Crude Levels (Non-Updated but still reactive)Just wanted to share my crude levels. Drew alot of these months ago and haven't adjusted alot of them...especially the boxes but general areas identified still seem to be reactive.
Will update these eventually, but not sure this will be a living chart once published.
~The Villain
Energy Commodities
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this levl ot our take profit.
Entry: 65.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.25 Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 67.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 62.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USOIL Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 64.144.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 61.870 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US OILS Detailed AnalysisTechnical Summary:
The primary trend of WTI is bearish, and the prices on a 4H chart also continue their downtrend within a declining wedge pattern.
However, prices are retracing after testing the lower fib level 0.0 (61.33) and are currently trending above a crucial psychological & historically tested support of 62.00.
If prices remain able to sustain higher, then it might test important resistance at 63.00, with a near hurdle at the fib level 0.236 (63.45).
Indicator Interpretation:
The prices are rising after testing the lower Bollinger band, signaling a bullish reversal.
Alternate Scenario
If crude oil breaks the crucial support zone between 62.0 - 61.8, then it could signal rising bearish pressure.
Key Levels
Resistance
R1 = 62.45
R2 = 63.15
Support
S1 = 62.00
S2 = 61.30
Facts & Figures:
The world produces about 95–100 million barrels of crude oil per day, with major producers including the U.S., Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Canada.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 61.937 (Fibo lvl).Hello, colleagues!
Well, I think that the previous scenario is still relevant and the “ABC” correction is developing according to the scenario.
At the moment, I see a five-wave structure in the downward wave “C”. I expect a small correction to the area of 67.287, then a continuation of the downward movement to the area between 61.8% and 100% of the levels of Fibonacci extension - the support area of 61.937.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
NATGAS Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2.895$ while trading
In a downtrend so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish continuation
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles In RedMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles In Red
WTI Crude oil is also down and remains at risk of more losses below $62.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended losses below the $65.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is formed with resistance at $63.05 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to continue higher above $66.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $65.00.
There was a steady decline below the $64.50 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $63.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $62.15 zone, and the price is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $65.98 swing high to the $62.15 low at $63.05. There is also a major bearish trend line at $63.05 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The main hurdle is $63.50. A clear move above the $63.50 zone could send the price toward the 61.8% Fib retracement level at $64.50.
The next key resistance is near $66.00. If the price climbs further higher, it could face sellers near $68.00. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $62.15 level. The next major level on the WTI crude oil chart is near $61.20. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 62.65
Target Level: 68.77
Stop Loss: 58.58
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Oil at Key Support – Bounce or Breakdown?Crude oil is trading around $66.94, showing a bearish correction after failing to hold above $69.05. The chart shows price respecting an ascending channel but currently testing its lower boundary. The recent drop signals weakening bullish momentum, and a confirmed break below the channel could accelerate selling pressure toward lower levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Rebound: If price holds above the channel support (~$66.00–$66.50) and breaks back above $69.05, it may target $71.03 and possibly $72.00.
- Bearish Breakdown: A confirmed close below $66.00 can accelerate the downside toward $65.00, with extended targets near $63.50–$62.00.
📊 Key Technical Highlights
- Price rejected from the channel top and is now testing lower support.
- Key resistance zones: $69.05 (immediate), $71.03 (major).
- Key support zones: $66.00 (channel), then $65.00–$63.50 (breakdown targets).
- Momentum indicators show weakening buying pressure, favoring cautious trading.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $69.05 → $71.03 → $72.00
- Support: $66.00 → $65.00 → $63.50
🧭 Trend Outlook
- A short-term relief bounce is possible, but failure to reclaim $69.05 keeps sellers in control.
- Breaking below the channel would shift the overall outlook to bearish for August.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
USOIL H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see the price has rejected off the sell entry which acts as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the downside.
Sell entry is at 64.13, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 67.06, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 60.05, which is a multi-swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ETH - If You Know ...... You Know whats Coming
NYSE:BLK $BUIDL tokenized U.S.-Treasury fund launched on COINBASE:ETHUSD in Mar 2024—Wall Street is already settling real dollars on-chain.
NYSE:JPM JPMD stablecoin just went live on Base (an COINBASE:ETHUSD L2), piping wholesale payments from a $4 T balance-sheet straight through COINBASE:ETHUSD rails.
