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Phemex Analysis #107: Pro Tips for Trading Ethereum (ETH)Ethereum (ETH) has pushed back into the spotlight after shaking off early‑summer weakness and reclaiming the psychological $4,000 handle. With price now hovering near $4,200, buyers have stepped back in and the daily chart shows a clean sequence of higher lows—story beats that often precede a decisive move. The question on every trader’s mind: does ETH press higher from here, or does it need one more reset before the next leg? Possible Scenarios 1) Bullish Breakout — momentum carries above nearby supply If ETH can extend above the immediate supply zone (watch the $4,300–$4,350 band) on rising volume, a trend continuation opens toward $4,500 and a stretch into $4,800. Pro Tips: Entry: Look for a strong daily close through $4,350 or a break‑and‑retest that holds as support. Risk: Initial stop below the breakout zone (~$4,000), then trail under higher lows. Profit‑taking: Scale out into $4,500 and $4,800 while leaving a runner if momentum expands. 2) Range & Accumulation — base building above $4,000 ETH may continue to coil between $4,000 support and $4,350 resistance while the market digests macro cues and liquidity rotates across majors. Pro Tips: Plan the box: Accumulate near $4,000, lighten up into $4,300–$4,350. Avoid the middle: Wait for edges; don’t chase mid‑range noise. Watch volume: Expansion at range edges often telegraphs the break direction. 3) Bearish Pullback — liquidity sweep into deeper supports Failure to hold $4,000 on heavy sell volume invites a deeper flush toward $3,750 and, in a heavier risk‑off tape, $3,500. Pro Tips: Defense first: Cut risk on a decisive daily close below $4,000. DCA with discipline: Long‑term bulls can consider staggered bids only after stabilization (shrinking candles, waning sell volume, higher‑low attempts) near $3,750 / $3,500. Re‑entry tells: Look for momentum divergences or a strong reclaim of $4,000 to re‑engage. Conclusion ETH sits at a pivotal zone with a clear if/then map: If $4,350 breaks and holds → ride the trend toward $4,500–$4,800. If the range persists → harvest the $4,000–$4,350 box with tight risk. If $4,000 fails → wait for stabilization at $3,750 / $3,500 before redeploying. Anchored by deep liquidity, relentless builder activity, and a maturing staking and L2 ecosystem, Ethereum remains the market’s bellwether. Trade the levels, respect the tape, and let structure—not emotion—drive your decisions. 🔥 Tips: Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
SHORT BITCOIN – THE TRAP IS BELOW, NOT ABOVE!Traders, From the current levels around $112.8K–$113K, I believe Bitcoin is setting up for another leg down into the $104K region. Why? Because at current levels we already have multiple Anchored VWAPs (AVWAPs) lining up from different swing high → low auctions, which makes this area heavy resistance. That means the probability of retracing higher is limited, and instead, the market is more likely to drop into $104K — where there’s significant unfinished business — before a proper bounce can occur. 🔮 Hypothesis From current levels ($112.8K–$113K), price will reject and move down toward $104K. Retracement higher than $113K is unlikely given AVWAP confluence + resistance stack. The $104K region will act as a bounce zone, potentially with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) wick. 📊 Data & Confluence 🔻 Why $104K Is a Magnet HTF Point of Control (POC): The high-volume node where markets naturally seek equilibrium. HTF AVWAP: Anchored VWAP from major pivots aligns here, marking fair value. 4H TPO Single Prints + Fib Retracements (0.75–0.786): Gaps in auction structure converge with key Fibonacci levels. CME Gap: The $104K CME RTH gap still needs filling — markets often return here for balance. Sept 1st Low (Weekly TPO): Poor excess signals unfinished auction business, pulling price back down. 🔼 Why Current Levels Won’t Hold Clustered AVWAPs (different swing high → low auctions): Acting as strong dynamic resistance. Multiple POCs at current zone: Volume saturation suggests exhaustion. Fibonacci confluence + harmonic pattern: Pointing to lower continuation. 💵 Macro Flows USDT Dominance (USDT.D): Breaking higher → capital shifting to stablecoins → bearish BTC. Aggregated CVD: Spot CVD drifting slightly higher, but futures CVD flat with no OI expansion. → No real demand behind the move. 📌 My Take Bitcoin is most likely to: Reject from current AVWAP resistance ($112.8K–$113K). Drop into $104K, clearing imbalances and luring in shorts below the 0.786 fib. Trigger a wick/squeeze move up (Swing Failure Pattern) to trap those late shorters. ⚠️ If $104K fails to hold, next target is the imbalance zone around $98.5K. ✅ Conclusion The market is loaded with resistance at current levels. Until that’s broken with conviction, the path of least resistance is down into $104K. That’s where the real battle will be. Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t get trapped on the wrong side of the wick.
