Fundamental Analysis
The Earnings Playbook: How to Navigate Each Quarter Like a ProTraders are in the heat of the earnings season and euphoria is sweeping every corner of the market. 
The charts twitch, traders stop talking about the Fed for five minutes ( not this week, though ), and online forums turn into a parade of watch-me-trade sessions. 
It’s that glorious stretch when companies pop open the books and reveal what’s really been happening behind the scenes.
For professional investors, it’s data heaven. For retail traders, it’s emotional cardio. Stocks can rise 20% on a single upbeat forecast — or plummet before your coffee cools. The trick isn’t just to survive it. It’s to navigate it like a pro.
💼  Know the Seasons (and the Mood Swings) 
Earnings season comes four times a year — January, April, July, and October — and each has its own flavor.
 
 Q1 (April): That’s the hangover quarter. Holiday sales meet new-year cost cuts. Traders recalibrate expectations and reality collides with ambition.
 Q2 (July): The mid-year checkup. CEOs brag about “momentum,” analysts start sharpening their red pencils. Markets get twitchy.
 Q3 (October): The credibility test. Guidance revisions and cautious tones dominate. If the year’s been good, this is where the victory laps start.
 Q4 (January): The scoreboard reveal. Everyone tallies their annual wins and losses, and traders begin to bet on who carries the next year’s momentum.
 Each cycle has a similar rhythm: hype, reaction, digestion, and speculation. Think of it like a four-act play.
📊  Mind the Gap 
One thing to keep in mind whenever you find yourself in the earnings bonanza: the actual numbers matter less than the narrative. ( Looking at you, Oracle   NYSE:ORCL )
A company can beat on revenue, miss on profit, and still rally — if the CEO sells a compelling story about the next quarter. Conversely, it can post record earnings and tank because analysts wanted even more.
The pros know to look beyond the headline EPS. They dig into guidance, margins, and segment performance. Is revenue growing because of genuine demand, or just creative accounting? Are margins improving, or did the company quietly cut R&D? 
Markets don’t price what’s happened — they price what’s next. That’s especially true for growth stocks like t echnology companies .
🎯  Don’t Chase the Knee-Jerk 
Every earnings season has its share of instant overreactions — the “up 10% at open, down 8% by lunch” kind of chaos. That’s when seasoned traders sit back and let volatility do the heavy lifting.
Smart money avoids buying into the frenzy or shorting into despair. Instead, they wait for the second move — when dust settles, algorithms calm down, and humans return to their desks.
🧠  Build Your Own Playbook 
To trade earnings season like a pro, you need a plan. Here’s how the veterans prep:
Start early. Check the  earnings calendar  and mark high-impact names in your portfolio or watchlist.
 
