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Eurusdpriceaction

EURUSD: Upcoming Swing Buy Worth Around +1000 Pips! Dear Traders, The EURUSD dropped sharply after the DXY turned strongly bullish and remains bullish. We anticipate another price drop until it reaches our buying zone. Once it hits our entry zone, the price will likely consolidate before rapidly moving towards our swing target for a potential 1000+ pip gain. We expect the DXY to turn bearish next week as the market settles. This could lead to a sharp price drop, benefiting all major USD pairs and allowing them to move in impulse patterns. If you agree with our work, please like and comment for more trading ideas. We appreciate positive feedback. Good luck and trade safely next week. The Setupsfx_ Team
Long
by Setupsfx_
2
EUR/USD: Still Stuck in the RangeEUR/USD has been pretty frustrating.... Since around June/July 2025, the EUR/USD has mostly been stuck in sideways price action. I was originally looking for a bigger move lower much earlier, but the market just has not given that clean breakdown yet. The biggest level I’m watching is still 1.1500 That area has been extremely important. It acted as resistance back in April 2025, then flipped into support, and every time price has tried to break below it, buyers have stepped back in. That said, I still think the larger structure is vulnerable. EUR/USD pushed above the 1.18 area, even stretched above 1.1950, but that move quickly failed. To me, that looked more like a stop run or false breakout than real bullish strength. Price kissed above that zone, trapped late buyers or cleared stops, and then came right back down toward 1.15000, this is what keeps me looking at the short side. On the weekly chart, momentum still does not look strong. MACD and the histogram continue to show signs of momentum fading. The market has been sideways for almost a year, but it has not built the kind of upside strength I would want to see if this were truly bullish. For now, the trade idea is simple: If EUR/USD retests 1.15000 and finally breaks it with conviction, I think the next downside area to watch is around 1.12000. DXY has been moving opposite to EUR/USD, and the chart actually looks cleaner to me. The big level there is 100. The dollar has tested that area several times and failed, but the structure still looks like it wants to try again. If DXY can finally break above 100, then I think 101–102 becomes realistic, maybe even 103 if momentum expands. That would support the bearish EUR/USD view. I also looked at GBP/USD briefly. It has a rising wedge structure that has been developing since early 2023, with some mild downside divergence. But I’m not trading pound-dollar right now. My main focus is EUR/USD and the USD Index. Overall, this is still a waiting game. EUR/USD has been consolidating for almost a year. These long ranges can be boring, but when they finally break, the move can be powerful. For me, the key levels are clear: EUR/USD below 1.15000 opens the door toward 1.12000. EUR/USD above 1.2000 invalidates the short idea. DXY above 100 would strengthen the bearish EUR/USD case. Until one of those levels confirms, I’m staying patient.
by InternalTraderNYC
EURUSD: Intraday Trading Setup, Looking To SellDear Traders, We hope you’re having a great weekend. We’ve identified a key level where the price of EURUSD has shown promising signs to sell. There are several reasons for this belief. Firstly, the USD is likely to reverse. We had a hectic week with numerous economic news events that severely impacted the USD and caused a significant price drop. We anticipate this reversal next week, which is why we’re expecting a sell. Good luck and trade safely! The Setupsfx_ Team
by Setupsfx_
12
EURUSD: Momentum Shift or Just a Cleaner Short Setup?Price has finally shown some strength after weeks of compression and lower highs, breaking structure on the 4H and pushing into a key reaction zone. At first glance, this looks like a potential trend shift — but zooming out, this move is running straight into stacked supply and prior breakdown structure. The real question here isn’t “is EUR strong?” — it’s whether this rally has enough macro backing to sustain above resistance, or if it’s simply setting up liquidity for continuation lower. Current Bias Bearish (with short-term bullish momentum) Structure is still lower-high driven on higher timeframes.
