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GOLD - The battle for 4400. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD starts the week of 2026 with a rise of more than 1.5%, staying above $4,400 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in Latin America Geopolitical crisis: US-Venezuela, Donald Trump threatened new military intervention if the interim government does not comply with Washington's demands. Expanding risks: Trump hinted at Colombia and Mexico. The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains tense. Against this backdrop, investors are actively shifting funds into defensive instruments, including gold and the US dollar Important US labor market data is expected this week, which could add to volatility. Venezuela has set up a commission to free Maduro, indicating a further escalation of the conflict. Gold remains a priority for investors amid unprecedented geopolitical uncertainty. Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall uptrend is likely to continue, especially if the conflict in Latin America escalates Resistance levels: 4440, 4470, 4519 Support levels: 4400, 4373 If the bulls keep gold above 4410-4400, then in the short and medium term, gold will be able to continue to grow despite the fact that the daily ATR has already been exhausted. Local and global trends are bullish... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
32
Bitcoin Pumps With Gold & S&P — But Is a Pullback Coming First?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started the new week with bullish momentum, pumping alongside Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) and the SPX500 Index( SP:SPX ). At the moment, Bitcoin is trading within a resistance zone($94,840-$93,020), close to the upper line of the ascending channel, while also moving around the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($94,970-$94,300). From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin is in the process of completing microwave 4 of the main wave C. My expectation is a minimum pullback toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($92,190-$91,610) and the nearby support zone($90,960-$90,090). From that support zone($90,960-$90,090), we can look for a potential renewed bullish move. Note: If geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalate, a sudden and sharp drop in Bitcoin is possible. Note: If Bitcoin breaks and holds below the support zone($90,960-$90,090), we should be prepared for a deeper downside continuation. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,140-$86,210 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,480-$96,970 CME Gap: $91,595-$90,530 CME Gap: $88,720-$88,120 First Target: $90,029 Second Target: $90,867 Stop Loss(SL): $96,223(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
14
Gold Jumps on Geopolitical Shock —Rally Exhausted or Correction?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) opened the week higher as global markets reacted to rising geopolitical tensions. The main driver was the weekend arrest of Venezuela’s president, Nicolás Maduro, by the United States, which increased global uncertainty and boosted safe-haven demand. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and the Russia–Ukraine war continue to support gold as a hedge against geopolitical risk. As I previously expected , gold has begun to rise and has reached its targets (full target). Gold is currently attempting to break the resistance zone($4,467-$4,430). From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that gold is in the process of completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) in an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern. I expect that Gold will begin to decline and potentially drop at least to around $4,391. First Target: $4,391 Second Target: $4,346 Stop Loss(SL): $4,540(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves What do you think? Will gold continue its bullish trend into 2026, or should we expect a correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts! 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
18
