Gold’s Next Fibonacci Play – Watching Key Buy & Sell Zones M15Technical & Fibonacci Outlook (M15 Chart)
Price has recently broken upward but is approaching resistance at 3,693–3,704.
Fibo 1.5–1.618 Reaction TP Zone (3,703–3,705): Watch for potential profit-taking or minor rejection here.
Fibo 2.618 Reaction – SELL ZONE (3,724–3,726, SL 3,730): A high-liquidity level where sellers may step in for a short-term reversal.
M15 Fibo Reaction Zone – BUY ZONE (3,665–3,659, SL 3,645): Primary area to look for bullish continuation on dips.
Mid-channel structure suggests a healthy retracement could occur before any further rally.
🟢 Trade Ideas – FranCis_Fibo Style
BUY ZONE: 3,660–3,656
Stop Loss: 3,645
Take Profit: Scale out at RR 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3, leave runners open for a potential new ATH.
SELL ZONE (Short-term): 3,723–3,726
Stop Loss: 3,730
Take Profit: Target lower Fibo retracement levels (3,686 → 3,665).
⚠ Key Notes
Expect volatility around Fed-related headlines—manage position sizes carefully.
Watch for liquidity grabs at 3,703–3,705 before committing to directional trades.
A strong bounce from the 3,665–3,659 zone would confirm bullish momentum remains intact.
💬 Discussion
📊 Will gold break through the 2.618 Fibo zone for a fresh push higher, or will sellers defend and force a deeper retracement? Share your Fibonacci levels and outlook below!
Forexsignals
EUR/NZD – Trendline Broken, Bears Warming UpAfter touching the psychological 2.00 handle once more at the end of August, EUR/NZD started to fall. Last week, the pair finally broke below the rising trendline that had been intact since June — a technical signal that momentum is shifting.
Following the recent low at 1.9627, the pair is now in a normal rebound. But rebounds after a trendline break are often just pauses before continuation. Once this corrective move is complete, I expect fresh downside pressure to return.
My trading plan:
• Look to sell rallies into resistance.
• Expect at least a 500-pip decline, targeting the 1.9200 support zone.
• The bearish scenario remains valid as long as price stays below 1.9950.
GBPJPY H1 | Potential bearish reversalGBP/JPY is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 200.32, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 200.70, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 199.74, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.5940
1st Support: 0.5913
1st Resistance: 0.6004
Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6619
1st Support: 0.6557
1st Resistance: 0.6689
Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Bearish reversal off major resistance?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 147.86
1st Support: 146.41
1st Resistance: 148.85
Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Potential bearish drop for the Loonie?The price has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a multi-swing low support.
Pivot: 1.3807
1st Support: 1.3720
1st Resistance: 1.3877
Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Bullish bounce off?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3576
1st Support: 1.3480
1st Resistance: 1.3674
Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1736
1st Support: 1.1678
1st Resistance: 1.1808
Oil markets on September 16, 2025, are caught between conflicting forces. While immediate supply disruption risks from Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are providing near-term price support, fundamental market conditions point to significant oversupply ahead. The EIA's projection of massive inventory builds and OPEC+'s continued production increases suggest substantial downward price pressure through 2026, with Brent potentially falling to $50 per barrel despite current geopolitical tensions. The market is essentially pricing in short-term disruption risks while bracing for longer-term oversupply challenges.
World gold price today September 16, 2025New York manufacturing fell sharply in September, slipping into recession, according to the latest data from the New York Federal Reserve. The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.7, down from 11.9 in August and well below the forecast of -5.0. This is the first time the index has returned to negative territory since June.
New orders and shipments fell sharply, inventories continued to decline slightly, while employment held steady but average hours worked fell. Input prices remained high, selling prices rose moderately and spending plans remained weak.
Businesses expect conditions to improve in the coming period, but sentiment remains generally cautious. Immediately after the report was released, gold prices rebounded and then remained flat, trading around $3,642/ounce.
Global markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which begins on Tuesday morning and ends on Wednesday afternoon, with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the first since November 2024.
Holding above 3,675 favors bullish continuation1. Key Levels
Resistance zone: 3,675 – 3,685 (blue box). Price is consolidating right around this area.
Support zone: 3,630 – 3,640 (red box below). This is the key downside level if the breakout fails.
2. Current Price Action
Price had a strong bullish impulse pushing above 3,675 but is now stalling and retesting this resistance zone.
The zig-zag lines you drew highlight two potential paths:
🔺 Red arrow (bullish): Break above 3,685 → continuation to 3,700 – 3,710.
🔻 Blue arrow (bearish): Rejection from this zone → drop back towards 3,640 support.
3. Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case
If gold holds above 3,675 and breaks 3,685 with momentum, buyers could target 3,700 – 3,710 first.
Above that, 3,720+ becomes the next resistance zone.
Bearish Case
If gold fails to stay above 3,675 and breaks back below → expect a deeper retracement towards 3,640.
If 3,640 fails, the next strong support is 3,620 – 3,630.
4. Summary
The market is at a decision point.
Holding above 3,675 favors bullish continuation, while losing this level favors a pullback correction.
Traders should watch for a clean breakout or rejection at this zone before entering.
