Flag
GBPJPY short ideaThe bullish trend channel has been broken, and key dow level have also been broken, indicating a change of character. After this, a very clean pattern forms that typically breaks to the downside. You can take a risky entry at the top of the pattern, but a safer approach is to wait for the confirmed break of the pattern before entering.
There is no take profit. If price reaches the very bottom of the pattern you put break even.
Bitcoin - Must see, bear flag target 42k in 2026!Bitcoin is forming a huge bearish flag on the daily/weekly chart! This is an extremely good pattern for all bears around, but for the bulls, it's indeed not that good because the classic profit target of this pattern is 42k (by classical technical analysis of a bear flag pattern). How to measure the profit target? I did it for you on the chart, but you take the flagpole, copy it, and move it to the breakout point of the flag. But of course we are not going to go down in a straight line!
There is a minor support of 71k that can temporarily hold the price, so if you want to trade, really take profit after a few days. 42k is the main target of this bear flag, and I expect that bitcoin can reach this level at around September to October 2026. This should be the ultimate bottom for Bitcoin, so if you want to buy very cheap Bitcoin, this is pretty much your chance. But for now we are waiting for Bitcoin to hit this level.
In order to understand why in September or October, please take a look at my previous important analysis:
What about price action in the short term? Bitcoin can go up in the short term because there is some interesting price action on the 1h chart, but this is really not the point of this analysis. This is an analysis on the daily chart, and in this timeframe, I am of course bearish. But in the short term, Bitcoin can test levels of 91k - 93k before dropping down!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bear Flag Breakout Could Bust Down BitcoinBITSTAMP:BTCUSD could continue to fall even further after the Breakout and Retest of the Ascending Channel turned Bear Flag!
Since Price made a Breakout of the Ascending Channel last Tuesday, January 20th, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD struggled to get back within the channel and consolidated between $87,000 - $90,000.
Wednesday, January 28th, price made one last attempt to push higher and was rejected @ $90,476 and since then has been in a steep decline!
Now based on the Breakout of the Bear Flag, we can expect that price will extend as long as the Flagpole of the pattern and this extension could see price make a fall all the way down to the $50,000 - $45,000 area!!
This fall also comes after the Senate Agriculture Committee advanced the CLARITY Act for digital asset regulation. The act defines digital commodities and gives the CFTC primary authority over them while the SEC retains authority over digital asset securities.
-https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:9dac026eb6ea9:0-key-facts-bitcoin-drops-6-to-83-563-356m-in-liquidations-recorded/
Bearish Divergence Playing Well!KSE100 Closed at 182338.12 (29-01-2026)
Bearish Divergence played well. Also there is Bearish Divergence in volumes.
Immediate Support seems around 179500 - 181000
Weekly Closing above blue trendline may bring some positivity in upcoming week.
Index still has the potential to touch 195,000 - 200,000 & then 210,000 but only
if it Crosses & Sustains 190000 -191500 with Good Volumes.
NZDCHF: Confirmed Bullish CHoCH 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF completed a correctional movement and started
a new bullish wave on a 4H time frame.
A confirmed change of character indicates a highly probable growth.
Goal - 0.4676
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Natural Gas at Channel Resistance — Pause or Break?Natural Gas is testing the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Structure remains constructive, but momentum is starting to look a bit stretched into this level. From here, price either pauses and mean-reverts within the channel, or acceptance above opens the door to upside continuation. Reaction here matters.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Uptrend Continuation
US500 likely completed a correctional movement and will rise soon,
following a confirmed breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag
pattern on a daily time frame.
Next goal wil be 7050.
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ExxonMobil (XOM) – Why I see a 3x potential in 5 yearsExxon has built a structural edge no other major can replicate: a centralized AI system running on decades of proprietary geological, operational, and financial data. This isn’t PR – it drives real efficiency gains: +20% recovery in key assets, optimized plants/logistics, and $30B extra cash flow targeted by 2030.
Technically, the 3M chart shows a long-term uptrend with a bull flag consolidation. Historical 30–40% drawdowns to the 36-period SMA suggest a possible retest at $85–90 – which I view as a Strong Buy zone.
With AI as a core advantage, diversified energy investments (H2, lithium, LNG), and relative undervaluation, I believe XOM is one of the strongest 5-year plays in the energy sector.
NZD/CAD: Trend-Following SignalThe NZDCAD appears to be showing bullish tendencies following a retest of a significant daily horizontal support level.
It seems the current intraday correction is over.
Further confirmation is provided by a bullish breakout of the resistance line of a bullish flag pattern observed on the hourly timeframe.
The target is set at 0.8221.
BTC CRITICAL: Bear Flag Breakdown! Next Stop $73k?Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) Bear Flag Breakdown
We are witnessing a textbook Bear Flag formation on the daily chart, and the breakdown is currently in progress.
The Setup:
The Pole: We saw a sharp, impulsive move down from the highs (approx. $126k) to the $90k region. This heavy selling pressure established the "flagpole."
The Flag: For the last few months, price has consolidated in a rising parallel channel (marked in blue). This counter-trend bounce is typical exhaustion from sellers and profit-taking, not a true reversal.
The Breakdown: As seen on the current candle, BTC has sliced through the bottom support line of this rising channel. This confirms the pattern is active.
