GOLD → Consolidation before reaching ATH FX:XAUUSD has been rising for the fifth consecutive day amid a weakening dollar and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. The market is testing intermediate resistance before reaching ATH.
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market expects two cuts in 2026, not one, as stated in the regulator's forecasts. The possible appointment of a new “dovish” Fed chair is putting pressure on the dollar. The increase in US unemployment claims (to 236K) confirms fears of a slowdown in the labor market.
Tomorrow, US employment (NFP) and retail sales data will be released, followed by inflation (CPI) data on Thursday. Friday: Bank of Japan decision.
The results could significantly adjust expectations for interest rates.
The upward trend in gold continues, but its stability will be tested by macro data. Weak employment and inflation figures will support growth, while strong data could trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 4353, 4380, 4400
Support levels: 4329, 4305
The market may consolidate before breaking through the nearest resistance. Locally - 4333, 4329, 4318. The bullish trend may continue afterwards.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Fibonacci
Bitcoin enters weekly Gaussian channel - November 2025And the Bulls have until November 17th to undo that, or else…
An alarm recently triggered, an alarm that had been completely forgotten about. That alarm has a message written to myself:
“Bitcoin price action enters weekly Gaussian channel. Look left - DO NOT IGNORE”
We look left, and pause, “ well isn’t that interesting ”, says the little voice of reason. I tell it to shut up as I convince myself this time is different.
The technicals:
Each candle circled from 2014 through until 2021 is the first candle to enter the weekly Gaussian channel following the market top. Now whether you believe the market top is in or not, that is not relevant. We’re only interested in facts. The facts are:
Price action corrected -60% minimum upon entering the channel AFTER confirmation. Price action has until November 17th to confirm. That would result in a market bottom of $43k to $57k, Saylor’s fund would be wiped out.
Price action would remain in a bear market condition for at least 18 months. Therefore no recovery until mid 2027.
Closer Clarice
What needs to happen to remain in a bull market?
Price action must close above $110k, while technically speaking $105k is outside the channel, that would be a weak close. A weak close as the previous bar engulfs the print.
Conclusions
So here we are again, Bitcoin’s entered the weekly Gaussian channel, that green noodle of doom. Every time it happens, people scream “buy the dip!” as if chanting it makes the red candles go away. Look left, seriously, just look. Every single time price action’s wandered into that channel since 2014, it’s been the start of an 18-month spa retreat for the bears. “This time is different,” they say.
In each cycle Bitcoin entered the Gaussian channel price dropped roughly -60 % and stayed miserable for over a year. And 2025 has been glorious right?, all Bitcoin maxis ever wanted was a fiat replacement. Congratulations, price action is the same as it was this time last year and look set to continue the trend! Why the long faces?! Isn't this what you wanted? Was never about more dollars was it? 1 Bitcoin still = 1 Bitcoin after all.
Now the bulls have got until November 17th to prove this isn’t another replay. If the bulls can’t push price back above $110 k (and hold it), it’s curtains. $43k – $57k becomes the new meditation zone while Saylor and the laser-eye crew quietly delete their tweets.
Ww
Disclaimer
=============================================================
This isn’t financial advice. It’s a bloke on the internet pointing at a rainbow-coloured curve saying “that’s bad.” If you mortgage your house because you think I’ve uncovered the secret code of the Gaussian gods, that’s on you. If it pumps, you’ll call yourself a genius.
If it dumps, you’ll say the whales manipulated it. Either way, I’ll still be here, laughing at the comments section.
So yes, DO NOT IGNORE the channel. But also, don’t sell your kidneys because a stranger on TradingView drew some squiggly lines.
XAU/USD – Distribution at the Top, Sell on Rallies Market ContexAfter a strong bullish impulse, Gold is now showing clear signs of exhaustion near the upper liquidity zone. Price failed to sustain above the recent high and has started to rotate lower, suggesting a distribution phase rather than continuation.
