Coeur Mining (CDE) Elliott Wave Outlook - Count 1 (4H)Since the previous weekly outlook on NYSE:CDE , price has moved pretty much in line with the expectation, with wave (3) and wave (4) playing out. The pull back in wave (4) was more aggressive and deeper than I would have liked, but wave (2) was fairly flat, so based on the guideline of alternation it does suggest a sharper correction in wave (4), it did run just beyond the 50% fib retracement which is getting a little deep.
In this interpretation I have the chart moving higher in wave (5) with red wave 1 underway. I'll add a caveat, there are alternative wave counts available and should we see an aggressive sell off in silver, then CDE may get hit alongside it. in that scenario this recent up move from $13.55 may instead be a corrective wave, which would mean more consolidation in wave (4), and potentially a break below $13.55 (which is the invalidation level for red 1), unless a triangle pattern forms and we instead go sideways.
Elliotwaveanalysis
Bias Remains Bullish, But Bearish Potential RemainsAlthough Gold recorded a daily correction (into negative territory), the long-term market structure remains constructive. The uptrend remains dominant as long as the price maintains its position above critical support levels.
✅ Key Upward Resistance Levels
If buyers successfully take control after this consolidation phase, the targets are:
- $4,550: All-Time High. This is the nearest psychological and technical hurdle.
- $4,600: A major psychological figure that will become a new long-term target if a record breakout occurs convincingly.
✅ Key Downward Support Levels
If selling pressure continues during this "digestion period," the following levels should be watched:
- $4,430: Initial support (December 23rd low).
- $4,338: Next downside target (December 22nd low).
- $4,300: A psychological round number and the December 17th low.
Conclusion: Technically, Gold is in a healthy correction phase from overbought conditions.
As long as the price doesn't fall below $4,300, the prospect of a rally towards a new record of $4,600 remains wide open, especially if supported by uncertainty regarding the Fed's independence and slow progress in the Ukraine peace process.
BABA – Weekly Structure UpdateThesis
BABA, after multi year base, is completing an intermediate corrective phase within a broader bullish reversal structure.
Context
- Weekly timeframe
- Multi-year base completed
- Price trading above key long-term levels
What I see
- Impulsive advance followed by a controlled pullback
- Structure suggests intermediate wave (4) nearing completion
- Pullback is respecting prior breakout area
- Pullback is holding rising moving-average support
- Consolidation is forming above former resistance
What matters now
- Structure remains constructive while the recent higher low holds
- Resolution of consolidation should define the next directional leg
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Current pullback range aligned with wave (4) retracement
Targets
- Intermediate upside reference near the $230 area
Gold in Final Bullish Wave – Last Push Higher ExpectedGold (XAU/USD 4H) is in a strong bullish trend and is currently moving in the last part of Wave (5). The clear breakout above the previous resistance shows that buyers are in control, and the bullish structure is still valid. As long as the price stays above the main support area, the outlook remains positive, with the next target around 4,580–4,650 , where this upward move is likely to finish. For short-term trades, a sensible stop-loss can be placed below 4,420 , while the bullish view becomes invalid if the price falls below 4,360 . If everything goes as expected, Gold should make one final move higher and then take a normal corrective pullback (A-B-C) after the strong rally.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to the area of 6956.Hello, colleagues!
I previously published a forecast for an upward movement, and I believe it is time to update the plan slightly. The direction of movement remains the same, but wave “1” has lengthened, which means that the correction in wave “2” may occur slightly higher than previously.
I expect a corrective movement to the support area of 6764, followed by a continuation of the upward movement and an update of the peak level of wave “3” of the higher order 6929 and reaching the area of 6956 at a minimum.
An extension of wave “1” is also possible, but then it will be necessary to slightly revise the wave markings again.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DXY Breakdown After Major Top – Wave v in ProgressThe DXY chart shows that the U.S. Dollar has completed a larger corrective structure and is now moving inside a new impulsive bearish phase. After forming a major top near the 110 area, the index started a clear five-wave decline, indicating strong downside momentum. The recent sideways movement looks like a corrective pause (wave iv / Y) rather than a trend reversal. As long as the price stays below the key resistance zone around 100–101, the overall structure remains bearish. This suggests the dollar is preparing for the final wave lower (wave v / 3), which could push the index toward deeper support levels. Overall, the Elliott Wave structure favours continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar in the coming months.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
GBP/JPY | Potential for Medium-Term CorrectionGBP/JPY experienced selling pressure for the second consecutive day, trading around 210.50. Despite the correction, the price remains near the 17-year high (211.00) reached last Monday. The market is currently caught in a tug-of-war between the yen, supported by the Bank of Japan's policy stance, and the pound, supported by the Bank of England's cautious stance.
