BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 102,798.30.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 97,930.04 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Forex
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.151.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.149 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 201.166.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 197.887.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCHF Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.058.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.061 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold’s $3,900 Base May Trigger Rally to Bullish TargetsFrom both a near-term and medium-term horizon, gold appears to have established a clear reversal base around the $3,900 level, indicating that the downside momentum has likely been exhausted and that the market is preparing to advance toward its bullish target levels.
NZDUSD - Triple Confluence Zone in Play!NZDUSD has been in a steady bearish trend, but the pair is now reaching a major confluence area that could act as a strong turning point.
🔎The blue circle marks the intersection of two descending trendlines and a key demand zone, making it a massive area to look for long opportunities.
⚔️This triple intersection increases the probability of a bullish rebound, especially as the pair is also showing signs of being oversold. A potential rejection from this zone could trigger a short-term correction toward the upper orange trendline, aligning with the next resistance area.
🏹As long as this demand zone holds , the bulls have a chance to step in and shift short-term momentum upward.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
DXY Near 100 as Rate-Cut Odds Fade and Uptrend Remains IntactHey Traders,
In today’s trading session we are monitoring the US Dollar Index (DXY) for a buying opportunity around the 100.000 zone. The Index is trading in a broader uptrend and currently is in a correction phase, approaching the trend support/resistance area near 100.000.
Structure:
The prevailing trend remains bullish, though price is consolidating and retesting the support/resistance level at 100.000. A solid rebound here could signal a resumption of the upward trajectory.
Fundamentals:
Recent commentary from the Federal Reserve indicates that a rate cut in December is increasingly unlikely. This hawkish tilt supports the Dollar and reinforces the up-trend scenario.
Next move:
Watching how price behaves around 100.000 — if the level holds, the bias remains bullish; a break below would call structural risk into question.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,965.68.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,993.60 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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A Tutorial on LIQUIDITY and EFFICIENCYLike I've mentioned in the past, these are the 2 core concepts of how the market moves. When you begin to understand them, you start to understand where price HAS to go. That may sound arrogant, but I am last the person to say anything about the market with certainty unless I am actually certain. It is akin to understanding why and how the sun comes up in the morning and goes down at night. Because you understand the science behind it, you are able to say with certainty where and when it will happen. (Unless you believe some flat earther stuff like the sun is a hot air balloon ride away...
So, I hope you find this video educational. Remember, successful trading is about consistency, discipline, and hard work. It is about making profit and minimizing risk. It isn't about winning or losing, or being right or wrong.
Take care,
- R2F Trading
A Bearish XAUUSD Setup You Can’t Afford to MissOANDA:XAUUSD has dropped sharply, reflecting the complete dominance of sellers who continue to push the market lower with strong bearish momentum.
After the decline, the price paused and then began to rise slowly, forming a familiar wedge pattern, a classic signal of trend continuation. Buyers attempted to regain control, but the buying pressure was weak, and every rally was quickly met with renewed selling.
Eventually, the price broke below the pattern with significant pressure and is now retesting the breakout area. This confirms that the market remains bearish, with limited chances of a meaningful reversal. If the price continues to break below this zone, further declines are likely to follow.
I anticipate the next bearish wave could reach around 3,885, aligning with the broader downtrend.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or financial recommendation.
Possible Bullish Turn for GoldOk, some things seems to be changing. The activity that lacking to end US shutdown maybe over. Will it be fruitful is a very big question. If the shutdown end, this will be positive for gold because of the incoming liquidty flowing to the banks. However the first pricing could be in reverse.
I have no clear plan yet and might not find time to immidiately write here when I buy so I'm writing this warning here. If everything go smoothly, gold might target 4130 or maybe 4190 in the coming days, but I'm currently not in position yet.
AUD/USD – Smart Money Building Quietly at the BottomThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6510, consolidating after an extended bearish move. From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, price action suggests that institutional players may be absorbing liquidity at discounted prices, hinting at a potential accumulation phase before driving price upward to collect liquidity at higher zones.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – When Price Pauses to “Take a Breath”
Following a series of bearish legs, AUD/USD has formed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) near the 0.6460 zone, signaling early signs of weakening bearish momentum.
Currently, price is holding within 0.6500 – 0.6510, forming a stable base of support. If this structure holds, it may serve as the foundation for a short-term bullish correction targeting the upper supply zones.
Each dip into the lower range has shown long lower wicks and narrow candle bodies — a classic footprint of Smart Money absorbing sell-side liquidity in preparation for accumulation.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money
Karina is closely monitoring three key structural zones:
Demand Zones:
0.6462 – 0.6432: A strong demand base where price has reacted multiple times — likely a zone of institutional accumulation.
