Price action + RSI support = fresh buy opportunity in CrudeOil1!CrudeOil1! (1-Hour Timeframe) Technical Outlook
CrudeOil1! is currently sustaining at the Fibonacci Golden Ratio level of 0.618, with the weekly pivot placed near 5640. Based on Fibonacci projections and price action, this 5640 zone appears to be a crucial area, as it aligns with a 2.8% retracement completion.
On the 1-hour timeframe, the RSI is showing a decline but may take support near the current levels, adding further weight to this support zone.
All technical indicators together suggest that the 5640–5650 zone could act as a strong support in the short term. If this support holds, we may see upside targets at 5715 and 5750, with the potential for CrudeOil1! to make a new high if the bullish momentum continues.
Thank you.
Energy Commodities
WTI OIL Short-term Channel Up 4H MA50 buy opportunity.Last week (August 26, see chart below) we caught the absolute low with our WTI Oil (USOIL) buy signal, hitting our $66.30 Target shortly after:
This time we have another buy signal on the short-term as the Channel Up that emerged has pulled-back all the way to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last 3 times it did so, it was a buy opportunity. Assuming this is another Higher Low bottom, the new Bullish Leg that is about to be initiated, should aim for the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, similar to what the previous two did.
This gives us a $66.75 Target for the short-term.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Breakout!
With a strong bullish rally, WTI Crude Oil violated a significant
daily resistance cluster yesterday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose an important
demand zone now.
I will expect a bullish continuation from that.
Next resistance - 66.6
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XNGUSD, Accumulation to Expansion? Weekly Long Into Winter RiskI’ve initiated a long on Natural Gas from weekly structure. Price has rotated inside this area since ’23 and is now reacting at a confluence of trendline support + prior demand. The plan is to hold into Q4, when seasonality (heating demand + potential hurricane/LNG disruptions) often provides upside tailwinds. Risk is defined on the weekly chart; I’ll manage around swings and let the position work.
Technicals (Weekly)
• Range base reclaimed: Price is bouncing from the same 2023–2024 accumulation zone (roughly 2.5–3.0).
• Multi-touch trendline support: Current candle is reacting at the rising base trendline; wicks show responsive buying.
• Structure targets: First objective is a move back into mid-range supply; extension aims toward the upper band shown on the chart.
Fundamentals Supporting Long Bias
• Seasonality: Q4 typically brings rising Heating Degree Days across the Northern Hemisphere; winter risk premia often get priced ahead of the draw season.
• LNG pull: Ongoing ramp in global LNG demand + incremental U.S. export capacity tends to tighten the domestic balance on cold forecasts or unplanned outages elsewhere.
• Supply discipline: Gas rig counts have lagged after the 2024 price slump; that slower supply response can tighten later-year balances if weather cooperates.
• Weather & Gulf risk: Peak hurricane season can interrupt Gulf production and processing, periodically supporting price.
• Europe draw season: As EU storage transitions from injection to draws, import needs rise, keeping a bid under seaborne gas.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: From weekly support (see chart).
• Management: Trail below fresh higher lows on the daily; take partials at fib/structure levels; let a runner target the upper band if momentum broadens.
What Breaks the Thesis
• A persistently warm Q4, outsized storage overhang into winter, major LNG outages/delays, or a renewed surge in production that swamps demand.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
U.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global ShiftsU.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global Shifts
U.S. natural gas futures climbed above $3 per MMBtu in early September, rebounding from a nine-month low of $2.73 on August 20 as expectations of lower domestic supply gained traction.
Fresh data revealed that Russian LNG exports fell over 6% year-over-year through August, boosting the U.S. share in global LNG trade as Europe and Asia sought alternative sources. This shift has intensified bidding competition for limited U.S. gas supplies, adding upward price pressure.
Storage levels remain tight, with EIA data showing a 3.4% annual decline. On the demand side, ExxonMobil projects global natural gas consumption to increase over 20% in the next 25 years, driven by the transition away from coal.
However, after the Labor Day weekend, U.S. futures slipped 3.5% to $2.893/MMBtu, retreating from Friday’s $3 test. Analysts note that the market is entering the low-demand shoulder season, but a sustained dip in supply could revive bullish momentum, potentially pushing prices above $3.00 later this month.
