BTCUSD H1 – Compression Inside Range, Expansion Is ComingOn the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trapped in a well-defined sideways range after a sharp impulsive sell-off from the higher resistance area. That initial drop clearly shifted short-term momentum bearish, but instead of continuation, price has transitioned into range-bound behavior, signaling absorption and indecision between buyers and sellers. The market is now oscillating cleanly between the upper range resistance (~90,200–90,300) and the lower support zone (~87,800–88,200), with repeated wicks and overlapping candles — classic signs of balance, not trend.
From a structural perspective, this is not a trend yet, but a preparation phase. Liquidity is being built on both sides. The EMA is flattening and running through the middle of the range, reinforcing the idea that momentum is neutral and price is waiting for a catalyst. As long as BTC remains inside this sideways zone, trading the middle carries poor risk-reward, and patience is required.
Key scenarios going forward:
If buyers manage to hold above the support zone and break decisively above the range high, the upside opens toward the 93,000–94,000 resistance zone, where prior supply sits. That would confirm a successful absorption of sell pressure and a bullish range expansion.
However, a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would invalidate the range and likely trigger a bearish continuation, opening the door toward deeper downside levels in the mid-85,000s, as indicated by the projected path.
BTC is in compression mode. The range will not last forever the next impulsive move will come from a confirmed breakout or breakdown, not from guessing inside the box. Let price show its hand, then act. Risk management remains key.
Forex
GBPAUD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.974.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.969 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously falling on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.926 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.623
Target Level: 1.619
Stop Loss: 1.625
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDJPY — No Trade Today | Regime Invalid = Capital PreservationToday is a textbook example of why permission > prediction.
My system didn’t place a single trade — by design.
Here’s what the regime framework detected:
• 4H trend bias → invalid (no directional edge)
• Volatility → expanding (unstable conditions)
• Both engines → BLOCKED
• Result → Flat
When volatility expands without structure, continuation and mean-reversion both degrade.
That’s the exact environment where most traders get chopped.
So instead of forcing setups…
The system does nothing.
No signal is a decision.
Flat is a position.
Capital preserved > random trades.
What would unlock trades?
For continuation (E1):
• 4H EMA alignment
• slope agreement
• volatility expansion with structure
For reversal (E3):
• contraction first
• then controlled extremes
Until then → no permission → no trade.
Most losses don’t come from bad entries.
They come from trading when there is no statistical edge.
Today the correct trade was discipline.
Regime first. Always.
— RegimeWorks
FUSIONMARKETS:USDJPY
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
After a correction, price reached a key support zone and the ascending trendline, where it found strong buying interest. We are now witnessing a clear breakout of the descending trendline, confirming a shift in short-term market structure and a surge in bullish momentum.
It is expected that after a minor retracement and a successful pullback to the broken trendline/level, price will resume its bullish move and rally toward the pre-marked target levels.
As long as price holds above the support zone and the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD Waiting For Structure ShiftQuick Summary
The bullish trend on EURUSD is still active
At the same time a bearish scenario remains possible due to the strong rally and Selling is not recommended without confirmation
A clear change of character is required with a break below 1.18445 If confirmed the first target is 1.17765 followed by 1.17288
Full Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade within a bullish structure and the upward structure has not been broken yet
However the strength of the recent rally keeps the bearish scenario valid as a potential corrective or reversal phase
Selling at current levels is not advised
Despite the extended upside move there is no clear evidence yet that sellers have taken control of the market
A change of character is required to confirm bearish intention
This would become more evident with a break below the 1.18445 level which would signal the first meaningful shift in structure
If that break occurs the downside targets would be 1.17765 as the first objective and 1.17288 as the second objective
Until a clear structural shift appears the market should be treated with caution
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area 1.17666.Dear colleagues, The upward movement is confirmed, the red wave “3” is just beginning to develop, and I think that the medium-term wave ‘2’ is completing its correction and we will soon see a continuation of the upward movement in the medium wave “3”.
I think it is worth paying attention to the maximum of wave “1” at 1.17666, as this is the first area of resistance that is worth paying attention to and should be overcome in the near future.
