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Elliotwaveanalysis

Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.18000.Colleagues, the price is successfully moving in an upward impulse “12345” in a medium-term wave “3”. I believe that this week we will see a continuation of the upward movement. A slight correction to the support area of 1.17049 is possible to complete wave “4”, followed by an update of the local maximum of the lower-order wave “3” and reaching the resistance area of 1.18000. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
15
XAG/USD Ends Impulsive Rally, Healthy Correction ExpectedThe Silver daily chart shows a strong five-wave impulsive uptrend that has now completed at the recent high marked as wave 5. This confirms that bullish momentum was strong, especially during wave 3 and the final wave 5 extension. After completing a full impulsive cycle, the market usually enters a corrective phase, and the projected A-B-C correction on the chart fits well with Elliott Wave theory. The first pullback (A) is expected to relieve overbought conditions, followed by a temporary bounce (B), and then a deeper correction (C). This correction would be healthy and normal after such a strong rally. Overall, the larger trend remains bullish, but in the short to medium term, Silver is likely to correct before starting the next major upside move. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Money_Dictators
NASDAQ100 vs BitcoinCryptocurrencies are still struggling to find strong bullish momentum, despite the rebound in stocks over the last few days after the US unemployment rate jumped and US CPI softened, as reported last week. These are ideal conditions for the Fed to consider more rate cuts in 2026, which explains why the dollar has been moving lower and stocks look more attractive. Bitcoin, however, is not showing a clear bullish structure yet. If the NASDAQ 100 consolidates a bit longer through the Christmas and New Year holidays, it’s very possible that Bitcoin could retest the recent lows. As usual, we can expect correlations to normalize again later on, possibly in January, when the NASDAQ 100 could finally break higher into wave five. In the meantime, Bitcoin may still be trying to complete five waves down, with the black wave five potentially still unfolding. Grega
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ew-forecast
4
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo lvl (58.00).The structure has broken down. Wave “2” of the middle order should not have updated the minimum of 56,420 of wave “B” of the higher order, but this has happened. This means that the wave structure will have to be revised. It seems that the major correction is not yet complete, and in order for the scenario to be completed, impulse “12345” must be completed. At the moment, I think that the price will begin to form wave “4”. I expect movement towards the 50% Fibonacci level from wave “3” at 58.00. The target is not far off, but at the moment we need confirmation of the impulse. This would mean that the price will update the local minimum, but more on that later. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Hellena_Trade
44
EUR/USD Holding Key Support – Wave 5 Upside in FocusThe EUR/USD chart shows that a larger corrective phase (A-B-C) has already finished, and the market has entered a new bullish impulsive structure. Price has completed Waves 1, 2, and 3, with Wave 3 showing strong upward momentum, which confirms bullish strength. The current pullback looks like a normal Wave 4 correction, and it is holding inside the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, which is a common area where Wave 4 usually ends. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 1.1655, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. This suggests EUR/USD is preparing for Wave 5, which could push price to new highs in the coming sessions. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Long
by Money_Dictators
2
GER40 Holds Key Fibonacci Support – Upside Continuation LikelyThe GER40 chart indicates that a larger A-B-C corrective structure has been completed at the recent low, marked as (C), after which the index began a fresh impulsive upward move. From that bottom, price has formed a clean five-wave advance, confirming the start of a new bullish cycle. The recent pullback appears to be a normal Wave 2 correction, which has respected the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a typical area where corrections end. This suggests the correction is likely complete and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest and fastest upward wave. As long as price holds above the Wave 2 low, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. Overall, the setup favors continued upside toward higher highs in the coming sessions. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by Money_Dictators