From a macro perspective, although expectations around Fed policy remain mixed, short-term positioning looks crowded on the buy side, increasing the probability of a corrective move to rebalance liquidity.
Technical Structure (M30–H1)
Price rejected sharply from the 4,348 supply / liquidity zone
A lower high has formed under descending trendline resistance
Market is trading below key intraday structure, signaling bearish pressure
Current price action favors a sell-the-rally approach
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – SELL Continuation
Preferred SELL zone: 4,300 – 4,306
Confirmation: bearish rejection / weak bullish momentum
Targets:
TP1: 4,281
TP2: 4,269
TP3: 4,248
Extended target: 4,219 (major demand + channel support)
Invalidation
A clean break and hold above 4,348 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias.
In that case, stand aside and wait for new structure confirmation.
MMF Perspective
At premium levels, risk favors patience over chasing buys.
The focus now is on capital protection and selling rallies, waiting for price to reach deeper demand zones before considering any new bullish setups.
Bias today: Bearish below 4,348 – Sell rallies, manage risk strictly.
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Confirmed, Buy on PullbacksMarket Context
Gold remains firmly bullish, continuing to trade within a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong impulsive rally, the market is now entering a technical pullback phase to rebalance liquidity, which is a healthy behavior in a trending market rather than a sign of reversal.
From a macro perspective, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates continue to support Gold. This keeps downside moves corrective in nature and favors trend-following BUY strategies.
Technical Structure (H1)
• Bullish structure remains intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows
• Price is reacting at key confluence zones (trendline support + demand + Fibonacci)
• No confirmed bearish structure break at this stage
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
• Preferred BUY zone: 4,296 – 4,292
• Stop Loss: below 4,286
Targets:
TP1: 4,327
TP2: 4,348
TP3: Extension if bullish momentum continues
→ Strategy: wait for pullbacks into key demand zones. No FOMO chasing at highs.
Alternative Scenario
• If price breaks and closes clearly below 4,241, short-term bullish structure weakens
• Stand aside and wait for a new structure confirmation
MMF Perspective
In a bullish market, the goal is not to predict the top, but to buy pullbacks at high-probability zones with favorable risk–reward.
As long as price holds above key supports, the primary bias remains BUY.
Waiting for OB Reaction to Confirm the Next Move◆ Market Context (M30)
Price swept sell-side liquidity around 4,349–4,350 but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure in premium. With a prior liquidity sweep at the lows and a bullish BOS, the current move is likely a rebalancing phase after liquidity absorption.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• Rejection after the upper sweep signals premium denial.
• The lower support zone marks the base of the prior bullish displacement (BOS base).
• OB + Fibo below act as an attraction zone for re-accumulation before direction is chosen.
◆ Key Levels
• Liquidity Sell: 4,349–4,350
• OB + Fibo (retest): 4,302–4,289
• Deeper support: 4,274
• Upper supply (if broken): 4,406
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary)
• Wait for a pullback into OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289
• Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction
• Targets:
▪ 4,349
▪ Extension: 4,406
• Invalid if a clear break below 4,274
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If OB 4,302–4,289 is pierced
• Watch for reversal signals around 4,274
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue (No FOMO)
• Only follow buys if price closes and holds above 4,350
• Monitor reactions at 4,406 for risk management/partials
◆ Summary
• Context: upper liquidity swept → favor pullbacks.
• Decision zone: OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289.
• Upside targets: 4,349 → 4,406.
• Avoid chasing price in premium.
BITCOIN - The downward trend may continue. Focus on 88KBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P failed to realize its bullish potential associated with positive news. Is crypto winter getting closer and closer?
Fundamentally, despite the rate cut and a relatively positive overall backdrop, the market continues to fall. Bears held the 95k resistance and the 90k zone. Bitcoin is breaking the consolidation support and entering a distribution phase. The decline has been temporarily halted by support at 85,500, and the market may correct to 87,000-88,000 (the break-even zone) before continuing its decline within the current trend. The target the market may strive for is 84K-80K.
