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NZD/USD | Where is it headed? (READ THE CAPTION)Hello everyone, Amirali here. We start the day with an analysis on NZDUSD's daily chart. As you can see, NZDUSD managed to go above the second Buyside liquidity and swept the liquidity there. However, it failed to reach the Bearish Breaker and the 3rd pool of liquidity, and dropped all the way to 0.5990, hitting the Bullish Breaker and going back above and it is now being traded at 0.6050. I expect NZD to eventually go for the BSL and the bearish breaker. Targets for NZDUSD: 0.6067, 0.6075, 0.6083 and 0.6090.
by AmirAliTrading
1
Sterling vs Kiwi: Navigating GBP/NZD Divergence in 2026The GBP/NZD pair currently faces significant downward pressure. Recent market forecasts suggest a strengthening New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against the British Pound (GBP). Investors increasingly anticipate a hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Meanwhile, the UK economy struggles with stagnant growth and cooling inflation. This divergence creates a compelling narrative for global currency traders. Macroeconomics and Interest Rate Paths Macroeconomic indicators drive the current fluctuations in this currency cross. The RBNZ remains focused on persistent domestic inflation. Consequently, markets expect interest rates in New Zealand to stay elevated. In contrast, the Bank of England (BoE) faces pressure to cut rates. High borrowing costs have significantly weakened UK consumer spending. This interest rate differential continues to pull the GBP/NZD exchange rate lower. Geostrategy and Trade Alliances Geostrategy plays a vital role in determining long-term currency value. New Zealand benefits from its strategic proximity to the recovering Asia-Pacific markets. Increased demand from China directly boosts the value of Kiwi commodity exports. Conversely, the United Kingdom navigates a complex post-Brexit trade landscape. Sterling remains highly sensitive to European political shifts and global trade tensions. These geopolitical factors dictate the flow of international capital. Leadership and Central Bank Credibility Management styles at central banks heavily influence market confidence. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr maintains a transparent and assertive policy framework. His clear communication often reduces market uncertainty during volatile periods. Meanwhile, the BoE leadership emphasizes a cautious, data-dependent approach. This difference in management culture impacts how investors perceive currency risk. Professional traders prioritize currencies backed by decisive and predictable leadership. Technology, Innovation, and Cybersecurity Modern financial markets rely on high-tech infrastructure and robust cybersecurity. London remains a global leader in fintech innovation and patent filings. However, New Zealand is rapidly digitizing its agricultural and financial sectors. Both nations invest in advanced science to protect banking systems from cyber threats. Secure digital frameworks ensure market liquidity and prevent sudden price shocks. Technology remains the invisible backbone of the GBP/NZD exchange rate. Industry Trends and Future Outlook The "commodity-linked" nature of the NZD defines current industry trends. Rising global prices for dairy and meat products support the Kiwi dollar. Furthermore, the shift toward green energy increases the demand for specialized Kiwi tech exports. The UK must innovate within its service sector to regain competitive ground. Analysts expect the GBP/NZD pair to remain volatile through mid-2026. Successful traders will monitor RBNZ policy shifts and global trade data.
Short
by the5erstrading
AUDUSD: Aussie Resumes Higher After RBA Lifts RatesThe Australian dollar is rebounding strongly as the RBA’s rate hike reinforces the bullish Elliott Wave structure and supports further upside momentum. AUDUSD is posting strong gains after bouncing today in response to the RBA’s decision to lift the key interest rate. From a technical perspective, price has been trending higher since breaking out of the base channel in mid-January, and this type of breakout confirms that the market remains in an extended impulsive phase. This suggests that wave three, or wave C, is still unfolding. Importantly, the larger black wave three cycle is not complete yet and should continue to subdivide into five waves. Therefore, after the current retracement phase, further upside is expected into wave 5 of 3/C. Ideally, price should hold above the 0.69–0.70 support zone, which also represents a key psychological level and an important technical floor.