GOLD - Consolidation before resistance at 4470. Bullish trendFX:XAUUSD resumes growth and tests 4470, an important resistance level, amid a weakening dollar caused by expectations of further easing of Fed policy and continuing geopolitical uncertainty. Expectations of a Fed rate cut intensified after the release of weak ISM Manufacturing PMI data. Geopolitical risks have temporarily receded into the background, but remain a potential catalyst for a new wave of demand for safe-haven assets. Attention is shifting to US labor market data (ADP report and JOLTS vacancies on Wednesday, NFP on Friday). Weak employment figures could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold. Important nuances: China and Russia's reaction to US actions in Venezuela, as well as the open conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Further dynamics will depend on employment data and a possible escalation of the geopolitical situation. A break above $4470 will open the way to testing higher levels. Resistance levels: 4470, 4488, 4519 Support levels: 4440, 4430, 4400 If the metal does not pull back from 4470 and continues to storm the resistance, then attempts to continue growth from 4470 can be considered. Otherwise, the market may test 4440-4430 before rising (long squeeze). Within the current cycle, gold has a chance to test its ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
XAUUSD: 1 Hour Swing Trading Setup! 05/01/2026Trading Setup 1 Hour View On XAUUSD 🔺Last week, gold experienced a significant decline as market volumes normalized. Our initial assessment anticipated a further price drop to approximately $4100. However, evolving fundamental factors and recent U.S. actions concerning Venezuela prompted global investors to seek the metal as a safe-haven asset amidst heightened geopolitical tensions. 🔺Currently, gold is trading at $4462. At this price level, we project a substantial upward movement towards $4662, indicating a strong swing buy opportunity. We have identified three target levels: the first at $4522, the second at $4593, and the final target at $4662. A stop-loss order can be strategically placed below $4440. 🔺Should you find our analysis valuable, we encourage you to like and comment for additional insights and trading setups. We strongly recommend conducting your own thorough due diligence prior to executing any trades, as this information is provided solely for educational chart analysis purposes. Sincerely, Team SetupsFX_
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
10
Amd - This correction is not over yet!🤬Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) can still drop another -30%: 🔎Analysis summary: 2025 has been an incredible - yet expected - year for Amd. And now, Amd is literally just perfectly rejecting the overall resistance trendline. Looking at higher timeframe structure, Amd is still not done with the drop and can correct another -20% to -30% soon. 📝Levels to watch: $175 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
14
EURJPY - Correction (hunting for liquidity) before growthFX:EURJPY is entering a correction amid an uptrend that has been ongoing since March last year. Zone of interest: 183.0 Amid the growth of the dollar, the euro is entering a correction, but the main trend of the index is bearish. The key area of interest and liquidity for the currency pair is 183.43 - 183.15. A false breakout/long squeeze and holding the price above this level could trigger further growth. Locally, we have a correction against the backdrop of a global bullish trend Resistance levels: 184.26, 184.82 Support levels: 183.43, 183.15 A pullback on a bullish trend is an additional opportunity to enter the market at a favorable price. Focus on support at 183.43 - 183.15 (additionally 183.0) Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
10
EURGBP | Retail 80% Long: Selling the RallyOn the daily timeframe, EURGBP continues to move inside a well-defined descending channel. The latest bearish impulse pushed price directly into the 0.865–0.860 demand zone, where we’re seeing an initial technical reaction — but still no clear signs of a full reversal. RSI is hovering near oversold territory, which increases the probability of a corrective bounce. However, as long as price stays below the 0.872–0.878 supply area, the dominant bias remains bearish. The COT report provides a more structural perspective: institutional traders remain net long EUR and net short GBP, meaning that — in the medium term — the broader context still favors a bullish EURGBP. However, in recent weeks we’ve noticed: • a slowdown in the growth of EUR long positions • early signs of short covering on GBP This does not invalidate the EUR>GBP narrative, but it does suggest that the euro’s advantage is weakening. Seasonality in January is historically slightly negative for EURGBP: the month often starts with weakness and only stabilizes later. This is consistent with the current downside move. Retail sentiment, on the other hand, is extremely skewed: more than 80% of retail traders are long EURGBP. From a contrarian perspective, this supports the idea of further downside. Overall picture suggests: • bearish technical structure • COT still pro-EUR, but losing momentum • unfavorable seasonality • retail heavily exposed on the long side For that reason, I currently treat EURGBP as a “sell the rally” market: any rebounds into 0.872–0.878 (or mid-channel) may offer short setups with potential targets: → 0.860 → 0.855 → and, in extension, deeper liquidity pockets below The bearish bias would be invalidated only by a daily close above 0.880–0.882, especially if supported by renewed COT strength and an improvement in sentiment.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