The Scenario (Blue Arrows):
We are now entering the Break & Retest phase.
Step 1: The price breaks the channel support (Happening now).
Step 2: We may see a short-term bounce or "relief rally" to retest the broken trendline as resistance (the "Kiss of Death"). This is represented by the small upward blue arrow.
Step 3: If the retest is rejected, the measured move suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
Targets:
Immediate Target: The structural support around $80,000 .
Primary Target: The yellow horizontal line on the chart at $73,579 . This aligns with previous major structural support/resistance zones.
Invalidation:
This bearish outlook is invalidated if the price reclaims the channel and closes back inside the blue parallel lines above $94k.
What do you think? Is this the start of the next leg down, or will bulls step in at $80k?
Let me know in the comments! 👇
The "Fed Paradox": Why We Are Trading Time, Not Price (Weekly OuSymbol: EURUSD Type: Long / Bullish Timeframe: Weekly / Monthly
The "Broken Algorithm" & The Shift in Consciousness
In the pursuit of market mastery, we must often unlearn what the textbooks taught us to see what the market is actually showing us.
For decades, the standard algorithm was simple: Higher US Yields = Stronger US Dollar. This week, that algorithm broke.
We are witnessing a shift in the global financial structure—a phenomenon we at Armbruster Capital call "Fiscal Dominance." When a sovereign debt load reaches a critical saturation point (as we see with $40T+ in US Debt), high interest rates do not attract capital; they raise default risks.
This is why the Dollar is falling while US Yields remain sticky at 4.25% and Gold hits All-Time Highs ($4,900+). The market is no longer trading "Growth"; it is trading "Solvency."
The Evidence: Trading the "Time Vector"
Our approach—Fun-Tech Vector Analysis—does not rely on headlines or lagging indicators. We focus on the Flow of Time and the energy required to fill liquidity voids.
This past week provided two textbook examples of why "Time" is superior to "Price":
The Sunday Gap (Jan 18): While the media focused on "Greenland Tariffs," our Time-Vector analysis identified a liquidity void caused by the "Tokyo Walkout" (Asian capital strike). We forecasted a gap open to 1.15850. The market opened at 1.15833 (1.7 pip variance).
The Friday Flush (Jan 23): At 03:15 AM EST, algorithms reacted to French PMI data by flushing price. We did not panic; we identified this as a "Time Handoff" between Tokyo and London. We utilized this specific time window to enter at 1.1733—the exact bottom before the "Euro Defense Bond" narrative took over.
We share this not to boast, but to demonstrate that the market is an ordered system. When you align with the flow of Time, "chaos" becomes clarity.
The "Invisible Hand": What the Algos Are Missing
As we head into the new week, three "Quiet Vectors" are driving the EUR/USD pair higher, largely ignored by retail news feeds:
The "Tokyo Rebellion": The Bank of Japan held rates, but Japanese 10-Year Yields hit a 27-year high (2.38%). This removes the incentive for Japanese institutions to buy US Treasuries, removing a structural floor from the Dollar.
The "Sovereignty" Trade: Europe is moving toward a €2 Trillion Joint Defense Bond. This creates a new "Safe Asset" competitor to the US Treasury, inviting global central banks to diversify out of the Dollar and into the Euro.
The "Matrix Glitch": Friday’s close showed a discrepancy between the Interbank Price (1.1830) and Broker Feeds (1.1821). This "mark down" suggests institutions are positioning for a gap up, trying to trap retail bears over the weekend.
The Week Ahead: The Path to 1.19
Technically, the Monthly Bullish Flag has triggered. The "Bullish Engulfing" candle on the Weekly chart confirms that momentum has shifted.
The Forecast: We expect a Bullish Open (Gap Up) to start the week as institutions who were "short the shuffle" are forced to cover.
The Trajectory: Watch for an early week consolidation (Doji/Green candles) above 1.1800, followed by a mid-week expansion toward our Time-Vector target of 1.1935.
The Risk: Any retest of 1.1730 should be viewed as a liquidity reload, not a trend reversal.
Final Thought: Awareness is the Edge
The goal of this analysis is not just to provide a trade setup, but to heighten your awareness. The charts are painting a picture of a changing world order—one where debt matters, sovereignty matters, and the "Old Rules" no longer apply.
Trade with the flow. Trade with awareness.
Direction: Long Entry: 1.1708 (Avg) / 1.1800 (Breakout) Target: 1.1935 / 1.2300
Bitcoin Breaks Key Support – Bear Flag Signals Next DropYesterday, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) successfully broke through the support zone ($90,590-$89,320) and the 50_SMA(Daily) and support line.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it seems that Bitcoin has formed a bearish flag pattern, suggesting a continuation of its downward trend.
From an Elliott Wave standpoint, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its wave 4 after a pullback to the support cluster, and we should now anticipate the next downward wave.
I expect that Bitcoin will begin to decline in the coming hours, potentially dropping at least to the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($87,240-$86,190), and if the support zone ($86,420-$83,830) is broken, we can expect even more downward movement.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on Bitcoin. Do you think the downward trend will persist, and how far do you expect it to drop?
Stop Loss(SL): $90,743
CME gap: $93,060-$92,940
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $92,620-$91,040
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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