Short
by ThetaNomad
ETH Repeats the Pattern – $4800 Next Target?In my previous ETH analysis, I pointed out that while the price broke below the $4100 technical support and the $4000 psychological level, this move could represent a false break. But for this scenario to be valid, the market needed confirmation. Since then, ETH has stabilized above $4000 and is now hovering around the $4100 level again. 📌 Looking back at the April rally (from $1400 upwards), we can already identify two similar cases of temporary breakdowns followed by strong recoveries. • Each time, the market shook out weak hands before resuming the bullish leg. • This repetition builds the case for another potential rebound, even if no outcome is ever guaranteed. ⚡ Trading Outlook: • Bullish scenario: I expect ETH to rebound towards the $4400 zone, with the possibility of a retest of the $4800 resistance. • Invalidation: A daily close back under $4000 would cancel this bullish setup and reopen the downside risk. • Confirmation: A strong daily close near the highs of the day will add conviction to the bullish continuation. 👉 For now, the structure remains intact, and the bias stays bullish. The key levels to watch are $4000–4100 supports and $4400–4800 for resistance. 🚀
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
10
Ethereum New Update (12H)On the chart, we have a bearish CH and a resistance SWAP zone has formed. This SWAP zone has been broken downward, and now on the pullback to this area, we can look for sell/short positions. As long as the price does not reclaim and hold above this zone, the bearish outlook on Ethereum remains valid If the price strongly breaks TP1 to the downside, a much deeper drop may occur A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
#ETHUSDT (4H Chart)#ETHUSDT (4H Chart) 🔹️ Ethereum Analysis 🔹️ For Ethereum, we have two important resistance levels that could lead to a significant correction: 🔴 Resistances (marked with red boxes): 🎯 First range: 4260 to 4352 USD 🎯 Second range: 4550 to 4635 USD Supports: 🟡 Yellow box (short-term support): 3525 to 3445 USD — likely to be touched if Bitcoin reaches 100,000 USD 🟢 Green box (main support): 2800 to 2700 USD 💡 Summary: We expect a small initial rise, then a correction down to the yellow box, and after the yellow box is touched, this analysis will be updated. 🚀 If you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a boost 💙 And to not miss any new analyses or setups, make sure to follow me 📊 🆔️ @Rasoolahmadi
Short
by Rasoolahmadi
ETH Price Action Looks Heavy – Danger Ahead?This chart is showing a clear pattern of accumulation followed by decline. Every time price moves sideways in a box range, instead of breaking upward with strength, it rolls over into another drop. What this tells us is that the market is using these sideways phases as resting points for sellers to reload, not buyers to take control. Until CRYPTOCAP:ETH can break out of this cycle and hold above one of these consolidation zones, the overall trend remains heavy to the downside. DYOR, NFA #PEACEFUL Follow for more updates and market insights on TradingView
Short
by unichartz
2
EigenLayer Daily view| DeFi’s Ethereum Restaking Power💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you ! ⏰ We’re analyzing EIGEN on the 1-Day timeframe , this coin ranks 132 on CoinMarketCap. It’s a restaking project on the Ethereum network, highly valued and reputable in the DeFi space, and backed by well-known Ethereum developers . 👀 After breaking out of a strong descending channel, this coin moved toward its resistance zone at 1.687 within just three days under strong buying pressure. It was then rejected from this level and formed a bottom at 1.034. This bottom is close to a drawn trendline, and the latest touch of this trendline triggered many buy orders, bringing in significant buying momentum. The key zone for entering a trade is the resistance area that has seen roughly five reactions, each time resulting in rejection. If this daily box breaks, the coin could move to higher price levels. 👑 The 7-day moving average has crossed above both the 25-day and 99-day moving averages, indicating strong buyer power and upward momentum. Moving averages are often used for martingale strategies and as setup confirmations. ⚙️ On the RSI, the key resistance lies around 67.08. A breakout above this level increases the chance of entering the overbought zone, though the major strong resistance is at 70. 🕯 Both trading volume and transaction count are rising, and usually, for coins considered “Ethereum ecosystem projects,” volumes can spike sharply when Ethereum dominance falls. 🔔 We’ve set an alert zone at the 1.687 resistance level. When the price reaches this zone, you can watch the price action and, with confirmation, consider entering a trade. 🖥 Summary : If EigenLayer breaks the 1.687 zone, it could reach much higher price levels. Since it offers a restaking product to the crypto community, it has the potential for strong price surges, as most of its past pumps have happened within just a few candles—even one candle. Don’t forget to set your alert at 1.687 . ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
