S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/27 Since our published trading plans last week pointing out that week's 4505 level as potential top for the near term, the market has been in a free fall mode. Our models indicate 4340 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated. Until the 4300 handle is regained, there is no indication of...
After yesterday's sell off, ETH session market seems to be bouncing. Can Bulls follow through today. Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 4333---4335 Report to watch: US:EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 09/25 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting stated: "...any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to "being done" can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball that can tell...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/22 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: "...any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to "being done" can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball that can tell...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/21 As our daily trading plans reinforced before the FOMC meeting yesterday: "...any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to "being done" can spark a frenzied rally in the coming weeks but any unexpectedly hawkish indications could further accelerate the downward push. Nobody has the crystal ball that can tell...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/20 While the interest rate decision of the Fed at this week's meeting is a foregone conclusion, it is the semantics of Chair Powell's presser that the markets are going to obsess over. And, for the right reasons, as any indications of the Fed potentially pivoting to "being done" can spark a frenzied rally in the...
Yesterday afternoon market recovered after selling off in the morning. Today is Fed Day and volatility could be high in the afternoon as well. Level to watch 4502 --- 4504 Report to watch: US:EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET US:FOMC Announcement 2:00 PM ET US: Fed Chair Press Conference 2:30 PM ET
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/14 As of the latest trading plans we published yesterday, Wed. 09/13: "Our models indicate bearish bias for positional trades while the index is below 4470 on a daily close basis. The index has to close above 4507 for our models to abandon the bearish bias". Just like the CPI numbers yesterday, the PPI numbers and...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/13 Our trading plans published yesterday stated: "Our current bearish bias for positional trading continues, with the bear case appearing a little more plausible in the coming days. It is hard to find what unexpected bullish scenarios could evolve in the near future, so bulls need to be a bit cautious with their...
Yesterday’s trading reflects market's growing short-term lack of interest towards a rally. Traders might want to test numbers such as 4500. Level to watch 4510 --- 4512 Report to watch: US:EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 09/12 Our current bearish bias for positional trading continues, with the bear case appearing a little more plausible in the coming days. It is hard to find what unexpected bullish scenarios could evolve in the near future, so bulls need to be a bit cautious with their current gains. Taking some money off the table could...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 09/11 Our current bearish bias for positional trading notwithstanding, our intraday models point to a possible spike up today. Shorts need to be patient and not jump the gun but wait for confirmation for initiating any new shorts. Our models indicate bearish bias for positional trades while the index is below 4470 on a...
Yesterday was a positive day after three straight down days. Can traders end the week with a positive day which remains to be seen. Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 4454 --- 4456 Report to watch: US: Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary) 10:00 AM ET
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/08 As we wrote in our trading plans published yesterday, Thu. 09/07: "The index failed to close below 4450 yesterday, but showed continued weakness. The price action in the pre-market session after the Initial Jobless Claims is showing the potential for further weakness to develop. The retail positioning and the...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 09/07 As we wrote in our trading plans published yesterday, Wed. 09/06: "In this morning's session so far, markets continue to be listless with the bias sliding towards mildly bearish. Nevertheless, bears need to wait for a confirmation before taking any positional shorts - a daily close below 4450 today might give that...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 09/06 As we wrote in our trading plans published yesterday, Tue. 09/05: "Markets appear searching for a direction, with a mild bias to the upside which appears to be waning. This week could reveal some clues as to the near term direction". In this morning's session so far, markets continue to be listless with the bias...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 09/05 As we wrote in our trading plans published Fri. 09/01: "The NFP numbers paint a picture of potentially the hoped-for Goldilocks scenario could continue into the next Fed meeting, continue to push up the markets higher. On the flip side, any weakness in today's regular session could indicate the beginning of the end...
S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 09/01 As we wrote in our trading plans published Mon. 08/28: “If we get a daily close above 4415 today then our models will flip to a moderately bullish bias. If not, they will continue to sport their bearish bias”. We got this confirmation with Monday's close, and our models have turned cautiously bullish on Tue. 08/29....