For greater confidence and to reduce risks, you can look for an entry into a long position in the support area at 1.16595.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USDJPY – Daily Distribution Phase On the daily timeframe, USDJPY is showing a classic distribution structure. Price made multiple tests into the highs (1st and 2nd test), swept liquidity, and filled the daily gap—a common sign of smart money unloading positions. Momentum is weakening, structure is compressing, and buyers are failing to push higher. This usually precedes a markdown phase, with price targeting lower inefficiencies and unfilled gaps below.
If this level continues to hold as resistance, the probability favors downside rotation toward the next major daily gap and demand zone.
📉 This is how institutions distribute before the drop — not random price action.
Pitch
I don’t trade indicators.
I trade structure, liquidity, and HTF logic like this.
If you want to:
Read distribution early
Stop buying tops
Trade with a clear HTF bias
👉 Follow me on TradingView and trade side-by-side with real market logic, not guesswork.
XAUUSD 4H: Structured Markup, Gaps as Support, ATH in SightOANDA:XAUUSD H4 – Structured Markup, Gaps as Support, ATH in Sight
On the H4 timeframe, Gold remains firmly in a strong bullish market cycle, progressing cleanly through a multi-phase markup structure. The chart clearly shows Phase 1 → Phase 2 → Phase 3, each marked by higher bases, shallow pullbacks, and strong continuation candles. This is not emotional buying. it’s controlled institutional accumulation transitioning into expansion.
A key technical feature here is the series of unfilled bullish gaps (inefficiencies) left behind during impulsive legs. These gaps align closely with prior consolidation ranges and the rising EMA, effectively acting as dynamic demand zones. As long as price remains above the most recent gap (~4,680–4,700), the bullish structure stays intact. Pullbacks into these areas should be viewed as corrective pauses, not trend failure.
Price is now approaching the psychological 5,000 zone, marked as both resistance and a projected new ATH target. From a structural standpoint, continuation is favored after consolidation, not immediately. The most probable path is stair-step price action: brief pullbacks, higher lows, then renewed expansion. A clean break and acceptance above 5,000 would confirm the next leg higher, opening the door for trend extension beyond ATH.
Invalidation only occurs if Gold loses the upper gap support decisively, which would imply deeper mean reversion toward lower inefficiencies. Until that happens, this remains a trend-following market, and chasing tops is riskier than waiting for pullbacks into structure.
Gold is not overextended it is well-structured, trend-aligned, and supported by inefficiencies below. This is a textbook bullish continuation environment, with patience being the edge.
Bullish Continuation Above Structure, ATH Still the MagnetOn the H1 chart, Gold remains in a clean bullish continuation structure following a strong impulsive expansion. Price has successfully broken above prior resistance and accepted above it, confirming a bullish market shift rather than a fake breakout. The former resistance zone around 4,860–4,880 has now flipped into a well-defined support zone, which is exactly what we want to see in a healthy uptrend.
The pullback currently projected on the chart is corrective in nature, not distributive. As long as price holds above the support zone (~4,870), the bullish structure remains valid. Deeper retracements into the support premium zone (~4,760–4,780) would still be structurally acceptable and offer higher-quality demand reactions, especially with the EMA rising underneath price a sign that momentum is still aligned to the upside.
From a price-action perspective, the market is likely to range briefly or form higher lows, then continue stair-stepping upward. Liquidity is clearly resting above recent highs, making the 5,000 psychological level / new ATH zone the natural upside magnet. Continuation toward that level favors patience over chasing, waiting for pullbacks into structure rather than buying extension candles.
Invalidation:
Only a clean loss and acceptance below the support premium zone would weaken this bullish thesis and open the door for a deeper move toward the lower gap.
Gold is trending, not topping. As long as price respects flipped support, this remains a buy the dip continuation environment, with ATH as the dominant objective, not the ceiling .
EURUSD H1 – Rejection at Resistance, Pullback Toward On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD has completed a clean impulsive leg up from demand, breaking the prior descending structure and confirming a short-term bullish shift. However, price is now stalling directly inside a well-defined resistance zone, where upside momentum has clearly weakened. The recent candles show hesitation and rejection rather than continuation a typical sign of profit-taking and short-term exhaustion, not a full trend reversal.
