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Fibonacci

My idea on BTCUSD seeing the 1D timeframeThese are the two possible scenario's that I have in mind for this dip. Do you see the similarities with April earlier this year too? It is hard to predict what will happen in future especially when it comes to crypto assets, but my feeling says that scenario 2 will play out. Be patient and watch the daily chart as this needs some time anyway. I think that if we would see another dump, then $80.5k would be the very lowest (not 75k), because the MACD shows a bullish divergence on the 1D (higher low) just like in April earlier this year. Be careful with leverage trading these days! See this moment as a great discount to DCA at. What do you think which scenario will playout? What do you think that will happen in the next few days/weeks/months? Leave your comment below and follow me if you liked my idea!:)
by JayEasy
XAUUSD M30: Watch for BUY at 4.317–4.303, target 4.337–4.3461) Market Context (M30) – SMC & Price Structure • The chart is on the M30 timeframe (not H1). • After the impulsive move up, price has entered a consolidation / corrective phase , with BOS and ChoCH signals indicating a rotation of order flow around the equilibrium zone. • Price is currently trading in the middle of the range, so the optimal approach is to wait for price to return to Demand/OB or wait for a sweep into Supply before making decisions. 2) Key Levels • Supply / $$$ (upper targets): 4,346.655 • Intermediate Supply: 4,337.166 • OB Buy (Demand 1): 4,317–4,315 (tag 4,317.623) • BUY Swing (Demand 2 – deeper): 4,303–4,305 (tag 4,303.099) • Risk reference: SL reference at 4,289 3) Trading Scenarios (SMC – conditional setups) Scenario A – BUY pullback at OB 4,317–4,315 (intraday priority) • If price pulls back into 4,317–4,315 and shows clear bullish reaction (long lower wicks, bullish engulfing, or a bullish ChoCH on M15/M30). • Then prioritize BUY continuation trades. • Reference targets: • TP1: 4,337 • TP2: 4,346 • If price reaches 4,337 / 4,346 and shows strong rejection, prioritize partial profit-taking rather than expecting a straight continuation. Scenario B – Deep sweep into BUY Swing 4,303–4,305 (higher-quality setup) • If price breaks below the 4,317 OB and continues to sweep liquidity into 4,303–4,305 . • Only BUY after a clear reversal signal appears (post-sweep + fast reclaim). • Reference targets: 4,317 → 4,337 → 4,346. Scenario C – SELL reaction at Supply (counter-trend, scalp only) • If price rallies into 4,337 or 4,346 and prints distribution signals (strong rejection / bearish ChoCH). • A short SELL toward 4,317 can be considered. • Note: SELLs are purely technical reactions; the primary bias remains “buy the dip” at the marked Demand zones. 4) News on 18/12 Impacting Gold (Macro Drivers) • US CPI (November) released today — typically a major volatility driver for XAUUSD due to its direct impact on rate expectations and the USD. Bureau of Labor Statistics • On the same day: Initial Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index — often cause short-term spikes around release times. S&P Global • Beyond the US, markets are also monitoring a series of central bank decisions (ECB/BoE/Norges Bank/Riksbank…), which may amplify USD and risk sentiment volatility, indirectly affecting gold. S&P Global CPI Trading Guidance • Avoid entering trades right before CPI; preferably wait 5–15 minutes after the release for structure to become clearer, then execute based on reactions at 4,317 / 4,303 or Supply reactions at 4,337 / 4,346 . 5) Conclusion (Bias & Risk) • Intraday bias: prioritize BUYs at Demand (4,317–4,315 and deeper 4,303–4,305). • Focus on “right level – right signal”; avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. • Maintain strict risk management, as CPI day often brings elevated volatility. — Trade the levels, not the noise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Bullish Structure Holds, Buy Pullbacks for ContinuatioGold remains in a well-defined bullish channel. After a strong impulsive move, price is now undergoing a technical pullback / rebalancing phase, which is normal behavior within a healthy uptrend. From a fundamental perspective, dovish Fed expectations continue to support Gold, keeping downside moves corrective rather than trend-reversing. Technical Structure (Short-Term) Bullish market structure remains intact (Higher High – Higher Low) Current pullback is occurring within the discount zone of the ascending channel No confirmed bearish break of structure at this stage Upside liquidity remains stacked above recent highs Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Preferred BUY zone: 4,303 – 4,320 Condition: price holds above support and maintains HL structure Targets: TP1: 4,335 TP2: 4,345 TP3: 4,359 (buy-side liquidity) Alternative Scenario If price does not pull back deeply and breaks above 4,335, wait for a clean retest to continue BUY setups. Invalidation A H1 close below 4,280 invalidates the short-term bullish bias and cancels BUY setups. Summary The short-term bias for Gold remains bullish. Priority remains buying pullbacks within the channel, avoiding FOMO at premium prices and waiting for price to return to key liquidity zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2026 - PR High: 24999.00 - PR Low: 24925.00 - NZ Spread: 165.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - CPI (Core|MoM|YoY) - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM) - Session Open ATR: 426.70 - Volume: 36K - Open Int: 266K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -5.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 26521 - Mid: 25264 - Short: 24008 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2026
