Fractal
The end - 2026 Financial panicSince 2300, I’ve marked a zone and made a personal commitment: no matter what happens in the market, when this zone is approached, I will begin reducing my exposure and carefully exit all financial markets—with extreme caution and tight stop losses.
Yesterday, I received an alert I never expected to see. It signaled the approach of the zone I identified back in 2021 as the escape point—where major crashes are likely imminent and the urge to invest must be resisted.
This zone aligns with the 0.786 trend-based Fibonacci level from the 2009 bottom to the 2020 peak, as well as the April 2020 bottom. It also coincides with the 2.618 and 3.618 Fibonacci extensions from the 2007–2010 cycle, and the 3.618 trend Fibonacci from the 2002–2009 cycle. But that’s not all.
According to Gann’s Square of 9, if you examine closely, you’ll notice that whenever the trend reaches one of its primary or secondary angles since the 2009 bottom, it consistently triggers a significant drop. The end cycle at the 360° angle corresponds to 7926—perfectly aligning with all the previously mentioned Fibonacci zones.
And for those skeptical of technical analysis, consider this: the upcoming year, 2026, is a pivotal year in the Samuel Benner chart developed in 1875 to identify periods of financial disorder. Benner’s chart indicated when to buy, when to sell, and when to expect chaos. Remarkably, it has accurately forecasted major financial crashes over the past 150 years—including the Great Depression, the Dot-Com bust, and the 2020 COVID crash. According to this chart, selling during the crash year and re-entering post-crash has historically led to profitable outcomes with a +-2 Years at a 87.5% accuracy.
When you combine all these signals, it feels reckless not to take them seriously—especially since this marks the end of a cycle measured from 2009. That’s how significant it is.
To those who dismiss technical analysis, this may sound like smoke and mirrors. But for those who’ve seen its power firsthand, the sheer number of confluences here is too substantial to ignore. If I know such big crash may happen - I would be happy to wait 1-2 years on cash and take opportunity of big red markets to buy.
Curious to hear your thoughts on this.
Bitcoin: Curve AdjustmentsBottoms can be expressed as a curve which matches logarithmic growth patterns. In the long-term perspective it serves as signal of trend's transition phase in broader scale. Coordinate of top adjusted accordingly.
Extending them is crucial because together they gives boundaries of range compression. Some sort of wave limits which help to clarify price-based levels.
XAU/USD 26 August 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
BTCUSDT: Trade this fractals 106K!!!Hello, as you can see on the Bitcoin chart, the price has broken two important trend lines and has also made pullbacks. What we can expect for the price movement is that the price will first reach the level of 106,000 and then we will see growth for Bitcoin according to the drawn lines, meaning it will first reach the level of 111,000 and after a correction, it will grow to 117,000.
SUI Weekly AnalysisBeen following SUI for a while now and bullish formation still intact.
Being patient for the “right” trade.
What does the “right” trade look like?
I’m looking for price to enter or come close to the last higher low in the most recent fractal. You can see me tracing HH & HL within a higher timeframe to verify direction.
To be more specific, I’m looking to enter around the last sell (supply) on the 4HR/1HR. I should see either a BOS or no new lows being made inside my defined range.
An analogy I like to use is I must trade like Jerome Powell cuts rates. I need to first see evidence that the “economy” (price) is changing.
Risk management is rule #1. If it doesn’t fit, be patient. There will always be another opportunity. ALWAYS!!!
▒𖢻▒ ETHEREUM FORECAST | 1D ▒𖢻▒COINBASE:ETHUSD
My ETH Forecast on the Daily. Long-Term I believe ETH will see a 35% drop before a 100% gain.
The first part of this forecast is shown here.
This can always change, this is my initial forecast from watching price action for thousands of hours. The Fibonacci Sequence supports these fractal forecasts and as well as the trading patterns throughout the history of Ethereum.
I am a Bitcoin Maximalist so I am not trading ETH, however if I was I'd be taking large profits and/or trading out of all of my positions at this current level ($5,000 - $4,600) and reposition back in around these valley levels ($3,300 - $3,000).
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
▒₿▒ BITCOIN FORECAST | 6HR ▒₿▒COINBASE:BTCUSD
This post is based off of historical price action analysis and Fibonacci measurements. I am not including these in the main chart as I like to put the focus on the price action for all of you. In a day and age of information we can tend to overdo it sometimes and the price action is something that is extremely fundamental when it comes to analysis, patterns and forecasting.