Dollar Off to Weak Start After Worst Year Since 2017. Now What?The US dollar rang in 2026 without much enthusiasm. No fireworks. No flex. Just a quiet shuffle out of the gate that felt eerily familiar to anyone who shoved cash in FX markets last year. After logging its worst annual performance since 2017, the greenback has started the new year on the back foot — and traders are wondering whether this is merely a breather or the beginning of something more structural. If currencies had personalities, the dollar currently looks like it stayed up too late in 2025 and is still reaching for its first coffee. After all, the US currency was the worst performer of all major currency indices last year, according to the currency index performance table . 💵 The Euro Holds the Line at $1.17 Front and center in the dollar’s early-2026 wobble is the euro, which has done a solid job containing the greenback’s attempts to regain swagger. The FX:EURUSD briefly dipped toward $1.1670, only to bounce smartly after running into two major moving averages — the kind of technical speed bump that gets traders’ attention. The result? The euro stabilized near $1.17, flat on the year and comfortably above levels that once seemed ambitious. 📉 A Brutal Year in the Rearview Mirror Let’s rewind. In 2025, the dollar index TVC:DXY fell roughly 10% against a basket of major currencies, its steepest drop in nearly a decade. The early damage came fast and loud, triggered by President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign back in April, which rattled global markets and reignited concerns about US growth and trade stability. At one point, the dollar was lower by 15%, before clawing back some ground. But the recovery never quite stuck. What really kept the pressure on was the Federal Reserve’s pivot back to rate cuts in September, which undermined one of the dollar’s most reliable supports: yield advantage. 🏦 Rate Cuts Change the FX Equation Currencies love interest rate differentials. They’re boring, mathematical, and extremely powerful. As the Fed moved toward easing — and signaled more to come — that differential began to shrink. The market is now pricing in two to three quarter-point cuts by the end of 2026, a meaningful shift for a currency that spent years riding the “higher for longer” narrative. Across the water, the picture looks different. ECB President Christine Lagarde recently reminded markets that “all options should remain on the table,” even as the central bank held rates steady and raised growth and inflation forecasts. TLDR: Europe isn’t in a rush (or under pressure) to cut. 📈 Why Europe (and the UK) Are Benefiting The euro was the biggest gainer among major currencies in 2025, rising nearly 14% to levels last seen in 2021. Wall Street banks now expect it to climb further — toward $1.20 by the end of 2026. Sterling isn’t far behind. Analysts see the FX:GBPUSD rising from around $1.33 to $1.36, helped by relatively sticky inflation and fewer expectations for aggressive easing from the Bank of England. 👔 Politics Enter the FX Chat Another wildcard looms over 2026: the next Fed chair. Markets are keenly aware that President Trump’s eventual pick to succeed Jay Powell could influence the dollar’s trajectory. If investors believe the next chair will be more receptive to White House pressure for deeper rate cuts, the greenback could face additional headwinds. Powell’s term ends in May, FYI. 🤖 Dollar Bulls Still Have a Case What about the bull case? Dollar bulls’ argument rests on one powerful theme: AI-driven growth. The US economy continues to benefit from massive investment in artificial intelligence, data centers, and advanced manufacturing — sectors where America remains the global leader. If that growth keeps the US economy outperforming Europe, the Fed may find it harder to cut aggressively, putting a floor under the dollar. In other words, the greenback’s obituary may be a bit premature. 🧭 So What Now? Anyway, the dollar enters 2026 without its usual moat — pressured by rate expectations, policy divergence, and lingering doubts about its haven status, especially in the wake of gold OANDA:XAUUSD shattering records . That doesn’t mean a straight-line decline. FX markets rarely move that neatly. But it does suggest that rallies may be sold rather than chased, and that traders are increasingly comfortable exploring alternatives. Off to you : Where do you see the dollar heading next? Ready to buy high and sell low, or what? Share your views in the comments!