by mv3trader5
Tesla (TSLA) Extend Rally to new High, Pullback Should supportedTesla (TSLA) recently advanced to a new all‑time high, underscoring the strength of bullish momentum in the market. The short‑term Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the cycle from the November 14, 2025 low has concluded as a clear impulse structure. From that low, wave 1 terminated at $423.69, followed by a corrective decline in wave 2 that ended at $383.76. The upward progression then resumed, with wave 3 extending to $458.87. A modest pullback in wave 4 concluded at $435. The final advance in wave 5 reached $496.16, as illustrated on the 45‑minute chart. This marked the completion of wave (1) at a higher degree and simultaneously closed the cycle that began on November 14. After this peak, the stock entered a corrective phase in wave (2), unfolding internally as a zigzag pattern. From the termination of wave (1), wave A of the zigzag is expected to finish soon. A rebound in wave B should follow, setting the stage for another decline in wave C, which would complete the corrective sequence of wave (2). As long as the pivot at $496.16 remains intact, rallies are likely to fail. The broader expectation is for Tesla to extend lower, thereby correcting the entire cycle that originated from the November 14 low.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Long Term Wyckoff Distribution In-PlayAs the title states, we have a Wyckoff distribution method/pattern in play here on the chart. So far the set up and pattern has been pretty on-point if you take a look and analyze Wyckoff Methods from www.wyckoffanalytics.com . I don't have a ton of additional analysis to add here. I am only analyzing the chart and indicators I have. However, I'd love to hear some additional feedback for contrasting opinions or agreeing opinions for some confluence. Have a great day TV gang and I hope you have a great December.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ExtraGuacAM
GIFTNIFTY: IntraSwing Levels For 18th Dec '25GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 18th Dec '2 [ Level Interpretation / description: L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . Do Comment for In depth Analysis. Follow notification about periodical View 5
NSEIX:NIFTY1!
by DSKF16
MSTR. When Bitcoin sneezes, Strategy looks for the floorMSTR is deep in a corrective phase after the rally to 543. The current decline does not signal a structural breakdown but a return to a major demand zone at 100–102, where long term support and prior accumulation align. Selling volume is fading, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than panic. As long as price holds above 100–102, the recovery scenario remains valid. Initial rebound targets sit near 230, followed by 300 if market structure stabilizes. Fundamentally, Strategy remains the most leveraged public Bitcoin proxy. As of December 2025, the company holds over 214000 BTC, making it the largest public Bitcoin holder globally. The average acquisition price remains well below historical highs, reducing long term downside risk. In Q3 2025, the company reported an increase in digital asset value as crypto markets recovered. The core analytics software business remains stable, while debt servicing shows no liquidity stress. Strategy is no longer just a software company. It is a macro Bitcoin instrument in equity form. When Bitcoin panics, MSTR falls harder. But it usually stands up first when the cycle turns.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
1
85,354 and 35 cents: BTC Golden Genesis Fib proving VERY strongShown here is a single fib series in three different timeframes. The "Genesis Sequence" has called all major turns since 2015. These are "high gravity" objects that tend to capture into orbit. This Golden fib (1.1618 exponent) has proven itself again and again. It probably will NOT hold after so many hits but WOW, what a fighter! Perhaps bulls will pull off a miracle, but likely we fall through it now. $125,550.41 was the cycle top exactly at a fib. $ 85,354.35 Golden Fib that has proven utlra-strong $ 97,769.44 is first barrier for bounce off the Golden. $ 77,672.47 is the first support if we lose the Golden. . See "Related Publications" for previous Plots such as this EXACT TOP call: Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts. ======================================================== .