Long
by ew-forecast
NZDUSD Review February 03 2026Short-term price movement ideas. The price maintains a bullish structure, with the monthly high as the primary target. At the moment, the nearest daily bullish FVG has been fully filled, and we received confirmation from it on the 4H timeframe. This zone now acts as the main working area. If the 4H zone is retested and confirmation appears on a lower timeframe, a long position can be considered, targeting a breakout and update of the high. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EUR/USD has successfully broken above the descending trendline as well as a key resistance zone, confirming a bullish breakout on the daily timeframe. At current levels, price is approaching a resistance area. Therefore, a short-term correction is likely, with a potential pullback toward the broken trendline and former resistance zone. As long as price holds above this reclaimed area, the pullback can be considered corrective, and bullish continuation toward higher targets remains the preferred scenario. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
39
EURUSD Bearish Continuation ConfirmationQuick Summary EURUSD is expected to continue its bearish move and The downside target is 1.16672, Price is aiming to fill the H4 liquidity void A confirmed break below 1.18329 will validate further selling Sell entries should only be taken after this level is clearly broken Full Analysis After the strong bearish move on EURUSD the expectation is for continuation to the downside Price is currently targeting the 1.16672 level which aligns with the liquidity void on the four hour timeframe This liquidity void represents unfinished price action and often acts as a magnet during bearish conditions As long as price continues to respect the current bearish structure this downside objective remains valid The key confirmation level for this scenario is 1.18329 A clear break below this level will confirm bearish continuation and validate sell setups
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1
24
Gold Breaks Its Trend – Sellers Take ControlAfter a sharp rally to record highs, XAUUSD has officially entered a structural weakening phase , no longer just a normal corrective pullback. Pressure from a stronger USD, expectations that the Fed will maintain a hawkish stance, and aggressive profit-taking in the derivatives marke t have all combined to drain gold of its short-term bullish momentum. On the chart, the downtrend is becoming increasingly clear . Price has been rejected repeatedly at higher resistance zones, forming a sequence of lower highs, while the descending trendline continues to act as a key ceiling. The fact that price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud signals that sellers are firmly in control of the short- to medium-term trend. The current rebound toward 4,850 is purely technical in nature. If price fails to break above this area and gets rejected again, selling pressure is likely to resume . In that case, the 4,350 zone becomes the next logical target, where the market may pause and react. Overall, both the news backdrop and price structure are aligned to the downside . In this environment, the more appropriate strategy is to prioritize trend-following trades, patiently waiting for pullbacks to look for sell opportunities, rather than trying to catch a falling knife while sellers remain dominant.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
27
Silver After the Liquidity Flush: Bounce or Trap?Silver has just completed a sharp liquidity driven selloff, collapsing from the one hundred twelve to one hundred sixteen zone down into the seventy-two to seventy-five area, where aggressive buy-side reaction appeared. This move clearly violated the long-held EMA ninety-eight near one hundred one, confirming a structural shift from bullish continuation into bearish expansion. The violent downside impulse suggests forced liquidation and stop cleansing rather than a healthy correction, with weak hands flushed out below prior swing lows. The current rebound toward eighty to eighty-three is best classified as a technical reaction, not a confirmed trend reversal. From a market structure and psychology standpoint, price is now attempting to retest a former breakdown area around eighty-two to eighty-four, where trapped longs and overhead supply are likely concentrated. If this zone fails to reclaim, silver risks forming a lower high, opening the door for another leg lower or extended consolidation. Only a clean acceptance back above ninety-eight to one hundred, followed by sustained trading above the EMA ninety-eight, would signal that buyers have regained real control. Until then, this bounce remains corrective, and liquidity will continue to dictate the next decisive move.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by XauMasterNetwork
EURUSD: Bullish Trap to Bearish Continuation (H1)....This is a 1-hour EURUSD chart showing a fake bullish breakout into a premium supply zone, followed by a clear shift to bearish market structure. After the stop-hunt/liquidity grab (circled), price rolls over and respects a descending channel, confirming bearish control. The Ichimoku cloud aligns as dynamic resistance, and price continues to print lower highs and lower lows. A downside target is projected near prior demand/liquidity, suggesting continuation of the bearish move.