0.6504: A short-term demand area currently being tested, acting as the first layer of support.
Supply Zones:
0.6570: A local supply zone where price may react upon retracement.
0.6642 – 0.6667: A higher supply zone filled with resting buy-side liquidity — potential target area for the next institutional move.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – When Smart Money Buys Low to Sell High
The liquidity landscape shows that sell-side liquidity has already been swept near 0.6460, while buy-side liquidity remains untouched around 0.6618 – 0.6707.
This aligns perfectly with a common SMC narrative:
Smart Money absorbs liquidity below → builds structure → drives price upward to collect liquidity above.
If price maintains structure above 0.6504 – 0.6462, we could see a bullish displacement toward the next liquidity pools around 0.6570 and 0.6640 – 0.6660.
🌙 4️⃣ Trade Scenario – Follow Smart Money, Don’t Fight It
Karina’s current bias favors buying from discount zones once structure confirms a shift.
Entry: 0.6465 – 0.6500
Stop Loss: below 0.6430
Take Profit: 0.6570 – 0.6660
This setup aligns with institutional logic — buy where Smart Money accumulates, take profit where they distribute.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Is Quiet, Institutions Are Working
The market doesn’t need loud volatility to tell a story — often, quiet accumulation speaks the loudest.
To Karina, this phase is about patience and observation — letting structure reveal its intent instead of rushing into noise.
Right now, the market feels like it’s taking a deep breath before its next move. Smart Money usually moves in silence — they buy low, and sell high. 🌸
AUDJPY: Short Term Bearish Movement 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY may drop from the underlined intraday horizontal resistance.
We can expect a retracement at least to 99.9 level.
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DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋
On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress.
The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target.
However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher.
Overall, my bias remains bullish for now.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
NZDUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationSetupKiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracemnt and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.5685, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 0.5704, whichis a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Take profit is at 0.5635, whichis a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GOLD rises despite strong ADP jobs dataOANDA:XAUUSD prices rose more than 1% on Wednesday to $3,978.92 an ounce, despite better-than-expected U.S. private-sector jobs data, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid high stock market valuations and uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, which are reshaping the global economic landscape.
The ADP employment report showed that the private sector added 42,000 jobs in October, well above the forecast of 28,000, reinforcing the view that the US labor market remains strong and therefore the Fed can delay rate cuts. However, the rise in real yields has not been enough to dampen demand for havens, as investors view gold as a hedge against a potential correction in risk assets.
Christian Borjon Valencia (FXStreet) said gold prices were supported by dovish comments from several Fed officials. Meanwhile, Jim Wyckoff (Kitco Metals) said “safe haven demand is back” as investors “are increasingly concerned about the AI stock bubble and the overvaluation of the US market.”
Financial markets are in a wait-and-see mode as the US Supreme Court holds a hearing on the legality of tariffs imposed by President Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. An adverse ruling could result in the government having to repay more than $100 billion in tariffs and limit the White House’s ability to direct trade policy, potentially sending shockwaves through the dollar and commodity markets.
Conservative justices, including Chief Justice John Roberts and Neil Gorsuch, have questioned whether the president has the authority to unilaterally impose a “tax on Americans” without congressional approval. A decision against Trump could weaken his central “economic weapon” and drive money into risk-free assets like gold.
On the political prediction market Kalshi, the likelihood of the court backing Trump has fallen from nearly 50% to just about 30%, reflecting growing skepticism about the sustainability of the tariff strategy.
These factors combine to suggest that OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating its position in a transitional period between monetary policy and political uncertainty, a period in which the Fed is cautious, Washington faces regulatory risks and its power structure is challenged.
Technical Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices are entering a narrow consolidation phase around the $3,940–$3,980/ounce range, after a correction from the $4,380 peak. The daily chart shows that the short-term downtrend channel structure is still maintained, but the downside momentum has weakened significantly. The $3,896 (0.5 Fib) zone continues to act as a key support, while the $3,972–$4,055 resistance zone (0.382 Fib and MA20) is the decisive threshold for the next trend.
The RSI is slowly recovering from the neutral zone and is showing signs of converging with the moving MA, implying that selling pressure is drying up and the market may form a short-term bottom. If the price breaks out decisively at $3,972, the current accumulation pattern could be completed, opening a recovery cycle towards $4,128, the 0.236 Fib mark of the previous decline.