 Study the setup. Look at how the stock’s performed heading into earnings. A big pre-report rally can mean expectations are too high.
 Focus on guidance. Earnings beats are old news — future commentary moves markets.
 Use position sizing. Never bet the farm on one report. Even the best setups can go sideways.
 Don’t forget the macro. Rate cuts, inflation prints, or a stray tweet from the US President can overshadow the best earnings beat.
 🕹️  The Big Picture: Earnings as Market GPS 
Earnings season is the market’s health check because it tells you which sectors are thriving, which are limping, and how CEOs feel about the future (watch the language: “headwinds” and “volatility” are polite ways of saying buckle up). 
Taken together, earnings trends shape the broader narrative — from interest rate expectations to sector rotations. In other words, earnings season is where short-term trading meets long-term investing.
Now go and prepare for the next batch of earnings —  Big Tech is on deck  this week with Apple  NASDAQ:AAPL  and Amazon  NASDAQ:AMZN  reporting today. 
 Off to you : What’s your strategy this earnings season? Buying the hype or waiting to buy the dip? Share your thoughts in the comments! 
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets.  It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place.  The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve done pretty well this week so we’ll only share the levels and potential path but say that it’s really not worth getting involved in the FOMC move itself.  We’d rather wait for them to move the price and then look for a set up to get a trade due to the extreme volatility on gold this month.  
Below, we have the support level 3965-75 which needs to hold us up in order for this daily candle to close bullish and attempt to target the higher liquidity regions of 4050 and above that 4095.  A break above which is very possible will take us into our area or interest which is around the 4150 region.  It’s that region we will want to watch, if approached and we get a reaction, an opportunity to short from there may be available to traders.  
Because we’re already in long from the swing, there is no point attempting to short it from here, instead, if we do go downside into the lower levels, we will be looking at the 3840-60 regions for a reaction in price to then attempt the scalp long.  
RED BOXES:
Break below 3985 for 3955 and 3938 in extension of the move
Break above 4003 for 4020, 4030 and 4061 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow.  We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BTC Analysis 30/10/2025BTC / USDT 
Bitcoin is forming a massive ascending wedge pattern, a bearish pattern currently undergoing a bearish retest.
The 200-day EMA is a significant support level and has been tested multiple times in the past few weeks. The more it is retested, the weaker the support becomes.
The sharp drop on October 10th impacted the market's direction.
Bearish targets for this scenario:
First support: 103,000 - 100,000
Major support: 94,000 - 89,000
Summary: The market is currently bearish, and we can revise our analysis if Bitcoin manages to stabilize above 117,000.
#LINKUSDT:minor correction first | major bullish move towards 40The LINKUSDT price is expected to decline to a range between 11.72 and 14.72 before resuming its upward trend. This price range has historically seen significant trading volume, indicating that a drop within this range is likely in the near future. 
Once a trading position is initiated, there are three primary targets to consider. The first target is set at 25, which is highly achievable due to its proximity to the current price levels. The second target is at 35, which is also within reach with favourable market conditions.
The final target is at 45, which may require more time to achieve and will depend on strong fundamental support and positive market developments.
Good luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
USDJPY → Attempt to break through trend resistance FX:USDJPY  breaks through the resistance of the bullish pattern and attempts to remain in the long zone. There is a possibility of price growth against the backdrop of the dollar's rise following Powell's speech.
  
The dollar is recovering after the Fed meeting, and against this backdrop, the Japanese yen is losing ground, breaking through resistance at 153.23. The currency pair is trying to capitalize on the chance for growth. 
The Japanese yen is forming a breakout of the resistance of a bullish pattern: an ascending triangle + consolidation on a bullish trend.
If buyers keep the price above 153.23, the market will have a chance to grow to 154.7.
 Resistance levels: 153.23, 154.7
Support levels: 151.85, 152.37 
On D1, the currency pair is trying to overcome the resistance of a multi-month downward correction. Locally, on H1, there is a breakout of the bullish pattern structure, which indicates interest from buyers. The chances of growth from 153 will appear if the price consolidates above the specified level.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trading Bots: The Future of the Markets?Let’s be real, the idea of a trading bot sounds like the holy grail.
Set it up, go to bed, and wake up to profit.
If only it were that simple.
Most bots don’t fail because of bad code, they fail because of bad logic.
A bot is only as good as the rules you give it.
 What a Trading Bot Actually Does 
A bot doesn’t predict the market, it reacts to it.
It follows a defined strategy:
Buy when X happens, sell when Y is confirmed, cut losses if price breaks Z.
That’s all.
No fear. No greed. No “maybe I’ll wait for one more candle.”
The power of bots isn’t in magic,it’s in consistency.
They do what most traders can’t: follow the plan exactly as written, every single time.
  
 Why Most Bots Fail 
The truth?
Most traders plug in random bots they find online without understanding what’s inside.
They win a few trades, feel invincible… and then lose it all when volatility spikes.
The reason isn’t the bot, it’s the lack of testing and understanding.
If you don’t know your system’s weak spots, you’ll eventually find them the hard way.
That’s why backtesting matters.
 Backtesting: Your First Line of Defense 
Backtesting shows how your logic performs over hundreds of trades — across bull, bear, and sideways markets.
It reveals your system’s strengths, weaknesses, and drawdowns before you risk a dollar.
A good backtest should tell you:
 
 Your average win rate and risk/reward ratio.
 How your system handles volatility.
 How often it hits consecutive losses.
 Whether your edge actually holds over time.
 
