Fibonacci
GOLD entering Bear MarketIf you look at RSI and Stochastic RSI across higher time frames—weekly, bi-weekly, and monthly—they're sitting at extreme overbought levels. Historically, similar conditions in 2008, 2011, and 2020 were followed by major corrections or long periods of sideways movement in gold.
Right now, all I see in the media is hype around buying gold, which often signals distribution—whales unloading positions onto retail. While overbought conditions don’t tell us exactly when a correction starts, they do suggest we’re not in a solid buying zone. In fact, we might be approaching a significant top.
BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart.
We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity.
(This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
Natural Gas Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025
- Natural gas broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 3.0000
Natural gas recently broke the support area between the support trendline of the weekly up-channel from last August, support level 3.4 and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the daily uptrend from August.
The breakout of this support area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the end of March.
Natural gas can be expected to fall to the next round support level 3.0000 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Retest 86190. There are chances for growthBINANCE:BTCUSD is starting to show positive signs, but it is too early to talk about a change in the downtrend or a bullish rally. Strong resistance ahead....
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, bitcoin in general has withstood the blows quite well and is gradually beginning to recover, but the situation for the crypto community as a whole has not changed in any way, the promises are not yet fulfilled. Bitcoin's strengthening is most likely due to localized growth in indices and discussion of lower interest rates. But the focus is on the tariff war between China and the US, improved relations and lower tariffs could weaken bitcoin.
Technically, we see that the price is moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel. For a few days now, the price has been consolidating in front of the 86190 level, and we have chances to see a rise to the resistance of the 88800 range, from which the future prospects will already depend.
Resistance levels: 86190, 88800, 91280
Support levels: 83170, 78170
The price is slowly approaching the resistance 86190, consolidating without updating the local lows, forming a pre-breakout consolidation. There is a probability of a breakout attempt. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 86190 may give a chance to rise to 88800.
But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction. A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction....
Regards, R. Linda!
Will BTC emerge from the local downtrend channel on top?Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel in which we can currently observe an attempt to exit on the top. In such a situation, it must be borne in mind that often exiting the channel gives energy for growth close to the height of the channel itself, which in this situation could give a valuation in the region of $ 100,000 for 1 BTC.
However, before this happens, the price must positively exit the channel and break the first resistance line at $ 88,800, and then a significant level at $ 94,200.
Looking the other way, when the price bounces off the upper boundary of the channel and starts to fall again, we have a visible support zone from $ 85,150 to $ 83,000, and then a second very strong zone from $ 77,200 to $ 74,100.
$LNTH Potential Healthcare sector leader NASDAQ:LNTH holds a negative net debt to ebitda ratio, with a forward p/e ratio around 16. Revenue growth was up over 18% for the TTM, and operating margin was around 40% compared to ~15% for healthcare companies in the drug manufacturing industry.
Technically, there is a potential wedge forming, though I can see a breakout bounce off of the .382 fib coming too. Strength showing relative to the S&P.
SOLUSDT Breakdown WarningYello Paradisers! Have you spotted what’s happening with SOLUSDT right now? A major breakdown just played out, and this could be the beginning of a much deeper bearish move that many are underestimating.
💎SOLUSDT has broken down from a rising wedge pattern—an important bearish structure that often signals upcoming downside pressure. Before the drop, it swept liquidity, a typical smart money move, and has now confirmed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). This combination significantly increases the probability of further decline.
💎If we see a pullback into the resistance zone—it could offer a strong short opportunity with good risk-to-reward ratio. That’s where professional traders start looking to position themselves carefully.
💎However, this bearish idea has a clear invalidation point. If price breaks out and closes a candle above that invalidation level, then the bearish outlook becomes void. In such a case, it’s wiser to stay patient and wait for more precise, high-probability setups to develop.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Stay disciplined, Paradisers, and wait only for the cleanest, most reliable trading opportunities. That’s how you make it in this game.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
NZDCAD Elliot Waves forecast: Is wave 1 complete?NZDCAD have completed wave 2 which have unfolded as a complex correction WXY. Looks like currently price is making wave 1 of lower degree. If this count is correct we should expect price to retrace to the golden zone fib 50% to 61.8% before resuming the bullish momentum. Lets continue to monitor it a possible short setup when the 1st wave is completed.
Decoding Gold's Ascent Through Fibonacci Channels.The price of gold has been exhibiting a discernible pattern, closely tracking Fibonacci channel levels. This upward trajectory, characterized as a "gold buyers' train," has seen the price ascend through various Fibonacci channels.
Notably, the price encountered resistance and stalled upon reaching a key Fibonacci level, often referred to as the "golden ratio" or a similar significant Fibonacci retracement or extension point.
This phenomenon has been observed repeatedly; since 2020, the price action has twice reached and subsequently been halted at specific Fibonacci channel levels, suggesting these levels act as strong areas of either support or resistance depending on the direction of the movement.
Currently, the price is approaching a third Fibonacci channel level, implying a potential continuation of this established pattern and requiring careful monitoring to determine if the same resistive behavior will manifest again, or if the price will finally break through to higher levels within the Fibonacci sequence.