TVC:DXY
by TradingView
4
Silver - This metal is blowing up now!💣Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) is rallying even higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Just a couple of months ago, we witnessed another bullish break and retest on Silver. It was quite obvious that Silver will rally accordingly and just recently, we experienced another +150% rally. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Silver is still not done. 📝Levels to watch: $100 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhil
56
DOGEUSDT - Consolidation after growth is a positive signBINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing resistance, but the coin is not going to reverse yet. Focus on the current consolidation at 0.145 - 0.1534. A long squeeze or a breakout of resistance could trigger growth. Bitcoin has been growing throughout the week, forming a retest of resistance. If the growth continues, it could support a bullish run in altcoins. After the rally, DOGE moved into consolidation at 0.145 - 0.1533. The market is showing positive dynamics. The altcoin may test the consolidation support before growing. However, a breakout of the 0.1533 resistance and a close above the level could trigger an early rise. Resistance levels: 0.1534, 0.1648 Support levels: 0.145, 0.139 Regarding the current consolidation in the trading range format, I highlight two levels: 0.1534 and 0.145. If the overall positive background persists, a false breakdown of support at 0.145 or a breakout of resistance at 0.1534 with the price closing above the level could trigger further growth towards the local zone of interest at 0.165. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
Gold Bullish Outlook | Dollar Weakness & Geopolitical Risks!Hey Traders, In the coming week, we are closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong bullish trend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and 4,280 support & resistance zone, which could act as a high-probability demand area. From a macro perspective, the recent weakness in the US Dollar continues to support upside momentum in Gold. Additionally, last night’s escalation of US tensions with Venezuela has increased geopolitical uncertainty, further boosting safe-haven demand for Gold, which strengthens the bullish bias. As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
40
$NVO is NOT the free money you think it is, at least not yet.It's not hard to see that Novo Nordisk NYSE:NVO , Denmarks largest company by revenue, is long due for a bull run. Everything from fundamentals to technicals are saying that it's time for Novo to finally shine but is it really the rocket waiting to liftoff that most of the market thinks? Donald Trump's threats to acquire Greenland are likely more than just talk. Whether you love him or hate him, it isn't unreasonable to expect that in the coming months talks about taking Greenland will flair up again just judging by his lack of care for international norms/laws and desire to strengthen American influence around the world while turning a profit. The biggest question is how far he is willing to go? Nobody knows for certain but inferences can be made from one of his most recent actions. The capture of Maduro can be a great example of what he would do to gain influence over a resource rich country. Using common sense, I doubt that the Danish King will be kidnapped. However, it is within reason to believe Trump would be willing to any exert force on the nation short of military action as long as there is a somewhat defensible justification (don't underestimate the lengths he will go to). This force will more than likely put massive strain on the Danish economy, Novo included. Keep in mind that 57.64% of Novo's revenue is concentrated in the US. The effect of losing this market, even temporarily, makes even the possibility of such action a catalyst for massive selloffs. In a situation where Denmark is targeted by tariffs Novo would be somewhat shielded by manufacturing plants in the US although the majority of these are "fill-finish" sites. These sites only package the medicine into final form for distribution, no actual medication is synthesized in them. My biggest takeaway is that caution should be exercised before maxing out your leverage and betting the house. Plenty of churn and uncertainty should be expected in the coming months and be prepared to hold for a while. There is tons of bullish sentiment on this stock and it seems that nobody wants to be the bearer (pun intended) of bad news. Novo Nordisk is one of the best long term plays right now and should be treated as such, a long term play. I'd love to hear your thought in the comments.