Structurally, this move looks like an impulse → corrective pullback sequence. The market has already delivered the expansion; what’s missing now is rebalancing. With price extended away from the EMA and failing to hold above the mid-level, a controlled pullback toward the 1.1700–1.1695 demand zone becomes the higher-probability scenario. This area also aligns with previous structure and dynamic support, making it the logical zone for buyers to step back in.
If price reacts positively at demand and forms a higher low, the bullish structure remains intact and another attempt toward the 1.1760–1.1780 resistance can follow. On the flip side, a clean break and acceptance below the demand zone would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis and open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower range.
EURUSD is not breaking down it’s cooling off after an impulse. Until resistance is decisively reclaimed, the market favors a pullback to demand first, with continuation only confirmed by reaction and structure, not prediction.
Bullish Structure Intact, Pullback = OpportunityOn the H1 timeframe, EURUSD is maintaining a bullish continuation structure after a strong impulsive rally. Price has already shifted market structure to the upside, with higher highs and higher lows clearly established. The recent pause is corrective, not bearish — momentum has slowed, but structure has not broken.
The highlighted demand zone around 1.1675–1.1690 is the key area to watch. This zone aligns cleanly with the rising EMA, reinforcing it as a high-probability reaction area rather than random support. As long as price holds above this demand, the bullish bias remains valid.
From a price-action perspective, the market is likely to pull back into demand, form a higher low, and then continue its upside rotation. Liquidity sits above recent highs, making 1.1764 → 1.1779 the next logical upside objectives. The projected path on the chart reflects a classic impulse–correction–continuation sequence.
Invalidation:
A clean break and acceptance below 1.1663 would weaken the bullish thesis and open the door for a deeper retracement toward the lower demand zone.
This is not a top it’s a pause. EURUSD remains a buy-the-dip structure, favoring patience and confirmation at demand rather than chasing strength near resistance.
Pullback Into Demand After ATH, Trend Still ConstructiveOn the H1 timeframe, Gold remains in a strong bullish context despite the recent pullback. The market previously delivered a clean impulsive expansion, breaking structure and printing a new ATH, which confirms higher-timeframe bullish control. The current retracement should be read as profit-taking and liquidity rebalancing, not a trend reversal. Price is now reacting inside the key demand zone around 4,760–4,780, which aligns with the prior breakout base and sits well above the EMA 98 a classic bullish pullback into value. The sharp rejection wick into this zone shows buyers are still active, absorbing sell pressure. As long as price continues to hold above this demand, the structure remains intact and the move is best classified as continuation consolidation. From a price action perspective, the ideal scenario is sideways-to-higher rotation above demand, followed by a renewed push toward the ATH at ~4,888, and if momentum expands again, continuation toward 4,900–4,920 becomes technically reasonable. The projected green path on the chart reflects this expectation: higher low formation → reclaim momentum → breakout attempt. Invalidation is clear and clean: a decisive H1 close below the demand zone would signal acceptance back into the previous range and open a deeper pullback toward the gap / demand premium below. Until that happens, bias remains bullish with patience, not chase.
trend is still up, pullback is constructive, and this zone is where continuation setups are built not where fear should dominate.
“EURUSD Pulls Back — Structure Still Favors the UpsideEURUSD H1 — Bullish Structure Holds, Pullback Is Still Corrective
On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD remains in a bullish market structure, with price continuing to respect the EMA 98 and holding above a clearly defined support zone around the 1.1680–1.1700 region. The previous impulsive rally shifted structure to the upside, and the current price action is best interpreted as a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal.
The recent rejection from the local high near 1.1750–1.1760 shows short-term profit taking, but importantly, the pullback is overlapping and controlled, lacking bearish momentum. This type of retracement typically serves to rebalance liquidity and attract fresh buyers, especially while price remains above both the EMA and the demand/support zone.
As long as the support zone holds, the bullish scenario remains valid. A reaction from this area would likely produce another leg higher, with price targeting a retest of 1.1768, and if that level is broken and accepted, continuation toward higher highs becomes increasingly probable.
However, if price loses acceptance below the support zone and the EMA 98, that would invalidate the bullish continuation thesis and shift focus back to deeper consolidation or a range.
EURUSD is still in a buy the dip environment, not a sell-the-rally market. Bias remains bullish, with continuation dependent on support holding and momentum returning on the next push up.