Resistance levels: 87,000, 88,000, 90,000
Support levels: 85,560, 83,800, 80,000
If the market continues to lack support or no bullish driver emerges, the price may fall even lower. I expect a retest of the zone of interest (the support area of the trading range) and a further decline to key levels...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD - Retest of key support ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is falling during the Asian session, retreating from $4,350 — its highest level since late October — amid optimism over a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine and ahead of US employment data.
Trump's statements about the approaching peace agreement are reducing demand for safe-haven assets. The probability of a Fed rate cut in January is about 77%, with two easing measures expected in 2026. Expectations of a dovish Fed chair appointment continue to put pressure on the dollar.
• Today, October NFP data will be released, which may confirm the weakening of the labor market
• On Thursday, US inflation data will be released
The current decline looks like a correction and profit-taking. The uptrend remains intact unless employment data exceeds expectations. Any further decline could be seen as a buying opportunity
Resistance levels: 4292, 4317
Support levels: 4265, 4255
If the news is positive, which will only reinforce expectations of an aggressive rate cut, gold's growth after retesting key support may continue. Otherwise, the correction may continue. However, the 4265-4255 area plays an important role and needs to be monitored.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAGUSD (Silver) – 1-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, good morning,
I have prepared an XAGUSD-Silver analysis for you on the 1-hour timeframe.
My friends, if XAGUSD-Silver reaches the levels between 60.69393 and 60.11226, I will open a buy position and target the 63.16603 level.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
GBPUSD - Consolidation above uptrend support FX:GBPUSD is consolidating above the support of the uptrend. Growth is facilitated by the decline in interest rates in the US.
The dollar has broken the trend and is falling under pressure from falling interest rates. GBPUSD is in an uptrend and testing key support. A long squeeze could trigger growth
The trend is upward, after updating the maximum to 1.3438, a correction is forming, within which MM is testing the break-even and interest zone of 1.3355. If the bulls hold their defense above key support, this action will support the growth of the trend.
Resistance levels: 1.3438
Support levels: 1.3355
Focus on the mirror support zone of 1.3355, which plays a fairly important role in the current uptrend. Consolidation above this zone and local confirmation of the end of the correction could trigger further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU.usd going to $3800: Gold ABC correction about to start?Gold retesting the Double Golden zone that caused its top.
IF there is to be a true correction, THIS is the spot to drop.
Elliot Wave theory prescribes an ABC retrace that may form.
$ 3804.52 is the Best Guess target for dip
$ 3746.67 is the major support and must hold
$ 4380.53 is a Golden Genesis and invalidation.
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GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 15th Dec '25[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
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IONX 4H - When the noise fades, volume takes controlIONX is transitioning from a sharp corrective phase into stabilization near the 22 to 23 zone. This move is not random selling but a clear sign of seller exhaustion. Price is holding a confluence area where Fibonacci 0.618 and 0.786 align with a prior accumulation zone. Volume tells the real story. Selling pressure is fading, while momentum indicators show bullish divergence. Sellers are losing control even as price remains near the lower range.
The current structure suggests stabilization rather than trend continuation to the downside. Ranges are tightening and demand reactions are becoming consistent. As long as price holds above 22 to 23, the recovery scenario stays intact. The first resistance zone sits near 29 to 30, where previous balance was formed. A confirmed breakout opens the path toward 38.04 and then 48.10.
IONX is what happens when emotions leave the chart and patience takes over.
BTC Bullish Targets 150k & beyond
Since downward manipulation/support testing leg in April of this year, BTC had shown strength and crossed Weekly swing high.
Targets from that manipulation leg have reached halfway already, and now looking forward to 4th deviation.
2nd dev= $117,340 upto $124,480
4th dev = $145,900 upto 153,000
chart also shows potential targets in case we go higher. upto 190k and 243k.