The conditions for a new bull run lie in gold prices remaining stable above the $3,900 support zone, combined with improved cash flows and expectations of the Fed shifting to a more dovish stance in December. In that case, the current consolidation zone could become the basis for a new rally, rather than just a technical pullback.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4022 - 4020⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4026
→Take Profit 1 4014
↨
→Take Profit 2 4008
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3948 - 3950⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3944
→Take Profit 1 3956
↨
→Take Profit 2 3962
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffXAU/USD has bounced off the buy entry at 3,945.45, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 3,840.07, whic his a pullback support.
Take profit is at 4,136.36, which is a pullback resistance that aligns witht he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GBP/JPY - Multi-Timeframe Forecast💂♂️ GBP/JPY – 8H Forecast 💂♂️
Let’s get into the flow for this beast — it’s showing that classic smart money pullback setup 👇
🧠 Bias : Short-term bullish pullback → Medium-term bearish
Structure’s still heavy on the bearish side after a clear BOS (Break of Structure) at the top, but short-term we’re seeing a retracement forming before the next leg down.
📉 8H Breakdown
The pair printed a lower high followed by a break of structure under 202.000 — confirming downside control.
Price retraced roughly to the 71% fib zone (right inside a small 8H bearish order block / BM).
The 200 EMA is acting as resistance now — rejecting perfectly from the fib confluence area.
Expect one more liquidity grab into the $202.5 – $203 zone before the next impulse down.
Target zone sits near $198.000, which aligns with that 8H + Daily demand zone below.
🗓 Daily Context
Daily structure is still bullish overall, but price tapped into a weekly supply zone around 206.000 and is now retracing.
If that daily demand near 197.500 – 198.000 holds, we could see a rebound back into 204–206 for continuation of the larger trend.
This gives us a clean sell-then-buy sequence setup.
🎯 Game Plan
Short-Term Setup:
Look for short entries around 202.500 – 203.000 (71% retrace + BM zone).
Target 198.000 for the short.
Stop above 203.500 swing high.
Reversal Watch:
Once price sweeps that 198.000 liquidity zone, monitor for bullish CHoCH (Change of Character).
Potential long back toward 204.000 – 206.000 if daily demand reacts strong.
⚙️ Risk & Trade Management
Stay flexible — short bias first, but watch for reversal signs in the daily zone.
Partial profits near 198.500.
Flip bias to bullish only after daily confirmation candle closes above 202 again.
🧩 Summary
GBP/JPY is prepping a pullback-to-sell setup into the 71% zone, then likely dumps toward daily demand before a bigger rebound. Think of it as a dip before the reload — shorts first, then a rocket reload for later. 🚀
GBPUSD – The Pullback Trap: Bears Are Ready to Strike!The GBP/USD pair is under strong pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) keeps interest rates unchanged and signals caution about the economic outlook. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar gains support from better-than-expected employment data, widening the yield gap between the UK and the U.S. — a factor that continues to weigh on the pound.
On the 4H chart, GBP/USD is moving within a clear descending wedge . Each time price pulls back toward the upper trendline, strong selling pressure reappears. Currently, the 1.3090 zone acts as short-term resistance, while 1.2960 remains a key support area.
Most likely scenario:
Price may retrace slightly to 1.3090 to retest resistance, then resume its decline toward 1.2960 or lower.
Summary:
Main trend: Bearish
Resistance: 1.3090
Support: 1.2960
👉 With fundamentals favoring the USD and technical structure still pointing downward, GBP/USD is likely to remain under selling pressure in the coming sessions.
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci level?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8125
1st Support: 0.8045
1st Resistance: 0.8170
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5639
1st Support: 0.5562
1st Resistance: 0.5715
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold price analysis June 11✏️ XAUUSD Analysis — 06/11
Today's gold trading range is being established within 100 prices, limited by the resistance zone of 4031 and the support zone of 3931.
The main trend is still up, so the strategy of prioritizing BUY following the market momentum will be more suitable in this period.
The Keylevel zone of 4031 continues to play an important role — if the buying force is strong enough to break this zone, the next target will be 4150.
On the other hand, it is necessary to observe the price reaction around the trendline and the support zone of yesterday's Asian session to determine whether the buying force is still maintained or not.
📈 Trading Plan
BUY around 3984
BUY when there is a price rejection signal at support 3931
BUY DCA when price breaks 4031
🎯 Target: 4150
⚠️ Risk: when price breaks the trendline and closes the candle below 3930






