1
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 28❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BINANCE:ETHUSDT on the 4-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 4-hour chart, after the recent drop, Ethereum managed to hold above $3,900 thanks to support from its maker-buyer zone. Price is currently trading below a key resistance at $4,034. A breakout and confirmation above this level could lead ETH toward its next major trend-shift resistance. The primary resistance for initiating a new bullish leg sits at $4,133. A break and stabilization above this zone could trigger a solid upside move, potentially extending toward the $4,800 area. 🧮 The RSI oscillator shows that during the recent sell-off, ETH dipped twice into deep oversold territory, with significant time spent under selling momentum. The key RSI zone now is the 50 baseline, which acts as resistance. A momentum break above this level would support price stabilization over $4,034, and allow ETH to retest and potentially break its resistance on the way to the overbought zone. 🕯 The candle size and volume on the rebound from the maker-buyer support have been reasonably strong, suggesting that ETH has likely established a key floor around $3,837. As price approached the $4,034 resistance, red candles have become smaller — signaling weakening bearish pressure and absorption of sell orders at that zone. Given the weekend environment, volume has cooled off, and price is moving in a range. With the start of the new week, increased volume could spark a breakout, and trader reaction on ETH may be notable. 💸 The BINANCE:ETHBTC pair is also sitting below a key resistance zone. A breakout and confirmation here could shift ETH’s trading behavior and momentum. On RSI, the pair is around the 50 level, showing reduced volatility due to weekend conditions. The first key resistance is at 0.03687. A breakout and confirmation above this level could support a long setup on ETH. However, the critical resistance sits at 0.03853 — which aligns with the pair’s overbought potential. Breaking and stabilizing above that level would likely trigger notable bullish continuation, but only if RSI enters the overbought zone as confirmation. 🧠 Since CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D recently rejected from 4.72% and Bitcoin has shown some support, Ethereum now holds a reliable floor that can be used for long setups once the specified resistances break. Two main scenarios are in play: 1️⃣ Scenario 1: We need a higher-timeframe candle close above key resistance, starting with $4,034, which also aligns with RSI’s 50-level resistance. After that, spotting a multi-timeframe indecision candle could allow an entry with controlled risk. Upon a confirmed break of the major resistance at $4,133, or signs of trend reversal, additional position size can be added. Essentially, we require a higher low above $4,034, enabling formation of a higher high and eventual breakout through $4,133. 2️⃣ Scenario 2 : A short on ETH is less favorable due to strong buying interest at current levels and weaker risk-to-reward. However, if price breaks and confirms below the key support and maker-buyer zone, a deeper correction could follow. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
Ethereum: Levels to WatchHi guys! Ethereum is currently showing weakness after failing to break higher. The price is likely to retest the MPL zone around $3727, which also aligns with the long-term ascending trendline, making it a strong confluence support. The pink area highlights a potential demand zone where buyers may step in. If the market confirms bullish signals in this area, a long position toward the descending trendline resistance could be considered. However, extra confirmations are recommended before entering long. Summary: Short-term target for shorts: $3727 (MPL plus trendline support). Watch the pink zone for potential long entries, but wait for confirmation. Let's see what will happen!
