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Eurusdlong

EURUSD: Soft CPI , Wait for Breakout — MA CompressionEURUSD: Soft CPI , Wait for Breakout — MA Compression The July CPI report delivered exactly what EUR bulls wanted — headline inflation easing to 3.4%, core CPI down to 2.5%, and traders slashing September rate-hike odds to 42%. Yet EURUSD barely held its gains before reversing lower. When a bullish catalyst fails to produce a bullish reaction, that tells you something. 📊 The Setup EURUSD FX_IDC:EURUSD is trading near 1.1522, trapped inside a tightening 42-pip range between 1.1503 and 1.1545 after failing to sustain its push toward 1.1563. On the 4-hour chart, the moving averages have converged to their tightest spread in weeks — a classic compression structure that typically precedes a volatility expansion. The pair is sitting at a decision point. The compression won't last. 🌍 Why Now The CPI data was supposed to be the catalyst. It wasn't. Headline inflation cooled to 3.4% (down from 3.5%), core eased to 2.5% (down from 2.6%), and energy prices dropped 1.5% in July — all in line with consensus. The market response was muted: Treasury yields fell, Fed-hike probability dropped to 42%, yet the Dollar Index held firm near the key 100 level, supported by persistent geopolitical risk and safe-haven flows. The next round of catalysts — US PPI, Eurozone inflation prints, and EU industrial production — may finally force the range to break. 🎯 Key Levels & Scenarios Bullish trigger: A sustained 4H close above 1.1545 reopens the path toward 1.1563 and the 1.1600 psychological zone. Bearish trigger: A confirmed 4H close below 1.1503 invalidates the near-term bullish structure, targeting 1.1480 and 1.1450. ⚠️ Risk View The compression setup is directionally neutral — it tells you a move is coming, not which way. A reclaim of 1.1545 without follow-through would suggest another false breakout. Conversely, a breakdown below 1.1503 on low volume may lack conviction. Watch for the close, not the wick. EURUSD is coiled. CPI failed to break the range, but MA compression says the real move is still ahead. The trade is not to anticipate — it's to wait for the 4H close outside 1.1503–1.1545 and follow the direction. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
by Bitget
EUR/USD BULLISH CONTINUATION SIGNAL FVG Tap & Dynamic Support 📊 Trade Setup Summary Pair: Euro / U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) Timeframe: 1-Hour (1H) Bias: Bullish / Long Entry Zone: 1.15400 – 1.15430 Stop Loss (SL): 1.15125 (Below recent Swing Low structure) 🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.15650 (Recent internal high test) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.15850 (Major structural high extension) 🔍 Key Technical Rationale & Confluences 🎯 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Refill: Price pulled back directly into the 1H Bullish Fair Value Gap, cleanly tapping the 50% equilibrium level to mitigate liquidity before resuming the upside trajectory. 📈 Overall Bullish Market Structure: The high-timeframe trend remains decisively bullish with a clean series of higher highs and higher lows, following multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations. 🛡️ EMA Dynamic Support: Candlesticks continue to hold above the 100 EMA (~1.15378), confirming strong underlying buying pressure and acting as structural support right below our entry. 🛡️ Invalidation Level: Stop Loss is placed logically below the key Swing Low (1.15125) to ensure a solid risk-to-reward ratio while giving price room to breathe. ⚠️ Risk Management Note Manage your capital responsibly. Never risk more than 1-2% of your account balance per trade. Consider moving your stop loss to breakeven once TP1 is reached. 📌 Disclaimer: This trading idea is strictly for educational purposes and market analysis sharing. It does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and manage your risks strictly. #EURUSD #ForexSignals #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingView #PriceAction #FairValueGap #BullishSetup #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FXTrading
Long
by PremiumTrader57
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? Over the past several weeks, EUR/USD has been consolidating within a key support area following a prolonged corrective decline. The pair has now broken above the medium-term descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in the technical structure in favor of the bulls. The breakout was followed by a strong recovery from the 1.1350–1.1430 demand zone, further supporting the bullish scenario. EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1550, approaching an important resistance area. The 50% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1562 represents the first key resistance, while the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1618 is the next major barrier. Given the recent strong advance, a short-term correction toward the 1.1400–1.1465 support area could develop. This zone is technically significant as it combines previous price structure, the 78.6% Fibonacci level around 1.1402, and the newly established ascending trendline. If price finds support in this area and buyers step back into the market, we expect the next bullish leg to develop. A sustained break above 1.1618 would further confirm the bullish structure and could open the way toward 1.1750, followed by the 1.1800 area. Overall, the medium-term outlook remains bullish as long as EUR/USD holds above the 1.1400–1.1350 support zone. A corrective move into this area could provide the foundation for the next bullish leg, while a decisive break above 1.1618 would provide additional confirmation of the upside scenario. If you found this analysis helpful, please support it with a like and share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck with your trades!❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
