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Eurusdprediction

Iran Conflict Pushes EurUsd through 2 Monthly Support Zones..?Hello Traders, welcome back to another analysis. Currently, EurUsd is showing a decline, in favor of the USD, and this is because of the Iran War forcing institutions into the Safe Haven USD. Technicals: In the Short term, I am anticipating a bounce off our Monthly support level at 1.141. This is because the Daily and Weekly candle closed last week with no bottom wick, denoting exhaustion from sellers on EurUsd. Also, Monthly Level's typically show an influx of large orders stemming from Institutions playing the higher timeframes. Possibly a gap over the weekend followed by some profit taking and then a rebound back up to 1.148 4hr resistance level or 1.1528 where we can look for continuation sell orders on EurUsd, thus following the momentum to the downside. Iran has closed the Straight of Hormuz, putting strain on 20% of the worlds Oil Supply. As a Result, The Oil Price has gone way up and Asian countries are scrambling to figure out how to maintain regular consumption levels. Depending on how long the Straight of Hormuz is closed, Economic impacts on Asian economies and the influence of the US Empire will be defined. The US empire is heavily defined by half of all goods and services being denominated in US Dollars.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD Breakdown Accelerates : Bearish Momentum Taking ControlEURUSD continues to show a clear bearish structure on the 4-hour timeframe, with price accelerating lower after failing to sustain previous recovery attempts. The sequence of lower highs and strong impulsive sell-offs suggests sellers remain firmly in control of the current trend. The recent sharp leg lower reflects increasing downside momentum, and the structure now hints at the possibility of a brief corrective bounce before the next wave of selling pressure develops. Such pauses often occur after strong directional moves as the market temporarily rebalances before continuing its dominant trend. With the U.S. dollar gaining strength amid heightened geopolitical tensions and shifting macro expectations, EURUSD could remain sensitive to incoming data and broader risk sentiment. Traders should remain prepared for volatility as the next phase of price development unfolds. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
by WeTradeWAVES
Selena | EURUSD · 1D – Bullish Channel Demand ReactionFX:EURUSD After the strong bullish expansion that pushed EURUSD toward the 1.20 region, the market experienced a natural correction phase. The pullback is now approaching the lower boundary of the bullish channel along with a significant demand zone around 1.1500. This level has acted as a structural reaction point previously and aligns with the channel support, creating a strong confluence area. If buyers defend this demand zone, the market may continue the broader bullish structure and attempt another move toward the upper channel resistance where buy-side liquidity rests above the previous highs. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Demand zone holds. 🎯 Target 1: 1.1800 🎯 Target 2: 1.1950 🎯 Target 3: 1.2050 – 1.2100 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Break below channel support. 🎯 Target 1: 1.1450 🎯 Target 2: 1.1300 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 1.1930 Major Resistance 🔴: 1.2050 – 1.2100 Support 🟢: 1.1500 – 1.1550 Major Support 🟢: 1.1400 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
4
EURUSD (4H) — 5 wave structure - waiting for the short 🧠 Wave count (4H) EURUSD looks to be in the final stage of a 5-wave impulse down — wave (5) is still developing. If this count is correct, the next high-probability sequence is a 3-wave corrective rebound (ABC) into the wave (4) retracement zone. 📌 Sell zone (wave 4 / Fib) I’m watching for an ABC bounce into: • 1.1668 → 1.1826 (key reaction area / prior structure) • Ideally extending into 38.2 → 61.8 Fib of the latest impulsive leg (wave (5) completion → retracement) ✅ Execution (strict confirmation) Shorts only after 1H confirms: 1. a clean 5-wave decline completes on 1H, then 2. a 3-wave (ABC) pullback that holds bearish structure, 3. best trigger: breakdown below the B-wave low (confirmation). 🎯 Target • 1.1050 (major downside objective / continuation leg) ✅ Trade safe ✅
Short
by ProTradyX
