold above the support level at $176.21. As a result, we continue to anticipate an imminent rally as part of the beige wave V, which should lift the stock into the now-red Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60. However, if the stock immediately drops below the $176.21 mark, we would expect a new low for the beige wave alt.IV, with the lower $145.50 level still likely to hold.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by HKCM_Global
Blackrock Inc (BLK) | Institutional Footprints Revealed📈 BlackRock (BLK) | Institutional-Grade Supercycle Analysis Elliott Wave × Market Structure × SMC × Fibonacci × Macro Integration This is a comprehensive high-timeframe structural map for BlackRock NYSE:BLK , integrating multiple institutional frameworks to define the current Supercycle position and its projected trajectory. The objective is to identify where we are in the market cycle , where long-term capital will likely reposition , and where the next asymmetric opportunities lie . 1. Supercycle Positioning — Structural Context BLK has completed a textbook extended Supercycle Wave III , reaching near the 2.618 Fibonacci expansion relative to Wave I . The magnitude and duration of this wave strongly suggest that the market is now transitioning into Supercycle Wave IV , typically a multi-year corrective phase characterized by liquidity redistribution, volatility clustering, and structural rebalancing. Wave IV historically aligns with: Macro capital flow deceleration AUM contractions during broad equity drawdowns Repricing of risk premia across institutional portfolios Rotation from cyclical equity exposure toward defensive allocations This environment is already manifesting across major indices and B-Tier asset managers. 2. Structural Market Outlook — Wave IV Correction Wave IV is unfolding through a complex corrective formation (likely W–X–Y) rather than a simple ABC. This aligns with current market behavior: overlapping price structures, declining momentum, failed breakouts, and liquidity sweeps — all indicative of institutional distribution. Key corrective targets (Fibonacci Alignment): 0.382 Retracement | $500-450 Structural demand + prior weekly inefficiency + rebalanced liquidity 0.5–0.618 Golden Pocket | $350–$300 High-probability reaccumulation zone used by discretionary and systematic funds Confluence with multi-year unmitigated demand These zones carry materially higher probability for macro accumulation and long-duration capital deployment. 3. Smart Money & Orderflow Alignment The price action around the prior ATH displays: A clean liquidity sweep above structural highs Formation of a macro distribution range Break of structure on the weekly timeframe Unfilled fair value gaps to the downside, consistent with Wave IV corrective targets Classic displacement patterns signaling institutional orderflow rotation This behavior suggests the transition from expansion to correction has already begun, positioning the market in the early-to-mid phase of Wave IV. 4. Macro & Fundamental Confluence From a macro-fundamental standpoint: BLK’s earnings sensitivity to equity markets is significant Periods of elevated volatility materially affect net flows and AUM stability Regulatory and rate-cycle uncertainty persists Secular growth drivers remain intact, supporting a strong Wave V recovery phase The macro environment fully supports a medium-term corrective repricing before a long-term structural continuation. 5. Forward Projection — Supercycle Wave V Upon completing the corrective leg, BLK enters the next structural expansion: Supercycle Wave V. Probabilistic Wave V targets: 3.618 Fibonacci Expansion | $3,700–$4,000+ Supported by long-term earnings growth trajectory Strong confluence with high-timeframe extensions and historical BLK trend behavior This aligns with typical final-wave macro expansions that drive multi-year secular highs. 6. Executive Summary Near–mid term (corrective): Anticipating continuation of Wave IV into $500 → $300 liquidity zones Expect volatility clusters, complex corrective behavior, and structural retests Long term (expansion): Initiation of Supercycle Wave V post-2027/2029 accumulation Probable macro expansion to the $3.7k–$4k region Aligns with both structural and fundamental models This framework provides a clear roadmap for long-horizon investors, wave practitioners, and advanced SMC traders. If You Found Value We provide institutional-grade breakdowns combining macro structure, advanced Elliott Wave modeling, liquidity analysis, and high-timeframe confluence mapping. For deeper insights, premium updates, or multi-asset coverage — Follow and enable notifications for ongoing institutional-level analysis. Share this chart if you believe traders deserve deeper, institutional-level insight. Not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Do your own research. #BLK #BlackRock #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #Fibonacci #LongTermInvesting #Stocks #TradingView #WaveAnalysis #Macro #Liquidity #Investing #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis
NYSE:BLKShort
by fibcos
2
$ZEC 5-Wave Impulsive End of MoveZcash is one of those things that has thrown me off the most these past couple months. Everything else including CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been nuking, but CRYPTOCAP:ZEC has shown insane strength. It now appears this dino-coin is nearing the end of its run. 🚩 Double Top formed after impulsive 5-wave move. 🚩 Doji Candle followed by Bearish Engulfing on the Daily 🚩 Exaggerated Bearish Divergence on the RSI 🚩 Euphoria has been diminishing from the TL ⚠️ If it loses the 9EMA, this should confirm the next corrective wave down. I like the ideology behind Zcash and what it offers to the market, but it has no right to be pumping with ₿itcoin nuking.