21
DXY 4H: The Dollar Is Setting Up for One More Drop?DXY 4H — One More Push Higher Before the Drop? The Dollar Index is currently showing a potential ABCDE corrective structure on the 4H timeframe. Price has already started moving lower from B, and I'm watching the highlighted 4H Order Block as the key area for the next reaction. 🔎 My Scenario D → E My primary expectation is: ➡️ Price retraces into the 4H Order Block ➡️ Rejection from the zone ➡️ Bearish continuation ➡️ Potential move toward 98.20–98.30 The key area I'm watching is approximately 100.10–100.45. 🎯 Levels Resistance / Order Block: 100.10–100.45 Current area: ~99.70 Potential Target: 98.20–98.30 ⚠️ Invalidation If price accepts and holds above the Order Block, this bearish scenario becomes weaker and the structure needs to be reassessed. This is a scenario, not a prediction. I'll be watching how price reacts at the marked zone before looking for confirmation. What do you think? D → E or bullish continuation? 👇 #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex #USDollar #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #PriceAction #ForexTrading
TVC:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD 1H — Bullish Breakout & Retest SetupEUR/USD is showing a bullish structure on the 1H chart after breaking above the recent consolidation and pushing toward 1.1580. The breakout came with a noticeable volume expansion, which adds strength to the move. Technical view: 🔹 Current price: ~1.15580 🔹 Key support: 1.1536–1.1540 🔹 Major invalidation: 1.1519–1.1527 🔹 Resistance / target 1: 1.1585–1.1590 🔹 Target 2: 1.1613 🔹 Price is holding above the Ichimoku structure, keeping the short-term bias bullish. 🔹 The rising trendline continues to support higher lows. Possible next move The preferred scenario is a pullback/retest toward 1.1536–1.1540, followed by a bullish continuation. If buyers defend this zone, EUR/USD could retest 1.1585–1.1590 and potentially extend toward 1.1613. A sustained 1H close below 1.1527 would weaken the bullish setup and increase the risk of a deeper correction. Trading idea: 🟢 Buy the pullback after bullish confirmation 🎯 TP1: 1.1585 🎯 TP2: 1.1613 🛑 Invalidation: below 1.1527 Short title: EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout — Retest Before 1.1613? This is technical analysis, not a guaranteed price prediction. Manage risk and wait for confirmation. The broader backdrop also currently favors caution around USD strength: recent weak U.S. payroll data has weighed on the dollar and helped EUR/USD reach a seven-week high around 1.1580. citeturn0news22
Long
by James_fx1
EUR/USD 1H — Market Structure & Pullback Analysis🔎 Technical Analysis EUR/USD is currently showing a bullish market structure on the 1H timeframe. Price has printed multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers have maintained control during the recent advance. The chart also highlights a 1H Order Block + Fair Value Gap (OB + FVG) around the 1.1520–1.1528 area. This zone can be monitored as a potential reaction area if price retraces into it. Above current price, the previous swing high around 1.1580 represents an important liquidity/structure reference. 🧭 Scenario Bullish continuation: A retracement into the OB + FVG zone followed by a clear bullish reaction and renewed structural strength would support the continuation scenario. Resistance: The 1.1580 area is the key upside reference visible on the chart. Invalidation: A decisive 1H breakdown and sustained acceptance below the marked demand/OB area would weaken the bullish structure and require reassessment. Confirmation: Rather than anticipating the reaction, wait for price action to confirm how the zone behaves. 🧠 Educational Takeaway The main concept here is BOS → retracement → mitigation of OB/FVG → potential continuation. The quality of the setup depends on how price reacts to the marked zone, not simply on the existence of an order block. Disclaimer: This idea is for educational and technical-analysis purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Always manage risk independently. Hashtags: #EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #MarketStructure #OrderBlock #FVG #SmartMoneyConcepts #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingEducation
Long
by Trade_Strategies
EUR/USD — Bullish Outlook (10th-14th AUGUST)EUR/USD remains under pressure from USD strength and uncertainty around monetary policy. This week, attention shifts to key U.S. inflation data, particularly CPI and PPI, which could significantly impact Fed expectations and the dollar. From a positioning perspective, COT data shows heavily stretched bearish EUR positioning. This creates a potential bullish narrative if shorts continue to unwind and sentiment shifts back toward the euro. Technically, the bullish structure remains valid, with 1.16221 acting as the main upside target. If momentum continues, price could potentially reach and trade above this level.