This current move is a retracement into supply, not a confirmed reversal yet. Key Fundamental Drivers • USD still structurally supported ◦ Sticky inflation + relatively high yields • Eurozone growth remains weak ◦ Germany soft, PMIs not convincing • ECB vs Fed divergence ◦ ECB closer to easing bias than Fed • Recent USD pullback ◦ Likely positioning-driven rather than macro shift Macro Context Let’s sharpen this because this is where most traders oversimplify. • Interest Rates: ◦ Fed not aggressively cutting → USD remains supported ◦ ECB lacks room to stay restrictive → EUR capped • Growth Trends: ◦ US still relatively resilient ◦ Eurozone lagging structurally • Flows: ◦ No strong capital flow into EUR assets ◦ USD still benefiting from yield advantage • Geopolitics: ◦ Ongoing uncertainty continues to favor USD as a defensive currency 👉 Translation:
This rally is not backed by a strong macro shift yet. Primary Risk to the Trend Here’s what you might be underestimating: • If US yields drop sharply, this doesn’t just pull back — it breaks structure higher • If Fed tone shifts dovish quickly, EURUSD can squeeze aggressively • If positioning is heavily short EUR → upside becomes fuel So the risk isn’t gradual upside…
It’s a fast squeeze through supply. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event • US CPI / PCE (top priority) • Fed speakers • Eurozone PMI / inflation • US labor data Right now:
👉 USD data > EUR data in importance Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD = Lagger • Follows: ◦ US yields (primary driver) ◦ DXY ◦ USTECH (risk sentiment indirectly) • Does NOT lead the market. If yields don’t drop → EURUSD upside is limited. Key Levels Support Levels: • 1.1654 (clean pullback zone / structure retest) • 1.1509 (major demand / continuation level) Resistance Levels: • 1.1800 – 1.1850 (current supply zone) • 1.1950 – 1.2000 (higher timeframe supply / major rejection zone) Primary Idea: Sell into supply • Entry Zone: ◦ 1.1800 – 1.1950 • Stop Loss (SL): ◦ Above 1.2000 • Take Profit (TP): ◦ First: 1.1654 ◦ Second: 1.1509 ◦ Extension: Lower if USD strength resumes Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD is pushing higher, but this move looks more like a corrective rally into supply rather than a confirmed trend reversal. The key zone between 1.1800 and 1.1950 is where sellers are likely to step back in, making it the ideal region to look for bearish setups. A stop above 1.2000 protects against a structural shift, while downside targets sit at 1.1654 and 1.1509. The biggest risk to this view is a sharp drop in US yields or a dovish shift from the Fed, which could fuel a breakout instead of rejection. Until that happens, this rally looks like opportunity — not confirmation.
by ultreosforex
EURUSD – Market AnalysisEURUSD has completed a clear liquidity sweep below the 1.1680 zone, followed by an impulsive bullish reaction, indicating that sell-side liquidity has been taken and the market is now rebalancing higher. Structurally, price was previously trending within a descending channel, but the recent breakout and strong bullish candles suggest a potential shift in short-term momentum. The move higher is now targeting inefficiencies left above, particularly the 1.1750 resistance area, with further upside towards 1.1820 if momentum continues. From an order flow perspective, the sweep into demand combined with strong displacement highlights buyer presence at the lows, suggesting that the recent downside move was likely corrective rather than a continuation. In the short term, price may pull back into the 1.1690–1.1700 zone to rebalance before continuing higher. As long as this area holds, the bullish scenario remains valid. 🧠 Sphyn View: Personally, I view this as a classic liquidity-driven reversal. The market has cleared weak longs below the range and is now shifting higher with intent. I am not interested in selling at current levels; instead, I prefer to wait for a controlled pullback into the demand zone before looking for long positions. If the structure holds, I expect price to continue expanding towards the upside in the coming sessions.
Long
by xauusd_rr
1
EURUSD – Interest Rate Decision Tomorrow + Downside Liquidity EURUSD continues to trade under bearish pressure as the market prepares for tomorrow’s interest rate decision. Consensus expectations point to no change in rates, which typically removes upside volatility and allows price to continue following its current directional flow. With no expected policy shift, the market is likely to focus on liquidity levels, technical imbalances, and broader USD strength. Macro Context The ECB is expected to hold rates steady, offering no new bullish catalyst for EUR. The USD remains supported by risk‑off sentiment and stable Treasury yields. When monetary policy is unchanged, markets often revert to liquidity‑seeking behavior, especially in trending environments. Technical Outlook Price is currently positioned above a clear pocket of downside liquidity, with multiple equal lows and unmitigated sell‑side inefficiencies below current price. Key points: Market structure remains bearish on higher timeframes. Liquidity pools sit below recent lows, making them attractive targets. Momentum indicators show no meaningful bullish divergence. Price continues to respect bearish order flow. Trade Idea As long as EURUSD remains below the most recent lower‑high zone, the expectation is for price to continue chasing sell‑side liquidity. Target: ➡️ 1.16400 – first major liquidity zone and inefficiency fill.