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/CAD is falling towards the support level, whic is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.8633
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.8516
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.8821
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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Bearish drop?EUR/GBP has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8662
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8686
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8613
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off?NZD/CHF is reacting off the support level, which his a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.47298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.46902
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.47941
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
A perfect INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN GBPUSDGBPUSD A perfect Head and Shoulder pattern is formed on GBPUSD.
which shows if the price break the neckline then price would touch the previous Supply zone .1st target.
and wait for 2nd target as this pattern show the price would also touch 2nd target ..
need patients ..
GBPJPY: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD - 15-Minute Opportunity – Risk/Reward 2.22Guys, greetings
I’ve prepared an EURUSD analysis for you.
On my 15-minute chart:
🟢 Buy entry level: 1.17152
🔴 Stop level: 1.17002
🎯 TP1: 1.17206
🎯 TP2: 1.17287
🎯 TP3: 1.17480
Risk/reward ratio for this trade: 2.22
Guys, every single like you give is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses.
Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes and stand by my side.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt the lower red box, and if held a move upside would be available into the box above. This move worked well for traders and the entry came exactly from our Excalibur red box. We then ideally wanted the higher box to give us a RIP, however, as you can see price broke above first on our indicators and then on the box shared with everyone else. Hence invalidating the short trade and activating the long which was then shared in our updates through the week.
We managed to trade between the boxes and of course Excalibur our trusted algo again performed with the pin point target levels.
A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold, but on the other instruments we trade and analyse as well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
I would expect Monday and early Tuesday to be the main days for movement before FOMC this week which may bring volume, but initial thoughts are we’re priced in! For that reason, we’ll share this report and say it’s applicable until Wednesday, which is when we will share the KOG Report for FOMC.
We have support below at the 3620-12 region which is a big range and will need to be monitored if attacked early in the week. If this level holds, an opportunity to long may be available to trades targeting the all time high again and most likely beyond in attempt for the 3700 region. It’s that region we would like to monitor again for a possible short, unless we break below the 3610 level.
The path shows the possible route, a move downside, then up where there are 3 levels to monitor, and a potential move downside in our opinion. It is as usual, subject to change and will be updated if through the week. For now, we’re still stretched with sentiment near neutral, we need to complete the swing upside with the key level of support being the 3606-10 level in extension. If we break below there, we have a clean reversal and what bears will want, is to see the low 3500’s at least! This level could be a possibility on Wednesdays FOMC, so stay tuned!!
In summary:
We want to see this move down commence so longs are with caution for us at the moment with the hope that one of these resistance levels can give us a major RIP. We need to monitor this carefully and will be implementing a scalp only strategy upside for now.
KOG’s Bias of the week:
Bullish above 3610 with targets above 3655, 3667, 3671 and above that 3686
Bearish on break of 3610 with targets below 3605, 3597, 3580, 3565 and below that 3540
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3645 for 3654, 3657, 3670, 3685 and 3702 in extension of the move
Break below 3630 for 3620, 3610, 3605, 3597 and 3885 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold (XAUUSD) 6H – Bullish Order Flow With Key Liquidity TargetsOn the 6H timeframe, Gold shows a clear bullish order flow. Price recently tapped into the daily bullish FVG and reacted strongly to the upside, which supports my bullish bias.
From here, I expect the first target to be the buy-side liquidity around 3657. If momentum continues, the next objective could be a revisit to the all-time high.
⚠️ However, if price closes below 3612, this would shift the bias short-term bearish, with potential downside toward 3592.
Overall, I remain bullish for now, as long as price respects the key support levels.
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🔎 DYOR
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NZD/USD Technical Setup – Demand Retest + Bullish Structure📈 NZD/USD "THE KIWI" Forex Money Looting Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🥝💵
🛠️ Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish ✅
Reasoning: Demand Re-Test + Wyckoff Accumulation Phase (buyers confirmed their presence).
🎯 Entry Strategy (Thief Layer Style)
Our Thief Strategy = layered limit orders 🔑
Example buy layers:
0.59200
0.59300
0.59400
0.59500
(You can expand layers based on your risk appetite & market liquidity 📊).
⚡ This layered entry approach helps capture price dips while managing risk — OG Thief style!
🛡️ Stop Loss
Suggested SL: 0.59000 (below breakout structure).
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is not a hard rule. Adjust it to match your own strategy & risk management.
🎯 Take Profit
Target zone: 0.60400 (strong resistance area).
Rationale: Price approaching overbought conditions + potential trap zone.
⚠️ Note: Exit is flexible — take profits on your own terms and protect your gains.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
OANDA:AUDUSD → Highly correlated (both AUD & NZD are commodity currencies 📦).
OANDA:NZDJPY → Tracks Kiwi strength vs safe-haven flows 💴.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation driver 💵.
OANDA:GBPNZD → Cross-check for Kiwi strength in broader FX spectrum.
Watching these helps confirm if Kiwi momentum is real or just a false breakout!
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NZDUSD #Forex #Kiwi #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Wyckoff #FXTrading #TradingPlan #LayeringStrategy #AUDUSD #DXY
Taxes and tariffs weigh down the economy. And the pound maintainAfter fresh statistics showed a poor start to the third quarter, the GBP steadied around $1.35, a minor shift from levels last week. As anticipated, GDP stayed unchanged in July, but industrial production unexpectedly dropped by 0.9%, indicating that firms and people are being negatively impacted by tax and tariff rises.
Technically speaking, the pair is circling the 1.3590 resistance levels that we mentioned last week, so it is probably going to keep rising throughout today's trade in order to reach the next levels, which are around $1.3630 Then we can target 1.3665 $