Forex Trading Guide (GBP/JPY/EUR/USD)Geopolitical factors have also impacted the exchange rates of USD/GBP/EUR/JPY. Interest rate hikes and cuts by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve will gradually affect currency exchange rates. This can be observed from the charts. After the overall strengthening of the US dollar, the euro and pound sterling experienced some pullback, facing pressure during the rebound. The yen, compared to other currencies, has followed the trend more closely, thus maintaining an upward oscillation. The key resistance level for GBP is 1.34900. The key resistance level for EUR is 1.17400. Selling these two currencies at higher levels offers significant profit potential. JPY, on the other hand, needs to be monitored for support around 156-157 to determine if a long position can be considered. In terms of exchange rates, JPY and the US dollar are more favored. If you enjoy forex trading and prefer a lower risk profile, you can focus on trading opportunities in these currencies. TVC:DXY OANDA:USDJPY OANDA:EURUSD OANDA:GBPUSD PYTH:XAUUSD
TVC:DXYLong
by Michael_K_9
EURUSD Liquidity Sweep & Breakout - Next Stop Reversal ZoneEURUSD Liquidity Sweep & Breakout - Next Stop Reversal Zone The chart illustrates an important structural transition on the 2-hour timeframe, where EURUSD is attempting to shift from a bearish corrective structure into a potential bullish recovery phase. After experiencing a strong downward movement earlier, price has recently shown signs of strength through a breakout above a descending trendline and range resistance, which could indicate a change in short-term market sentiment. Overall Market Context At the beginning of the chart, EURUSD experienced a strong bearish impulse, with consecutive bearish candles pushing the market downward aggressively. This move suggests that sellers were clearly dominating the market during that phase. Following the sharp decline, price entered a sideways consolidation range (highlighted by the grey zone). During this period, the market moved within a defined structure, forming multiple rejections from both support and resistance levels. This type of price behavior often represents accumulation or redistribution, where the market absorbs liquidity before making its next directional move. Descending Structure Formation After the consolidation phase, EURUSD continued forming lower highs, which created a visible descending trendline. This structure reflects ongoing bearish pressure, as each rally attempt was rejected at lower levels. At the same time, the market formed a falling wedge / contracting structure, where price gradually compressed between the descending resistance and lower support levels. Such formations often signal weakening selling momentum, especially when the market begins to approach the apex of the structure. This compression phase typically builds liquidity and volatility, preparing the market for a potential breakout. Bullish Breakout and Momentum Shift Recently, the market produced a strong bullish impulsive candle, breaking above the descending trendline and the immediate resistance zone around the 1.1640 level. This breakout is a key technical development because it indicates that buyers have temporarily regained control of price action. The impulsive nature of the breakout suggests strong buying interest, possibly driven by stop-loss liquidity above the resistance area as well as new long positions entering the market. Once a descending structure is broken, the market often attempts a corrective continuation toward higher liquidity zones, which is exactly what the current setup suggests. Reversal / Supply Zone Ahead Above the current price, a green highlighted zone around 1.1690 – 1.1710 has been marked as the Reversal Zone (RZ). This area is technically important because it likely represents a higher-timeframe supply zone, where previous selling pressure may re-enter the market. Several factors make this zone significant: • It aligns with a previous structural resistance area • It sits near a liquidity pool where sell orders may be placed • It is the next logical target after the breakout move However, it is important to note that confirmation is required before expecting a strong reaction from this zone. Potential Bullish Scenario If the bullish momentum continues, EURUSD could extend its move toward the Reversal Zone around 1.1700. This level may act as a magnet for price in the short term since markets often move toward areas of high liquidity and previous supply. A sustained bullish move could target: • 1.1680 intermediate resistance • 1.1700 – 1.1710 major supply zone Reaching this area would complete the measured move projection from the breakout structure. Potential Bearish Reaction Once price reaches the Reversal Zone, traders should carefully monitor price behavior for confirmation signals such as: • Bearish rejection wicks • Bearish engulfing candles • Lower timeframe market structure breaks If these signals appear, the market may produce a short-term bearish correction, potentially pushing price back toward: • 1.1650 previous breakout level • 1.1620 structure support This would represent a typical breakout → rally → rejection → retracement cycle. Key Trading Insight This setup demonstrates a classic technical transition from bearish structure to potential bullish correction. The breakout from the descending trendline suggests a temporary shift in momentum, but the market is now approaching a high-probability reaction zone. Instead of entering prematurely, traders should wait for confirmation within the highlighted reversal zone before making any trading decisions. Patience at these key levels often provides higher probability setups and improved risk-to-reward opportunities.