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
7
BTCUSD: Anticipating a Strategic Sell OpportunityRecent economic indicators present a challenging landscape for risk assets, with disappointing U.S. employment figures underscoring labor market fragility and cooling inflationary pressures signaling a potential shift in monetary policy expectations. Major U.S. equity indices, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) and Nasdaq-100 (NDX), are exhibiting technical patterns suggestive of near-term exhaustion, hinting at a broader market correction. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) appears poised for a period of weakness. From a technical perspective, BTC/USD is approaching a critical juncture. The pair is testing a key ascending resistance trendline (highlighted in orange), which has historically acted as a formidable barrier. A retracement toward this dynamic resistance zone is anticipated, presenting a high-probability selling opportunity. Given that this setup does not align with a classic A-Book liquidity profile, trading volumes may remain subdued, suggesting a less aggressive approach to position sizing. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely for confirmation of a pullback, with a focus on confluence between the ascending resistance and other technical indicators, such as momentum divergences or elevated selling pressure, to optimize entry timing. Risk management remains paramount in navigating this potentially volatile environment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Michael_Harding
AQN | Utilities Companies Win Big Next Year | LONGAlgonquin Power & Utilities Corp. is an investment holding company, which engages in energy generation and water distribution facilities. It operates through the Regulated Services Group and Renewable Energy Group segments. The Regulated Services Group segment owns and operates a portfolio of electric, natural gas, water distribution, and wastewater collection utility systems and transmission. The Renewable Energy Group segment focuses on operating a diversified portfolio of renewable and thermal electric generation assets. The company was founded on August 1, 1988 and is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.
NYSE:AQNLong
by DivergenceSeeker
BTC Critical Test: Can the $86k Volume Shelf Hold?📉 BTC/USD: Institutional Market Structure Date: December 17, 2025 Timeframe: 4-Hour (Bitstamp) The Executive Summary Bitcoin remains in a Bearish High Time Frame (HTF) posture. Price is currently testing the lower bound of value, sitting directly on the -1 Standard Deviation band. We are witnessing a high-volume compression event. The market must decide: defend this liquidity shelf or flush to the -2σ deviation. 1. Key Institutional Levels • 📍 Point of Control (POC): $90,172 • The Pivot: This is where the most volume has traded. As long as we are below $90k, the market is in "distribution mode." Rallies into this zone are likely selling opportunities. • 📉 Anchored VWAP (AVWAP): $93,510 • The Trend: We are significantly below the institutional average price. The spread between Price ($86k) and AVWAP ($93k) confirms sellers are dominating momentum. 2. Volatility & Statistical Targets • Current Battleground (-1σ): $86,326. We are trading exactly at this level. The algos are currently fighting to hold price inside the statistical norm. • Downside Target (-2σ): $79,142. If the current support fails, this is the next high-probability liquidity pool. • Upside Reversion (+1σ): $100,694. A distant target, only relevant if we reclaim the $90k POC first. 3. Volume Profile Analysis Look at the massive Volume Shelf (Green Histogram) between $86,000 and $92,000. • The Trap: We are at the bottom of this shelf. This is the danger zone. If price slips below $84,000, we enter a "Low Volume Node" (LVN). • Physics of Price: Price travels fast through low volume. A loss of $84k could result in a rapid liquidation cascade down to the $79k - $80k region. 4. The Trade Plan • 🐻 Bearish Continuation (Primary): • Watch for a 4H close below $86,000. • Target: The -2σ Band at $79,142. • Invalidation: A reclaim of the POC ($90,172). • 🐂 Bullish Reclaim: • We need to see price accept back above $92,000. Until then, this is "chopping wood" in a bearish trend. Analyst Note: The chart shows a "Last Signal: 3" (Downside exhaustion/continuation). Do not mistake support for a reversal. We are simply pausing at the bottom of the value area.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Thecantillonreport