Long
by liquidator-crypto
EUR/USD 2H — BULLISH BREAKOUT & RETESTMarket Structure EUR/USD has shifted into a bullish structure on the 2H chart. ✅ Bullish BOS confirmed ✅ Price holding above the 1.1550 structure level ✅ Rising trendline supporting higher lows ✅ Ichimoku cloud is acting as dynamic support ⚠️ A recent weak high around 1.1580 remains the first liquidity target The current structure favors buying the pullback rather than chasing the breakout. 🎯 Bullish Trade Plan Entry Zone: 1.1540 – 1.1555 Stop Loss: 1.1515 TP1: 1.1632 TP2: 1.1686 Approximate R:R from a 1.1550 entry: TP1 → 1:3.3 TP2 → 1:5.4 ⚡ Entry Confirmation Watch for price to pull back into the 1.1540–1.1555 support/confluence zone. Best confirmation would be: Liquidity sweep → bullish rejection → lower-timeframe BOS → continuation If price breaks and closes strongly below the rising trendline/cloud support, the bullish setup loses strength. 🧲 Liquidity Map Upside liquidity: 1.1580 — recent weak high 1.1632 — TP1 1.1686 — TP2 / major upside objective Support: 1.1550 1.1540 1.1515 — bullish invalidation area 🐂 Bullish Scenario A successful retest of 1.1540–1.1555, followed by bullish confirmation, could send EUR/USD toward 1.1632 first and potentially 1.1686. 🐻 Bearish Scenario A decisive 2H close below the 1.1515 area would weaken the bullish structure and signal that the breakout may have failed. 📌 Final Bias BULLISH 🟢 The key is not chasing the breakout — wait for the pullback and confirmation.
Long
by KingProTrader
EUR/USD Institutional Flow Analysis | Bullish Day & Swing Setup🚀 EUR/USD "THE FIBER" 🔥 BULLISH BREAKOUT PLAYBOOK 💸 (Day/Swing Trade Guide) 📌 ASSET: EUR/USD "THE FIBER" 💶💵 ⏰ TIMEFRAME: 4H - 1D (Day/Swing Trade) 📈 THE PLAN: THE BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION STRATEGY 🧠 Alright, Traders & Thief OG's! 👋 We are looking at a classic Moving Average squeeze play that is about to POP! 💥 The 50 & 200 MA are coiling up like a spring, signaling a potential volatility explosion to the upside. We are hunting for a clean break above the key resistance zone with strong volume to confirm the bullish momentum. We are not just trading lines; we are trading the psychology of the market! 🧐 The 'Fiber' has been consolidating for a minute, and the bulls are looking to take control. This is your golden ticket to ride the wave, but remember, even a smooth highway has speed bumps! 🔑 ENTRY: THE GOLDEN TICKET 🎟️ ENTRY: YOU CAN ENTER ANY PRICE LEVEL (Aggressive Entry) 🎯 TARGETS: GRAB THE BAG & VANISH! 👻 Our mission is to ride the momentum until we hit the police blockade! 🚨 The 1.16500 level is a massive resistance fortress. It's a confluence of historical supply, an overbought RSI zone, and a potential trap for latecomers. A sharp trend change is likely here, so we don't get greedy. We take our profits and exit like a ghost! 🎯 DAY TRADER TARGET 1: 1.16000 (Quick, juicy gains for the daily hustlers!) 🎯 FINAL TARGET & EXIT ZONE: 1.16500 (The ultimate heist! Take the money and run!) 🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ESCAPE POD 🛡️ STOP LOSS: 1.14500 This is our safety net. If the market structure breaks and we are wrong, we cut our losses and live to trade another day. No questions asked! 🚨 THE GOLDEN RULE (THE THIEF'S CODE): Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) 👑, I do NOT recommend setting ONLY my TP or SL. It is your own choice! You can make money, then take money at your own risk. Your money, your rules! This is your ship, I'm just giving you the map! 🗺️ 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH: THE ECONOMIC FAMILY TREE 🌳 **DXY (US DOLLAR INDEX) 💵 ($103.80):** The Kingpin! A drop in DXY below $103.50 is the green light for our EUR/USD bull run. If it bounces, expect the "Fiber" to get heavy. GBP/USD "CABLE" 💷 ($1.2780): Cable's break above 1.2800 confirms broad-based USD weakness, which heavily supports our bullish bias on the Euro. AUD/USD "AUSSIE" 🇦🇺 ($0.6550): With the RBA's hawkish pivot, a rally in AUD/USD signals a risk-on sentiment, also reinforcing the USD weakness theme. 📰 REAL-TIME FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS: THE MARKET'S PULSE ❤️ RECENT NEWS FEED: The market is still digesting the recent FOMC minutes which hinted at a potential "dovish tilt." This has put a ceiling on the US Dollar's upside. UPCOMING ECONOMIC DRIVERS: US PCE DATA (FRIDAY): The biggest event of the week! 