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD Rejection From Supply or Launchpad for the Next Leg Up?EURUSD is sitting at one of those decision zones where structure and macro are about to pick a winner. Price pushed hard into higher-timeframe supply, rejected, and is now grinding inside a tightening structure while dollar and yield expectations stay data-dependent. From my side, this is not a “chase the middle” spot — it’s a location trade. Either we reclaim supply and squeeze higher, or we lose structure and rotate back toward deeper demand. The fundamentals right now actually make both paths realistic — which is exactly why the levels matter more than opinions. Current Bias Neutral short term, mildly bullish if resistance breaks cleanly Price is compressing after rejection from the upper supply zone. Structurally this looks like a decision range. Bias shifts bullish only on confirmed acceptance above the highlighted resistance band. Failure keeps downside rotation in play. Key Fundamental Drivers US side: Services PMI remains in expansion, but softer private payroll signals have slightly cooled aggressive USD strength expectations. Fed policy: Still restrictive, but in hold mode. Market is highly sensitive to inflation prints and labor data for timing of eventual cuts. Eurozone side: Inflation is easing but not fast enough for aggressive ECB easing. That keeps EUR from being structurally weak. Rate spread: Still USD-supportive overall, but not widening further right now — which reduces upside momentum for USD. Macro Context Interest rate expectations: Fed on hold with cuts expected later rather than sooner. ECB cautious on cuts due to sticky components of inflation. That narrows forward policy divergence slightly compared with prior months. Growth trends: US growth signals are mixed but still expansionary in services. Eurozone growth is slower but stabilizing in pockets rather than collapsing. Commodity flows: No strong commodity shock driving EUR directly. Oil firmness supports USD via inflation expectations more than it hurts EUR specifically. Geopolitical themes: Elevated geopolitical tension keeps safe-haven flows active at times, which tends to support USD on spikes but not always trend-sustainably. Primary Risk to the Trend The biggest risk to a bullish EURUSD break is a hot US inflation print that reprices Fed cuts later and pushes US yields higher. That would strengthen USD broadly and likely trigger rejection from resistance with continuation lower. On the flip side, a soft CPI would raise the odds of a topside break. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI (top priority) US payrolls / labor data follow-through ECB speaker guidance on rate path Those will decide whether rate spread expectations widen again toward USD — or compress toward EUR. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a major leader pair. It often drives: Broad USD index direction EUR crosses like EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF It tends to lead sentiment shifts in FX before smaller USD pairs adjust. If EURUSD breaks higher, expect synchronized pressure in USD pairs like USD/CHF and USD/JPY. This is not a lagging pair — it’s a tone setter. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.1800–1.1780 structure support zone 1.1500–1.1480 major higher-timeframe demand (green zone on chart) Resistance Levels: 1.1900–1.1950 supply band 1.2050–1.2100 major upper resistance zone Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1780 for bullish structure idea Or below 1.1480 for wider swing positioning Take Profit (TP): TP1: 1.1950 zone TP2: 1.2050–1.2100 zone Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD is in a decision range with a neutral short-term bias and a conditional bullish tilt if price can reclaim and hold above the 1.1900–1.1950 supply zone. The fundamental backdrop is balanced: Fed still restrictive but not tightening further, ECB cautious but not aggressively dovish. The main threat to upside is a hot US CPI that drives yields and USD higher. Key invalidation for the bullish structure sits below 1.1780, with deeper protection near 1.1480. Upside targets sit at 1.1950 first, then 1.2050–1.2100 if acceptance occurs. As a leader pair, whichever side EURUSD breaks will likely echo across the broader USD complex.