WTI - Moscow's Discounts Keep Russian Oil Flowing to IndiaIndian refineries are still incentivized to buy Russian Urals oil, says Commerzbank Research's Carsten Fritsch. President Trump inflicted stiff tariffs on New Delhi--including a 25% levy for its purchases of Russian oil--but Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi appears unwilling to bow to U.S. pressure. Meanwhile, the Kremlin cut the price of its oil in order to keep Indian customers. "This oil is being offered at a discount of $3-$4 per barrel compared to Brent for cargoes loaded at the end of September and in October," Fritsch says, citing unnamed sources. "By comparison, Indian refineries recently had to pay a premium of $3 over Brent for U.S. oil."
WTI Surges Above 65$ ResistanceCrude oil is currently supported by a combination of energy sanctions, geopolitical tensions, and rate cut expectations — with price action eyeing the $70 barrier as long as it holds above $65.20.
WTI maintained its rebound above the 61.80–62.00 support zone — aligning with the neckline of the previous inverted head and shoulders formation — and has broken above the 65 resistance level, signaling a potential continuation of bullish momentum. Daily RSI has also moved above the neutral 50 level, further confirming upside momentum.
• A clean hold above 65.20 may extend the rally toward 68.00, 69.40, and 70.40 — the next major resistance levels.
• On the downside, 62.00 and 61.80 remain key support levels. A break below them could expose oil to deeper losses toward 59.40 and 57.90.
USOil Bear Trap Set: Ready For The Downside Raid?🛢️ WTI Oil Bearish Heist Plan 💣 | Thief Trader Layers Activated 🔐
💥 Welcome to the vault raid, Thief OG’s! 💥
We’re targeting US Oil Spot / WTI (XTIUSD) — and this time, the plan is pure Bearish robbery.
🚨 The Robbery Setup:
This isn’t just a sell — it’s a layered ambush. We place traps, let bulls walk in, and then we rob clean.
📌 Thief Entry Plan (Limit Layers):
Sell Limit @63.000
Sell Limit @63.500
Sell Limit @64.000
Sell Limit @64.500
👉 You can stack more layers if the vault door keeps opening.
🛑 Thief Stop Loss:
SL locked @65.500 🔒
⚠️ Adjust your SL like a true Thief — according to your risk + number of layers.
🎯 Escape Plan (Target):
🚔 Police barricade spotted around 59.000.
📌 Official Heist Exit: 60.000 — grab the loot before the cops arrive.
🧠 Thief Strategy Logic:
Multi-layer sell ambush 🏴☠️
Bearish pressure from supply + demand shifts 📊
Technical rejection zones aligning with macro weakness 📉
⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Thieves don’t rush!
👉 Place alerts before the raid.
👉 Don’t dump blind orders — wait for price to approach layers.
👉 Manage your position like a stealth operation, not a casino gamble.
💬 Thief Community Code:
Smash ❤️ & Boost if you’re with the robbery crew.
Drop your charts + sniper entries below.
We rob together. We win together. 🏆
🔔 Stay locked in — more heist plans dropping soon.
💰 Rob Smart. Trade Sharp. Exit Clean.
USOIL BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 65.90
Target Level: 59.95
Stop Loss: 69.84
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
INTC Ready For Breakout?Intel INTC appears to be putting in a major bottom on the weekly time frame. Stock has been beaten down for some time!
On the daily time frame, price appears to be ready to breakout of the range above the High Volume Node after multiple tests of the upper boundary resistance.
Theres been a gap to fill for some time up to $28. The pivot targets are subdued due to the amount of time INTC has spent ranging, so not super useful for targets in this case.
Price is above the daily 200EMA which has flicked positive.
Here is an example from my trade signals Substack. Stop below the 200EMA, pivot, High Volume Node and descending support line - you don't want to see price losing these as it adds confidence to the downside. This asset is volatile so the stop is wide for now - I will be looking out to adjust this to a tighter stop and thus a larger position size once I see how price action unfolds. I believe we have a good opportunity ahead to make several trades on this asset as we play it level by level.
Safe trading
USOIL (WTI Crude) – Buy & Sell Trade Scenarios🔵 Bullish Scenario (Buy Call)
Entry Zone: Break and sustained close above 65.20 – 65.50 (current 4H resistance).
Reasoning:
Price has retested the 64.90 resistance cluster multiple times, suggesting absorption of supply.
Volume shows declining sell pressure near resistance – a sign of potential breakout.
A breakout with strong volume confirms buyers stepping in.
Target 1: 66.75 (measured move into next liquidity pool).
Target 2 (extended): 68.20 – 68.50 (previous structural pivot).
Stop Loss: Below 64.20 (false breakout protection).