NYSE:NVOShort
by investing90131
4
#SILVER: Swing Buying Up To Yearly End Target Of $100XAGUSD(SILVER) ANALYSIS🎇 🔺After a big rally, silver took a dip, dropping about $70 from its high of $82. But don’t worry, it’s bounced back from $70 and is now trading at $80, with a chance to hit $85 by the end of January. The market is a bit wild right now, mostly because of recent political stuff. 🔺We’ve got three potential goals for this swing trade: we’re aiming for a first target at $85, then a second at $90 and a final one at $100. This plan is for a longer stay, maybe even a year. But since things have been so up and down lately, we’re betting the price will keep climbing. 🔺If you think our analysis is helpful, please give us a thumbs up and share your thoughts in the comments. SetupsFX Team👨‍💻🏆
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by Setupsfx_
4
XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, but caution neXAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, but caution near POC 💛 Market overview Spot gold has pushed above $4,470/oz, extending its strong performance after setting multiple record highs throughout 2025. The broader bullish backdrop remains intact, supported by trade-war concerns, ongoing geopolitical instability, and accommodative monetary policy across major economies. Strong and persistent buying from central banks continues to underpin gold’s long-term outlook into 2026. Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders On the H1 chart, gold has clearly formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure: Left shoulder: Formed after the initial sharp sell-off Head: A deeper liquidity sweep with strong rejection Right shoulder: Higher low, showing sellers losing momentum Neckline / POC zone: Around the 4460–4470 area, where price is currently reacting The breakout above the neckline confirms bullish intent. However, price is now trading around a POC (Point of Control), which is often prone to psychological reactions and choppy price action. Key levels to watch Bullish continuation zone Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure valid. A clean acceptance above the POC opens the door for continuation toward higher liquidity and Fibonacci extension targets. Pullback & risk zone Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349 If the market fails to hold above the neckline, a deeper pullback into this liquidity zone is possible before buyers step back in. Fundamental context Gold’s recovery is driven by trade-war fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of looser monetary policy globally. Central bank demand remains a key pillar supporting prices. In 2026, gold performance will continue to be influenced by USD valuation, overall risk sentiment, and central bank policy decisions. Lana’s trading approach No chasing near the POC. Expect reactions and fake moves. Prefer buying pullbacks rather than entering at highs. If price holds above the neckline with strong structure, bullish continuation remains the main scenario. If the neckline fails, wait patiently for liquidity to be taken lower before looking for new buy setups. This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is for study purposes only. Always manage risk carefully. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
1
GBPUSD 1H AnalysisGBPUSD 1H Analysis: Post-Impulse Distribution Near 1.3535 | Fibonacci + EMA + RSI Trade Plan GBPUSD just printed a strong bullish impulse into the 1.3560 area, then stalled and started compressing around 1.3535. This is a classic “post-impulse distribution” zone: after an aggressive move up, price often ranges, grabs liquidity, then decides whether to continue higher or rotate lower. Today’s key is the 1.3530–1.3535 pivot. It’s the line that separates continuation (bull) from rejection and rotation (bear). 1H Market Structure and Price Behavior The left side shows a broader range, then a clean bullish breakout impulse. After the spike, price is no longer trending smoothly; it’s printing mixed candles and tighter swings. That behavior typically signals profit-taking + repositioning, which can lead to a second push up (liquidity grab) before a deeper pullback. Intraday bias: Neutral-to-bearish while price holds below the recent highs and fails to build higher highs. Bullish only if the market reclaims and holds above 1.3560 with acceptance. Key Levels (Support and Resistance) Resistance Zones 1.3560–1.3570: recent swing high supply (first reaction zone) 1.3580: extension / liquidity target (common “final push” area before reversal) 1.3600: psychological round level (only relevant if bullish continuation fully confirms) Support Zones 1.3530–1.3535: main pivot and decision level (most important today) 1.3510: first downside reaction zone (often aligns with Fib 38.2) 1.3490–1.3485: deeper pullback area (Fib 50 zone) 1.3475–1.3460: major support pocket (Fib 61.8 + prior structure) Fibonacci Map (Most Practical for This Chart) Anchor Fibonacci from the impulse swing low near 1.3420 to the impulse high near 1.3565. Key retracements to trade: 38.2%: ~1.3510 50%: ~1.3492 61.8%: ~1.3474 Interpretation: If 1.3530 breaks, the market often rotates to 1.3510, then 1.3490, and possibly 1.3475 if sellers gain control. EMA Filter (Trend