Solaris (SEI ) tempting an assault to a C&H at base 3Key points at the time of writing.
✣ We are at a new market cycle since June 2025
✣ Market Direction is Up 90%
✣ Stock Fundamentals are almost good, only missing yearly earnings for now.
✣ Institutional Ownership is 67% (marketbeat.com) (no quarterly data)
✣ Stock technically at base 3.
✣ TTM Performance of 193%
✣ Good Volume profile.
The stock shows evident signs of accumulation with a Highest Positive Volume Ever last week which broke the handle down trend.
I expect it to rally If the handle buy point is broke hopefully with good volume.
Fundamental Analysis
SNA (Snap-on Incorporated) - Long SetupTrading Idea: NYSE:SNA (Snap-on Incorporated) - Long Setup
🎯 Idea: LONG
⏰ Timeframe: Daily
📊 Pattern: Bullish Breakout from Consolidation
Fundamental Context:
Fundamental Score: 3/9 (Neutral/Weak).
Business: Premium Tools, Equipment, and Software for Professionals.
Growth: Weak Revenue and Net Income Growth YoY.
Balance Sheet: Excellent (Debt Score: 10/10). Very strong financial health.
Valuation: Fairly Valued on P/E; Overvalued on P/B and P/S.
Technical Setup:
Trend (D1): Bullish ✅
Entry: $340.19 (Break above recent consolidation and Bollinger Band squeeze).
Stop Loss (SL): $323.39 (Below key support and the 50-period SMA).
Take Profit (TP): $375.00 (Previous resistance zone and measured move target).
Momentum: RSI (59) in healthy bullish territory, MACD positive.
Risk Management:
Risk/Reward (R:R): 1:2.1
Position size based on the risk between entry and stop.
Summary: A technical breakout play on a legendary industrial brand with a rock-solid balance sheet, targeting a continuation to prior highs.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
You are solely responsible for your own trades and investments.
Past performance is never indicative of future results.
Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
#TradingView #SNA #Long #Industrial #Tools #Breakout #Dividend #TradingSetup #Manufacturing
PUT CREDIT SPREAD on RUT📈 Thesis: Bullish Momentum Strategy on RUT Using Neural RSI and ADX Pro
This strategy identifies long trade opportunities on the Russell 2000 (RUT) using two core indicators:
Simple Neural Network RSI: When this indicator is green, it signals bullish momentum. Green means go—whether it’s a breakout, reversal, or continuation.
ADX Pro: When rising, it confirms that the directional move is gaining strength.
🎯 Trade Setup
A long trade is initiated when:
The Neural RSI is green, indicating bullish momentum.
ADX Pro is rising, confirming trend strength.
📊 Metrics (Simple Compounding Model)
Trade Duration: 2 days
Spread Width: $5
Net Credit: $47
Capital at Risk: $500
ROI per Trade: 9.4%
One of the most consistent ways to generate income in options trading is by selling premium in high-probability environments. That means structuring trades where the odds are tilted in your favor—not by prediction, but by placement.
When you position short strikes outside the expected move, you're essentially betting that price will stay within its statistically forecasted range. It’s not about being right—it’s about being on the right side of probability.
Pair that with short durations—like 2-day trades—and you’re working with accelerated time decay. A 9% return in that window might seem small, but when repeated with discipline, it adds up quickly. The key is keeping risk defined, staying mechanical, and letting the math do the heavy lifting.
Premium collection isn’t flashy. It’s methodical. And when done right, it becomes a reliable engine for compounding gains while keeping exposure tight.
Gold - How High Will It GO?📢 NFX Market Update – FX:XAUUSD
TVC:GOLD just broke out of the bullish flag formation on the hourly timeframe, pushing through key resistance with conviction. This breakout signals strong bullish momentum and supports the continuation of the uptrend, especially as it aligns with our ABC Elliott Wave structure.
If buyers sustain this momentum, new highs could be printed ahead of Wednesday’s FED rate decision, with potential for an even stronger rally post-decision - similar to the price action observed during the recent NFP release.
I remain bullish on gold here, but I’d love to hear your views as well in the comment below.
More insights are covered in the video.
Wix | WIX | Long at $124.35NASDAQ:WIX is a company with steady growth projections driven by AI adoption, market expansion, user acquisition, and a focus on profitability. For example, earnings are forecast to grow 28.24% per year. Analysts project NASDAQ:WIX to achieve approximately $1 billion in free cash flow by 2028. While the current P/E is around 47x, its Forward P/E ratio is approximately 18x (potentially undervalued). I truly believe the changing economy will shift individuals into more entrepreneurship (what else can they do?) and that will be the driving force behind user growth.