I've identified a unique pattern viewable in Heikin Ashi that signals trend exhaustion and distribution at major market tops. I will be working on another post showing this.
Historically, this pattern has resolved to the downside in a significant way. I've been out of the "game" for a few years in addition to this cycle being like no other. We've broken previous patterns, trends and correlations from previous cycles. I am still working to nail down these forecasts.
I've got a big project that I'm working on so my time is limited here, however I am developing and testing some indicators which I will be releasing here soon. In addition to this as I put more time into BTC analysis I will begin to have more accurate forecasts and long-term planning for BTC investments and trading.
As it is right now. I have had at least one person call me crazy and a noob for saying this but we can expect the BTC Bear Market Low to be about $33K in 2026. I will be doing a post on this too. I am well aware of the cost to mine a single Bitcoin and Capitulation and we did see this happen before in the past.
Here is how the current forecast looks on the 1Day.
I am now forecasting a break of the critical support trendline, currently sitting around $112,500.
A confirmed 6H candle close below this level would, in my view, be the final confirmation. This could trigger a much deeper and faster correction than many are expecting, with a first major target in the $100,000 - $104,000 zone.
There still of course remains the possibility of BTC hitting our target Bull Run Peak of $150K in December of this year. This a little less likely as I have additional information I have come across in my analysis. While we saw major resistance at the $124K levels, a huge rejection, trends broken on the daily charts, and potential consolidation there is still hope for BTC's $150K run. The Pi Cycle and other information does tell a different story.
One thing is for certain (almost certain) and that is that the identification of the Twin Shooting Star Candles on the 1-Week indicates we are going into weeks or months of a bear market and/or consolidation.
My view is more than likely not going to change on the short term (weeks to a few months) of BTC going down and/or consolidating. The critical level is that $100K mark, if we drop below this consider it highly unlikely that we will be making that run to $150K.
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
Frames of Reference🏛️ Research Notes
Fibonacci Channels as Frames of Reference
Just like Schrödinger’s wave equation describes all possible states of a quantum system, the market at any moment holds a spectrum of potential price paths. Hence, commonality is that, the wave function is a mathematical description of probabilities, not certainties, just like market state is a blend of possible moves, not a single predetermined path.
In quantum mechanics, choosing a measurement basis determines which aspects of the wave function become clear. In charting, each Fibonacci channel is a “measurement frame,” tuned to a certain proportion or scaling law that the market tends to respect. So if we say have multiple channels, then by overlaying several, you capture different interference layers, revealing systemic alignments that a single frame would miss. (Structure Memory and Duality )
SUIUSDT: Price Action AnalysisGiven that we had an accelerated move upwards, so it needs a break and correction. It seems that liquidity has not yet been filled at low prices, so it is expected that the trend will start to decline after reaching the 3.75 point and correct to the 3.4 point and continue its growth again.
▒H▒ HEDERA FORECAST | 6HR ▒H▒
CRYPTOCAP:HBAR
Someone was screaming about HBAR in the Cryptocurrency chat so I took a look. I am not trading this nor other ALTS. I may with a tiny amount of money here and there. I fundamentally and strongly believe in BTC and BTC only as the King. With that being said I do realize there is a need for utility based (non-meme coins). I would never trade a coin that I was not fine with losing all of the money involved (which will only be a little in these situations) or being stuck holding it for 5+ years. Which is why I will always be a Bitcoin Maximalist.
This is my forecast showing an HBAR low of $0.14 in early Oct.
============================================
An Introduction to Hedera (HBAR)
Often called the "trust layer of the internet," Hedera is a public network designed for the decentralized economy, but with a unique architecture that sets it apart from traditional blockchains.
At its core, Hedera is not built on a blockchain. Instead, it utilizes a patented consensus algorithm called Hashgraph, a type of Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG). This technology allows for incredibly high throughput (10,000+ transactions per second), near real-time finality, and the highest grade of security (aBFT), all while maintaining fair ordering of transactions and stable, low-cost fees.
What truly distinguishes Hedera is its governance model. The network is owned and overseen by the Hedera Governing Council, a rotating body of world-leading, term-limited organizations such as Google, IBM, Boeing, Dell, and LG. This model is designed to provide stable and reliable decentralized governance, ensuring the network will never fork and can be trusted by enterprises for mission-critical applications.
The native token, HBAR, serves two primary functions: it acts as fuel to pay for network services like smart contracts and transactions, and it is used to secure the network through staking.