Short
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
1
Gold Inside a Descending Channel: Bear Trend IntactGold has clearly transitioned from impulsive markup into a controlled descending channel, signaling that the market is no longer in trend continuation but in a corrective-to-bearish phase. After failing above five thousand three hundred, price broke below the short-term moving average and accelerated lower, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The current rebound from the four thousand four hundred fifty to four thousand six hundred zone is technically a relief bounce, not a reversal, as it remains capped within the channel and below former support now acting as resistance around four thousand nine hundred eighty to five thousand.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
Bitcoin Is Not Bouncing — It’s Sliding Inside a Bearish ChannelBitcoin remains firmly trapped inside a well-defined descending channel, and the structure is doing exactly what a controlled bearish market is supposed to do: lower highs, lower lows, and weak corrective bounces. From a price structure standpoint, the recent sell-off was impulsive, breaking multiple short-term supports and accelerating price into the lower half of the channel. The bounce we are seeing now is purely corrective, capped below the descending channel resistance and the dynamic EMA, which is acting as active supply, not support. The orange projection highlights the most probable path: - A weak relief rally toward channel mid / EMA resistance - Followed by continuation lower, targeting the next liquidity pocket The highlighted horizontal zone around 74,500–75,000 is not strong demand, it is a reaction zone, already tested and partially consumed. Once price revisits this area again, the probability favors acceptance below, opening the door toward the next major liquidity magnet near 71,900. Trend & Momentum Context: Trend bias: Bearish (lower timeframe) Market behavior: Controlled distribution, not capitulation No structural sign of accumulation (no base, no absorption, no higher low) Macro & Liquidity Logic: Risk assets are currently repricing under tighter financial conditions and reduced speculative appetite. Until Bitcoin reclaims the upper boundary of the descending channel with acceptance, any bounce should be treated as sell-side liquidity, not trend reversal. Key Takeaway: This is not a dip to buy blindly. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this descending channel, rallies are reactions, and continuation risk points lower. The market is leaking liquidity patiently, structurally, and without panic.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
ETHUSD CRACK! Wave 3 Warning!🚨When it rains, it pours. We’re seeing concurrent breakdowns across multiple asset classes, consistent with the risks I’ve been flagging for some time. ETH is at stage 5️⃣ Panic / Liquidity Event, more on this later. ETH is now down -47% from ATH, after Wave 1 down. ETH has been trading below the Death Cross X countertrend Wave 2, flagging out "Deeking"(Honey ticking) Now it is Cracking the Flag. (Like many other asset classes) 🚩 Warning us that Wave 3 down is coming! 1️⃣ Early Drop (-5% to -10%) — Denial Phase 2️⃣ Correction Phase (-10% to -20%) — Reassurance Phase 3️⃣ Official Bear Market (-20%) — Commitment Trap 4️⃣ Deep Decline (-30%) — Moral Pressure Phase 5️⃣ Panic / Liquidity Event (-40% to -50%) — Narrative Flip 6️⃣ Late Stage / Bear Rally — False Hope At Stage 5️⃣ Panic, you will hear these phrases. “This was a black swan” “No one could’ve predicted this” “It’s different this time — but markets adapt” “Valuations are now attractive” “Big Money won’t allow a collapse” 📌 Translation: The damage is done. Rewrite history. I need to make another post to get you all ready for what is to come, so you don't get suckered like I did when I was first starting out. I paid the price, so you don't have to. #FAFO If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by RealMacro
28
BTC Ready To CRACK!This chart is pretty much self-explanatory as per BKC rules. Wave 1 thrusts down Wave 2 counter trend rising wedge with 3 waves and hook Wave 3 down is about to begin. Clear price action is way below the Death Cross. I’ll say it again: the JPY carry trade is breaking, and it’s hitting crypto. By crypto-bro expert logic, a weaker dollar should mean crypto goes up. That’s not what’s happening, is it? Why? Because they don’t understand how the monetary system actually works. They looked smart while the trend did the work for them. Now the trend is gone—and reality is doing the explaining. Men are now taking the boys' money like candy without even a mask on in the light of day! BTC is now at stage 4 where the experts try to motivate fools. 4️⃣ Deep Decline (-30%) — Moral Pressure Phase “Buy when there’s blood in the streets” “This is how generational wealth is made” “The smart money is buying” “Be greedy when others are fearful” “This is once-in-a-decade” 📌 Translation: We need new buyers to absorb forced selling. #FAFO If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RealMacro
27