COINBASE:ETHUSD isn’t just riding the next crypto cycle—it’s becoming Wall Street’s settlement layer. From BlackRock’s on-chain Treasury fund to JPMorgan’s and soon Bank of America’s dollar tokens, a tidal wave of institutional stable-coin flows is lining up behind ETH. Fewer coins, more real-world volume—if you know, you know what’s coming.
NYSE:BAC CEO says they’ll issue a dollar-backed token the moment regulators nod—another tier-1 bank boarding the Ethereum train.
Stablecoin cap has blasted past $230 B , with 80 %+ of all on-chain transfers riding Ethereum (plus BSC) blocks.
Corporate settlements via stablecoins grew 25 % YoY in 2024 as multinationals replaced SWIFT with instant on-chain clearing.
Daily stablecoin throughput averages $7 B—each hop burning ETH and tightening supply.
BCG projects tokenized real-world assets to exceed $16 T by 2030 , with EVM chains as the default plumbing.
Over 500 M wallets already interact with stablecoins , a 30 % YoY surge led by emerging-market demand.
L2s like BINANCE:ARBUSDT & BINANCE:OPUSDT cut transaction fees 35 % yet still settle back to mainnet—meaning ETH captures the fee stream and the burn.
Bottom line: a tidal wave of bank-grade stablecoins + tokenized assets is lining up behind ETH; supply shrinks, demand soars—if you know, you know what’s coming.
quote] Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that , hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
USOIL rebounds from 6,300.0. Where next?USOIL rebounds from 6,300.0. Where next?
USOIL bounced back from the 6,300.0 mark on Tuesday, building on slight gains from the prior session, after President Donald Trump prolonged a tariff truce with China for an additional 90 days. The decision, made just before new tariffs were due, provided temporary relief from rising trade tensions that might hinder global growth and energy demand. The modest rise towards SMA50 and 6,500.0 level is expected. Market participants will also be waiting for OPEC’s monthly report, along with US EIA and IEA forecasts, for fresh supply–demand signals.
Natural Gas consolidates nearby support level of 3.0000Natural Gas consolidates nearby support level of 3.0000
U.S. Natural Gas has been declining since mid-June, forming the bullish wedge. Since the end of July 4-h RSI shows us bullish divergence, the price consolidates nearby the 3.0000 support level. The price is expected to rise towards 3.4000 level as a first target with 3.6000 as a final target. Additionally, according to seasonals, since the second half of the august, natural gas prices go bullish due to the beginning of the shoulder season, which may be an extra support factor for the asset.
USOIL: Eyes on 64.10 as Geopolitics Take Center Stage!!In today’s session, we’re watching USOIL for a potential short setup around the 64.10 zone. Price action remains in a broader downtrend, with the current move looking like a corrective retracement into a key support turned resistance area.
From a fundamental perspective, all eyes are on the scheduled August 15 meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. A ceasefire agreement could fuel bearish momentum, potentially accelerating the sell-off. On the other hand, if talks collapse, renewed geopolitical tension could keep oil prices bid in the short term.
Technically, 64.10 is the battleground a decisive rejection here could offer an attractive risk reward for sellers aligned with the dominant trend.
Oil | Bearish Bias Below 64.70as Markets Await U.S.–Russia TalksOil Little Changed, With Focus on U.S.–Russia Meeting
Oil prices were steady in afternoon trade as markets awaited Friday’s meeting between U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin, which could potentially pave the way for a Ukraine peace deal.
Oil has fallen over 10% this year, pressured by OPEC+ restoring production faster than planned and by weakening global demand prospects.
Technical Outlook:
The price maintains a bearish bias while trading below 64.70, targeting 63.45 and 61.85, with further downside toward 60.20 if broken.
However, market direction could shift sharply depending on the outcome of Friday’s meeting.
A move above 64.75 would target 65.80, and a breakout beyond this could trigger bullish momentum toward 67.20 and 69.10.
Pivot: 64.70
Support: 63.45, 61.85, 60.20
Resistance: 65.80, 67.20, 69.10
Bullish Energy in Natural Gas: -DMI Extreme + Wedge BreakoutThe Spark in the Gas Market
Natural gas has been quietly simmering in recent weeks, building pressure beneath a surface of consolidation. Traders watching closely will have noticed a rare alignment — one that history shows can potentially precede outsized moves. We’re talking about the convergence of two powerful signals: a -DMI yearly extreme and a falling wedge breakout.
In the past, this combination has marked moments when bearish momentum had run its course, giving way to swift and decisive bullish reversals. Now, that same alignment is flashing again, inviting a closer look at the technical landscape and the potential opportunities it presents.