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4417.This week, I expect the upward movement to continue and the medium-term “12345” impulse to complete. I expect to see a small correction, after which I expect to see at least the 4417 area reached at the end of wave “5” or in the extension of wave “3”. This week, after the completion of this movement, I plan to figure out our next steps. It may be that a major correction awaits us in the near future, but we will talk about that later. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
49
Expanding Flat Elliot wave countBitcoin may be approaching a significant macro top, with multiple technical indicators aligning to signal a potential reversal and a subsequent major corrective wave. Key Projections: Potential Top Formation: The current price action is forming what appears to be the peak of a corrective Wave (B), with a potential top range between $109,000 and $150,000. Projected Corrective Target: Following the completion of Wave (B), a significant downward move, labeled as Wave (C), is anticipated. This corrective wave targets the $45,000 - $67,000 price zone. Timeline: The entire corrective structure, from the formation of the top to the potential bottom of Wave (C), is projected to unfold by approximately September 2026. Elliott Wave Structure: The primary thesis is based on an Elliott Wave count. The chart indicates the completion of a five-wave impulse cycle, and the market is now in a larger A-B-C corrective pattern. The current price is likely forming the peak of the B-wave. Fibonacci Confluence: There is a strong confluence of Fibonacci extension levels at the potential top. The peak of the current Wave (B) is precisely testing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, a critical ratio often associated with the termination of corrective waves. Significant Bearish Divergence (Crucial Point): This is one of the most compelling signals on the chart.While the price is making higher highs (from the peak of wave (5) to the peak of wave (B)).Both the RSI and the MACD indicators are showing lower highs. This is a classic, multi-indicator bearish divergence on a high timeframe (weekly), indicating that the upward momentum is weakening significantly and a trend reversal is becoming more likely.
Short
by maayan_tiran
XAU/USD | Prices Move Within a Positive RangeGold is currently trading in positive territory. Based on the four-hour chart (H4), the bullish outlook remains intact as the price remains above key trend indicators. ✅ Bullish Confirmation Signal - 100-Day EMA: The price is firmly supported above the 100-day EMA ($4,220), indicating that the medium-term uptrend remains very valid. - RSI (14-Day): Is above the midline (50.0), reflecting strong short-term bullish momentum. ✅ Key Upward Resistance Levels If the price is able to consistently stay above the upper Bollinger Band ($4,305), the next targets are: $4,350: Immediate target (high reached on December 15th). $4,381: All-Time High. A breakout of this level would take Gold to new, untouched price territory. ✅ Key Support Levels If selling pressure appears (consecutive red candles appear), the levels to monitor are: $4,271: First support (low on December 16th). $4,220: 100-Day EMA. This is a crucial resistance level; a close below this level could shift the bias from bullish to neutral or bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NouzTrader
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red). At this stage, I see: 1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683. 2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
6
NAS100 Preparing for Wave 3 Rally After Healthy PullbackThe NAS100 chart shows that a larger corrective move has likely finished at the (Y) / C low, after which price started a new upward impulsive structure. The recent decline looks like a normal Wave 2 pullback, which has already reacted from the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a common area for corrections to end. This suggests buyers are stepping back in and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest upward move. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 23,836, the bullish Elliott Wave setup remains valid. Overall, the structure favors further upside toward new highs once Wave 3 gains momentum. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Money_Dictators
Tesla Read For More Gains In 2026Tesla has been on the rise since March this year and is now approaching some very important levels around 480, which marks the high from about a year ago. What really matters at this stage is that we have five waves up from 217, which is a very strong bullish structure and suggests more upside ahead, as the market is showing a progressive trend. Because of that, there could be interesting opportunities to join the trend, especially if we see some kind of retracement in 2026. In that case it makes sense to keep an eye on the previous lower-degree wave four support around 483, which could be an attractive area for the next rebound. An alternate wave count also allows for a triangle to form here, which would again suggest that after a setback into wave E of four we would most likely see more upside. That scenario would remain valid as long as the December 2024 highs are not breached. In general, the best opportunities could show up if we get a retracement into a lower-degree wave two and then look to ride the next strong leg higher, while the market holds above 213. GH