Gold Slips Into a Descending Channel — Bearish Structure Now Gold has officially transitioned from post-all-time-high distribution into a clear descending channel, confirming that the market is no longer correcting, but actively repricing lower. After peaking above five thousand four hundred, price lost the rising structure and decisively broke below the key dynamic support near the ninety-eight period exponential moving average, currently around four thousand eight hundred sixty-six. Since then, every rebound has produced a lower high, while sell-offs continue to expand, forming a textbook bearish channel. The most recent bounce toward four thousand six hundred fifty to four thousand seven hundred shows weak follow-through and corrective price action, suggesting sellers are using rallies to reload rather than exit. From a liquidity and macro perspective, this move reflects a classic post-euphoria reset. The aggressive rally into the highs swept buy-side liquidity, trapped late longs, and allowed larger players to distribute risk. With U.S. real yields holding firm, the U.S. dollar stabilizing, and no immediate macro catalyst forcing defensive flows, gold is losing its short-term premium. Liquidity is now stacked below four thousand five hundred, with the next downside magnet sitting in the four thousand two hundred to four thousand one hundred zone if the channel remains intact. Until price can break and hold above the upper boundary of the descending channel, the dominant bias remains sell-the-rally, not bottom fishing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by XauMasterNetwork
Silver in Freefall — This Bounce Is Corrective, Not a BottomSilver is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel, confirming that the market remains in short-term markdown rather than accumulation. The sell-off from the prior high was impulsive and directional, not corrective a strong signal that sellers are still firmly in control on the 1H timeframe. Structure is clean, volatility is expanding, and downside momentum has not been neutralized yet. From a technical perspective, price continues to respect the channel with lower highs and lower lows. The recent decline has pushed silver into a short-term exhaustion area, making a technical rebound statistically reasonable, but this does not change the broader bearish context. Any upside reaction from current levels should be viewed as mean reversion inside a downtrend, not a reversal signal. Primary scenario (corrective bounce): As long as price remains inside the descending channel, silver may stage a relief rally toward the midline or upper boundary of the channel, where sellers are likely to re-engage. This type of move is corrective in nature and typically offers better risk-to-reward opportunities for trend-following shorts, not aggressive long positioning. Invalidation / continuation risk: The bearish structure remains valid unless price can break and hold above the descending channel with follow-through. Failure to do so keeps the bias bearish and leaves silver vulnerable to continued downside extensions. Key takeaway: Silver is bearish by structure, oversold by position. Until the channel is broken and reclaimed, rallies are reactions not confirmations. Let structure define bias, and let patience define execution.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Jaddenn
Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Countertrend Bounce Hello traders, Gold has clearly transitioned from bullish expansion into a corrective–bearish phase on the 1H timeframe. The rejection near the prior high around $5,590–$5,600 marked the end of momentum, followed by a decisive breakdown through dynamic support (EMA cluster) and a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. This is no longer consolidation structure has shifted. Technical Structure - Price failed at the upper distribution zone near $5,590 - Clean breakdown below the $5,140–$5,100 structural midpoint - EMA alignment has flipped bearish, with price trading below both short- and mid-term averages - Selling pressure expanded impulsively into the downside, confirming markdown behavior The current low near $4,400–$4,420 represents a major structural support, where sellers have begun to pause. Primary Scenario (Corrective Bounce) From a technical standpoint, the move labeled (A) → (B) → (C) should be viewed as a corrective retracement, not a trend reversal. If support around $4,400 holds: - Price may bounce toward $4,650–$4,720 (A) - A shallow pullback toward $4,520–$4,560 (B) - Then a corrective push toward $4,900–$5,000 (C) This entire sequence remains countertrend unless structure is reclaimed. Invalidation / Trend Shift Requirement The bearish bias would only be challenged if gold: Reclaims $5,100 with acceptance And holds above the declining EMA zone Without that, any upside is distribution-led relief, not renewed accumulation. Key Takeaway Gold is currently in markdown with corrective bounces not a bullish continuation phase. Until proven otherwise: - Rallies are reactive - Structure remains bearish - Patience favors waiting for clear reclaim or continuation Let structure lead. Countertrend moves are for management not conviction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Andree_Fx
1
GBPCHF H1 | Bullish Momentum To ExtendBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall towards our buy entry level at 1.0620, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 1.0620, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 1.0686, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Long
by FXCM
US DOLLAR H4 | Bearish Reversal The price is reacting off our sell entry level at 97.41, which is a pullback resistance. Our stop loss is set at 98.07, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 96.19, which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by FXCM
1
Bullish bounce off?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 154.52 1st Support: 153.58 1st Resistance: 157.77 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets
Pullback resistance ahead?Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.7862 1st Support: 0.7696 1st Resistance: 0.956 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Short
by IC Markets