Short
by Wiiso
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD rejected the 1.1750–1.1760 high area and has shifted into a short-term bearish structure. Price has broken below the prior 1.1705–1.1710 zone, turning it into resistance. The pair is now attempting a weak rebound, but as long as price stays below 1.1710, the structure favours another downside push toward support. Short-term bias: Bearish below 1.1710 🎯 Trade Setup (Sell on Pullback) Entry Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1715 Stop Loss: 1.1715 Take Profit 1: 1.1680 Take Profit 2: 1.1675 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3.26 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break above 1.1715 would invalidate the bearish setup and shift momentum back toward 1.1750. 🌐 Macro Background EUR/USD remains pressured as the USD rebounds ahead of the Fed meeting. Middle East uncertainty and higher oil prices also weigh on the euro, especially with Brent above $100 and pressure on crude-importing Eurozone economies. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1715 Support Zone: 1.1675 – 1.1680 Breakdown Level: Below 1.1675 Invalidation Level: 1.1715 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD has turned lower after rejection from the highs. Preferred strategy: Sell pullbacks below 1.1710, targeting a retest of 1.1680–1.1675. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD Short term sellsMy analysis for EUR/USD this week is similar to the others, as the dollar is currently rising, which means I’m mainly looking for short opportunities against the dollar, including EUR/USD. EUR/USD Confluences: DXY is rising, which supports a bearish outlook. This pair has been breaking structure to the downside. Price has been moving lower overall recently. There is a nearby unmitigated higher-timeframe supply zone. So, as price retraces back up into the 6-hour supply zone I’ve marked near current price, I’ll look for potential sell opportunities back down.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD remains in a range-bound structure, capped by the 1.1792–1.1805 resistance zone while holding above the 1.1724–1.1736 support zone. Price recently swept liquidity below support and rebounded sharply, forming a bullish rejection and short-term higher low. The current move shows a recovery leg toward mid-range, rather than a confirmed breakout. As long as price holds above 1.1724, the short-term structure favours a corrective upside toward resistance, but overall still within a broader consolidation. Short-term bias: Bullish (range rebound) 🎯 Trade Setup (Buy on Support Rebound) Entry Zone: 1.1724 – 1.1736 Stop Loss: 1.1718 Take Profit 1: 1.1792 Take Profit 2: 1.1805 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3.82 📌 Invalidation: A break below 1.1718 would invalidate the rebound and expose downside continuation. 🌐 Macro Background Fundamentals are mixed and asymmetric: Ceasefire extension reduces immediate USD demand BUT Hormuz risks keep inflation concerns elevated → supports USD on spikes Fed political uncertainty continues to pressure USD longer-term Upside in EUR is limited, downside risk sharper if tensions escalate Overall macro bias: Neutral with downside risk asymmetry 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1792 – 1.1805 Support Zone: 1.1724 – 1.1736 Invalidation Level: 1.1718 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is rebounding from support within a range. Preferred strategy: Buy the dip toward mid-range / resistance, not a breakout play. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD EUR/USD continues its strong bullish momentum, extending gains for the eighth consecutive session and pushing into the 1.1760–1.1770 region, just below the 1.1790–1.1805 resistance zone. Price has cleanly broken above the 1.1721–1.1733 support zone, which now acts as a key demand area. The current structure shows strong higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish control. However, with price approaching a higher-timeframe resistance zone, short-term upside may slow, with potential for a pullback toward support before continuation. Short-term bias: Bullish above 1.1721 🎯 Trade Setup (Buy-the-Dip Bias) Entry Zone: 1.1721 – 1.1733 Stop Loss: 1.1713 Take Profit 1: 1.1792 Take Profit 2: 1.1790 Extended Target: 1.1804 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3.76 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break below 1.1721 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose downside toward 1.1665. 