Short
by ultreosforex
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD On the 60M chart, EUR/USD has broken down significantly from its previous consolidation zones. The pair is currently under severe pressure, having plummeted toward the 1.1550 level. The technical structure shows a primary Resistance Zone between 1.1570 – 1.1578, which now acts as a ceiling following the recent breakdown. On the downside, a firm horizontal Support Zone is identified between 1.1522 – 1.1529. The pair is currently testing the lower boundaries of its descending corridor, and a breach of the 1.1520 handle could accelerate the sell-off toward the 1.1500 psychological mark. Short-term bias: Bearish while below 1.1578. Key Resistance: 1.1570 – 1.1578. Key Support: 1.1522 – 1.1529. 🎯 Trade Setup (Sell-on-Retest Scenario) Entry Zone: $1.1570 – $1.1578 Stop Loss: $1.1585 (Placed strictly above the recent breakdown zone). Take Profit 1: $1.1529 (Top of the primary support floor). Take Profit 2: $1.1522 (Lower boundary of the support zone). Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.0 to 1:3.0 (depending on exact entry). 📌 Invalidation: A decisive 60M candle close above 1.1585 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup, suggesting a potential false breakdown and a move back toward the 1.1600 area. 🌐 Macro Background The Euro is currently facing a "perfect storm" of fundamental headwinds: Middle East Escalation: The intensified war involving the US, Israel, and Iran has triggered a massive wave of risk-off trade. This has boosted safe-haven demand for the US Dollar (DXY), which is trading near 99.50. Energy Crisis & Inflation: Surging oil prices, exacerbated by joint US-Israeli strikes on Iranian oil depots, are weighing heavily on the Euro (EUR). High energy costs are stoking fears of faster inflation in the Eurozone, which threatens to diminish household spending power. Economic Data Cues: Investors are shifting focus to Wednesday's US CPI data. Stronger-than-expected inflation could further bolster the Fed's "higher-for-longer" narrative, maintaining downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $1.1570 – 1.1578$ Support Zone: $1.1522 – 1.1529$ 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is locked in a bearish trend, driven by geopolitical instability and an energy price shock. Technically, the pair is trending lower within a well-defined channel. Preferred strategy: Look for short opportunities on pullbacks to the 1.1570 resistance area while maintaining strict risk management. Any bounce is currently viewed as a corrective move within a broader downtrend. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD Weekly Outlook (SMC + HTF Resistance Confluence)📊 Market Structure Overview EURUSD is currently trading into a major weekly supply / resistance zone while respecting a long-term descending trendline connecting multiple swing highs. Price has approached this area several times historically and reacted with strong bearish momentum — making it a high-probability reaction zone on the HTF. 🔎 Key Technical Observations Price is testing a multi-year descending trendline → strong dynamic resistance. Presence of SMC concepts on chart: BOS / CHoCH and visible FVG zones below current price. Current rally looks like a liquidity grab into premium pricing within weekly structure. Equal / relative highs marked — potential buy-side liquidity before reversal. HTF structure overall remains bearish / corrective, not a confirmed bullish trend reversal. 📍 Trading Plan (Idea — Not Financial Advice) ➡️ Primary Bias: Bearish from weekly resistance. ➡️ Entry Concept: Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation such as: Bearish engulfing candle Pin bar rejection Market structure shift / CHoCH ➡️ Targets: First reaction → mid FVG / internal demand Major target → HTF demand zone around parity region (~1.00 area) Extended bearish scenario → deeper weekly demand near lower red zone ⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidation Strong weekly close above trendline and resistance zone. Bullish continuation with sustained higher highs + higher lows on HTF. Macro catalysts (ECB/Fed policy shifts) could accelerate volatility. 🧠 Final Thoughts This setup aligns with a classic premium sell model — price rallies into HTF supply + trendline confluence before targeting imbalances below. Patience is key: confirmation matters more than prediction.
by KingProTrader
1
EURUSD D1 – Liquidity Sweep Before Potential Expansion LowerThe EUR/USD is currently approaching a key reaction zone after a strong bearish impulse from recent highs. Price is now interacting with a critical area that could determine the next directional move. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, the market appears to be engineering liquidity before a larger expansion move. Market Structure Overview After forming a local top near 1.19, EURUSD delivered a strong impulsive decline, breaking short-term structure and shifting momentum to the downside. Currently, price is retracing toward a reaction zone around 1.16, which aligns with previous structure and potential imbalance. This retracement could represent distribution before continuation. Liquidity Narrative In institutional trading logic, price typically moves toward areas where large clusters of stop losses exist. Two major liquidity zones are visible: 🔵 Internal Liquidity (Current Zone) Around 1.1550 – 1.1650 Price is currently interacting with this region 🔻 Major Sell-Side Liquidity Located below 1.11 This area contains stop losses from long positions In Smart Money trading, sell-side liquidity forms below swing lows where long traders place stops, making these areas attractive targets for large market participants. Imbalance & Price Inefficiency The sharp bearish move created a price imbalance. These inefficiencies are known as Fair Value Gaps (FVG), which often act as retracement zones before price continues its trend. When price revisits these areas, institutions may use them to re-enter positions before pushing the market toward the next liquidity pool. Expected Scenario My current high-probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price consolidates inside the orange supply zone 2️⃣ Possible short-term bounce / liquidity grab 3️⃣ Bearish continuation toward sell-side liquidity This would complete a typical liquidity engineering cycle: Liquidity grab → retracement → expansion toward liquidity. Key Levels to Watch Resistance / Reaction Zone 1.1550 – 1.1650 Intermediate Support 1.1400 Major Liquidity Target 1.1100 area Trading Idea (Educational) Bias: Bearish continuation Potential plan: Wait for rejection inside the orange zone Look for lower-timeframe confirmation Target the sell-side liquidity below ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and confirm your own setups.