ETH After the Flush — Correction Phase or Just a PauseETHUSD H4 — Capitulation Complete, Is a New Impulse Wave Loading?
ETH on the H4 timeframe has completed a clear distribution → breakdown → impulsive sell-off, followed by a developing Elliott Wave corrective structure at lower prices. The prior accumulation range at the top failed decisively, triggering a strong bearish impulse that unfolded cleanly into a 5-wave decline (1–2–3–4–5), confirming a completed impulsive leg to the downside.
Price is now transitioning into a corrective phase, currently mapping out an ABC correction. Wave (A) has already formed with a sharp rebound from the lows, while the market is now probing for a Wave (B) retracement, likely into the lower liquidity pocket near the recent lows. This is typical post-impulse behavior, where the market retests demand to confirm whether sellers are exhausted.
The key technical detail here is that price remains below the EMA 98, which is still sloping downward a strong sign that macro control remains bearish. As long as ETH trades below this dynamic resistance, any upside move should be treated as corrective, not trend reversal.
If Wave (B) holds above the recent low and structure remains intact, the market opens the door for Wave (C) a corrective expansion targeting the 3,200–3,250 region, aligning with prior structure and the EMA zone. That area would be a high-probability reaction zone, not a blind breakout level.
Invalidation occurs if price loses acceptance below the Wave (B) low, which would signal continuation of the bearish trend rather than correction.
ETH has likely completed a bearish impulse and is now in a textbook Elliott Wave correction (ABC). Upside is possible, but it remains corrective until the EMA 98 and prior structure are reclaimed.
GOLD just printed a New ATH — now comes the part that traps Everyone wants to “call the top” the moment Gold tags a fresh ATH. But tops aren’t predicted — they’re confirmed. This chart is plausible, not “provable.” The only thing that will validate the next leg is how price behaves on the reclaim / retest of the breakout (ATH supply) and the next support shelves below. Right now, the story is simple: we just saw an explosive expansion into ~4,961–4,962 (New ATH), followed by immediate hesitation. That’s normal after a liquidity grab / momentum climax price often rotates lower to rebalance, refill inefficiencies, and test whether buyers are still willing to defend the breakout. If bulls can reclaim and hold the ATH area, the trend resumes. If not, the market will likely bleed down through the nearest magnets step-by-step.
Trade Plan (Confirmation > Prediction)
✅ Bullish continuation (only if market confirms)
Trigger: Reclaim and hold above the ATH zone ~4,961–4,962 (ideally with a strong close and no immediate rejection).
Entry idea: Buy the reclaim OR buy a pullback that holds above ~4,940 after reclaim.
Targets:
T1: 4,962 (ATH retest / breakout hold)
T2: Extension toward the next “blue-sky” leg (trail stops as ATH expands)
Invalidation: A clean failure back below ~4,940 after reclaim.
⚠️ Pullback / correction (base-case after ATH until proven otherwise)
If price fails to reclaim ATH and keeps closing weak, expect a grind lower into the nearest horizontal magnets:
Downside levels to watch (step-by-step):
4,917 (first major shelf)
4,880 (next support)
4,838 (deeper rebalance)
4,775 (larger corrective target)
Bear trigger: Acceptance below 4,917 (clean closes + failed bounce attempts).
Execution: Sell breakdowns / failed retests, take profit into the next shelf (don’t hold shorts blindly into support).
Macro backdrop
Gold’s ATH behavior is consistent with a market pricing:
Rate-cut expectations / softer policy path (helps gold when real yields cool)
USD swings (a firmer USD can pressure gold short-term even in a bull trend)
Geopolitical risk & headline volatility (war/politics = spikes + fast mean reversion)
Risk-off bids + central bank demand narrative (keeps dips bought, until it doesn’t)
Translation: macro can fuel the move, but price must confirm it at the reclaim test.
XAUUSD 23 JAN: Market Analysis & Future DevelopmentTODAY'S LIMITED STRATEGY JAN 23
Intraday trading: Adjust
📌 SET UP 1. Timming Sell Zone
XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 5005 - 5008
💰 Take Profit(TP): 5002 - 4997
❎ Stoploss(SL): 5012
Note capital management to ensure account safety
📌 SET UP 2. Timming Buy Zone
XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4880 - 4883
💰 Take Profit(TP): 4886 - 4891
❎ Stoploss(SL): 4876
Note capital management to ensure account safety
Current Market Analysis & Future Developments Today (Gold – XAUUSD)
- Currently, gold is maintaining a predominantly bullish structure on the H4 timeframe, following its previous strong breakout. However, the upward momentum is slowing as the price approaches key technical resistance zones, evidenced by short periods of volatility and corrections.