Long Term Silver Bull Going ShortThis post is a follow up to my "Grand Silver Supercycle" chart posted on 2/2/2023. I recommend referencing that chart to understand my commentary here. In that chart, I called for silver to double in price by the end of 2025 and to reach $95 by 2027. Since then, silver has overshot my near term price targets. I'm here to argue that silver has gone up too far too quickly and is due for a sharp pullback to the $50-$55 range. Why am I calling this the near term top? Silver has very neatly followed Elliot Wave Theory throughout its history. In 2023, I predicted Wave 3 of the current cycle, which began with the low in the summer of 2022, to have a 1.618 extension of Wave 1. Instead, silver just reached the 2.618 extension, which back in 2023, I thought was too bold of a prediction. While it is possible for a 4.618 extension to 102.5, these extensions are very rare. The bias is towards a pullback here. There is also a convergence between the Elliot Wave extension, a fib retracement level, and logarithmic trendline. This indicates that any attempts to breakout higher will face strong resistance. Finally, I need to talk about gold. The monthly RSI has been over 90 for 3 months, closing in on 4 months. Gold has only held an RSI above 90 for 4 consecutive months at one point prior in its charted history. Gold is still silver's big brother and will determine the direction the two move.
TVC:SILVERShort
by Cryptogold14
5
Comcast Wave Analysis – 17 December 2025 - Comcast broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 31.00 Comcast recently broke the resistance area between the round resistance level 30.00 and 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp downward impulse from September. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active ABC short-term correction iv from the end of October. Comcast can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 31.00 (former strong support from April and August).
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by FxPro
Bitcoin – DiNapoli Levels to Monitor for a Potential Long SetupThe chart shows several untested DiNapoli levels on the right , which represent the primary areas of interest for a potential long scenario. These levels have not yet been tested or broken and therefore remain technically valid. At the moment, price action remains strongly bearish. The market has already broken through four DiNapoli levels without any visible signs of momentum weakening, which confirms the strength of the current downside move. As long as this behavior persists, no long entry is justified. The XOP target of the current downside swing is located around $52,237 . Given the structure and the absence of bullish signals so far, a test of this level remains a high-probability scenario. Only after price reaches the marked DiNapoli levels and if clear signs of trend weakening appear (failure to reach extensions, momentum divergence, or DiNapoli reversal patterns), a long setup may be considered. Until such confirmation is present, this analysis remains purely observational, with no anticipatory positioning.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by borces
4
How to Trade Breakouts in TradingViewBreakout trading is a strategy that aims to capture strong price movements when markets break through key support or resistance levels, often signaling the start of a new trend or continuation move. What You'll Learn: Understanding breakouts as price movements beyond established support or resistance levels How breakouts can occur at horizontal levels, trendlines, or chart patterns like triangles, rectangles, and flags Why consolidation patterns often precede strong breakout moves Recognizing the difference between false breakouts and confirmed breakouts How to use candle closes beyond key levels as confirmation rather than relying on quick spikes The critical role of volume in validating breakouts and separating real moves from fakeouts Why expanding ATR during a breakout confirms increasing volatility and momentum Understanding the break and close entry method for conservative breakout trades How to scale into positions by entering partially on the break and adding on continuation Using the pullback entry strategy to trade retests of broken levels as new support or resistance Setting stop losses using ATR-based methods or placing them beyond consolidation patterns Calculating profit targets with measured move techniques by projecting pattern heights How to mark key levels in TradingView using the horizontal line tool from the left toolbar Drawing trendlines and connecting swing points for pattern recognition Accessing built-in pattern recognition tools through the Indicators menu Practical examples using futures charts across multiple timeframes This tutorial is designed for futures traders, day traders, and swing traders who want to capitalize on momentum moves and volatility expansion using technical breakout strategies. The methods discussed may help you identify high-probability breakout setups, manage entries with proper confirmation, and set risk-appropriate stops and targets across multiple markets and timeframes. Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools, not forecasting instruments.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by Optimus Futures