AUD/USD Watching the Ceiling and FloorThis is just my analysis, not financial advice.
On this 4H AUD/USD chart, I see two important levels:
Ceiling (Red Line – 0.65688): Price is testing this zone. Often, markets slow down or turn here, but sometimes they break through.
Floor (Green Line – 0.64146): If price falls to this area, it has bounced before, so I’m watching it as a possible reaction point.
Right now, price is sitting closer to the ceiling. I’ll be watching to see if it breaks higher or if sellers step in.
I’m not telling anyone what to do—this is just how I see the chart and a simple way to mark levels that matter to me.
Fractal
$XRP E Wave Time multiplier = E Wave Percentage Multiplier?
CRYPTOCAP:XRP 's E wave, starting 11/14/24 at the 2/1 .236, currently shows about a ~7x time multiplier compared to the Origin's 63-day E wave. Waves A-D have a ~2x multiplier. A % change matching the Origin's E wave = the 3/2 Golden Pocket at $56.66-$62.48. Time multiplier = much higher?
XAU/USD 01 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, depth of pullback was insignificant, therefore, I have marked this in red.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure. I shall continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,489.345.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USDCHF — Watch the Floor at 0.81714Summary
Price is standing on a floor at 0.81714. If that floor breaks, price could fall down to the “basement” at 0.78722. This is only my idea, not advice.
Description
I like to think of price like a person in a house.
Right now, they are standing on the floor at 0.81714.
If that floor breaks, they can fall down to the lower levels: 0.8050, then 0.7950, and maybe all the way to the basement at 0.78722.
If the floor holds, price might instead climb the stairs up toward 0.8220.
What I’m watching: I want to see a strong red candle close under 0.81714 before thinking the floor is broken. If price jumps back above 0.8220, then my idea is wrong.
Disclaimer
This is just my personal view for learning. It is not financial advice or a trade signal.
The end - 2026 Financial panicSince 2300, I’ve marked a zone and made a personal commitment: no matter what happens in the market, when this zone is approached, I will begin reducing my exposure and carefully exit all financial markets—with extreme caution and tight stop losses.
Yesterday, I received an alert I never expected to see. It signaled the approach of the zone I identified back in 2021 as the escape point—where major crashes are likely imminent and the urge to invest must be resisted.
This zone aligns with the 0.786 trend-based Fibonacci level from the 2009 bottom to the 2020 peak, as well as the April 2020 bottom. It also coincides with the 2.618 and 3.618 Fibonacci extensions from the 2007–2010 cycle, and the 3.618 trend Fibonacci from the 2002–2009 cycle. But that’s not all.
According to Gann’s Square of 9, if you examine closely, you’ll notice that whenever the trend reaches one of its primary or secondary angles since the 2009 bottom, it consistently triggers a significant drop. The end cycle at the 360° angle corresponds to 7926—perfectly aligning with all the previously mentioned Fibonacci zones.
And for those skeptical of technical analysis, consider this: the upcoming year, 2026, is a pivotal year in the Samuel Benner chart developed in 1875 to identify periods of financial disorder. Benner’s chart indicated when to buy, when to sell, and when to expect chaos. Remarkably, it has accurately forecasted major financial crashes over the past 150 years—including the Great Depression, the Dot-Com bust, and the 2020 COVID crash. According to this chart, selling during the crash year and re-entering post-crash has historically led to profitable outcomes with a +-2 Years at a 87.5% accuracy.
When you combine all these signals, it feels reckless not to take them seriously—especially since this marks the end of a cycle measured from 2009. That’s how significant it is.
To those who dismiss technical analysis, this may sound like smoke and mirrors. But for those who’ve seen its power firsthand, the sheer number of confluences here is too substantial to ignore. If I know such big crash may happen - I would be happy to wait 1-2 years on cash and take opportunity of big red markets to buy.
Curious to hear your thoughts on this.
Bitcoin: Curve AdjustmentsBottoms can be expressed as a curve which matches logarithmic growth patterns. In the long-term perspective it serves as signal of trend's transition phase in broader scale. Coordinate of top adjusted accordingly.
Extending them is crucial because together they gives boundaries of range compression. Some sort of wave limits which help to clarify price-based levels.
XAU/USD 26 August 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
BTCUSDT: Trade this fractals 106K!!!Hello, as you can see on the Bitcoin chart, the price has broken two important trend lines and has also made pullbacks. What we can expect for the price movement is that the price will first reach the level of 106,000 and then we will see growth for Bitcoin according to the drawn lines, meaning it will first reach the level of 111,000 and after a correction, it will grow to 117,000.
