Attention, seasonal sales!Today we have moved on to the seasonal sales period, and I want to review the market situation once again. As I wrote in my last review, in order to continue active trading, I am waiting for another delisting and assignment of the monitoring tag, after which we can identify more reliable and attractive tools for speculators. However, this year binance continues to make the footsteps. After ether's growth was too fast to form a trend, a significant pullback was prevented in July. This prevents further purchases and consolidation above 5k. At the same time, there was no delisting and assignment of the monitoring tag, which preserves the threat of drawdown for altcoins and reduces the activity of buyers. As a result, the seasonal August purchases were repaid.
The next seasonal wave of market growth is from the end of September to the beginning of November. In the next three weeks, it is worth preparing for a bear attack and, hopefully, another assignment of the monitoring tag, after which it will be possible to identify altcoins that are safe for operation.
Before the closing of the current monthly candle, there is still a possibility of the last bull attack in the second half of the week with a possible 5k takeover, however, only with a clear signal, which may be negative data on US GDP or a sharp rise in brent oil above $ 70 followed by a breakout of the last monthly candle for EUR/USD. But for now, for 3-4 weeks, the probability of a retest of 3500 on ether prevails at least, followed by a resumption of growth from the end of September if the bulls hold 3500.
As expected, fan tokens have shown themselves to be the most interesting and confident in such a market picture due to strong oversold conditions, but today I have also finished work with them before the likely seasonal decline.
ETH-D
Ethereum Breaks $4K — Eyes on $5K and BeyondEthereum has been the top-performing asset since the April 7 low, breaking through resistance and solidifying its position as the backbone of the stablecoin ecosystem. The trend remains firmly bullish as long as ETH continues its pattern of higher highs and higher lows.
The breakout above the $4,000–$4,200 zone turned former resistance into new support, giving bulls the upper hand. Momentum now shifts toward retesting the former all-time high region at $4,800–$5,000, with upside potential extending into the next cycle.
📈 Technical Highlights:
✅ Short-term resistance: $4,800–$5,000 (former ATH)
✅ Medium-term target: $7,000 baseline
✅ Extended objective: $8,000 possible
🛡️ Key support: $4,000–$4,200 (new floor)
📣 Takeaway:
Ethereum’s structure remains a textbook bullish setup. As long as it holds above $4,000, the path favors further upside. Breakouts above $5,000 could fuel the next leg higher, while current levels may offer strong opportunities for trend-followers and long-term investors.
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #EthereumPrice #Bullish #CryptoTrading #Altcoins #Breakout
SPX 6900 looking weak , big drop coming?SPX has been a monster for most of 2025 but now showing signs of weakness , weekly lower high trend was the first warning.
Now formed massive rising wedge would be careful with this for now wait until its under one dollar to pick up some more.
This trendline is very important , see how the monthly closes on this one.
Distribution Pattern Signals Crash Into CME Gap at 92kIt is always the same playbook at this point and it is getting boring to watch. The same double top distribution pattern repeats again and again. This is the game they play, wiping out both shorts and longs before the real rally begins.
The last time we saw this setup Bitcoin pulled back 32 percent into the CME gap at 77k. The next gap sits at 92k and you can bet they will dump it down there too. In reality it is not even that big of a move, just 26 percent, perfectly in line with previous pullbacks.
The real story is the fear it will create. This lines up with September, historically Bitcoin’s worst performing month and a time when blood usually runs in the streets.
DO NOT FALL FOR THIS BEAR TRAP AND SHAKE OUT
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 2💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Ethereum chart, after last night’s rally, ETH hit a new all-time high but was rejected and is now moving downward while maintaining its uptrend.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 50 and 30. Breaking these levels with high volatility could trigger ETH’s next move in either direction.
🎮 Fibonacci drawn from the Jackson Hole event to ETH’s all-time high shows the 0.61 level as a key zone. Losing this could lead to a deeper correction. The 0 Fib level at $4,852 acts as a breakout zone for long trades.
🕯 Red candles are relatively large, but ETH’s pullback is milder than Bitcoin’s. It’s currently at a decision-making zone with a new structure forming.
🪙 ETHBTC pair shows whales are undecided after last night’s drop. The alarm zone for the ETH/BTC pair is at 0.04218; a break above could spark a new bullish leg for ETH.
🔔 ETH’s alarm zone for longs is at $4,852.52. A breakout here with increased volatility and volume could push ETH to higher highs.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
▒𖢻▒ ETHEREUM FORECAST | 1D ▒𖢻▒COINBASE:ETHUSD
My ETH Forecast on the Daily. Long-Term I believe ETH will see a 35% drop before a 100% gain.
The first part of this forecast is shown here.
This can always change, this is my initial forecast from watching price action for thousands of hours. The Fibonacci Sequence supports these fractal forecasts and as well as the trading patterns throughout the history of Ethereum.
I am a Bitcoin Maximalist so I am not trading ETH, however if I was I'd be taking large profits and/or trading out of all of my positions at this current level ($5,000 - $4,600) and reposition back in around these valley levels ($3,300 - $3,000).
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
▒𖢻▒ ETHEREUM FORECAST | 6HR ▒𖢻▒COINBASE:ETHUSD
Here's my Forecast for Ethereum on the 6-hour chart. After an incredible run, ETH is now consolidating in a tight range, and the chart is giving us some very clear levels to watch.
Here's my breakdown of the current situation:
The Bullish Case (Consolidation):
ETH is currently holding strong above the key support level at $4,677. As long as we remain above this line, this sideways action looks like healthy consolidation before the next leg up.
The overall structure is still a clear uptrend, defined by the ascending trendline providing support from below.