Why This Setup Matters
The -DMI (Directional Movement Index) measures the strength of downward price moves. When it pushes beyond two standard deviations above its yearly linear regression channel, it signals an overextended bearish phase. Historically, these extremes have often coincided with market bottoms in Natural Gas Futures.
Layer on top a falling wedge — a bullish reversal chart pattern — and the probability of an upside move gains weight. The wedge compresses price action into a narrowing range, reflecting reduced volatility and setting the stage for a potential explosive breakout once resistance gives way. The current breakout level sits near 3.18, with technical projections aligning closely to a well-defined UFO resistance (UnFilled Orders) zone around 3.90.
The Technical Story Unfolds
Looking at the daily chart in the present, the -DMI has recently breached the +2 standard deviation boundary of its 252-period regression channel — a rare occurrence that, as said, has preceded multiple major bullish reversals in the past year. When this condition appeared, downside momentum often faded, making room for buyers to take control.
This time, the current signal aligns with a falling wedge that has been developing for weeks. Price is about to break above the wedge’s upper boundary at approximately 3.18, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
The Trade Blueprint
Direction: Long
Entry: 3.18 (confirmed breakout above wedge resistance)
Target: 3.90 (wedge projection + UFO resistance)
Stop Loss: 2.858 (below wedge and technical support floor)
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: ~2+ to 1
This structure allows traders to define risk tightly while targeting a meaningful upside move. The setup applies equally to both Natural Gas Futures (NG) and Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG), offering flexibility in capital allocation. For smaller accounts or those wanting to reduce margin exposure, the MNG contract delivers the same tick size precision with only one-quarter of the notional value.
The Contract Advantage
Natural Gas Futures (NG) represent 10,000 MMBtu per contract, with a minimum tick size of 0.00025 — equivalent to $2.50 per tick.
Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG) are one-tenth the size at 1,000 MMBtu per contract, with the same 0.00025 tick size equaling $0.25 per tick.
Margin requirements vary with volatility and exchange adjustments, but at the time of writing, the CME lists initial margin for NG in the range of $3,500 per contract, while MNG margins are proportionally lower at $350 per contract. This creates flexibility for traders to scale positions or manage risk without altering the technical logic of the trade. Both contracts trade nearly 24 hours per day, Sunday through Friday, offering the ability to react to global energy market shifts in real time.
Risk Management as the Safety Valve
Defining risk is the cornerstone of any trade plan. The stop loss at 2.858 is not arbitrary — it sits below both the wedge’s lower boundary and a nearby technical support level. If price were to close below this level, it would undermine the bullish thesis and call for an exit.
Using smaller MNG contracts can help align risk with account size, allowing for partial position scaling and better drawdown control. Equally important is avoiding undefined risk scenarios, particularly in a commodity as volatile as natural gas. Precision in both entries and exits reduces exposure to intraday whipsaws while maintaining the trade’s structural integrity.
Closing the Loop
The natural gas market has aligned a rare set of conditions — a -DMI yearly extreme and a falling wedge breakout — each of which has historically preceded significant upside moves on their own. Together, they offer a compelling technical case for a defined, risk-managed long position targeting the 3.90 zone.
While no setup guarantees success, this one seems to offer clarity: a well-defined entry, stop, and target, supported by historical probability and pattern structure. In volatile markets, those moments of clarity are worth paying attention to — and acting on with discipline, and always depending on the trader’s trading plan.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Crude Oil Weekly Outlook: Tariffs, Ceasefire, OPEC & CPI RisksKey Events This Week
• WTI drops to 62.60 ahead of major geopolitical and economic catalysts: Ukraine ceasefire, U.S.–China tariffs, OPEC report, and U.S. CPI
• Global tariff developments continue to shape sentiment and crude demand valuations, especially in relation to OPEC’s evolving supply strategy
WTI’s latest drop is currently holding at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the May–June uptrend, and precisely at the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern around the 62.60 level. The Fibonacci retracement was applied from the $55 low to the $77.80 close, filtering out breakout noise from the Iran–Israel escalation outside the borders of the 3-year down trending channel.
• If 62.60 breaks, downside risks may accelerate toward the mid-zone of the channel, with key levels in sight at 61.40, 59.40, and 55.20, respectively.
• If 62.60 holds, and WTI reclaims ground above 65, we could see a recovery toward the upper edge with next resistance levels at 68.00, 70.00, 71.40, and 72.70.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT