Get started

Energy Commodities

WTI Edges Up On Big EIA Draw, Risk-on ToneFundamental approach: - Last week, USOIL was modestly higher amid risk-on sentiment and tighter supply signals after a larger‑than‑expected US crude draw. - Support came from the EIA’s reported six-million-barrel crude draw tied to lower imports and stronger exports, reinforcing a tightening balance even as Cushing stocks ticked up; broader sentiment also leaned on expectations of looser Fed policy aiding demand. - Gains were tempered by mixed macro cues, fading Eastern Europe risk headlines, choppy dollar moves, and cautious positioning ahead of the next API/EIA prints. - However, China's Sinopec last week reported a sharp profit drop, citing weak fuel consumption. The trend of subdued fuel demand is likely to continue as factors including lower consumer confidence, rising electric-vehicle adoption and improved fuel efficiency are reducing petroleum demand in China. - Into late week, USOIL could firm if US inventories show continued draws and risk tone improves, while any surprise builds or de‑escalation of supply risks may cap rallies; follow‑through from Fed‑cut pricing and geopolitics could potentially steer near‑term direction. Technical approach: - USOIL found support quickly after closing below the key level at 63.90. The price is retesting both EMAs and closed above the key level at 63.90, signaling a make-or-break situation. The market awaits a clear breakout to determine the short-term movement. - If USOIL closes above both EMAs and breaks the descending trendline, the price may continue to advance to retest the following resistance at 67.50. - On the contrary, closing below the support at 63.90 may prompt a further weakness to retest the next support at 60.00. PS: I shared a piece of the above ideas on The Wall Street Journal: www.wsj.com Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by DatTong
WTI Crude Awaits Breakout Amid Sanction RisksWTI Crude Oil – Overview Oil Holds Steady on Fed Cut Bets and Sanction Risks Oil prices are flat in early trade as markets weigh the likelihood of a U.S. Fed rate cut in September against potential disruptions to Russian crude flows. Brent trades at $67.18 (-0.1%), while WTI is steady at $63.64, following a 2.5% gain last week. Fading optimism over a Russia–Ukraine summit and renewed U.S. tariff threats against India add to volatility. Markets are closely watching the Aug. 27 deadline, when secondary U.S. tariffs against India for Russian oil purchases are expected to take effect. 🔹 Technical Outlook WTI is trading in bullish momentum as long as it holds above 63.47. Price is likely to consolidate between 63.47 – 64.72 until a breakout. ✅ Above 64.72: Bullish continuation toward 65.83 → 67.20. ⚠️ Below 63.47: Bias turns bearish, targeting 61.83. 🔹 Key Levels Support: 63.47 – 61.83 Resistance: 64.72 – 65.83 – 67.20 ✅ Summary: WTI crude remains range-bound but biased to the upside, supported by Fed cut expectations and geopolitical risks. A decisive break from the 63.47–64.72 range will set the next trend direction.
TVC:USOILLong
by SroshMayi
WTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks CollideWTI Steadies as Rate-Cut Bets and Supply Risks Collide WTI crude hovered around $64 on August 25, steady after last week’s gains as traders balanced U.S. rate-cut expectations with geopolitical risks. The Fed is seen 85% likely to cut rates in September, boosting demand outlooks. Supply concerns persist after Washington threatened 50% tariffs on Indian imports over Russian oil purchases, while India signaled it will keep buying from Moscow. Stalled Russia-Ukraine talks and renewed attacks on energy infrastructure add to uncertainty.
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by ProfessorSingapore
2 Month Descending ChannelSeptember natural gas futures plunged to a nine-month low on August 22, dropping 4.5% amid near-record output, ample storage, and cooler weather reducing demand. Despite a rebound in LNG exports, prices have fallen for five straight weeks, down 24% overall. Record U.S. production in August averages 108.4 bcfd, while storage remains 6% above normal. Demand, including exports, is expected to ease in coming weeks, with LNG feedgas rising to 16.2 bcfd as plants recover from outages. Hurricane activity in the Atlantic poses no immediate threat to U.S. supply. Analysts expect U.S. LNG exports to grow about 10% annually through 2030.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ProfessorSingapore
WTI Crude Oil · M15 · 24-Aug — “Buy the Dip into EMA/Donchian”🟢 Bias: Intraday long after spike, buy the dip into Donchian + EMA support. Entry: $62.90 – $63.20 Stop-Loss: $61.95 Targets: TP1 $63.80 · TP2 $64.70 · TP3 $66.00 RRR (from $63.10): Risk $1.15 → TP3 +$2.90 = ~1:2.5 ✅ Why this works: Confluence: Donchian support ($62.91) + 200 EMA M15 ≈ $62.38 (white). Structure: Higher highs/lows since Aug-20; volume expands on pushes, compresses on pullbacks. HTF context: H4 pressing toward 200 EMA ≈ $64.7–$65.0 (key pivot). Execution: Look for a bullish rejection/engulfing inside the box + 8/21 EMA hold (orange/blue) above the 200 EMA (white). Risk: ≤ 1%. Move SL→BE after TP1. Trade Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High if retest holds and 8/21 maintain bullish structure) 🔒 Want more? The Prime version below adds: alternate short plan at $64.7–$65.0, management ladder, HL tight-stop variant (~4R), and a full execution checklist. Follow on Skool, link in profile! ⚠️ Trading involves risk. Manage exposure and trade responsibly. 💬 Thoughts on this setup?
