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Fibonacci

Key Level for USDCHF: 0.8125USDCHF has been trending down since late 2021 and is currently near the lower end of its trend channel. Low inflation and a weak dollar index have contributed to the downward pressure seen in 2025. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has avoided reintroducing negative rates, and the latest inflation data may support keeping rates at zero. Yearly CPI remains at 0.2 percent, still in positive territory, but barely. According to SNB Vice Chair Antoine Martin, they do not see any risk of deflation at the moment, and forecasts suggest an uptick in inflation in the coming quarters. Still, the 39 percent US tariff poses a significant problem for Switzerland, which counts the US as its largest single-country trading partner, or second if Europe is considered as a whole. This year’s weak dollar index, combined with very high tariffs, may create challenges for exporters. The saving grace is the exemption of gold and pharmaceuticals, which are by far Switzerland’s largest exports. According to the Financial Times, the effective average tariff is slightly above 12 percent. When combined with the Swiss franc’s 11 percent gain against the dollar, the burden on exporters remains heavy. Following the tariff shock, services PMI collapsed while manufacturing PMI held relatively steady. In Monday’s update, both manufacturing and services showed signs of recovery, although services PMI still indicated a rapid contraction. The data supports expectations for the SNB to hold rates at the September meeting. USDCHF bounced more than 2 percent from the lower boundary of the channel, breaking above the 2025 downward trendline before retesting it multiple times. The chart suggests USDCHF is attempting an upward reaction. If the SNB maintains its stance despite low inflation, that would be bullish for the franc, but a possible hawkish Fed rate cut at the September meeting are likely to have a larger effect on the currency and could trigger a breakout. The biggest obstacle is the 76.4 percent parallel of the trendline, currently at 0.8125, which may become the key resistance level to watch for USDCHF bulls.
by ftdsystem
GOLD → The uncertainty factor before the news. Down / up?FX:XAUUSD after updating another high to 3578 went into the phase of profit taking before two busy news days. The trend is aggressively bullish, but the risks of correction are quite high due to the uncertainty factor.... The price pulled back from record highs amid profit taking and reduced panic in the bond market. The dollar stabilized, but remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The key event will be the publication of US employment data (NFP) on Friday. A correction after a sharp rise is a natural reaction, but the expectation of Fed policy easing is supporting the metal's price. Geopolitics: Trade risks (Trump's tariffs) mitigate gold's fall. Gold's correction so far looks like a pause before further movement. The main driver is NFP data, which will determine Fed rate sentiment and USD direction. But, today all eyes are on ADP Nonfarm, Initial jobless claims, and ISM data. Unexpected data may intensify the sell-off.... Resistance levels: 3546, 3559, 3563 Support levels: 3526, 3508 It is difficult to determine the news reaction in advance, we will have to orient ourselves after the fact. Technically, I expect a deeper correction for a healthy market. I expect a retest of the 3560 zone and further decline to local liquidity zones. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
14
Gold gave 250 pips from yesterday pivot what's next -4 Sep 25🟡 Gold Pre-ADP Plan (Sept 4) Context Trend still bullish on HTFs. Yesterday’s selloff = profit-taking + liquidity grab into fibs/OB. Overhead 1H OB near recent highs; below, a clean ladder of fib supports. Key levels Resistance/liq: 3,556–3,568 (1H OB / PDH area), then 3,578. Support zones Z1: 3,523–3,510 → 50% fib + daily pivot / intraday FVG. Z2: 3,511–3,492 → 61.8% fib + prior support + liquidity pocket. Failure: below 3,492 opens 3,470. Event game plan (ADP- NY session) Rule 1: Flat or tiny size into the print. No market orders during the first spike. Wait 3–5 mins for the first 5m candle to close. If ADP beats (hot jobs) → USD/yields pop Expect a deeper dip. Look for a sweep of 3,511–3,492 (Z2). If we get: 5m BOS/MSS up after the sweep strong displacement + 5m FVG + reclaim of 3510 then long back toward 3,536 → 3,556 → 3,568. Invalidation: 3,488 clean 5m close; stand aside and reassess 3,470. If ADP misses (soft jobs) → USD/yields fade Expect shallow pullback / direct squeeze. Plan A (buy the dip): Tag into Z1 3,523–3,510. Need 2–3 confirms: session low sweep, bullish engulf/BOS on 5m, FVG entry or OB reclaim. Targets: 3,556 → 3,568 → 3,578. Plan B (breakout): If NY reclaims 3,556 and closes 15m above, buy the 3554–3556 retest for 3,568/3,578/3,590. If data is mixed Sit on hands until a side holds. Only trade after a clear MSS + displacement into one of the zones. Execution checklist (need 2–3 before entry) Sweep of session high/low (liquidity grab).5m BOS/MSS in trade direction.Strong impulse + FVG to anchor risk.Pivot/OB reclaim (daily/1H). Stops/Targets For Z1 longs: stop ~3504–3507; TP1 3,556, TP2 3,568, runner 3,578+. For Z2 longs: stop ~3,488–3,490; same targets. Hard NO: No counter-trend shorts into supports. No chasing green candles at highs. No trading the first spike bar. Bias: Bullish, buy dips only. Zones to trade: 3523–3510 (Z1) and 3511–3492 (Z2).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The_Trading_Path