vs. Pullback) Use EMA50 and EMA200 on 1H: If price is above EMA50 and EMA50 is above EMA200, the overall structure is still bullish, but the current phase can still pull back sharply. A bearish rotation becomes more likely if price closes below EMA50 and fails to reclaim it on the retest. Treat EMA50 as the “trend continuation line”; losing it increases odds of a deeper fib retracement. RSI Confirmation (Momentum and Divergence) Use RSI(14) on 1H: Bull continuation strength: RSI holds above 50 during pullbacks. Reversal warning: RSI makes lower highs while price attempts to retest 1.3560–1.3580 (bearish divergence). If RSI drops below 50 and cannot recover, pullback targets (1.3510 → 1.3490 → 1.3475) become more probable. High-Probability Trade Setups Setup A: Sell the Breakdown of 1.3530 (Primary Idea) Entry: Wait for a 1H close below 1.3530, then sell the retest failure back under 1.3530–1.3535 Stop-loss: Above 1.3550 (tight) or above the retest swing high (safer) Targets: TP1: 1.3510 TP2: 1.3490–1.3485 TP3: 1.3475–1.3460 Why it works: 1.3530 is the pivot. Once it flips into resistance, the market often rotates to Fibonacci retracement magnets. Setup B: Sell the Liquidity Grab Into 1.3560–1.3580 (Reversal Setup) Entry zone: 1.3560–1.3580 Trigger: Rejection wick / bearish engulfing on 1H RSI divergence strengthens the signal Stop-loss: Above 1.3585–1.3600 depending on volatility Targets: TP1: 1.3535 TP2: 1.3510 TP3: 1.3490–1.3475 This setup aligns with the common behavior of “push once more to trap late buyers, then rotate down.” Setup C: Bull Continuation Only After Acceptance Condition: 1H close above 1.3560 and a successful retest holds above it Entry: On the retest confirmation Stop-loss: Back below 1.3535 Targets: 1.3580 → 1.3600 Rule: If breakout happens but price immediately loses 1.3560, treat it as a fakeout and return to sell setups. Invalidation and Trade Management Bears lose momentum if price holds above 1.3560 and builds higher lows. Bulls lose control if price breaks below 1.3530 and repeatedly fails to reclaim it. Because GBPUSD is in a post-impulse phase, avoid entries in the middle; trade only at the pivot and extremes.
by Henrybillion
1
The one thing that destroys tradersEmotional inflation is a measurable drag on trading performance, particularly in crypto where momentum cycles are short, liquidity is thin, and feedback loops are fast. After a trader strings together strong wins, confidence often expands faster than process. The trader begins to treat recent outcomes as a new baseline for risk. This leads to size increases, earlier entries, or skipping structural confirmation because the mind assumes the market will continue to cooperate. It feels logical in the moment, but it is not rooted in market behavior. The market eventually tests this inflated confidence through liquidity sweeps, compressed volatility, or reclaiming defensive structure. The result is capital giveback, distorted expectations, and emotional volatility that exceeds price volatility. The cost of emotional inflation is not that it creates bad trades. The cost is that it removes the conditions that made your best trades possible. When confidence accelerates exposure before the market proves continuation through structure and liquidity, you are no longer trading opportunity. You are trading assumption. Crypto punishes assumption faster than most markets because liquidity leaves quickly, bid depth changes abruptly, and breakout traders provide easy fuel for counter moves. Inflation becomes visible in three repeatable behaviors: increasing size during expansion phases instead of compression phases, entering at the first touch of a level instead of after a structural transition, and treating recent wins as proof of future market cooperation. These behaviors are not personality flaws. They are pattern loops that can be corrected with objective rules and sequencing. To counter emotional inflation, you need guardrails that do not depend on feelings. The first guardrail is a fixed sizing model tied to volatility conditions, not P&L conditions. Size should increase only when volatility tightens, liquidity aligns cleanly, and structure confirms control. In expansion phases, size must stay anchored to predefined limits because invalidation distance widens when liquidity thins. This keeps risk mathematically stable while confidence psychologically fluctuates. The second guardrail is daily narrative rebuilding. Bias is constructed from the higher timeframe story, not the previous trade’s outcome. If the weekly and daily structure have not changed, your job is to wait for liquidity incentives and micro-structural permission before expanding exposure. A trader who rebuilds bias every session stays psychologically neutral when the market is structurally neutral. The third guardrail is retest discipline. A retest is not a candle. It is acceptance. The retest validates participation, reduces invalidation distance, and reveals whether the market internalized the structural break or sweep. Entering before the retest is entering during the liquidity hunt. Entering after the retest is entering after participation is proven. This is where professionals position, not because they are late, but because they are validated. Retests compress