✅ Factors Supporting the Japanese Yen (JPY)
- October BoJ Minutes: The newly released document showed broad agreement among officials to continue raising interest rates if economic forecasts are met.
- 30-Year High: Given that the BoJ just raised interest rates to 0.75% in December and is open to further tightening, the JPY has improved yield appeal.
- Geopolitics: Global uncertainty (Venezuela, Ukraine, the Middle East) continues to fuel safe-haven flows into the yen.
✅ Factors Supporting the British Pound (GBP)
- Hawkish Interest Rate Cut: Although the Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates to 3.75%, the very tight vote (5-4) suggests the committee is in no rush to ease further.
- Expectation Revision: Investors are now scaling back speculation of aggressive interest rate cuts next year, providing a strong foundation for the GBP.
✅ Technical & Strategy Guide
- Consolidated Sentiment: The current decline is still considered a healthy correction. Strong follow-through selling is needed to confirm that the price has truly peaked in the 211.00 area.
- Thin Volume: Light year-end trading could lead to unexpected volatility or subdued (choppy) price movements.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.18000.Colleagues, the price is successfully moving in an upward impulse “12345” in a medium-term wave “3”.
I believe that this week we will see a continuation of the upward movement.
A slight correction to the support area of 1.17049 is possible to complete wave “4”, followed by an update of the local maximum of the lower-order wave “3” and reaching the resistance area of 1.18000.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAG/USD Ends Impulsive Rally, Healthy Correction ExpectedThe Silver daily chart shows a strong five-wave impulsive uptrend that has now completed at the recent high marked as wave 5. This confirms that bullish momentum was strong, especially during wave 3 and the final wave 5 extension. After completing a full impulsive cycle, the market usually enters a corrective phase, and the projected A-B-C correction on the chart fits well with Elliott Wave theory. The first pullback (A) is expected to relieve overbought conditions, followed by a temporary bounce (B), and then a deeper correction (C). This correction would be healthy and normal after such a strong rally. Overall, the larger trend remains bullish, but in the short to medium term, Silver is likely to correct before starting the next major upside move.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
NASDAQ100 vs BitcoinCryptocurrencies are still struggling to find strong bullish momentum, despite the rebound in stocks over the last few days after the US unemployment rate jumped and US CPI softened, as reported last week. These are ideal conditions for the Fed to consider more rate cuts in 2026, which explains why the dollar has been moving lower and stocks look more attractive.
Bitcoin, however, is not showing a clear bullish structure yet. If the NASDAQ 100 consolidates a bit longer through the Christmas and New Year holidays, it’s very possible that Bitcoin could retest the recent lows. As usual, we can expect correlations to normalize again later on, possibly in January, when the NASDAQ 100 could finally break higher into wave five. In the meantime, Bitcoin may still be trying to complete five waves down, with the black wave five potentially still unfolding.
Grega
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo lvl (58.00).The structure has broken down. Wave “2” of the middle order should not have updated the minimum of 56,420 of wave “B” of the higher order, but this has happened.
This means that the wave structure will have to be revised.
It seems that the major correction is not yet complete, and in order for the scenario to be completed, impulse “12345” must be completed.
At the moment, I think that the price will begin to form wave “4”.
I expect movement towards the 50% Fibonacci level from wave “3” at 58.00.
The target is not far off, but at the moment we need confirmation of the impulse.