From a technical analysis view, the price recently bounced off from my historical simple moving average band (often an area for share accumulation / consolidation). While it may trickle down to close the price gap on the daily chart near $110 in the near-term, I think the outlook needs to be long-term here given the projections. The only issue I see is the current high debt for NASDAQ:WIX , but interest rates are absolutely coming down soon which will help ease the strain.
Thus, at $124.35, NASDAQ:WIX is in a personal buy zone.
Targets into 2028:
$175.00 (+40.7%)
$250.00 (+101.1%)
Bitcoin Price’s Grip on $115,000 Weakens—Here's the RiskBitcoin is trading at $114,770, slipping below the $115,000 support level in the process. Should bearish sentiment persist, BTC may fall further, potentially testing the uptrend line that has supported its rise since the start of the month. This would mark a crucial point for investors.
If selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $115,000 as support and slide toward $112,500. This would represent a critical setback, reinforcing the ongoing distribution phase observed among holders and limiting near-term upside potential for BTC.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin absorbs the selling pressure and regains momentum, reclaiming $115,000 as support could trigger another rally. In this case, BTC would target $117,261 in the coming days, reaffirming its bullish outlook and reinforcing investor confidence.
BTC vs 116.7k–118k: breakout or FOMC rejection?__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC is pinned below the 116.2k–118k supply after rebounding from ~107k, defending the 115.16k pivot. It’s a range-to-break with elevated intraday volumes against a cautious macro backdrop.
Momentum: Range with a mild bullish tilt 📈 while 115.16k holds; a clean breakout needs > 116.74k.
Key levels:
- Resistances (4H/12H/D) : 116.18k–116.74k · 118.0k–118.8k · 124.28k (D).
- Supports (2H/4H/W) : 115.16k–115.20k · 114.16k · 111.97k.
Volumes: Normal on 1D; very high on 1H/30m/15m — a catalyst for a box breakout from 115.2k–116.2k.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H = Up; 6H/4H/1H = NEUTRAL BUY above 115.16k; 2H = NEUTRAL SELL — a close above 116.74k adds upside conviction; losing 114.16k reopens 111.97k.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRE VENTE — a slight risk-off stance that contradicts the tactical bullish momentum; demand confirmations and smaller size.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic context: Higher-timeframe uptrend (12H/1D) but facing a tight 116.2k–118k supply wall — favor staged execution and confirmed breakouts.
Global bias: Slight long bias while 115.16k holds; higher-timeframe invalidation on a clean daily close < 111.97k.
Opportunities:
- Long on breakout: Close/retest held > 116.74k aiming 118k/120k.
- Tactical “buy-the-dip”: Reclaim of 115.20k after a sweep, stop below 114.16k.
- Tactical short: Rejection at 116.7k–118k OR 30m/1H breakdown < 114.75k targeting 114.16k then 111.97k.
Risk zones / invalidations:
- Break below 114.16k invalidates intraday longs and opens 111.97k.
- Strong reclaim > 116.40k–116.74k invalidates rejection shorts.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
- FOMC: 25 bps cut widely expected; dot-plot and presser = volatility triggers; “sell-the-news” risk.
- US Retail Sales (pre-Fed): could tilt the box breakout.
- Softer China data: growth headwind; keeps risk appetite uneven.
Action plan:
- Long Plan : Entry 115.30–115.90 (reclaim/breakout) · Stop 114.16 · TP1 116.18 · TP2 116.74 · TP3 118.00 · R/R ≈ 1.5–3.0.
- Short Plan : Entry 116.10–116.70 (rejection) or < 114.75 (breakdown) · Stop 116.90–117.00 (rejection) / 115.17 (breakdown) · TP1 115.16 · TP2 114.16 · TP3 111.97 · R/R ≈ 1.5–2.5.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
Higher timeframes lean up, but the supply band at 116.2k–118k caps momentum.
1D/12H: Uptrend, compressing below 116.7k; a daily close > 118k would open 120k.
6H/4H/1H: Active range 115.16k ↔ 116.18/116.74k; buy-the-dip works above 115.16k if volumes confirm; intraday is whip-prone.
2H/30m/15m: 115.16k is the hinge; very high volumes create wicks — wait for clean retests; ISPD/MTFTI favor scalps while 115.16k is defended.