by melikatrader94
8
Ethereum’s $4K Battle: What's Next?CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently retesting a strong support level on the weekly timeframe, previously acting as resistance, around the $4,000 mark. If Ethereum holds this support, we could see a potential bounce back towards higher levels. However, if the price fails to hold, further downside may test lower support areas. This could be a pivotal point for Ethereum’s next move, so monitoring this zone is essential for short- or long-term strategies. DYOR, NFA #PEACE
Long
by unichartz
ETH/USDT -> Clear Head & Shoulders → bearish biasHello guys! Pattern: obvious Head & Shoulders on the 4-hour. The neckline was taken out by a large bearish candle, which is a good confirmation of the breakdown. Retest: price is testing the broken neckline/supply zone (blue box). The current action is a classic retest → if it gets rejected here again, probability favors more downside. Target: the measured move projects into the red box; roughly ~$3,850 (range $3.7k–$3.9k depending on where you measure the neckline/head). This level also lines up with the last major resistance zone, so it’s a natural magnet. Momentum: RSI showed divergence around the head and has dropped into oversold territory with a small relief bounce. Invalidation: a clean, sustained reclaim and close back above the blue supply zone (above ~4.32–4.40k with conviction) would invalidate the immediate H&S bearish thesis and open the door for a deeper retrace. ----------------------- A simple trade idea: Short on a failed retest of the blue box (4.20–4.32k) after a bearish price candle. Stop: just above the supply zone / last swing high. Targets: scale profits into 3.9k then 3.8k (final target ~3.7–3.9k). Trail if price action turns constructive. Manage risk: keep position sizing sensible.
Short
by melikatrader94
12
$ETH - Bounce Back or Break Down?BINANCE:ETHUSDT | 3d Ethereum has experienced a roughly 13% decline over the past week, primarily due to deleveraging triggered by shifting expectations around rate cuts. The chart indicates that each time the price tests a previous high for the second time, it tends to decline in a bearish retest. The $3800 level is a critical support zone. If this support holds, it could pave the way for a rally, potentially retesting the $4800–$5000 range. However, a break below $3,800 could lead to further declines, targeting the $3500–$3200 zone. In a more bearish scenario, a drop to $2600–$2400 is possible.
by Tealstreet
1
Ethereum. Watching the 3,880–4,060 Zone: Setup for a New ATH?Hi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). The price has entered the 3,880–4,060 range — the scenario I was waiting for in the related post. The September 25 seller candle is an IC candle and shows the highest volume since August 22. And with September — typically a weak month for asset growth — coming to an end, we watch closely. On the daily timeframe, the price is in a sideways range. The black lines mark the boundaries of this range. We’re waiting for the price to return back inside, absorb the seller’s candle that broke the lower boundary, and then it will be possible to look for buy setups targeting a new local ATH. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Ethereum — The Big Wave Towards New Highs, Bullish 10k?📝 Full Analysis Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 1W timeframe is showing a clear 5-wave Elliott Impulse structure. Currently, price is assumed to be in the (4) corrective phase after wave (3) peaked around the 4.9k–5k zone. Wave (4) is now retesting the critical support zone between 3.21k – 3.54k, which perfectly aligns with the Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 levels. This area also acts as a key demand zone (previous resistance now flipping into support). If this zone holds, ETH is well-positioned to start wave (5), targeting new all-time highs. But if this level breaks, ETH could fall into a much deeper corrective scenario. --- 🔑 Key Levels on the Chart Main Support (yellow zone): 0.5 = 3,541 0.618 = 3,210 Bullish Extension Targets (Wave 5): 0.5 = 4,940 0.618 = 5,272 1.0 = 6,345 1.618 = 8,082 2.618 = 10,891 These are not just Fibonacci levels, but psychological points where the market often decides whether to continue or reverse. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario 1. Support 3.21k–3.54k holds → confirms wave (4) completion. 2. ETH prints a weekly rejection candle or bullish engulfing → buyer strength confirmed. 3. Breakout above 4.95k activates bullish momentum with staged targets: Target 1 → 5.27k (0.618 extension) Target 2 → 6.34k (1.0 extension) Extended Target → 8.08k (1.618 extension) Maximal Target → 10.9k (2.618 extension, potential new ATH) 4. Wave (5) is often accompanied by volume surge & market euphoria → a prime opportunity for swing traders and mid-term investors. