ETHUSD CRACK! Wave 3 Warning!🚨When it rains, it pours. We’re seeing concurrent breakdowns across multiple asset classes, consistent with the risks I’ve been flagging for some time.
ETH is at stage 5️⃣ Panic / Liquidity Event, more on this later.
ETH is now down -47% from ATH, after Wave 1 down.
ETH has been trading below the Death Cross X countertrend Wave 2, flagging out "Deeking"(Honey ticking)
Now it is Cracking the Flag. (Like many other asset classes)
🚩 Warning us that Wave 3 down is coming!
1️⃣ Early Drop (-5% to -10%) — Denial Phase
2️⃣ Correction Phase (-10% to -20%) — Reassurance Phase
3️⃣ Official Bear Market (-20%) — Commitment Trap
4️⃣ Deep Decline (-30%) — Moral Pressure Phase
5️⃣ Panic / Liquidity Event (-40% to -50%) — Narrative Flip
6️⃣ Late Stage / Bear Rally — False Hope
At Stage 5️⃣ Panic, you will hear these phrases.
“This was a black swan”
“No one could’ve predicted this”
“It’s different this time — but markets adapt”
“Valuations are now attractive”
“Big Money won’t allow a collapse”
📌 Translation: The damage is done. Rewrite history.
I need to make another post to get you all ready for what is to come, so you don't get suckered like I did when I was first starting out.
I paid the price, so you don't have to.
#FAFO
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👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
Forex
BTC Ready To CRACK!This chart is pretty much self-explanatory as per BKC rules.
Wave 1 thrusts down
Wave 2 counter trend rising wedge with 3 waves and hook
Wave 3 down is about to begin.
Clear price action is way below the Death Cross.
I’ll say it again: the JPY carry trade is breaking, and it’s hitting crypto.
By crypto-bro expert logic, a weaker dollar should mean crypto goes up. That’s not what’s happening, is it?
Why? Because they don’t understand how the monetary system actually works.
They looked smart while the trend did the work for them. Now the trend is gone—and reality is doing the explaining.
Men are now taking the boys' money like candy without even a mask on in the light of day!
BTC is now at stage 4 where the experts try to motivate fools.
4️⃣ Deep Decline (-30%) — Moral Pressure Phase
“Buy when there’s blood in the streets”
“This is how generational wealth is made”
“The smart money is buying”
“Be greedy when others are fearful”
“This is once-in-a-decade”
📌 Translation: We need new buyers to absorb forced selling.
#FAFO
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in raw truth, not hype.
Gold Slips Into a Descending Channel — Bearish Structure Now Gold has officially transitioned from post-all-time-high distribution into a clear descending channel, confirming that the market is no longer correcting, but actively repricing lower. After peaking above five thousand four hundred, price lost the rising structure and decisively broke below the key dynamic support near the ninety-eight period exponential moving average, currently around four thousand eight hundred sixty-six. Since then, every rebound has produced a lower high, while sell-offs continue to expand, forming a textbook bearish channel. The most recent bounce toward four thousand six hundred fifty to four thousand seven hundred shows weak follow-through and corrective price action, suggesting sellers are using rallies to reload rather than exit.
From a liquidity and macro perspective, this move reflects a classic post-euphoria reset. The aggressive rally into the highs swept buy-side liquidity, trapped late longs, and allowed larger players to distribute risk. With U.S. real yields holding firm, the U.S. dollar stabilizing, and no immediate macro catalyst forcing defensive flows, gold is losing its short-term premium. Liquidity is now stacked below four thousand five hundred, with the next downside magnet sitting in the four thousand two hundred to four thousand one hundred zone if the channel remains intact. Until price can break and hold above the upper boundary of the descending channel, the dominant bias remains sell-the-rally, not bottom fishing.
Silver in Freefall — This Bounce Is Corrective, Not a BottomSilver is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel, confirming that the market remains in short-term markdown rather than accumulation. The sell-off from the prior high was impulsive and directional, not corrective a strong signal that sellers are still firmly in control on the 1H timeframe. Structure is clean, volatility is expanding, and downside momentum has not been neutralized yet.
From a technical perspective, price continues to respect the channel with lower highs and lower lows. The recent decline has pushed silver into a short-term exhaustion area, making a technical rebound statistically reasonable, but this does not change the broader bearish context. Any upside reaction from current levels should be viewed as mean reversion inside a downtrend, not a reversal signal.
Primary scenario (corrective bounce):
As long as price remains inside the descending channel, silver may stage a relief rally toward the midline or upper boundary of the channel, where sellers are likely to re-engage. This type of move is corrective in nature and typically offers better risk-to-reward opportunities for trend-following shorts, not aggressive long positioning.
Invalidation / continuation risk:
The bearish structure remains valid unless price can break and hold above the descending channel with follow-through. Failure to do so keeps the bias bearish and leaves silver vulnerable to continued downside extensions.
Key takeaway:
Silver is bearish by structure, oversold by position. Until the channel is broken and reclaimed, rallies are reactions not confirmations.
Let structure define bias, and let patience define execution.
Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Countertrend Bounce Hello traders, Gold has clearly transitioned from bullish expansion into a corrective–bearish phase on the 1H timeframe. The rejection near the prior high around $5,590–$5,600 marked the end of momentum, followed by a decisive breakdown through dynamic support (EMA cluster) and a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. This is no longer consolidation structure has shifted.
Technical Structure
- Price failed at the upper distribution zone near $5,590
- Clean breakdown below the $5,140–$5,100 structural midpoint
- EMA alignment has flipped bearish, with price trading below both short- and mid-term averages
- Selling pressure expanded impulsively into the downside, confirming markdown behavior
The current low near $4,400–$4,420 represents a major structural support, where sellers have begun to pause.