$RIVN $48+ Target in SightNASDAQ:RIVN breakout and backtest has us targeting $48+ at our next Fibonacci level. A trip from here to previous all time highs would be an 888% move to $180+. Just like NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:RIVN gets all the negative market price action that auto manufacturers face, but they gain the upside that tech stocks see.
BTCUSD - Down, DownBitcoin completed a corrective wave A and has resumed its downward move.
The decline is most likely heading toward the 80k area.
The move lower is expected to be choppy, so targets remain approximate.
Primary target: 80,500
Intermediate target: 86,100
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Waiting for FVG / Liquidity Pullback, Trend-Following BUY Bias1. Market Context & Structure (H1)
• Gold has completed a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish BOS, confirming that the short-term uptrend remains intact.
• After the strong impulse, price is now entering a rebalancing / technical pullback phase rather than a reversal.
• The overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low, favoring BUY strategies aligned with the dominant trend.
2. Key Technical Zones on the Chart
• Resistance / Supply Zone 1: 4,359 – 4,360
→ A previously strong reaction zone, where short-term corrections may occur.
• Resistance / Supply Zone 2: 4,394
→ Fibonacci 0.786 extension area, prone to profit-taking or upper liquidity sweeps.
• iFVG – Pullback Zone: 4,297 – 4,300
→ Inefficiency left during the bullish impulse, prioritized for the first BUY reaction.
• Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,267
→ Resting liquidity below, where a deeper sweep may occur before trend continuation.
3. Trading Scenarios – Captain Vincent Style
🔹 Primary Scenario – BUY at iFVG / Liquidity Buy (Preferred)
• Expect price to pull back from the 4,35x area toward 4,297 – 4,300 (iFVG) or deeper into 4,267 (Liquidity Buy).
• At the BUY zone, wait for confirmation signals:
– Strong rejection wicks
– Bullish engulfing
– Bullish ChoCH on M15–H1
• Preferred BUY Zones:
– BUY 1: 4,297 – 4,300
– BUY 2 (deeper): 4,267
• Targets:
– TP1: 4,359
– TP2: 4,394
– TP3 extension: continuation if 4,394 is broken.
• Invalidation:
– H1 close below 4,255 → short-term bullish structure weakens.
🔹 Secondary Scenario – Short-Term SELL Reaction at Supply
• If price rallies directly into 4,359 – 4,394 without a clear pullback, a short-term SELL reaction may appear.
• SELLs are scalp / counter-trend only, not the primary scenario.
• SELL target: pullback toward iFVG 4,297.
4. Risk & Management Notes
• Avoid FOMO BUY at high resistance zones.
• Prioritize BUY entries at discounted areas (FVG – Liquidity).
• Main bias remains BUY on pullbacks; SELLs are only technical reactions.
• Adjust position sizing carefully as the market is in an expansion phase.
#ZEC — R:R 1:11 Target to update 765 from currentBINANCE:ZECUSDT.P
A very promising asset with a trending movement.
All assets are currently in roughly the same situation.
Here, the price has completed its wave cycle and is beginning to reverse to renew the 765 high. We cannot be sure whether it will be renewed or not.
But this is an excellent entry point to take 2 take. I am sure that the price will work out the POE level and exit the channel. The chart shows frequent touches of the channel walls.
After the resistance wall, the price is lazily moving towards its FVG, which it created through momentum. There is a break in the structure, entry from FVG 0.618 - 0.702 (exactly in the middle of FVG 12H).
Even if we don't manage to open a position, we have two targets and can open a position after the channel breaks on a retest and still have a good RR. In this trade with my POE, it is 1/11. I will be patient.
At the 1.618 - 1.272 Fibonacci level zone, there is a large HVN, followed by an equally important one at 2.618 with very strong resistance and liquidity, where the price is likely to go without difficulty.
I set small stops in such cases because I plan to go far on the price. In case of a breakout of 0.702-0.786 and the absence of a sharp impulse in the long, I would prefer not to open a position.






