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario 1. ETH closes below 3.21k weekly → weakens bullish wave structure. 2. Possible deeper retracement: 2.13k (0.5 retracement from macro impulse) 1.95k (0.618 retracement) 3. If ETH breaks below ~1.95k, the 5-wave Elliott structure becomes invalid, and the market could enter a prolonged accumulation/sideways phase similar to 2018–2019. --- 🔍 Pattern Breakdown Elliott Impulse Wave (1–5) with strong extended wave (3). Fibonacci retracement & extension for precise S/R validation. Resistance → Support Flip Zone (3.2k–3.5k). Potential Bullish Flag Structure (macro) if wave (4) is confirmed as a healthy correction. --- 🎯 Extra Insights Wave (5) is usually shorter than wave (3) if wave (3) was already extended → realistic target sits around 6.3k–8k. If crypto market euphoria (ETH ETF narrative, altseason) kicks in, then 10k+ ETH becomes a valid macro target. Caution: wave (4) often forms complex corrections (flat/triangle), meaning sideways consolidation before the breakout. --- 🛡️ Trading Notes Conservative entry: wait for weekly rejection confirmation at 3.2k–3.5k. Aggressive entry: buy the dip in support zone with tight stop below 3.2k. Breakout entry: wait for breakout + retest above 4.95k. Take profit progressively: 5.2k → 6.3k → 8k. --- Ethereum Weekly is forming a 5-wave Elliott Impulse. Currently, price is testing the critical support zone at 3.21k–3.54k. If this zone holds → ETH is ready for wave (5) rally targeting 5.2k → 6.3k → 8k → even 10.9k. If this zone fails → ETH risks a deeper correction towards 2.1k–1.95k. This is the decisive moment for ETH: either break into new ATHs or enter a prolonged correction. Not financial advice — manage your risk. --- #Ethereum #ETHUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #WeeklyChart #PricePrediction #AltcoinSeason
Long
by CryptoNuclear
ETHUSDT - Faces Downtrend👋Hello everyone, glad to see you again. Let’s take a look at BINANCE:ETHUSDT ! Currently, Ethereum is moving in a clear downtrend. After breaking through the support zone, the decline has intensified. The current resistance levels are around 4,300 USD and 4,450 USD. If the support at 4,100 USD is not held, ETH may continue to experience further correction. With the Fed's rate cuts and geopolitical issues like the Russia-Ukraine conflict increasing market instability, capital is flowing out of riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. This will continue to put downward pressure on ETH. Unless there's a reversal from this zone, the strategy and scenario mentioned above seem likely. My target is a short-term price decline. What about you? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments below. Good luck!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
9
ETH Elliott Wave - WXY Correction Complete soon!This chart analyzes Ethereum (ETHUSD) at the conclusion phase of a major WXY corrective structure, highlighting the technical environment for a new impulsive wave sequence. Price action is assessed using multiple technical indicators: Elliott Wave Structure: The chart maps a completed 1-2-3-4-5 impulse, followed by W–X–Y corrective waves. The final Y leg approaches the critical Point 4 support, maintaining overall cycle validity and setting the stage for significant trend reversal once completed. Ichimoku Cloud: ETH price is currently testing the lower bounds of the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing a major support zone. A close above the cloud would further validate trend reversal; a breakdown would signal extended bearish pressure. Volume Profile: Recent sessions show a spike in trading volume as price approaches historical support levels, indicating potential capitulation and increased probability of trend exhaustion. Fibonacci Retracement: Key supports are identified at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels, with the 38.2% zone (around $3,600) as a strong candidate for final Y wave completion based on confluence with cloud and momentum indicators. RSI and Stochastic RSI: Both relative strength oscillators are in oversold territory, consistent with the final stages of a corrective structure. A bullish crossover or RSI divergence would strengthen the reversal thesis. CVO/OBV: Volume-based momentum indicators confirm heavy participation during the latter stages of the sell-off, validating the probability of a strong bounce once buyers re-enter. Scenario Outlook: The analysis anticipates that, upon completion of the WXY correction—ideally above the Point 4 support (roughly $3,350)—Ethereum is set for a new impulsive uptrend as part of the final bull market rally. The setup favors strategic accumulation in the defined support zones, with projected upside targets ranging from previous all-time highs (~$4,950) to extended Fibonacci projections should the market move through a classical 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive wave.