Primary Scenario (Corrective Bounce)
From a technical standpoint, the move labeled (A) → (B) → (C) should be viewed as a corrective retracement, not a trend reversal.
If support around $4,400 holds:
- Price may bounce toward $4,650–$4,720 (A)
- A shallow pullback toward $4,520–$4,560 (B)
- Then a corrective push toward $4,900–$5,000 (C)
This entire sequence remains countertrend unless structure is reclaimed.
Invalidation / Trend Shift Requirement
The bearish bias would only be challenged if gold:
Reclaims $5,100 with acceptance
And holds above the declining EMA zone
Without that, any upside is distribution-led relief, not renewed accumulation.
Key Takeaway
Gold is currently in markdown with corrective bounces not a bullish continuation phase.
Until proven otherwise:
- Rallies are reactive
- Structure remains bearish
- Patience favors waiting for clear reclaim or continuation
Let structure lead. Countertrend moves are for management not conviction.
GBPCHF H1 | Bullish Momentum To ExtendBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall towards our buy entry level at 1.0620, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 1.0620, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.0686, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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US DOLLAR H4 | Bearish Reversal The price is reacting off our sell entry level at 97.41, which is a pullback resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 98.07, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 96.19, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Bullish bounce off?USD/JPY has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 154.52
1st Support: 153.58
1st Resistance: 157.77
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Pullback resistance ahead?Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7862
1st Support: 0.7696
1st Resistance: 0.956
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish drop off?Aussie (AUD/USD) could rise towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6982
1st Support: 0.6852
1st Resistance: 0.7061
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and coild bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3552
1st Support: 1.3390
1st Resistance: 1.3842
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce off?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1763
1st Support: 1.1679
1st Resistance: 1.1942
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 97.91
1st Support: 96.48
1st Resistance: 98.92
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USD Bounce from OversoldLast week saw the US Dollar go more oversold on the daily chart than at any point in the past five years. The Trump comment on Tuesday when asked what he thought about US Dollar weakness to which he replied with 'it's great,' helped USD to sell off even more. But, the latter half of last week saw those comments get walked aback, first by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and then by Director of the National Economic Council Kevin Hassett. Hassett in particular is a noted Trump ally so it seems unlikely that he refuted his boss in public on his own, and it does seem as though the admin wanted to walk those comments back a bit after the aggressive push from bears last Tuesday.
While RSI isn't a great timing indicator it can be phenomenal for context, and when a market is as oversold as the USD was last week, it's a tough argument to chase it lower.
But now that it's bounce, bears have a chance to make a push as there's some resistance that can be coming into play soon, such as the 97.94 Fibonacci level, or the 98.98 level that sits above that.
It's on pullbacks that we can see what a trend is made of, whether it gets defended and holds as a higher-low or a lower-high. - js
USD-CAD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USDCAD swept sell-side liquidity into a higher-timeframe demand and delivered a strong BOS. Acceptance above the zone suggests smart money accumulation targeting the next imbalance. Time Frame 4H.
Buy!
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(XAUUSD) – Bearish Continuation From Major Supply Zone (45m)
Market Structure
Clear trend reversal from the highs → strong impulsive sell-off.
The curved marking shows a distribution/top formation, followed by aggressive downside momentum.
Overall structure is lower highs & lower lows → bears in control.
Key Zones
Resistance / Supply Zone (~4,700–4,750)
Previous support flipped into resistance.
Price has retested this zone multiple times and failed to break above → strong seller presence.
Target / Demand Zone (~4,350)
Prior demand area and liquidity pool.
Logical downside objective if resistance continues to hold.
Entry Logic (as drawn)
Short entry after rejection inside the resistance zone.
Confirmation comes from:
Weak bullish candles
Long upper wicks
Failure to reclaim the zone
Price Action Read
The small bounces are corrective pullbacks, not reversals.
Each push up is being sold → classic bearish continuation / pullback-to-supply setup.
Bias & Expectation
Bias: Bearish
Expectation:
Rejection from resistance → continuation toward 4,350 target
Invalidation if price accepts and closes above the resistance zone
Summary
This chart shows a textbook support-to-resistance flip after a strong sell-off. As long as price remains below the highlighted resistance, the path of least resistance is down, targeting the lower demand zone.
Potential bullish rise?GBP/CHF could make a short-term pullback to the support level, which is a pullback support, and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0607
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.0531
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0714
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce setup?EUR/CHF is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9175
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9137
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take profit: 0.9235
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could we see a bounce from here?EUR/JPY is reacting off the support level, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 183.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 182.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 185.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD | Sweep first! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the hourly chart of GBPUSD, we can see that it's been going lower for a while now, showing an initial reaction to the Bullish breaker before dropping further down, now being traded at 1.36700. I would like to see GBPUSD going further down, going inside last week's NWOG, sweeping the Sellside Liquidity below 1.36600 level and then make an upwards move.
Targets for GBPUSD: 1.36680, 1.36600 and 1.36520.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Support Reaction After Sharp SelloffAfter a strong rejection from the higher resistance area, price made a sharp bearish correction into a major support zone. Current reaction suggests a possible relief bounce, but structure remains corrective unless resistance is reclaimed.
Major Support: 4760 – 4800
Recovery Resistance: 5050 – 5120
Higher Resistance: 5350 – 5400
Market is in a corrective phase. Watch for support hold and breakout above resistance to confirm recovery continuation. Risk management is essential.






