✅ Current Status
- The price is moving around the intermediate Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5 – 0.618), indicating that the market is in a phase of absorbing selling pressure and re-accumulating.
- Momentum remains positive but is no longer overly volatile, signaling the possibility of a technical correction before determining the next trend.
- The oscillator is in the high zone → not suitable for FOMO chasing the price.
✅Today's Scenario
- Main Scenario: Price continues to correct or move sideways, retesting the nearest support zone to accumulate more momentum. If the structure holds firm, the possibility of continuing the upward trend to higher levels remains.
- Alternative scenario: If stronger selling pressure emerges at the resistance zone, the market may retrace further to the lower support zone before forming a clear signal for the next move.
✅ Trading Strategy
- Prioritize waiting for price reactions at support/resistance zones, trading based on confirmation signals.
- Avoid haste during the market's "direction-choosing" phase.
- Manage risk strictly; do not trade emotionally.
👉 Summary: The overall trend remains upward, but in the short term, the market needs time for correction and consolidation. Those who are patient and disciplined will have a clear advantage today.
GOLD NEXT WEEK? GOLD saw a sharp sell-off last night but quickly recovered, forming a long wick—an indication of strong rejection at key support levels (former resistance and the 50 EMA). This price action strengthens the conviction that the broader uptrend could continue into next week.
With geopolitical tensions still in play and an upcoming interest rate cut on the horizon, the bullish bias remains intact. However, caution is still warranted. History shows that when GOLD becomes overstretched, it can experience pullbacks of up to $500 within just a few days. Traders who are overleveraged risk being wiped out.
Proper risk management is essential. Always set a stop loss, and consider using trailing stops to protect gains in this type of market environment.
Enjoy the weekend, everyone.
AUDCAD: Gap Will Be Filled?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
I think that AUDCAD will likely fill a gap up opening.
The formation of a bearish imbalance candle provides
a reliable confirmation.
Goal will be 0.9454
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Fake Move at the European Open — A Familiar LessonIf you’ve traded Forex, Gold, or Crypto for any length of time, you’ve likely experienced this scenario:
The European session opens.
Price makes a clean break above a high or below a low.
You enter on the breakout.
Minutes later — your stop loss is taken.
Then the market moves in the exact direction you originally anticipated.
This isn’t bad luck.
This is the fake move at the European open — a recurring market behavior.
1. Why Do Fake Moves Often Appear at the European Open?
The European session is when:
- Liquidity starts to increase rapidly
- New capital enters the market
- Pending orders from the Asian session are still in place
This overlap creates ideal conditions for price to:
- Push slightly beyond the Asian session high or low
- Trigger stop losses and early breakout entries
- Attract impatient traders
But that initial push does not represent the true direction of the day.
2. A Breakout at the European Open ≠ A Real Breakout
A breakout that looks “clean” is not always a meaningful one.
Fake moves at the European open often show:
- A break in structure without follow-through
- Fast price expansion followed by immediate hesitation
- Weak or fading volume
- Candles with long wicks or poor closes
These are signs that:
The market is testing liquidity, not starting a trend.
3. Who Falls Into This Trap Most Often?
Fake moves at the European open usually trap:
- New traders
- Traders driven by FOMO
- Those who enter simply because price “broke a level”
The issue isn’t the strategy.
It’s timing and patience.
4. The Market Needs Liquidity Before a Real Move
Before a strong move begins, the market often needs to:
- Clear stop losses
- Remove early positions
- Create the illusion of a wrong direction
Fake moves at the European open are how the market:
Cleans the path before committing to the real direction.
5. The Lesson for Traders
- Not every breakout is worth trading
- Timing matters as much as the setup
- The European open is often a time to observe before committing
Instead of asking:
“Did price break the level?”
Ask:
“Can this breakout hold after 15–30 minutes?”






