🚨 If the Core PCE comes in cooler than expected (below 2.6%), expect a massive USD sell-off. This is our rocket fuel! EURO ZONE CPI (TODAY): Any uptick here would be a plus for the Euro, widening the interest rate differential in favor of the EUR. GERMAN IFO BUSINESS CLIMATE: A better-than-expected reading yesterday sparked the initial buying pressure. 📊 CURRENT MARKET SENTIMENT: The options market is showing an increasing premium for USD puts, and the CME FedWatch tool is pricing in a higher probability for a September rate cut. The market is clearly leaning bearish on the dollar for now. 💰 THIEF TRADER STYLE: WISDOM & MOTIVATION 💎 "The trend is your friend... until the end. Don't be the one holding the bag when the music stops!" 🎵 "A Thief doesn't play fair, he plays smart. Wait for confirmation, then strike like a cobra." 🐍 "I don't chase trades. I sit here... like a spider in a web... and wait for the fly." 🕸️ "Patience is not passive; it's a weapon. Let the market come to you." 🔥 "Fear is the enemy, Greed is the killer. We leave with profits, not dreams of Lambos." 🏎️ ⚡ FINAL TRADINGVISIONARY VIBE ⚡ This isn't just a trade; it's a mission. EUR/USD is coiling up for a potentially explosive move, and we are positioned to capture it. The momentum is with the bulls, but the resistance at 1.16500 is a formidable foe. Stay disciplined. Set your alerts, manage your risk, and watch the key levels. When the breakout comes, we ride the wave to Valhalla!
by The-Thief
EURUSD - Support at 1.14700 for price increase.1. Trend Overview Current Trend: Medium-term Bullish Key Signals: Price has broken out of the consolidation range and confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS) around 1.1480, indicating buyers have regained control. EMA 9 (1.1524) remains above EMA 89 (1.1441), confirming the bullish trend is intact. Price continues to trade above both moving averages following the strong breakout. RSI (14) is around 61, showing positive momentum while still below the overbought zone. 👉 Conclusion: The H4 outlook remains bullish. As long as price holds above the 1.1475–1.1485 support zone, the probability of extending the rally toward 1.1580–1.1620 remains high. 2. Current Price Structure H4 Structure Breakout (BOS): around 1.1480 Nearest Support: 1.1475–1.1485 Immediate Resistance: 1.1580 Major Resistance: 1.1620 Current Price: around 1.1525 Following the strong breakout from consolidation, price is holding above the BOS level and may retest support before continuing higher. This suggests the market is in a Breakout → Retest → Bullish Continuation phase. 3. EMA & RSI Analysis EMA EMA 9 remains above EMA 89. Both moving averages are sloping upward. → This confirms that the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. RSI (14) RSI is around 61. Bullish momentum remains strong but has not yet reached the overbought zone. This indicates buyers remain in control, although short-term pullbacks may occur before the uptrend resumes. ----------------- BUY EURUSD zone : 1.14750 - 1.14650 SL : 1.14350 TP : 1.15000 - 1.15400 - 1.15800 -------------------
Long
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
| EURUSD| FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS | SHORT & LONG SETUP |📈 | Q3 | W32 | D2 PREPARATION | Y26 📊 | EURUSD| FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS | SHORT & LONG SETUP | This forecast is built using FRGNT X SMC — my advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts — applying a structured, disciplined approach to market analysis. The process consists of: 🕰️ Identifying High Time Frame (HTF) Points of Interest (POIs) 📐 Defining a clear and controlled trading range 🔎 Refining opportunities on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ✅ Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution This framework is designed to improve precision, remove emotional decision-making, and remain aligned with the higher time frame market narrative. 💡 Core Philosophy "Capital preservation, discipline and consistency create longevity." A strong risk management model, combined with patience and high-probability execution, forms the foundation of sustainable trading. ⚠️ Understanding Losses Losses are part of trading—they are a mathematical certainty, not a personal failure. They do not define performance, nor do they define you as a trader. Every losing trade is managed, reviewed and used as feedback to improve future execution. 