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ew-forecast
XAUUSD | Bullish Bias Still DominantGold (XAU/USD) technical analysis indicates a bullish bias, supported by a key breakout and rising moving averages. However, the current positive momentum is stretched and showing signs of fading, suggesting potential consolidation or choppy trading. ✅ Dominant Bullish Signal Key Trigger: Last week's breakout through the $4,245-$4,255 supply zone is seen as a key trigger for bulls. Intraday Direction: The short-term moving averages are sloping higher, maintaining an intraday bias pointing north. Market Structure: The broader setup remains supportive as falling prices attract demand around dynamic support. Upward Confirmation: If buyers reassert control and the MACD histogram expands again, the rally could extend towards a retest of the all-time high (around $4,380). Bullish Stance Continues: A sustained hold above the rising short-term moving averages will maintain the bullish tone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NouzTrader
XAUUSD | Opportunity To Continue Buying If Correction RecursGold's strong overnight move has confirmed a new bullish breakout above its two-week trading range. With the daily oscillator in positive territory and far from overbought, the path of least resistance for Gold prices remains to the upside. ✅ Bullish Scenario Upside Confirmation: A bullish breakout above the $4,245-$4,250 barrier has been confirmed. Upside Target: The $4,300 round figure now acts as an immediate hurdle. Above it, Gold could: - ⚡Rise to the next relevant hurdle in the $4,328-$4,330 region. - ⚡Extend further to challenge the all-time high around the $4,380 zone (October peak). - ⚡Major Upside Trigger: Continued buying beyond the $4,400 round figure will be seen as a new trigger and set the stage for a larger uptrend extension. ✅ Corrective Downward Scenario (Buying Opportunity) Buy-the-Dip Opportunity: Any price pullback should be viewed as a buying opportunity. Initial Key Support: Losses are expected to be limited near the resistance breakout, now support, at $4,245 – $4,250. Next Support: If $4,250 is breached, losses will be limited near the $4,220 – $4,218 region, followed by the $4,200 mark. Bias Reversal: A convincing break below the $4,170 – $4,165 support area may shift the bias in favor of bearish traders and pave the way for deeper losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NouzTrader
EURUSD breaks higher: Fed-ECB path to drive 3rd wave to 1.19?EURUSD is trading above 1.17 on the 4-hour chart after the dollar fell to a 2-month low following Wednesday's Fed rate cut. With a potential running triangle breakout in play and a dovish Fed facing a stable ECB, the pair is eyeing the 2025 high at 1.1920 and potentially new peaks into 2026. In this video, we break down why Powell's dovish tone and a deeply divided Fed are narrowing the rate differential with the ECB, which might upgrade growth and proceed with no cuts in 2026. Then, we map out the wave structure: a potential 3rd wave impulse targeting 1.18–1.19, with buy-the-dip zones at 1.17 and 1.1650, and larger projections toward 1.2020–1.2220 from a cup-and-handle pattern. Key drivers Fed cut and Powell dovish: The Fed cut rates on Wednesday, where Powell emphasised a "wait-and-see" mode, pretty much ruling out hikes in 2026; markets now price two more cuts despite the official dot plot projecting only one.​​ Deeply divided Fed: The December dot plot showed four members see no cuts in 2026, four see one, four see two, and three expect rates below 3% by year-end 2026, while three actually wanted to hike — No consensus.​ ECB stability and growth upgrade: ECB President Lagarde said the eurozone economy shows "remarkable strength" and the ECB may upgrade growth forecasts at the December 18th meeting, with policy in a "good position" (i.e., no cuts).​ Rate differential narrowing: The Fed is at 3.50–3.75% and cutting, the ECB is at 2.00% and on hold. Markets now price only a 45% chance of an ECB cut by September 2026, narrowing the spread in favour of the euro.​ Technical structure : EURUSD has broken out of a running triangle with a breakout level around 1.1580–1.1600. The current leg appears to be a third-wave impulse targeting 1.18–1.19, with a larger cup-and-handle projection pointing to 1.2020–1.2220. Trade plan : Buy pullbacks into 1.17 (50% Fibonacci retracement) or 1.1650 (deeper support) with a stop below 1.1580, targeting 1.18, 1.19, and potentially 1.20+; invalidation below 1.1580 would suggest a corrective structure instead. Trading the EURUSD breakout? Share your entry levels and wave counts in the comments and follow for more Fed-ECB divergence and technical trade setups. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
1