The Bearish Case (Potential Pullback):
The price is currently below the recent High near $4,950. A failure to break this level could signal exhaustion and lead to a pullback.
The first major support to watch on any significant dip is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level around $4,300. This would be a logical area for buyers to step back in.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: The recent high around $4,950. A clean break and hold above this level signals the next major move higher.
Immediate Support: $4,677. This is the line in the sand for the current consolidation range.
Major Support: The 0.618 Fib level and structural support at $4,000. This is the critical level that bulls absolutely must defend to maintain the larger bullish trend.
My Outlook:
For now, I'm leaning bearish on the 6HR, bullish in the immediate short-term but remaining cautious. I'm watching for a decisive break of $4,950 as confirmation for new highs. If the immediate support at $4,677 fails, I'll be looking for a potential dip-buying opportunity at $4,300.
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
BRIEFING Week #34 : The Rotation may have BegunHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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ETH – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Often Rhymes!Ethereum has officially broken out above its previous ATH structure, entering a new price discovery phase.
📅 In 2018, ETH peaked, then spent years consolidating in a broad range before launching into the 2021 bull cycle.
Once the 2018 ATH was broken, ETH rallied nearly +250% in discovery mode, printing its 2021 ATH.
🏹After another extended range, ETH is now repeating history: breaking out again with room for another price discovery rally.
⏱️If ETH mirrors the last cycle’s percentage gain, the next optimistic target sits around $17,000–$18,000, aligning with a potential +250% leg from current breakout levels. 🚀
Cycles may not repeat perfectly, but they often rhyme — and Ethereum’s structure suggests we could be on the verge of another explosive move.
What do you think — can ETH surprise the market again this cycle? 👀🔥
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH 1H | Eyes Back on ATHETH 1H Update
After yesterday’s incredible run following Powell’s speech, ETH stalled at the ATH and pulled back overnight, ranging inside the green zone.
Right now, price looks ready to close above the BB center and possibly push past the green range and last week’s high for another attempt at ATH levels.
If that happens, PSAR will flip bullish again, confirming short-term upside momentum.
RSI has cooled off, and MACD looks close to turning green.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 1💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, we can see that it had a descending channel. It faked out once at the bottom of the channel and then ranged at the top of the channel. Before the Jackson Hole event, it broke out of the channel, and with the Jackson Hole event, it pumped. The price jump Ethereum experienced was remarkable. That’s why we couldn’t open a position on Ethereum .
⚙️ The key zone at 70 can be a good volatility level for long trades, and the key zone at 50 can be a volatility level for short trades .
🕯 Looking at the candle sizes, during the Jackson Hole event the green candles became bigger, and excellent volume entered Ethereum during this event .
🪙 Ethereum to Bitcoin pair , we can see that with breaking the marked zone, Ethereum compared to Bitcoin can gain more value and move upwards again .
🔔 Ethereum alarm zone for long positions is $4800. For short positions, it’s better not to set an alarm because the trend is bullish. The pair against Bitcoin is also bullish, and Tether dominance has faced a heavy rejection from its top .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
$ETHBTC top in for the year?ETHBTC looks to be topping here. I think we either see this resistance as a top or potentially a final move to the one directly above it, but I think this move is largely it for the year.
From here, we should see a move back down to the lower support levels to retest that region. Once that region has been retested I think the real bull run in ETH begins.
However, until then, it's hard to be bullish at resistance.
SOL Game Plan - Solana AltcoinSOL Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has aggressively broken the HTF bearish downtrend and closed above it on the daily chart, indicating potential continuation to the upside.
In addition, price broke through the HTF resistance level, which is now acting as HTF support.
📌 Game Plan
I expect price to retrace back to the HTF support level at $194 and bounce from there, potentially retesting the broken HTF trendline as well.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will monitor the 4H market structure for confirmation before initiating a position.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below HTF support zone
Target: $296 (all-time high)
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Ethereum Update: CHoCH Confirmed – Waiting for BOS & Wave C! As mentioned in my previous Ethereum analysis, ETH has completed its 5-wave impulsive rally and is currently inside wave B of a corrective ABC structure. Wave B often breaks above the wave ⑤ top to trap liquidity before a sharp wave C sell-off.
📊 Latest Price Action (30m TF):
• ETH has already shown a CHoCH by breaking the first key support at $4,753 and retesting it.
• The next crucial support lies at $4,613. If this level also breaks, it would confirm a BOS (Break of Structure) and strengthen the bearish case.
🔀 Two Possible Scenarios from Here:
1. Price retests the broken $4,753 level as resistance → then resumes the downtrend.
2. A deeper pullback toward $4,845 (acting as a left shoulder liquidity zone) → before the real wave C decline begins.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
• Wait for confirmation of BOS at $4,613.
• Once confirmed, look for bearish entry triggers (CHoCH / MSB) on lower timeframes.
• First targets: $4,100 → $3,800.
• Stop-loss invalidation above the swing high at $4,845 to maintain strict risk control.
⚠️ Remember: patience is key. Don’t get trapped in wave B’s fake breakouts — let the structure confirm wave C.
👉 Like & Follow to stay updated as we track ETH’s potential wave C move step by step!
ETH Setup: Retest, Reload & Rally?ETH is pulling back after a strong run , but the bigger picture stays bullish. 📈
The $3,850–$4,000 zone is key — a solid structure + channel support. 🔑
If buyers step in here, we could see the next leg toward $5K and beyond. 🚀
Watching closely… time to retest, reload, and ride the rally? 👀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
ETH 4H👁️This is an untradable zone. Although short positions are possible, it's not advisable to trade bearish pullbacks within an uptrend with strong fundamentals. The 4500 zone seems attractive to me; it's worth monitoring closely to rejoin, gauging mass sentiment and predicting market-makers' moves.