If your bot looks good in backtests and performs similarly in live conditions — you’re onto something real.
*Example of one of our indicator
  
 How Bots Can Enhance Your Trading 
You don’t have to hand everything over to automation.
In fact, many great traders use bots to handle the mechanical side, while keeping the decision-making human.
Here are a few examples:
 
 Trade Execution: Let the bot enter trades instantly after your setup triggers.
 Risk Management: Bots can move stop-losses, take partial profits, or scale positions automatically.
 Signal Filtering: Use automation to scan hundreds of pairs and alert you only when conditions align.
 Backtesting Sandbox: Test new ideas safely with data before deploying them live.
 
Bots don’t replace traders, they multiply efficiency.
They free your mind from execution so you can focus on refinement.
 The Real Lesson 
A trading bot isn’t a shortcut.
It’s a mirror, it reflects your discipline, your rules, and your logic.
If your plan is solid, a bot will make it unstoppable.
If your plan is weak, it’ll just lose money faster.
Automation doesn’t fix bad habits, it exposes them.
So learn the logic, test it hard, then let the system do what humans struggle with most: follow the plan.
#EURUSD: +1100 Pips Selling Opportunity Comment Your Views?EUR/USD has consolidated on the weekly timeframe and recently shown signs of distribution, suggesting a potential downward move. As of the latest market data, EUR/USD is trading around 1.0670, having failed to hold above the 1.0750 resistance zone. Furthermore, the pair has slipped below the 50-day moving average, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The European Central Bank has maintained interest rates at 4.00%, while the Federal Reserve has hinted at keeping rates higher for longer, strengthening the US dollar. Recent US data, including a better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report and a stable CPI at 3.2%, further supports the downside bias in EUR/USD.
This setup presents a swing selling opportunity with a primary target near 1.0550, aligning with the previous support zone. Traders may consider using smaller interim targets, such as 1.0620 and 1.0580, while adjusting positions according to their trading plans and risk management strategies.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD → Price stuck in range after Fed speech FX:XAUUSD  continues to battle for the $4,000 zone. The fundamental backdrop has a hint of unpredictability following the Fed's statement. Technically, the range of 3,915-4,015 is developing
Key factors: US shutdown (4th week): Weighs on the economy and the dollar, supporting gold as a safe haven. However, the Fed toughened its tone yesterday: It cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell ruled out guarantees for a cut in December. Trump and Xi meeting: Agreements reached on soybeans and rare earths, reducing demand for defensive assets.
Gold balances between shutdown risks and monetary policy tightening. Growth is only possible if macro statistics deteriorate or geopolitics escalate.
 Resistance levels: 4015 - 4050
Support levels: 3980 - 3960 - 3915 
Gold may continue its correction from the 4015 - 4050 zone to 3950 - 3900 if the bulls are unable to keep the price within the upper range. However, if the market continues to buy the metal (there are no fundamental reasons for this yet) and the price closes above 4015, there may be a chance for growth to 4050 - 4085.
Best regards, R. Linda!
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Swing Buy, Price Heading Towards Previous HH!Bitcoin is nearing a previous high of 126K. As of the latest data, it trades around 112K, with a 24-hour volume of $38 billion and a market capitalisation of $2.1 trillion. However, before reaching that level, it’s likely to correct towards our entry zone between 108K and 110K. This level is significant because we anticipate a substantial increase in market volume. Historical data shows that similar corrections have led to a 15–20% increase in trading activity.
On-chain metrics indicate a 7% rise in active wallets over the past week, and institutional inflows totalled approximately $1.3 billion in the last seven days. The Bitcoin dominance index currently sits at 54%, suggesting continued interest despite broader market fluctuations.
This short-term view allows us to observe the price accumulating and on the verge of distribution. Based on your trading style, you can select one of three targets:
- Target 1: 118K (conservative)
- Target 2: 122K (moderate)
- Target 3: 126K (aggressive)
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely. If you find our work helpful, please like and comment on our ideas.
Team Setupsfx_
S&P 500 Index Showing Weakness – Correction Ahead?Over the past seven days, the  S&P 500 index( SP:SPX )  has been on a bullish run, frequently hitting new all-time highs. However, in the last two or three weeks, it's been influenced by the ongoing  tariff tensions between the U.S. and China .
Let's look at the latest  news  about the  S&P 500 index :
 The IMF has flagged that market valuations might be a bit high, hinting at possible corrections. Plus, there's been a fresh look at how well China’s sticking to the 2020 trade deal, and on top of that, a new trade agreement in Southeast Asia is in the mix. So that’s the quick rundown! 
Right now, if we look at the  S&P 500  on a 1-hour timeframe, the index is near its  Resistance lines  and has  lost its uptrend line , which is a sign of  weakening momentum .
We also saw a  Shooting Star Candlestick pattern  form in the last few hours with good volume, adding credibility to the potential for a  pullback .
From an  Elliott Wave  standpoint, it seems the  S&P 500  has completed its wave 3, and we might see a  wave 4 correction  in the coming hours or days. 
There's a noticeable  Negative Regular Divergence(RD-)  between the  recent tops , and even on the daily timeframe, there's a divergence signaling potential weakness.
I expect the  S&P 500  could drop at least to its  Support line , around the  $6,857 . 
 Note: The cryptocurrency market, and especially  Bitcoin , has been highly correlated with the S&P 500 index these weeks, and a possible correction in this index could lead to a correction in this market.
 