CRYPTO:ZECUSDShort
by jonnieking
3
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): SHORT to min wave "4" area 1.30100.Colleagues, I haven't reviewed the pound for a long time and now I finally did it) The wave layout shows that the downward movement is not over yet. I think that wave “4” will soon complete its development and the impulse in wave ‘5’ will start, which will complete the big correction “C”. The minimum target is the support area at 1.30103. Further we will observe the activity in this area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Short
by Hellena_Trade
1
Tesla: DownwardShortly after our last update, Tesla experienced noticeable downward momentum, initially entering our previously magenta alternative target zone, which has already been stopped out. We currently consider the green wave complete, and the alternative target zone has been deactivated and grayed out. However, there's still a chance the stock could rise sharply, confirming an ongoing upward trend. If this alternative scenario, which has a 35% probability, plays out, we would mark blue wave alt.(II) as complete and expect gains above the resistance at $509.50 and $532.92 within a magenta upward impulse. Primarily, we anticipate further sell-offs and expect the regular wave-(II) correction low to occur first in our green target zone between $157.88 and $46.70. This green zone could potentially be suitable for long entries, protected by a stop 1% below the zone's lower edge.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by HKCM_Global
Apple: Pullback From ATH Can Be Opportunity To Join The TrendApple hit all-time highs, but an uptrend may not be over yet. Infact price is showing a clear impulsive structure that still supports the broader uptrend. However, it looks like black wave three on the daily chart may be finshed, so a near-term pullback would be natural and healthy before the next bullish leg shows up. Any deeper retracement could provide a new opportunity to join the trend IMO, with the previous fourth-wave zone around 244–251 offering an attractive support area while the market stays above 214, the key invalidation level. Also, notice that 252 is a gap from the latest earnings release, so it certainly can be an interesting zone for completion of a next retracement. Highlights: Trend: Bullish (wave three nearing completion) Support: 244–251 Resistance: 300 Invalidation: 214 Note: Watch for more gains after wave 4, nice support at 252 gap GH
NASDAQ:AAPL
by ew-forecast
USDJPY Vulnerable to Deep Pullback After Wave 5USDJPY has completed a full 5-wave rising structure inside a clear wedge pattern, which usually signals exhaustion. The final Wave (5) shows weakening momentum, and price is beginning to slip below the wedge support — an early sign that the trend may be reversing. This suggests the pair is likely entering a deeper corrective decline, potentially retracing toward 150 or lower in an impulsive A-B-C move. In simple terms: uptrend looks tired → wedge breakdown could trigger a strong downside correction. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Short
by Money_Dictators
1
Megaphone Broadening Top Likely on SPXOver the last few months, the market has been increasingly difficult to trade as it searches for direction. Stop losses were triggered for longs on Oct 10, and shorts were equally liquidated on the run up beginning Oct 27th. What has formed is a broadening top, confirmed by two points of touch on each side of the pattern. Broadening patterns can go in both directions, but supporting information suggests this is the end of the bull market: On the weekly chart, there is a MACD cross. There is a clearly defined 5 wave structure from the October 2022 bottom. It is a textbook example of Elliot Wave Theory. Multiple analysts have shown that stock valuations are near historical extremes. It is highly likely that the market is in an AI bubble. How am I trading this? I have sold all long positions. I am swinging puts that I will close out at the bottom of the megaphone. Once a breakout occurs, a pullback is highly likely to follow, even going so far as to return inside the pattern (60% of the time). If a pullback does occur, I'll load up on long dated puts to profit off a potential bear market.
SP:SPXShort
by Cryptogold14
$SPX:Bearish technical indicators are accumulating:SPX: Bearish technical indicators are accumulating: 1) A sell signal on the MACD. 2) The RSI14 is at 42. 3) There has been a break below the 10, 20, and 50-period simple moving averages. 4) There is an inability to break above the horizontal resistance at 6765. It is evident that the bullish momentum that followed the extremely bearish candlestick on October 10th has stalled, resulting in sideways trading with a slight downward trend. However, there is no immediate cause for concern since an underlying pressure is currently halting the decline. At this point, we could expect a bullish flag pattern to emerge, which will be confirmed by the market's reaction to NVDA's results next Wednesday. The lower limit of the anticipated flag aligns with a 1x1 extension for wave (C). If the situation worsens and the flag is broken, it may transform into a zig-zag pattern, with extension targets for wave (C) indicated on the chart. Consider viewing this as an opportunity to enter a long position.