In summary, Hedera is engineered from the ground up for mainstream, enterprise-grade adoption, prioritizing performance, security, and stable governance to power real-world decentralized applications.
I WILL BE POSTING FORECASTS FROM THE TOP TRADED ALTS IN ADDITION TO MY REGULAR BITCOIN POSTS.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
COINBASE:XRPUSD
BINANCE:BNBUSD
COINBASE:SOLUSD
COINBASE:DOGEUSDC
COINBASE:SOLUSD
CAPITALCOM:ADAUSD
COINBASE:LINKUSDC.P
DISCLAIMER
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
ES primed for BIG end of month runAnalysis of the Fractal Pattern:
The analysis identifies two similar sequences of price movement, highlighted by colored arrows and boxed sections:
1. Initial Pattern (Left Side):
◦ Yellow Arrow (Support): The first fractal begins with a bounce from a lower trendline within the main channel.
◦ White Arrow (Resistance): Price then rallies to an intermediate high, where it faces rejection.
◦ Blue Arrow (Higher Low): Following the rejection, the price pulls back but establishes a higher low, finding strong support at the bottom trendline of the main ascending channel. This higher low is a critical bullish signal, indicating that buyers are stepping in at progressively higher prices.
2. Repeating Pattern (Right Side):
◦ Yellow Arrow (Support): The second, more recent pattern mirrors the first, starting with a bounce from an intermediate support level.
◦ White Arrow (Resistance): Price rallies towards the “Mth & 3 Mth VAH” (Monthly and 3-Month Value Area High) at approximately 6,499.75, where it is initially rejected.
◦ Blue Arrow (Higher Low): Similar to the first instance, the price then pulls back to the main channel’s lower trendline, forming another significant higher low around the 6,335.25 level before launching a strong upward impulse.
Key Observations and Outlook:
• Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the boundaries of the ascending channel, which currently defines the uptrend. The lower trendline acts as dynamic support, while the upper trendline represents potential resistance.
• Breakout and Target: After completing the second fractal with a strong bounce (blue arrow), the price successfully broke above the key resistance level at the Monthly & 3-Month VAH (6,499.75).
• Current Price Action: The price is now approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The most recent candle shows a bearish rejection at this level (indicated by the pink arrow), suggesting this trendline is acting as formidable resistance.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Continuation: If the fractal continues to play out, a period of consolidation or a minor pullback might occur before another attempt to break the upper channel trendline. A confirmed breakout above this channel would signal a significant acceleration of the uptrend.
• Bearish Reversal (Short-Term): The rejection at the top of the channel (pink arrow) could lead to a pullback. Key support levels to watch would be the recent breakout level at 6,499.75 and, subsequently, the channel’s midpoint. A break below the main channel’s lower trendline would invalidate this bullish structure.
Disclaimer: This commentary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading financial markets involves significant risk.
Temporal Aspect of FractalityIn this publication, I would like to bring some clarity to the series of my unconventional analysis.
At this stage of my research I have no doubt that market's natural growth patterns can be defined by historic range and power exponents of Phi. Essentially, it's just two overall fib channels that cover structural boundaries of bullruns from ATH to new ATH mapped to bottom as 3rd coordinate. When we have angle of fibs derived from chronological highs, the ratios would cover the levels of oscillation from price scale perspective.
Whereas the temporal aspect of fractality, requires looking for frequency of reversals in price dynamics. So instead of connecting pivots of same classification, we interconnect opposite points of extremes in order to tune fib direction to the angle of trend and map 3 coordinate to next swing point. This way the spacings that come with the fib proportions would indicate rhythm of trend occurrence.
The primary objective of this publication is to expose traders to the forces underlying market behavior. Specifically for illustrating temporal rhythms, the end result seen in interactive chart looks like a more simplified version of works i've shared earlier.
QLYS QUALYS Scenario for LongFrom my beginners fractals analysis I projected the following upmoves (price level) and added seasonality-based timing for 'em.
Up till Sept 12th, then correction, then another seasonal winning period around october 25th ending somewhere end of november.
Comment, support, chat with me. let 's discuss.
SILVER WILL NEED MORE BULLISH POWER TO OVERCOME SELLERS' LEVEL!With XAGUSD breaking bullish structure on the daily, facing selling pressures on weekly and slowing down on monthly outlooks; it will require more buying power for price to go beyond 78.6% fib level without revert to its mean first.
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd