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Fractal

$eth 15 min , new york setup 🧠 Session-Based Liquidity & Manipulation Asia low was swept — liquidity grab confirmed. Price is now stabilizing above the Alligator, signaling potential reversal. 🐊 Bill Williams Alligator Signal Alligator is coiling and turning up — bullish awakening in progress. Price holding above lips/teeth supports long bias. 🎯 Corrected ETHUSD Trade Plan – Long Setup Entry Zone: 3,846 – 3,850 (retest of Alligator support) Stop Loss: 3,777 (below recent swing low — as per chart) TP1: 3,875 (first liquidity above) TP2: 3,900 (next HTF level & Asia high) ✅ Confirmation Needed: Bullish candle close above 3,850. Hold above Alligator lips (~3,840–3,845). Volume spike on the move up. Bottom Line: Asia low taken, manipulation complete. Alligator supports bullish reversal. Long above 3,846, stop below 3,777. — origami_capita133 | TradingView 👉 Like & Follow if this helps your trading. Trade with discipline, not emotion.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by origami_capital33
1
XAU/USD 22 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910. Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
$BTC/USDT LONG 30MIN 📊 **BTC/USDT – Smart Money + Bill Williams Confluence** **Bias:** Long 🟩 After a clean **sell-side liquidity sweep** below the old low, Bill Williams’ **Alligator lines** are flattening—indicating consolidation before a potential expansion upward. 🎯 **Setup Details:** * **Entry:** $108,150 * **Stop Loss:** $107,536 * **Take Profit:** $110,390 * **R:R:** ≈ 3:1 🔹Confluence: MSS + FVG + OB + Bill Williams Alligator reset 🔹Expecting expansion once price closes above $108,700 #BTC #ICTtrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #BillWilliams #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction
Long
by origami_capital33
3
GOLD H4 DOUBLE TOP WILL LIKELY DRAG PRICE FURTHER DOWNXAUUSD on H4 chart, has confirmed a bearish Double Top pattern after failing to break resistance around the 4,380 level. The pattern was validated by a decisive break below the 4,200 neckline, signalling a clear shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. This breakdown suggests the recent uptrend is over and sellers are now in control, which will drag gold further down. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBearMkt
EUR/USD: Cycle Analysis You Can’t IgnoreThis chart reveals a dominant 220-bar cycle in the EUR/USD pair ..a repeating rhythm that has shaped market structure for decades. Out of the last 13 major cycle signals, 10 have delivered strong trade results, each aligning closely with turning points in the broader trend. Every major turning point has followed this same cyclical rhythm, proving that even through major global shifts, the market still moves in repeating, fractal patterns. Cycle and fractal analysis continue to provide some of the most objective timing tools in modern trading. While many still dismiss cycles as “theoretical,” the data says otherwise. Question for You: Are you still dismissing cycle analysis, or are you ready to use it to stay ahead of the next major move? Watch the current cycle high!
Short
by Kenayi
$sol 1hr long setup Market Structure: Higher highs/lows intact - bullish continuation pattern Liquidity Grab: Recent dip to $182.74 likely swept sell-side liquidity below previous low Optimal Trade Entry: Current zone around $185-186 presents potential long entry BILL WILLIAMS ALLIGATOR CONFIRMATION: Price currently trading ABOVE the Alligator's lips/jaws (bullish alignment) TRADE PLAN: Entry Zone: $185.00 - $185.50 (with confirmation) Stop Loss: Below $182.50 (respecting market structure) Targets: TP1: $187.11 (immediate FVG) TP2: $190.00 (psychological + structural) TP3: $193.78 (swing high extension) RISK MANAGEMENT: Position size according to 1-2% risk rule
Long
by origami_capital33
EUR/USD Forecast: How I Plan to Trade the Euro Next WeekOn the daily chart, we can see the formation of a new trading range as a result of interaction with the weekly key level. We can mark D FVG as a zone of interest from which I would like to work on continuing the trend in long. Entry into the position will be executed upon confirmation of the volume on the 4-hour chart. If you found this useful, please write about it in the comments. Feedback is very motivating to publish more useful material.