R:R Potential: ~1:2.5 to 1:3
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell Call)
Entry Zone: Rejection at 65.00 – 65.50 resistance with bearish confirmation candle.
Reasoning:
This zone has acted as a strong supply area since mid-August.
Multiple wicks rejecting the level + increasing sell volume hint at distribution.
If price fails to close above resistance, sellers regain control.
Target 1: 63.00 – 63.20 (mid-support range).
Target 2 (extended): 62.00 – 61.90 (major support zone).
Stop Loss: Above 65.70 (wick protection).
R:R Potential: ~1:2 to 1:3
⚖️ Key Technical Takeaway
64.90 – 65.50 = Pivot zone (battle between bulls and bears).
Breakout + volume = bullish continuation to 66.75+.
Rejection + heavy volume = bearish rotation back to 62.95.
Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025.VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #NatGas (NYMEX:NG1!) 🔵 Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025.
Alright, here’s the skinny on NatGas. Back on April 28, 2025, I was calling for a dip into the $2.74 zone—and guess what? We tagged it right on schedule.
Now the game flips: I’m hunting long entries with the first serious target sitting at $10.00.
Could we overshoot? Absolutely. If momentum really gets cooking, the Fibo 227% extension lines up at roughly $21.00. But let’s not get greedy yet—$10 stays the main milestone for the next big leg.
Macro Drivers
➖ Exports: LNG shipments are the elephant in the room. Europe’s still thirsty, Asia’s paying up, and U.S. cargos are cashing in.
➖ Production: Flat. Shale guys aren’t rushing to flood the market unless we break above $3.20+.
➖ Geopolitics: Russia’s LNG rerouting and Middle East jitters keep a bid under global gas.
➖ Utilities & Consumers: Domestic demand is softer thanks to renewables transitions, but that’s a sideshow compared to export flows.
Big Picture
EIA pegs Henry Hub at $3.60 in 2025 and $4.30 in 2026, but frankly, that’s conservative. With demand from data centers, electrification, and global LNG growth, upside is more likely than not.
Trade View
➡️ I’m treating $2.74 as the cycle low. Any dips near that level look like golden tickets for long positioning into 2026. First pit stop: $10.00. If bulls get rowdy, keep an eye on $21.00 as the stretch target.
➡️ Bottom line: NatGas just gave us the reset we were waiting for. From here, risk/reward favors the long side. Strap in—it’s gonna be a volatile ride, but that’s where the money gets made.
Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74.
➖ Weather Forecast and Reduced Demand
On April 23, 2025, the U.S. National Weather Service forecasted milder-than-average weather across the U.S. for late spring and early summer 2025, particularly in key gas-consuming regions like the Northeast and Midwest.
Warmer weather reduces the demand for heating, a primary driver of natural gas consumption. This led to a 2.5% decline in Henry Hub natural gas futures, settling at $3.05 per MMBtu on April 24, 2025.
Source: Reuters
➖ High U.S. Natural Gas Inventories
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on April 17, 2025, that natural gas inventories increased by 75 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ending April 11, 2025, significantly exceeding the five-year average build of 50 Bcf. Total U.S. inventories are now 20% above the five-year average, indicating an oversupply that pressures prices downward.
Source: EIA, "Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report," April 17, 2025
➖ Weak Global LNG Demand
On April 22, 2025, Bloomberg reported a decline in demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia, particularly in China, due to an economic slowdown and a shift to cheaper coal alternatives. China’s LNG imports in Q1 2025 dropped 10% year-over-year, reducing export opportunities for U.S. gas producers and adding pressure on domestic prices.
Source: Bloomberg, "China’s LNG Imports Fall as Coal Use Rises," April 22, 2025
Technical Analysis
Natural gas futures (NYMEX) are currently around $3.15 per MMBtu as of April 28, 2025, following a recent decline from a peak of approximately $4.90 in 2025.
Fibonacci retracement levels indicate correction targets at 38.2% ($2.74) and 50% ($2.43).
Fundamental factors, such as oversupply and reduced demand, support a bearish scenario that could drive prices to these levels in the near term.
Nearest Entry Point Target:
• $2.74
Growth Potential:
Long-term:
• $10
Screenshot:
Natural Gas: The Bearish Raid is On! Are You In?🌟 ATTENTION ALL BLACK MARKET TRADERS & NINJA THIEVES! 🌟
(XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist Plan - Bearish Swing/Scalping)
Yo! 🐱👤🤑 The vault doors are creaking open on Natural Gas, and it's time for a BEARISH HEIST! Our intel suggests the big dump is coming. Police ain't around, so let's move! 🚓💨
🦹♂️ THE MASTER HEIST PLAN (BEARISH EDITION)
Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas) | Trade Type: Swing / Scalping Heist
Overall Bias: BEARISH 📉👊 (We're stealing on the way DOWN!)