This would mean that the price will update the local minimum, but more on that later.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EUR/USD Holding Key Support – Wave 5 Upside in FocusThe EUR/USD chart shows that a larger corrective phase (A-B-C) has already finished, and the market has entered a new bullish impulsive structure. Price has completed Waves 1, 2, and 3, with Wave 3 showing strong upward momentum, which confirms bullish strength. The current pullback looks like a normal Wave 4 correction, and it is holding inside the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, which is a common area where Wave 4 usually ends. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 1.1655, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. This suggests EUR/USD is preparing for Wave 5, which could push price to new highs in the coming sessions.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
GER40 Holds Key Fibonacci Support – Upside Continuation LikelyThe GER40 chart indicates that a larger A-B-C corrective structure has been completed at the recent low, marked as (C), after which the index began a fresh impulsive upward move. From that bottom, price has formed a clean five-wave advance, confirming the start of a new bullish cycle. The recent pullback appears to be a normal Wave 2 correction, which has respected the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a typical area where corrections end. This suggests the correction is likely complete and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest and fastest upward wave. As long as price holds above the Wave 2 low, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. Overall, the setup favors continued upside toward higher highs in the coming sessions.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
$GOLD -Wave 5 Completed (NATH)- TVC:GOLD and TVC:SILVER prices climbed to new highs in Asian afternoon trading session as Geo-Political tensions escalated.
The Wall Street Journal, citing three U.S. officials, reported that the U.S. Coast Guard was pursuing another oil tanker transporting oil from Venezuela.
This came shortly after the U.S. seized an oil tanker not on its sanctions list. Additionally, on Friday, U.S. forces launched attacks on more than 70 targets in Syria.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4417.This week, I expect the upward movement to continue and the medium-term “12345” impulse to complete.
I expect to see a small correction, after which I expect to see at least the 4417 area reached at the end of wave “5” or in the extension of wave “3”.
This week, after the completion of this movement, I plan to figure out our next steps.
It may be that a major correction awaits us in the near future, but we will talk about that later.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Tilray: 80% gains!TLRY shares have made significant strides, boasting a gain of over 80%. Currently, the price continues to develop within orange wave iii, aiming to surpass the resistance at $23.20 in the next phase. A drop below the support at $3.51, however, would trigger our alternative scenario. In this case, it implies that the large beige wave alt.W is not yet complete (Probability: 33%).
Expanding Flat Elliot wave countBitcoin may be approaching a significant macro top, with multiple technical indicators aligning to signal a potential reversal and a subsequent major corrective wave.
Key Projections:
Potential Top Formation: The current price action is forming what appears to be the peak of a corrective Wave (B), with a potential top range between $109,000 and $150,000.
Projected Corrective Target: Following the completion of Wave (B), a significant downward move, labeled as Wave (C), is anticipated. This corrective wave targets the $45,000 - $67,000 price zone.
Timeline: The entire corrective structure, from the formation of the top to the potential bottom of Wave (C), is projected to unfold by approximately September 2026.
Elliott Wave Structure: The primary thesis is based on an Elliott Wave count. The chart indicates the completion of a five-wave impulse cycle, and the market is now in a larger A-B-C corrective pattern. The current price is likely forming the peak of the B-wave.
Fibonacci Confluence: There is a strong confluence of Fibonacci extension levels at the potential top. The peak of the current Wave (B) is precisely testing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, a critical ratio often associated with the termination of corrective waves.
Significant Bearish Divergence (Crucial Point): This is one of the most compelling signals on the chart.While the price is making higher highs (from the peak of wave (5) to the peak of wave (B)).Both the RSI and the MACD indicators are showing lower highs. This is a classic, multi-indicator bearish divergence on a high timeframe (weekly), indicating that the upward momentum is weakening significantly and a trend reversal is becoming more likely.
XAU/USD | Prices Move Within a Positive RangeGold is currently trading in positive territory. Based on the four-hour chart (H4), the bullish outlook remains intact as the price remains above key trend indicators.
✅ Bullish Confirmation Signal
- 100-Day EMA: The price is firmly supported above the 100-day EMA ($4,220), indicating that the medium-term uptrend remains very valid.
- RSI (14-Day): Is above the midline (50.0), reflecting strong short-term bullish momentum.
✅ Key Upward Resistance Levels
If the price is able to consistently stay above the upper Bollinger Band ($4,305), the next targets are:
$4,350: Immediate target (high reached on December 15th).
$4,381: All-Time High. A breakout of this level would take Gold to new, untouched price territory.
✅ Key Support Levels
If selling pressure appears (consecutive red candles appear), the levels to monitor are:
$4,271: First support (low on December 16th).
$4,220: 100-Day EMA. This is a crucial resistance level; a close below this level could shift the bias from bullish to neutral or bearish.
Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red).
At this stage, I see:
1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683.
2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!






