Long
by MomentumXAlgoritmA-B
XAU/USD 21 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2025. I have been mentioning in my alternative scenario for almost 1-month that all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. This is how price printed. Price has printed a bearish iBOS after a very long duration and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. The bearish iBOS has also confirmed the swing-high. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50%, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Zig Zag Indicator UPD: Cycle DualityIn some earlier works I've mentioned how Markets follow Brownian Motion that explains its probabilistic memory and denies geometric one. And with the recent update of Zig Zag that monitors both directive and temporal aspect of the swings, I'd like to return to review that subject again. Recap of Known Contradicting Theories Brownian motion is a random walk, often used as a model for stock price movements. In its simplest form, it assumes that price changes are independent and identically distributed with a normal distribution. However, financial markets exhibit trends, cycles, and volatility clustering, which are not captured by simple Brownian motion. Benoit Mandelbrot studied the fractal nature of financial markets. He proposed that markets are better modeled using fractal geometry and that price movements exhibit: Fat tails: Extreme events occur more frequently than predicted by the normal distribution. Long-term dependence: Price changes are not independent; there is persistence in volatility and sometimes in returns. Self-similarity: Market patterns repeat at different time scales. Why measuring both H2H and L2L cycles matters: (Please do not confuse with directional swing HH LH LL HL, as they are of trend's price motion and not temporal!) Basic Thoughts The traditional way to measure cycles is through a systematic 𖼆 movements, so that the time distance between Lows counts as cycle length. The best way to fool myself would be to just stick with one method of tracking market rhythms. So, having second perspective of what cycle is, through inverse time count 𖼓 (H ➔ H), would technically back the original one or even challenge at times, which by definition increases awareness of the price fluctuation. We figured that markets move in alternating phases of accumulation and distribution, that's why only measuring one gives half the story. Cycle Confirmation: When H2H and L2L cycles align in duration, it suggests stable, rhythmic market behavior. Divergences signal potential trend changes. Phase Relationships: The timing between highs and lows reveals market temperament: Short 𖼆 + Long 𖼓 = Strong uptrend Short 𖼓 + Long 𖼆 = Strong downtrend Similar durations = Consolidation/balanced market Brownian Motion Contrast By default assumes H2H ≈ L2L (durations symmetry) Random phase relationships No persistent asymmetries The indicator's value comes from measuring exactly what Brownian motion cannot explain. I'm essentially interested in building a temporal map of market psychology rather than just a price map. The dual aspects of timing would letting you see the complete waveform rather than just half of it. The next update would probably be after carefully linking normalized Averaged(True Range/close *100) to the directional wave, in order to reveal how price swings are naturally scaled. It might give some constants which could be used for modeling.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
3
XAU/USD 20 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. I have been mentioning in my alternative scenario for almost 1-month that all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. This is how price printed. Price has printed a bearish iBOS after a very long duration and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. The bearish iBOS has also confirmed the swing-high. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50%, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Baidu -the awakening of the Chinese giantBaidu (BIDU) has been moving within a descending channel, and the price is now testing the lower boundary of a key demand zone. On the monthly chart, the stock is attempting to hold above the 115–120 range, which could signal the beginning of a mid-term reversal. The upside potential extends toward 163, 205, and 357, where major supply zones and the upper border of the long-term channel are located. Baidu remains a leader in China’s AI and internet search industries. The company continues to invest heavily in autonomous driving and cloud technologies, reinforcing its long-term position. With the yuan weakening and expectations of a softer monetary stance from Beijing, the tech sector gains additional tailwinds. The stock is consolidating near key support, and a breakout above the range may trigger a new bullish phase. Investors should watch the 115–120 zone as a potential launch point for growth. Volatility may stay elevated, so risk management remains essential.
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by InvestWorld_777
GBPUSD Monday judas swing???? This asset is on a down trend from the clear bias on the high time frames,,, the Friday candle only created a range by forming an inside bar after sweeping the previous week low...making the DOL previous weeks high. the ultimate liquidity target is the monthly low...keep a keen eye. However for today only one setup stands out considering the statements above , the ob- formed after Friday's high swept the Thursday high and rallied down. take the trade or set a pending order. Thank me later GLGT
Short
by mitg
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical AnalysisGold chart analysis: After a relatively heavy drop on Friday, Gold is currently showing a time-based correction. In my view, Gold may find a lower point around 4,176 – 4,154. If it accumulates liquidity in this support zone, a new high could be expected again. For now, I will wait for this area to consider a long position. Analysis based on the NDS method, following the style of Professor Iraj Jafarian. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by yasinmohammadreza
2
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
2
WILL GBPUSD CORRECTION ENDS WITH SIMPLE WXY OR WXYXZ?Cable is undergoing a weekly having successfully break above the 1.34342 resistance now turned support level to extend its impulse trend. Will the pair's trend continue after a simple wxy correction, or a more complex wxyxz or even breakdown? N.B! - GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gbpusd #cable
Long
by BullBearMkt
Top-Down Analysis Strategy: How I Open and Manage TradesLearn how I use top-down analysis from senior to junior timeframes to find high-probability entry points and confidently follow through on trades. On the weekly chart, I identify point A and the presumed point B — this is my idea. Then, gradually shifting through the timeframes, I need to confirm this idea. I get confirmation when volume appears on the chart. On the daily chart, I note the formation of a new trading range, which arises as a result of the interaction of the price with the key level. I determine the POI in the form of a daily FVG — my idea is confirmed, and the price is ready to move towards point B. I also note the daily SNR as a potential zone of interest. If the price reacts to the SNR, it will mean that I am working in a strong trend. If the reaction occurs on the FVG, the movement simply continues along the trend. If you are interested in the topic of working in ranges, write in the comments — I will definitely cover it. As a result of the daily SNR test, the price confirms the presence of volume through the formation of a 4-hour True SNR. You can open a position from it with a limit order with a target beyond point B and fix the risk/profit ratio at 1:2. If you found this article interesting and my method useful, I would appreciate your support — please like, share, and help promote this article so that it reaches more traders.
Education
by MomentumXAlgoritmA-B