SUI Weekly AnalysisBeen following SUI for a while now and bullish formation still intact.
Being patient for the “right” trade.
What does the “right” trade look like?
I’m looking for price to enter or come close to the last higher low in the most recent fractal. You can see me tracing HH & HL within a higher timeframe to verify direction.
To be more specific, I’m looking to enter around the last sell (supply) on the 4HR/1HR. I should see either a BOS or no new lows being made inside my defined range.
An analogy I like to use is I must trade like Jerome Powell cuts rates. I need to first see evidence that the “economy” (price) is changing.
Risk management is rule #1. If it doesn’t fit, be patient. There will always be another opportunity. ALWAYS!!!
▒𖢻▒ ETHEREUM FORECAST | 1D ▒𖢻▒COINBASE:ETHUSD
My ETH Forecast on the Daily. Long-Term I believe ETH will see a 35% drop before a 100% gain.
The first part of this forecast is shown here.
This can always change, this is my initial forecast from watching price action for thousands of hours. The Fibonacci Sequence supports these fractal forecasts and as well as the trading patterns throughout the history of Ethereum.
I am a Bitcoin Maximalist so I am not trading ETH, however if I was I'd be taking large profits and/or trading out of all of my positions at this current level ($5,000 - $4,600) and reposition back in around these valley levels ($3,300 - $3,000).
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
▒₿▒ BITCOIN FORECAST | 6HR ▒₿▒COINBASE:BTCUSD
This post is based off of historical price action analysis and Fibonacci measurements. I am not including these in the main chart as I like to put the focus on the price action for all of you. In a day and age of information we can tend to overdo it sometimes and the price action is something that is extremely fundamental when it comes to analysis, patterns and forecasting.
I've identified a unique pattern viewable in Heikin Ashi that signals trend exhaustion and distribution at major market tops. I will be working on another post showing this.
Historically, this pattern has resolved to the downside in a significant way. I've been out of the "game" for a few years in addition to this cycle being like no other. We've broken previous patterns, trends and correlations from previous cycles. I am still working to nail down these forecasts.
I've got a big project that I'm working on so my time is limited here, however I am developing and testing some indicators which I will be releasing here soon. In addition to this as I put more time into BTC analysis I will begin to have more accurate forecasts and long-term planning for BTC investments and trading.
As it is right now. I have had at least one person call me crazy and a noob for saying this but we can expect the BTC Bear Market Low to be about $33K in 2026. I will be doing a post on this too. I am well aware of the cost to mine a single Bitcoin and Capitulation and we did see this happen before in the past.
Here is how the current forecast looks on the 1Day.
I am now forecasting a break of the critical support trendline, currently sitting around $112,500.
A confirmed 6H candle close below this level would, in my view, be the final confirmation. This could trigger a much deeper and faster correction than many are expecting, with a first major target in the $100,000 - $104,000 zone.
There still of course remains the possibility of BTC hitting our target Bull Run Peak of $150K in December of this year. This a little less likely as I have additional information I have come across in my analysis. While we saw major resistance at the $124K levels, a huge rejection, trends broken on the daily charts, and potential consolidation there is still hope for BTC's $150K run. The Pi Cycle and other information does tell a different story.
One thing is for certain (almost certain) and that is that the identification of the Twin Shooting Star Candles on the 1-Week indicates we are going into weeks or months of a bear market and/or consolidation.
My view is more than likely not going to change on the short term (weeks to a few months) of BTC going down and/or consolidating. The critical level is that $100K mark, if we drop below this consider it highly unlikely that we will be making that run to $150K.
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
Frames of Reference🏛️ Research Notes
Fibonacci Channels as Frames of Reference
Just like Schrödinger’s wave equation describes all possible states of a quantum system, the market at any moment holds a spectrum of potential price paths. Hence, commonality is that, the wave function is a mathematical description of probabilities, not certainties, just like market state is a blend of possible moves, not a single predetermined path.
In quantum mechanics, choosing a measurement basis determines which aspects of the wave function become clear. In charting, each Fibonacci channel is a “measurement frame,” tuned to a certain proportion or scaling law that the market tends to respect. So if we say have multiple channels, then by overlaying several, you capture different interference layers, revealing systemic alignments that a single frame would miss. (Structure Memory and Duality )
SUIUSDT: Price Action AnalysisGiven that we had an accelerated move upwards, so it needs a break and correction. It seems that liquidity has not yet been filled at low prices, so it is expected that the trend will start to decline after reaching the 3.75 point and correct to the 3.4 point and continue its growth again.






