Long
by NoHussle
1
$ETH Bearish Short-Term (September 25, 2025)BINANCE:ETHUSDT CRYPTOCAP:ETH Strong Bearish Pressure with Oversold RSI Signals Overall Price Trend: ETH has experienced a sharp decline from recent highs around 4,700-4,800 USDT earlier in the period, now hovering near 3,472 USDT (as labeled on the chart). The recent candlesticks show a series of strong red (bearish) bars, indicating heavy selling pressure in the last few hours. This mirrors broader market weakness, possibly correlated with BTC's drop. Ichimoku Cloud:The price is firmly below the cloud, a classic bearish setup signaling sustained downward momentum. Tenkan-sen (red line) is below Kijun-sen (blue line) in a bearish crossover, and the cloud itself is thinning but still reddish and acting as overhead resistance. The Chikou Span (lagging line) is also below price action, reinforcing the downtrend. RSI (Relative Strength Index): At the bottom panel, RSI is deeply oversold at 21.31—well below the 30 threshold. This suggests the selling has been exhaustive, potentially setting up for a short-term relief bounce. However, in a strong bearish context like this, it often just signals a pause rather than a full reversal. Volume and Momentum: High volume on the red candles points to aggressive selling, with no immediate bullish divergence. The price is testing potential support around 3,400-3,450 USDT, but the momentum lines (like the blue trendline) are sloping downward sharply. Summary: The chart remains Bearish dominantly, with the drop accelerating. The extreme oversold RSI adds a layer of caution for a possible pullback, but the Ichimoku setup keeps the bias downward. Forecast Until Tomorrow (September 26, 2025):Based on the 2H chart, the bearish trend may continue in the coming hours, but with a small chance of rebound due to the deeply oversold RSI. Here are the possible scenarios: Base Scenario (Bearish, 75% probability): Price could test lower levels around 3,300-3,400 USDT if selling persists (especially if the cloud remains resistant). This would happen without a positive Ichimoku crossover or a strong green candle, and it's likely if broader market (e.g., BTC) stays weak. Alternative Scenario (Mild Bullish, 25% probability): A short-term bounce to 3,550-3,650 USDT, if RSI climbs above 30 and price breaks the Tenkan-sen. This would be temporary, without changing the broader bearish trend. To monitor, watch key levels: Support at 3,417 (recent low), resistance at 3,584 (near-term high). If ETH breaks below 3,400, it could accelerate lower; a close above 3,500 might signal temporary relief.
Short
by AltcoinPiooners
$ETH Bearish Short-Term (September 24, 2025)BINANCE:ETHUSDT Summary of Price Action: Recent Movement: In the last 24 hours, ETH has dropped by about 1.12%, reaching around $4,133 - $4,175 this morning (UTC). This follows a slight recovery from lows near $4,092 on September 22, but it's now retesting support at $4,100 amid strong institutional redemptions. In your 2H chart, we see a series of red candles (bearish) indicating selling pressure, with trading volume increasing during the decline, confirming seller interest. Key Levels: Support: $4,100 (immediate level, tested today) and $4,000 - $4,092 as a stronger lower zone. If $4,100 breaks, we could see a drop toward $3,900. Resistance: $4,180 - $4,200 (strong level with recent rejections). A break above $4,200 would signal recovery toward $4,300. Volume and Liquidity: 24-hour volume is around $34.8 billion, with large liquidations tied to $141 million in spot ETF outflows over the past day, mostly from institutional longs. This shows smaller traders suffering from bearish pressure. MACD Indicator Analysis :In the chart you sent, the MACD line (blue) is crossing below the signal line (orange), with the histogram turning more negative (red bars growing). This indicates a bearish divergence – the price is weakening while momentum is losing strength. MACD is below the zero line, confirming a weak short-term trend. RSI (at similar levels) is around 40-50, signaling lightly oversold, but still without strong buy signals. Overall Trend: Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-TermShort-Term (Today/Next Day): Bearish. The price is consolidating in a bearish channel, with predictions for further downside toward $4,000 - $4,092 today or tomorrow, due to fear sentiment and pressure from ETF outflows. This matches your chart, where we see a potential descending triangle pattern (but still uncertain). Avoid immediate buys – wait for confirmation below $4,100 for shorts or above $4,180 for longs.
Short
by AltcoinPiooners