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by JudasSwingClub
USOIL Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 63.76 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 63.02 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
WTI Crude Oil Trading Analysis: June-August 2025 - 25-AugustWTI Crude Oil Trading Analysis: June-August 2025 Review & Week of August 25th Recommendations Analysis Date : August 23, 2025 Market : WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL1!) Methodology : Dual Renko Chart System ($0.25/15min + $0.50/30min) Volume Profile : 3-Month Monthly Analysis (June-August 2025) Executive Summary Market Regime: Oil has completed a major corrective phase from $72 highs to $61 lows, establishing a clear bottoming pattern with strong institutional accumulation. Current setup presents high-probability bullish swing opportunity with excellent risk/reward characteristics. Current Status : Bullish reversal confirmed with multiple technical confluences at critical support zone. Recommended positioning for upside targets with systematic risk management protocols. 3-Month Market Structure Analysis (June-August 2025) Phase 1: Distribution & Breakdown (June-July) Price Action: $72 → $61 (-15% decline) June Peak: Heavy red volume distribution at $71-72 level indicated institutional selling July Decline: Clean Renko downtrend with sustained selling pressure Volume Profile: Minimal volume during decline, suggesting limited buying interest until $63-64 zone Phase 2: Accumulation & Reversal Setup (Late July-August) Price Action: $61 → $63.50 (+4% recovery) Institutional Buying: Massive green volume accumulation at $63-65 level Support Establishment: $62-63 zone showing strong buying interest Technical Reversal: DEMA crossover confirmed bullish momentum shift Volume Profile Key Levels (3-Month Analysis) Major Support Zones : $62-63: Primary institutional accumulation (heaviest green volume) $60-61: Secondary support with moderate green volume $58-59: Ultimate support level (limited historical volume) Resistance Zones: $66-67: First institutional resistance (mixed volume) $69-70: Major distribution zone (heavy red volume from June) $71-72: Ultimate resistance (peak selling pressure) Current Technical Analysis (August 23, 2025) Dual Chart Assessment $0.50 Chart (Structure Analysis): Trend: Clear bottoming pattern completed at $61 low Current Position: Testing above major institutional accumulation zone Volume Confirmation: Trading within heaviest 3-month green volume cluster Structure: Higher lows pattern emerging since $61 bottom $0.25 Chart (Execution Analysis): DEMA Status: Bullish crossover confirmed (Black above Red at $63.00) DMI/ADX: +DI gaining momentum, ADX rising through 25 level Donchian Position: Price above basis, testing toward upper band Recent Action: 3 consecutive green bricks confirming upward momentum Technical Confluences Supporting Bull Case Volume Profile: Massive institutional support at current levels DEMA Crossover: Clear trend reversal signal confirmed Momentum: DMI showing bullish shift with strengthening ADX Structure: Higher low pattern vs. $61 bottom Risk/Reward: Excellent positioning near major support zone Market Context & Macro Considerations Current Oil Market Dynamics Supply: OPEC+ spare capacity at 5.9 million b/d (bearish) Demand: China slowdown offset by US resilience (neutral) Inventories: Below 5-year average (bullish) Refining: Margins supporting crude demand (bullish) Federal Reserve Impact Policy Stance: Potential September rate cut (bullish for commodities) Dollar Weakness: Could support oil prices Inflation Expectations: Rising energy costs could influence policy Seasonal Factors Driving Season: Peak summer demand ending (bearish) Hurricane Season: Atlantic activity potential (bullish) Refinery Maintenance: September turnaround season (mixed) Conclusion & Strategic Outlook Near-Term Assessment (1-2 weeks): The current setup represents a high-probability swing trading opportunity with exceptional risk/reward characteristics. The combination of institutional volume support, technical reversal signals, and favorable market structure creates optimal conditions for bullish positioning. Medium-Term Outlook (1-3 months): Successful navigation through the $66-68 resistance zone could establish a broader recovery toward $70-72 levels. However, macroeconomic headwinds and seasonal factors require careful position management and profit-taking discipline. Risk Assessment: While the setup is compelling, traders must respect the institutional accumulation levels as ultimate support. Any violation of the $62 zone would invalidate the bullish thesis and require immediate position liquidation. Strategic Advantage: The dual Renko chart system provides both structural clarity and tactical precision, enabling confident position sizing and systematic risk management. The monthly volume profile offers institutional-level insight typically unavailable to retail traders. Document Classification: Trading Analysis & Recommendations Risk Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk of loss.
NYMEX:CL1!
by mxb1961
USOIL Is Going Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 63.760. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 63.300 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILShort
by SignalProvider
1
Equinor ASA ($EQNR) ~ Beautiful WaVes...Business Summary Equinor ASA, formerly Statoil ASA is a Norway-based international energy company. The Company’s purpose is to turn natural resources into energy. Equinor sells crude oil and delivers natural gas to the European market. It is also engaged in processing, refining, offshore wind and carbon capture and storage activities. Equinor ASA has five reporting segments: Exploration & Production Norway (E&P Norway), Exploration & Production International (E&P International), Exploration & Production USA (E&P USA), Marketing, Midstream & Processing (MMP) and Renewables (REN). The Company has several subsidiaries such as Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Ltd, Equinor Wind Power AS, Equinor International Netherlands BV and Equinor Brasil Energia Ltda. EQNR 1.15%↑ Financial Summary BRIEF: For the six months ended 30 June 2025, Equinor ASA (ADR) revenues increased 8% to $54.51B. Net income decreased 13% to $3.94B. Revenues reflect Marketing, Processing and Renewable Energy segment increase from $25.14B to $53.86B, Exploration and Production - International segment increase of 90% to $308M. Net income was offset by REN segment loss increase from $90M to $1.26B, Marketing.
NYSE:EQNR
by EndlessCode
1