This repetitive interaction with Fibonacci levels underscores their significance as potential indicators of future price movements in the gold market.
EURUSD – A New High Potentially in Sight?The pullback seen in EURUSD at the start of this week, which resulted in a low of 1.1264 being registered on Tuesday may have been a natural reaction to the spike from 1.0943 on Thursday 10th April, up to 1.1473 on Friday 11th April. A quick and relentless rally (low to high) of 4.8% that caught many by surprise.
Now, against the backdrop of fresh dollar selling due to a new series of tariff headlines from the Trump administration on Wednesday, the most prominent being the ban on Nvidia from exporting certain chips to China, EURUSD has started to move back towards 1.14 again with the all-important rate decision due later today at 1315 BST.
The ECB are expected to cut interest rates by another 25bps, so anything else may be a seen as a surprise. This decision could be a close call given that the ECB committee seem to be split, with some more worried about supporting the economy through this period of trade war uncertainty, while others are more focused on the potential for trade tariffs to push inflation back higher.
Whatever the decision, the press conference, led by ECB President Lagarde, which starts at 1345 BST could also be a focal point for EURUSD volatility as traders try and glean what they can from Madame Lagarde on whether more rate cuts are possible at the next meeting in June, her thoughts on inflation, recent Euro strength and the Eurozone economy.
Technical Update: Is the Break of Long Term Resistance Significant?
The current year to date phase of EURUSD price strength has seen an impressive 12.6% advance from the January low into the latest April high (1.0184 to 1.1473).
However, what technical analysts are now beginning to focus on is the world's most heavily traded currency pair recent close above 2 potentially key resistance points on the weekly chart that coincide at 1.1275/1.1278.
These points are equal to a combination of the July 2023 high and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February 2021 to September 2022 price decline (see chart above).
While this is no guarantee of sustained phase of price strength it might well be an indication of further attempts to push towards higher levels.
Potential Resistance Levels We Now Need to Monitor
What the weekly chart above does show is that the latest strength has approached a previous failure high at 1.1494, which was posted in February 2022. Traders may well be focusing on this level next, as closing breaks of this resistance point might suggest current EURUSD strength may carry further.
Such moves could in turn lead to a more sustained phase of price strength, with the next resistance point to consider marked by the October 2022 upside extreme at 1.1691.
Potential Support Levels We Now Need to Monitor
After such an extended period of price strength over a relatively short period of time there may be potential for over-extended upside price conditions to lead to the price corrections.
With this in mind, it is the perhaps the daily EURUSD chart that might offer clues to possible support levels.
Running Fibonacci retracements on the latest phase of price strength seen between April 4th and April 10th, we see the 38.2% retracement at 1.1244, has remained intact within this week’s latest trading activity.
Any potential breaks below this level, while not suggesting a negative shift in sentiment, may prompt a deeper decline in EURUSD prices towards 1.1175, which is the 50% retracement, even 1.1106, which is the 61.8% retracement level, as seen on the chart above.
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EURNZD potential longEURNZD is in uptrend and currently have completed sub-wave 1 of wave 5 of higher degree. The question is the pullback for sub-wave 2 complete or still retracing lower? Given the wave structures looks like we might have a retrace lower to complete a complex correction wxy before we resume the bullish momentum. If we are correct we should expect price to find support around 78.6 fib retracement.
Lets monitor it for a possible long(This is not financial advise, always plan your trades and execute them at your own risk)
BTC will Crash to the 60K, Price it too far from VWAPif you look to the VWAP indicator
(white line), it is around $37K, that is the average of the price shouold be at, While the price right now at 88K, we can't go above any further, the price much go down to meet with the VWAP line, we are ahead of another crash before we see BTC going to the $150K
so be aware of the coming crash, very soon.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 14 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Monday, April 14, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as key reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 14, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 14 & 15, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan:
✅ Wait for the price range to form from the above candles (marked with green lines).
✅ Trade entry will be triggered if price breaks out of the range , including a 60-pip buffer.
✅ If price reverses and hits Stop Loss (SL) , we will cut/switch the position and double the size to recover losses on the next entry.
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 Copy and paste this code in your TradingView URL:
TV/x/ZYrPFZTC/
AMZN: A Power Move for the Smart Trader | The Rebound Play?🚀 AMZN 2025 Trade Plan
After an early 2025 rally to $240+, Amazon (AMZN) has pulled back sharply to around $167, opening the door to what could be one of the most attractive rebound setups of the year.
With AWS still growing strong and net income nearly doubling in 2024, the fundamentals are on Amazon’s side. Add to that bullish analyst outlooks pointing to $226–$253 this year, and we might just be looking at a golden entry zone.
📌 Entry Points:
Start building a position at $167
Add more if it dips toward $160 or $151 (52-week low)
🎯 Profit Targets for 2025:
First stop: $210
Next: $226
Final push? $240+
This setup blends technical recovery with strong financials and long-term bullish sentiment. Patience, discipline, and solid risk management are key as AMZN finds its footing.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before investing.