🌐 Macro Background EUR/USD is supported by a weakening US Dollar and improving risk sentiment: Markets continue to price in potential Iran diplomacy despite failed talks USD weakens amid uncertainty over Fed rate path Risk appetite supports EUR as a higher-beta currency However, Hormuz tensions and geopolitical risks may cap further upside Overall, macro conditions favor continued upside, but with caution near resistance 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1792 – 1.1804 Support Zone: 1.1721 – 1.1733 Invalidation Level: Below 1.1721 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD remains in a strong bullish trend after breaking higher structure levels. Preferred strategy: Buy dips above 1.1721, targeting continuation toward 1.1792–1.1804. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FOREXCOM:EURUSD EUR/USD remains in a bullish structure, holding above the 1.1672–1.1682 support zone after a strong impulsive rally. Price recently tapped the 1.1725–1.1735 resistance zone and pulled back, but the decline was quickly bought, forming a higher low and maintaining bullish structure. The current consolidation above support suggests buyers are still in control, with price preparing for another attempt toward resistance. As long as the pair holds above 1.1670, the structure favors continuation. Short-term bias: Bullish above 1.1670 🎯 Trade Setup (Buy-the-Dip Bias) Entry Zone: 1.1672 – 1.1682 Stop Loss: 1.1662 Take Profit 1: 1.1726 Take Profit 2: 1.1735 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.78 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break below 1.1660 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose 1.1635. 🌐 Macro Background EUR/USD is supported by stable market expectations despite geopolitical risks: Markets still pricing eventual de-escalation despite failed talks (Commerzbank) Risk premium remains contained → supports EUR stability Oil prices elevated but not spiking → limits USD upside Overall sentiment favors range-to-upside continuation 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1725 – 1.1735 Intermediate Resistance: 1.1705 Support Zone: 1.1670 – 1.1680 Invalidation Level: Below 1.1660 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD remains in a bullish continuation structure after holding support. Preferred strategy: Buy dips above 1.1670, targeting a retest of 1.1725–1.1735. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD External Structure is still bullish! OANDA:EURUSD external structure still remains bearish in my view. For swing traders aiming for higher risk to reward setups, I’d focus only on short opportunities within the 62% to 79% Fibonacci zone as highlighted. There’s potential for a 4R setup if price sweeps above 1.19133, with the target around 1.13774. For now, patience is key on swing positions while continuing to look for shorter term scalp opportunities as the market develops. Two possible Trade setups for me: 1) Taking entry at 62% retracement level (2R trade setup), Entry 1.18264, SL: 1.20472, TP: 1.13774 2) Taking entry at 79% retracement level (4R trade setup) , Entry 1.19290, SL: 1.20472, TP: 1.13774 Both are short trade setups with same TP & SL but different entries.
Short
by SamCu55
3
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup (Short Bias)📊 Technical Structure EUR/USD made an impulsive push into the 1.1680–1.1690 resistance zone, followed by a clear rejection and sharp pullback. Now price is failing to reclaim the mid-zone and is forming lower highs after rejection, indicating that bullish momentum has faded. Although the pair is still above the major support (1.1625), the current structure shows a short-term bearish shift inside a broader bullish move. 👉 Key idea: failed continuation → potential downside rotation Short-term bias: Bearish below 1.1680 🎯 Trade Setup (Sell-the-Rally / Lower High Short) Entry Zone: 1.1680 – 1.1690 Stop Loss: 1.1701 Take Profit 1: 1.1635 Take Profit 2: 1.1625 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.93 📌 Invalidation: A strong reclaim above 1.1690 = rejection failure → continuation to 1.1700–1.1730. 🌐 Macro Background Here’s where it gets interesting: ECB expectations → bullish EUR (medium term) BUT short-term USD weakness is stabilizing Market already priced a lot → upside slows No strong catalyst → favors pullback ➡️ Macro = not strongly bearish, but supports consolidation / pullback 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1680 – 1.1690 Support Zone: 1.1625 – 1.1635 Breakdown Level: Below 1.1625 📌 Trade Summary This is a lower high short after rejection, not a top call. Preferred strategy: Sell rallies below 1.1680, targeting a move back to 1.1630. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global