🙏 Final Note Thank you for taking the time to review today's analysis. Trade with patience. Stay disciplined. 🎯 Protect your capital. 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 📌 Disclaimer This content is provided strictly for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis reflects my personal trading methodology (FRGNT X SMC) and the process I use to build market bias and identify potential opportunities. Any forecasts shared are not trade signals or financial recommendations. I will only consider executing positions if price provides confirmation that aligns with my predefined trading model and entry criteria. All charts, images and videos are shared solely for educational purposes and are intended to comply with TradingView House Rules. FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
| EURUSD | FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS WITH ILLUSTRATION | 📈 | Q3 | W32 | D3 | Y26 📊 | EURUSD | FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS WITH ILLUSTRATION | SHORT & LONG SETUPS | This forecast is built using FRGNT X SMC—my advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts—through a structured and disciplined approach to market analysis. My Process 🕰️ Identify High Time Frame (HTF) Points of Interest (POIs) 📐 Define a clear and controlled trading range 🔎 Refine opportunities on the Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ✅ Wait for a confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before considering execution This framework is designed to improve precision, eliminate emotional decision-making, and ensure alignment with the higher time frame market narrative. 💡 Core Philosophy "Capital preservation, discipline, and consistency create longevity." A robust risk management model, combined with patience and high-probability execution, forms the foundation of long-term trading success. ⚠️ Understanding Losses Losses are an inevitable part of trading—they are a mathematical certainty, not a personal failure. They do not define your performance, nor do they define you as a trader. Every losing trade is managed, reviewed, and used as valuable feedback to refine future execution. 🙏 Final Note Thank you for taking the time to review today's analysis. Trade with patience. Stay disciplined. 🎯 Protect your capital. 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 📌 Disclaimer This content is provided strictly for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. The analysis reflects my personal trading methodology, FRGNT X SMC, and the structured process I use to develop market bias and identify potential trading opportunities. Any forecasts shared are not trade signals or financial recommendations. I will only consider entering a position if price delivers confirmation that aligns with my predefined trading model and entry criteria. All charts, images, and videos are shared solely for educational purposes and are intended to comply with the TradingView House Rules. FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
EUR/USD BULLISH ORDER FLOW BRIEFINGPair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) Order Bias: Buy on Retracement 🎯 Execution Strategy & Key Levels Plaintext : 1.14745 ──► H1 Bullish Order Block (Initial Retest) : 1.14414 ──► Major H1 Demand Zone (Liquidity Sweep Entry) : Below 1.14300 (Under SSL / Structural Low) : 1.15400+ (Targeting Overhead Liquidity) 🏛️ Institutional Narrative & SMC Breakdown ⚡ Structural Breakout & Displacement Price aggressively broken out of the descending channel, creating a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and Break of Structure (BOS) on the H1 chart. 🎯 Primary Zone: H1 Order Block (1.14745) The explosive move up left behind an unmitigated H1 Bullish Order Block. The first entry expectation is a rebalance into this zone to mitigate remaining institutional buy orders. 🛡️ Secondary Zone: Deep Demand (1.14414) If the primary OB fails to hold, price is expected to sweep Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) resting just above 1.14414, mitigating the deeper H1 Demand Zone before expanding higher. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #PriceAction #InstitutionalOrderFlow ⚠️ Disclaimer: This trade breakdown is strictly for educational, analytical, and backtesting purposes only. It does NOT constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Always practice proper position sizing and risk management.
Long
by PremiumTrader57
2