Short
by KingProTrader
EURUSD H4 | Major Reversal LoadingPair: EUR/USD Timeframe: H4 ⚠️ Market Structure Overview On the H4 chart, EURUSD has completed a 5-wave impulsive move to the downside, after which the market started forming a corrective phase. Following the strong bearish impulse, price entered a consolidation zone, where a Falling Wedge pattern is currently developing — one of the most reliable technical reversal patterns. This tightening price structure often signals that the market is preparing for an impulsive move to the upside. 📉 Current Market Situation • Wave (5) appears to be completed • Price is forming a compression structure • Volatility is gradually decreasing • Liquidity is building inside the wedge This is a classic market accumulation phase before a correction. 🚀 Bullish Scenario If price breaks the upper boundary of the wedge, the market could begin a corrective move toward the following levels: 🎯 1.1800 — key 0.5 Fibonacci level 🎯 1.1870 – 1.1880 — 0.382 Fibonacci level 🎯 1.1950 — strong 0.236 Fibonacci / resistance zone Potential move: +150 — 300 pips. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario If price breaks below 1.1550, the market may continue the bearish trend and create new local lows. In this case, the structure would become a continuation of the bearish impulse. 💎 Baltic Precision Insight The market is currently in a decision zone. A breakout from the wedge will likely act as a trigger for the next impulsive move. 📍 We are closely monitoring this structure for a potential high-probability trade setup.
Long
by airstels
EURUSD Showing Weak Bounce Within a Broader Downward StructureEURUSD continues to trade within a broader declining structure on the 4H timeframe. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that the market may simply be retracing before the next directional move develops. Price action remains choppy with lower momentum compared to earlier moves, indicating uncertainty among participants. If this corrective phase completes, the structure hints at the possibility of another move lower as sellers attempt to regain control. Traders should watch how the current rebound evolves, as failure to sustain momentum could lead to renewed downside pressure in the coming sessions. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
by WeTradeWAVES
TheGrove | EURUSD Sell | Idea Trading AnalysisYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone EURUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
10
Post NFP Liquidity SweepEURUSD reacted sharply after the NFP release. Price first swept liquidity below the 1.1560 support zone, triggering stops, and then quickly bounced back inside the range. This kind of move is a typical liquidity grab after major news, where the market clears stop-loss orders before deciding the next direction. At the moment, price is trading around the 1.1580–1.1600 pivot zone, which will likely determine the next move. Entry: 1.1590 Stop Loss: 1.1550 Targets: TP1: 1.1625 TP2: 1.1650 TP3: 1.1670
Short
by MikadooTrades
Triangle Consolidation Near Demand ZoneEURUSD is currently consolidating inside a descending triangle structure after a strong bearish move. Price has already reacted from the demand zone around 1.1560–1.1580, showing potential for a short term bounce. At the moment, the market is compressing between descending resistance and horizontal support, which often leads to a volatility breakout. The overall trend is still bearish, but multiple reactions from the demand area suggest that a short-term bullish pullback is possible if resistance breaks. Key levels to watch are 1.1615–1.1620 for a bullish breakout and 1.1580 for a bearish continuation after NFP comes out. Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance) Entry: 1.1615 Stop Loss: 1.1585 Take Profit levels: TP1: 1.1635 TP2: 1.1650 TP3: 1.1670 A breakout above the triangle resistance could trigger stops and push price toward the next liquidity zone around 1.1650–1.1670. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Below Support) Entry: 1.1585 Stop Loss: 1.1615 Take Profit levels: TP1: 1.1560 TP2: 1.1535 TP3: 1.1500 If price breaks below the support and the demand zone fails, EURUSD may continue the dominant downtrend.
by MikadooTrades