🎯 ENTRY PROTOCOL: THE "LAYER" HEIST
For the OG Thieves who understand patience and precision. We're not chasing; we're setting traps!
🎪 ENTRY: Any price level is a gift! But for the pros, we're setting MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT ORDERS to layer our entry like a true market ninja.
🧨 LAYER 1: 2.740
🧨 LAYER 2: 2.770
🧨 LAYER 3: 2.800
Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital. More layers, more loot! 💰💰💰
🚨 STOP LOSS (The Getaway Car Engine)
This is where we bail if the cops show up. Don't be a hero.
🛑 THIEF S.L.: @2.950
📢 OG ANNOUNCEMENT: Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the shadow markets, adjust your SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy! Protect your capital! 🛡️
🏁 TARGET (The Escape Route)
The police barricade is set up down below. Our goal is to escape with the stolen money before we hit it!
🎯 T/P 1 (CASH OUT): @2.550 🚗💨
🚧 POLICE BARRICADE: @2.450 (Danger! Avoid this area!)
🔪 SCALPERS, LISTEN UP! 👂
If you're in and out quick, only scalp on the SHORT side. Ride those little downtrends for quick cash. Use a tight trailing stop to protect your mini-loot! 🏃♂️💵
⚠️ HEIST ALERT: NEWS LOCKDOWN 🚫📰
Big news = cops everywhere! It creates chaos and volatility. To avoid getting caught:
AVOID new trades during high-impact news.
USE Trailing Stops to lock in profits on running heists.
STAY STEALTHY. 🐱👤
💣 BOOST THIS IDEA! 💣
It fuels our underground network and helps us find the next perfect heist! Let's drain this market dry together! 🤑🤝❤️🎉
I'll see you in the shadows with the next score. Stay sharp! 🙈🙉🙊
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 64.627.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 63.428.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NATGAS - Targets acquired! Bullish Breakout! 📊 NATGAS – Multi-Timeframe Outlook
🔎 Monthly (1M)
Price has respected the monthly demand zone (2.1 – 2.3) with a strong reaction.
Structure still inside a wide swing range, but higher timeframe bias is shifting bullish.
Long-term upside targets sit around 4.9+, aligning with the top of the range and prior supply.
🕰 Weekly (1W)
Clear weekly engulfing candle confirming demand reaction.
Target Level 1: 3.3 – 3.4 zone (short-term imbalance/supply).
Target Level 2: 4.9+, lining up with range highs.
As long as price holds above 2.1 invalidation level, bullish continuation remains intact.
⏱ Daily (1D)
Current push showing strong momentum off support with liquidity trend building.
Immediate upside focus on 3.3+, where first supply/imbalance sits.
Expect retracements into demand zones to be respected as buying opportunities until major resistance levels are tested.
⏳ 8H
Price broke out of a descending channel, retesting the buy zone reaction area (2.8 – 2.9).
Upside liquidity targets at 3.3 in the near-term.
Smaller resistance noted, but structure favors continuation higher toward daily imbalance + supply zones.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish reversal from higher timeframe demand
Entry Zone: 2.8 – 2.9 (buy zone reaction)
Targets: 3.3 (short-term), 4.9 (long-term swing)
Invalidation: Break below 2.1 demand base
SpotCrude Short Setup - 4h💎MJTrading
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
🛢️ PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE Short Setup – Third Tap of Falling Wedge Resistance
Pattern: Falling wedge
Context: Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
Bias: Bearish
🟢 Entry Point: 64.5
This aligns with upper boundary of the Falling Wedge (After Rejection).
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 65.5
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
✅ TP1 (RR1) → 63.5
📈 TP2 → 62.5
💰 TP3 → 61.5
🧠 Trade Logic
Price is testing wedge resistance for the third time, with rejection signs
⚠️ Risk Management
Risk:Reward ratio ranges from 1:1 to 1:3, depending on TP level.
Psychology Always Matters:
BRIEFING Week #35 : Monthly forecast for Q4Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Mach Natural Resources LP $MNR ~ Bulls Inbound...Mach Natural Resources LP engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil, natural gas and liquids. Its reserves are located in Anadarko Basin, Southern Kansas, and Texas. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, OK.