CBOE:SPX
by OLIV2020
XAUUSD | Consolidation and Anticipation of Fed Data📈 Gold Market Analysis: Consolidation and Anticipation of Fed Data The gold market (XAU/USD) experienced a relatively flat and sideways trading session on Monday, consolidating between the key levels of $4103 and $4055. This movement occurred after the precious metal experienced a sharp 2% decline in the previous trading session, reflecting investor caution. Investors are currently adopting a wait-and-see approach, awaiting the release of important economic data from the United States. This data is crucial because it will provide new clues regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy path. Expectations regarding monetary tightening or, conversely, a rate cut will significantly impact US bond yields and the value of the US dollar, which in turn will determine the direction of gold prices. 📌 Technical Outlook and Key Levels Gold is currently consolidating firmly within a key pivot range. Bearish Update: The primary bearish focus lies at the $4055 support level. A clear breakout and close of the 1-hour candle (1H close) below this support is expected to trigger a further wave of bearish momentum. The next downside target is the minor support level of $4013, followed by the more significant support at $3979. Sustaining the price below $4055 will maintain a downside bias. Bullish Update: To reverse momentum, gold needs to break through the key resistance level at $4103. A convincing breakout, confirmed by a 4-hour candle (4H close) closing above $4103, would signal a shift in momentum to the bullish side and a price recovery. This would pave the way towards the next resistance target located at $4148.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by NouzTrader
$SMH: HOLDING THE KEY FOR THE SHORT TERM MARKET DIRECTION NASDAQ:SMH : The direction of the stock market this week hinges significantly on the performance of $SMH. Please note that NVDA will release its earnings report on Wednesday. Currently, the weekly chart for SMH looks good, as it remains within the channel established since the April low and is above its 10-week simple moving average (SMA). However, the upward momentum has stalled following the weekly shooting star pattern observed three weeks ago, suggesting we may be entering a digestion phase to address the extremely overbought RSI14. That said, we should not discount the possibility of a topping phase if the 10-week SMA does not hold. The stakes are high, and how the market responds to NVDA's numbers on Wednesday will be crucial.
NASDAQ:SMH
by OLIV2020
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382.Colleagues, in the last forecast I made a markup of corrective movement (ABC), but the price broke important resistance levels and it means that the price is still in the impulse, namely in the wave “5” of higher order and wave “3” of medium order. I believe that soon we will see a correction in wave “4”, then an upward movement to the resistance area of 4382. The correction in wave “4” may reach the support area of 4075, but I still recommend to work with pending orders and look out for long positions. Fundamental context The gold market continues to benefit from favourable conditions: demand for safe-haven assets is increasing amid global uncertainty and a weaker US dollar. At the same time, central banks’ purchases of gold remain at record highs, providing a strong structural base for further upside. Despite the recent pullback, the key drivers — low real interest rates and reserve-diversification efforts — remain intact. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
17
Dynamatech Has Given a Clean Wave Map to the ₹11,300 ZoneDynamatic Technologies has already completed its big A-B-C correction, meaning the downtrend is over. After this, the stock started a fresh upward Elliott Wave cycle, and waves (i), (ii), and (iii) are already complete. This confirms that the stock has entered a new bullish phase. Right now, the price is moving inside wave (iv), which is a normal and healthy pullback. This corrective move is shallow and smooth, showing that buyers are still in control. The important support for this pullback sits near 9,082 , where the chart also shows a Fibonacci level. Once wave (iv) ends, the chart suggests a strong rise toward wave (v). Wave (v) usually extends upward, and based on Fibonacci projections, the next major target is around 11,300 . This level is marked by the 1.618 extension, a common ending point for final impulse waves. Overall, the stock structure looks bullish and clean. The trendline breakout and wave count both suggest the next move is upward. If the price holds above 9,082, the chances of reaching the 11,300 wave (v) target remain strong. Stay Tuned! :) @Money_Dictators
NSE:DYNAMATECH
by Money_Dictators
$QQQ: Doubtful Low The QQQ is currently showing a lower high and a lower low, indicating a likely corrective Zig Zag pattern, with wave C only slightly longer than wave A. The 1x1 Extension is positioned at 586. Last Friday's promising bounce was halted at the horizontal resistance level of 613. The RSI has reached the same area where previous bounces occurred during the rally from the April low. The bulls need to demonstrate that last Friday's low can serve as a springboard for a recovery.
NASDAQ:NDX
by OLIV2020
$BTC: UNDER SERIOUS STRESS Who would have thought that at the end of September, when Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) was working towards achieving a new all-time high (ATH), while it was showing a negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), it would have lost 25% of its value by today? The reality is that CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed a Double Top pattern with a target price of $88,910. Currently, it is struggling to maintain the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, having fallen below the trend line that has connected the higher lows since the beginning of August. In the daily time frame, the 200-day SMA is at 110,518, crossing from above the 50-day SMA CRYPTOCAP:BTC is becoming oversold, which makes a bounce likely, but until proven otherwise, the trend is bearish
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by OLIV2020
$SPX The trend remain up, but it's crucial to stay alert!SPX: Analyzing the weekly chart, at first glance, it seems that everything is under control. However, since the formation of the doji three weeks ago, the SPX has lost upward momentum, despite Friday's attempt with a positive opening that failed to consolidate by the close of trading. It's clear that the 10-week simple moving average is on the market's radar and is currently holding. We can also draw a blue oblique support line; however, last week's doji is signalling uncertainty in the market, in addition to having closed below the horizontal support level at 6754. Meanwhile, the MACD is about to issue a sell signal. For now, the SPX remains fine, but it needs to hold firm; otherwise, it might need to test the strength of the next support level, located at 6550, where the 20-week simple moving average will also be found next week. The stakes are high!
TVC:SPX
by OLIV2020