emotional cycles because they remove the need to hope a level will hold. The fourth guardrail is execution quality scoring. Track trades by sequence: liquidity taken first, structure broken second, displacement confirmed third, retest respected fourth. Grade your execution on fill precision, conditional sizing, and narrative alignment. This shifts confidence from results to behavior, which compounds careers instead of compressing them. A journal becomes a solution only when it measures variables that lead to intervention, not reflection. Measure session volatility, invalidation distance, average R:R delivered, liquidity incentives present, and whether the entry occurred inside premium or discount relative to equilibrium. This reveals inflation risks before they hit your equity curve. Emotional inflation loses its power when you treat streaks as feedback, not permission. The best funded crypto traders do not compound because they avoid risk. They compound because they only expand risk when the market contracts volatility, aligns liquidity, and confirms structure. Confidence should drive preparation, not replace it. Calibration compounds. Inflation decays. Careers are built by traders who stay calibrated longer than they stay confident temporarily.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.MH2026Education
by HyroTrader
2
EURUSD Bearish Continuation After PullbackQuick Summary EURUSD broke below 1.16824, A corrective move toward the orderblock at 1.17143 is possible This pullback is expected to act as a continuation zone for further downside and The main objective remains which is filling the liquidity void after the bullish trendline break Full Analysis After EURUSD successfully broke below the 1.16824 level the bearish structure remains valid This break confirms that sellers are still in control following the loss of the previous bullish trendline From here price may attempt a corrective move higher toward the orderblock around 1.17143 This area is viewed as a potential mitigation zone rather than a reversal point If price reacts from this orderblock the expectation is continuation to the downside The overall objective of this move is to continue filling the liquidity void that was left behind during the previous impulsive bullish move As long as price remains below the broken structure this pullback is considered corrective The bearish bias remains intact and the focus stays on downside continuation.
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1
8
The bulls are in control. Watch 4450.After falling from a high of 4550 to a low of 4275 last week, gold has entered a period of short-term consolidation. Given the current regional political situation, gold's safe-haven appeal is still likely to rise further at any time. However, gold still needs a significant pullback before it can move forward further, so in the short term, it is expected to experience multiple rallies followed by pullbacks. On Monday, in early Asian trading, gold gapped higher due to weekend news, and the price rose sharply. Although there was a slight pullback, the price successfully broke through 4450, indicating that safe-haven demand has not yet subsided, leading to repeated market fluctuations. Judging from the current situation, the market will likely experience a correction before hitting a high point, but there are also many data releases this week, including the US non-farm payroll data. Short-term volatility will increase, so it is recommended to manage positions carefully and take profits promptly to avoid market fluctuations impacting your account. Current market trends clearly show a head and shoulders bottom pattern forming on the 4-hour chart, which has been successfully broken in the short term. At the same time, the 4-hour MACD indicator has turned bullish, and further volume is expected. In the short term, we need to watch whether the price can stabilize above 4450. If it stabilizes, a volatile upward movement towards 4480-4500 is expected, followed by another surge on Tuesday, and then a period of consolidation. If there is a significant pullback during the US trading session, be cautious of a repeat of last Friday's price action. Trading suggestion: Buy if the price retraces but fails to break through 4400, with a stop loss at 4380 and a profit target of 4450-4480-4500. I will post more strategies in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wealth_Wallet
1
TOP Altcoins for 2026 ~ ALTSHappy New Year 🥂 Here's a quick glance at my TOP 5 alts of choice for 2026, and why. 💭Injective (INJ) Fast, interoperable DeFi infrastructure. Active development and a clear use-case in scaling decentralized trading. 💭Illuvium (ILV) Prioritizes high-quality gameplay and steady development, backed by a solid revenue model. 💭Solana ETH competitor, SOL is approaching some great buy zones that can have big bounces: 💭Origin Protocol (OGN) Focuses on tokenized commerce and NFT marketplaces, making it easy for creators and brands to build decentralized storefronts. 💭Audius (AUDIO) Decentralized music-streaming platform giving artists more control and growing consistently in real-world adoption. Which alts are you watching for this year?
Long
by Crypto-Check-
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