 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. 
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
 Be sure to follow the updated ideas. 
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Sellers Regain Control After False On the H1 timeframe, EUR/USD continues to respect its bearish market structure, with price failing to sustain above short-term resistance near 1.1635 – 1.1650. The pair recently attempted a bullish breakout, but the move was quickly rejected, leading to a strong bearish engulfing candle that brought price back into the prior range.
This rejection confirms the presence of active sellers near the upper boundary of the consolidation zone, suggesting that the market is preparing for another push toward the support zone at 1.1575 – 1.1580.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 1.1635 – 1.1650
Major Resistance: 1.1680 – 1.1700
Immediate Support: 1.1575 – 1.1580
Next Support: 1.1540
Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish – focus on short positions after failed breakout confirmation
Entry Zone: 1.1625 – 1.1635
Stop-Loss: Above 1.1655
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.1580
TP2: 1.1540
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better
Technical Outlook
The broader sentiment remains negative for the euro as the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen amid rising Treasury yields and cautious risk sentiment. Unless EUR/USD closes above 1.1655 on the H1 or H4 timeframe, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Look for bearish rejections or RSI rollover near resistance to confirm renewed selling pressure.
Stay disciplined and follow for more daily market insights and professional trade setups designed for price-action traders.
EURNZD found a strong support area near 2.0080EURNZD found a strong support area near 2.0080
 
The price has already reacted, indicating the presence of bulls in that area. EURNZD is positioned to rise again.
Today the ECB left interest rates unchanged as expected at 2.15% Main Refinancing Operations Rate and Deposit Rate at 2%. This was a slightly aggressive message. However, the focus will be on President Largard's comments.
So far EURNZD is inclined to rise, but any negative comments can easily lower it. You should know this in advance.
 You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ 
Gold resumes upward trend after testing 3900📣Gold resumes upward trend after testing 3900 
From my update yesterday, gold is clearly rising. The market is positioned for a rate cut by the FED today. 
The FED is expected to cut rates by 25 bps to 4% vs 4.25 previous.
Whether this is good or bad for gold is another topic, as gold moves as it wants dominated by a strong bullish trend. 
However, our area near 3900 stopped the price, indicating that who created the bearish movement was taking some profits and may be  is back in the game to make more  profits.
I think Gold can go higher today, despite the big mess that FOMC could create today.
 You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BCHUSDT → Consolidation ahead of news. Target 600?BINANCE:BCHUSDT.P  is consolidating above key resistance. Consolidation is forming ahead of news. Are the bulls in play?
  