Dax - Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:GER40Short
by VladimirRibakov
5
Multi-Bull Signal Presence | ABCD Setup in PlayBullish on SERV: After a strong run-up, SERV has been consistently respecting Fibonacci levels of support and resistance, showing that traders and algos alike are honoring these zones. This makes the levels even more reliable for future moves. Currently, the 50 MA and 200 MA are converging, which often signals a period of consolidation before the next impulsive leg. Rather than being a sign of weakness, this kind of compression can be the “calm before the storm,” giving the stock time to reset and build energy for the next breakout. That consolidation phase fits perfectly as the B → C leg in an emerging ABCD pattern. The white dotted projection on my chart outlines the potential C → D leg, which is often the strongest run in the sequence. This aligns with my bullish claim that SERV is preparing for another measured move higher. Main Key Levels & Bullish Setup: Price has respected multiple Fibonacci zones, with special weight given to the 0.66 faded red support, which has acted as a reliable floor. The green long-term trendline support continues to provide structure for the move, holding strong since mid-2024. Consolidation is occurring above key supports, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. ABCD pattern symmetry points toward a measured leg higher, aligning with both Fib extensions and prior rally magnitude. 🎯 Price Target: $24 If this setup plays out, SERV has room to run toward $24, which would mark a long-term triple top. A level, if broken, could unlock even greater upside. Until then, this is the clearest technical destination based on the current structure. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TL;DR I’m bullish here. SERV is showing textbook consolidation at strong supports, with moving average compression + ABCD symmetry + Fib alignment all supporting the idea of another impulsive move up. I’ll be watching closely for confirmation off the green trendline + .66 Fib zone before scaling in heavier, but the risk/reward here is very favorable given the projected upside. __________________________________________________________________________________ All love and best of luck, traders
NASDAQ:SERVLong
by Langutang
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23458.25 - PR Low: 23434.25 - NZ Spread: 53.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 12:00 | Crude Oil Inventories Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/4) - Session Open ATR: 299.73 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 277K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Gold’s Next Move: DOWN!!!Although gold continues its strong upward trend, it still provides opportunities for pullbacks during the day. For example, it hit a low of 3470-3467 yesterday. Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3550. Gold continues to set new historical highs. There is no price behavior and technical resistance above it as a reference. But obviously, as long as gold remains above 3540, I will not choose to aggressively chase gold at high levels. On the contrary, while gold is rising, I will still try to short gold at the top while setting protection. In terms of price behavior, gold started to rise from around 3322 and has reached around 3550 so far, with an increase of up to $228. Although there has been no decent retracement during this period, this strong momentum is indeed easy to form a combined force. However, once the market returns to rationality, the decline will definitely not be small. So at the current stage, I do not advocate going long on gold. On the contrary, I will actively look for opportunities to short gold! In the short term, we first need to observe gold's performance in the 3540-3530 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the retracement, it may have the potential to continue to rise. If gold falls below the 3540-3530 area, the first retracement target will be the 3525-3515 area. If this area is broken, it is likely to continue to 3500-3490.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Diary_Steffen
Trendline Break — SHORT SetupOn the 15-minute chart, Gold has been in a steady uptrend, supported by a rising trendline. Price recently tested the 3579 level but has since shown signs of rejection and is now breaking below the trendline support. This breakdown suggests that bullish momentum may be fading, opening the possibility for a short-term pullback. The immediate downside target is around 3545–3550, which aligns with both the 200 EMA and a prior support zone. Trade Setup: • Entry: Below trendline break (~3569) • Stop Loss: Above recent high (~3579.7) • Target: 3545–3550 zone If the price reclaims and holds above the recent high, this bearish idea will be invalidated. Until then, the bias favors a corrective move lower.
CFI:XAUUSDShort
by KhaleelSuliman