Bitcoin is consolidating, trading above key support at 111650. News ahead, a positive outcome could support the market, including altcoins...
As for BCHUSDT, the coin is breaking through the strong resistance zone of 549.15 as part of a bullish trend and is forming consolidation in the range of 549-570. A liquidity pool has formed below 549. There is a high probability of a long squeeze before growth. 
 Resistance levels: 570, 600, 612
Support levels: 549.15, 533, 511.25 
The market is bullish, which is clearly visible on the D1 timeframe. After a strong rally, the coin is entering a consolidation phase, which is forming above the previously broken resistance. A retest of support could trigger growth in the direction of the trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
LULU 1D -  stretching into a comebackOn the daily chart of Lululemon Athletica (LULU), a clean AB=CD pattern is forming, signaling a potential end to the correction and the beginning of a new upward wave. The price has tested the strong buy zone between 164–167, aligned with a major daily support level and rising volume - a classic setup indicating that buyers are regaining control.
 Technically , the structure is highly symmetrical, RSI shows a bullish divergence, and the 50-day moving average is starting to turn upward - all suggesting a possible trend reversal. The first upside target for this pattern is $230, followed by a second target at $340, which corresponds to the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions.
From a  fundamental standpoint,  Lululemon remains a powerhouse in the premium activewear market, maintaining strong brand loyalty even amid competition from Nike and Alo. The company continues to expand its men’s line and footwear segment, which now accounts for over 25% of total revenue. International growth remains robust, with new stores opening in South Korea, the UAE, and Germany. Lululemon’s shift toward higher-margin online sales and more efficient logistics continues to strengthen its profitability.
In the latest quarterly report (September 2025),  revenue grew by 9%  year-over-year, and EPS came in above Wall Street expectations. High customer retention - over  90% repeat purchase rate  - and stable gross margins create a solid foundation for a mid-term recovery in the stock.
 Tactical plan: watch for entries within the 164–167 buy zone, consider partial profit-taking near $230, and target $340 if momentum extends. Just like in yoga, patience and balance lead to the best results. 
USD/JPY Upside Potential Buy SetupUSD/JPY is positioned near 153.600, showing signs of upside potential as the yen softens and the dollar remains robust. Momentum could carry the pair toward the next resistance zone if support holds and sentiment remains favorable.
 Key Levels:
Buy Entry: 153.600
Take Profit: 154.017
Stop Loss: 153.250 
Reasoning:
 Technically,  the pair is forming a base around 153.600, with recent consolidations hinting at a breakout toward 154.017.
 Fundamentally,  the yen continues to face pressure while the Bank of Japan remains cautious and the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains policy divergence—supporting dollar-yen strength. Recent comments from finance officials in the U.S. and Japan also suggest that exchange rates reflect fundamentals, reducing immediate intervention risk.
 Disclaimer: 
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Bullish on USDThe USD has been showing strength lately, but the question is how much further can this bullish momentum really go?
We’ve had supportive fundamentals (resilient economy, cautious Fed, geopolitical risk premium), yet at the same time, inflation data and dovish expectations for 2025 rate cuts are slowly capping that upside.
Technically, DXY is approaching key resistance zones - so while the bias remains bullish for now, it’s worth asking whether this is the final leg before a broader correction.
In short: still bullish, but with one foot on the brake.
Gold 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis(Nuclear testing Resumed)Gold appears to be setting up for another potential short opportunity. Despite yesterday’s rate-cut announcement, price action showed limited bullish momentum, even after Chair Powell signaled the likelihood of an additional cut in December. This lack of upside response suggests continued bearish sentiment.
Additionally, geopolitical risk remains elevated. Reports indicate former President Trump may push to resume nuclear testing, in response to President Putin’s recent strategic posturing and threats involving advanced weapons systems. While such developments typically support safe-haven assets, gold has yet to reflect meaningful bullish follow-through following these headlines.
Overall, current structural behavior on the 4-hour chart continues to favor bearish movement unless a significant shift in fundamentals or market sentiment emerges
Gold Under Pressure Sell Setup Near 3975XAU/USD is positioned near 3975, showing potential for a downside move as selling pressure builds and short term bullish momentum fades. If the current resistance holds, the pair could test the next support zone.
 Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 3975
Take Profit: 3950
Stop Loss: 3995 
 Reasoning:
Technically,   Gold has stalled near 3975, forming a local ceiling. Price action suggests that sellers may push the pair lower toward 3950.
 Fundamentally,  gold is facing headwinds from a firm U.S. dollar and rising interest rate expectations. Diminished haven demand and improving market sentiment in risk assets further limit upside potential.
 Disclaimer: 
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Silver bull will try to throw you off, but long term healthyA pause that could refresh might be warranted in silver and gold. 
I am still optimistic for precious metals long term. 
Silver is still undervalued based on historical metrics and money supply. 
I worry about the rise in metals and what it implies for the broad stock market indices. 






