Key divergence: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = NEUTRE VENTE vs MTFTI Up — keep size modest and demand follow-through post-break.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
FOMC is the key macro catalyst in a hesitant risk-on regime, while on-chain/flows remain more subdued than euphoric phases.
Macro events: 25 bps cut expected; dot-plot and Powell Q&A as triggers; “sell-the-news” possible. US Retail Sales can pre-position flows; softer China data is a growth headwind.
Bitcoin analysis: Pressing the upper band (116.4k) and 116.7k–118k supply; a clean close above 118k opens >120k; a decisive loss of 115k reopens 114.16k → 111.97k.
On-chain data: ETF flows declining, derivatives more influential; range 110k–116k — sustained holds above 114k attract flows; below 108k raises HTF downside risk.
Expected impact: Macro/on-chain mix argues for “confirmation first, size second”; it supports a cautious bias until > 116.74k breaks with volume.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC is coiling just below 116.7k–118k into FOMC week.
- Trend: Higher-timeframe bullish but capped; slight risk-off background (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = NEUTRE VENTE).
- Prime setup: Confirmed breakout > 116.74k (retest held) toward 118k/120k; alternatively, a break < 114.16k puts 111.97k back in play.
- Macro: FOMC is well priced — first move can be a head fake.
Stay disciplined: seek confirmations and retests, scale in tranches, and let the market show persistence. ⚖️
15/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,672.39
Last weeks low: $110,615.91
Midpoint: $113,644.15
It's FOMC week and finally the time has come for the FED to cut interest rates, but by how much?
Currently the probability of a cut is 100%. The chance of a 25bps cut is ~90%, a 50bps cut ~12%.
Therefore I believe a 25bps cut is priced in and expected by the majority, a 50bps cut would be bullish and no change would be devastating to the markets in the short term.
Last week BTC continues its move up and flipped the important S/R level of $114,000 in preparation for FOMC. Ultimately the bulls should now target a flip of $117,500 to continue the larger bullrun move. Should the bulls fail to do so the rangebound environment looks to continue with the low being $106,000 (1D 200 EMA).
As I have mentioned in previous post September often gives poor returns, so far this year BTC is up 6% from month open, perhaps in anticipation for the rate cut to come? I don't see many setups presenting themselves until after Thursday so just being patient until then.
Good luck this week everybody!
JIO FINANCIALSJio Financial Services Ltd. (currently trading at ₹316) is the financial arm of Reliance Industries, spun off to create a full-stack digital financial ecosystem. It operates across lending, insurance, payments, asset management, and reinsurance. With deep integration into Reliance’s consumer platforms, Jio Finance aims to serve underserved segments across urban, semi-urban, and rural India. The company has launched the JioFinance App, offering UPI, loans, insurance, tax filing, and investment products. It also operates Jio Payments Bank, and has entered into strategic joint ventures with BlackRock (AMC) and Allianz (reinsurance), positioning itself as a next-gen financial powerhouse.
Jio Financial Services Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
• Sales – ₹417 Cr → ₹612 Cr → ₹850 Cr → ₹1,100 Cr Growth driven by lending, insurance broking
• Net Profit – ₹312 Cr → ₹325 Cr → ₹420 Cr → ₹540 Cr Earnings supported by NII growth and fee income
• Operating Performance – Moderate → Strong → Strong → Strong NIM expansion and operating leverage from tech platforms
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% No payouts; reinvestment-focused strategy
• Equity Capital – ₹6,500 Cr (constant) No dilution; strong capital base post demerger
• Total Debt – ₹0 Cr (debt-free) Fully equity-financed operations
• Fixed Assets – ₹1,200 Cr → ₹1,350 Cr → ₹1,500 Cr → ₹1,650 Cr Capex focused on tech stack, data infra, and AMC expansion
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 47.00% via Reliance Industries. FIIs and DIIs have actively accumulated post demerger, citing platform potential and strategic partnerships. Delivery volumes reflect long-term positioning by fintech, AMC, and digital consumption-focused funds.
Business Growth Verdict
Jio Finance is scaling across lending, insurance, AMC, and reinsurance Margins improving due to platform monetization and NII growth Debt-free structure supports flexibility and reinvestment Capex supports long-term competitiveness and financial inclusion
Management Con Call
• Q1 FY26 revenue rose 46.6% YoY to ₹612 Cr; PAT up 3.8% YoY to ₹325 Cr • Net Interest Income jumped 52% YoY to ₹264 Cr; total income ₹619 Cr1 • JV with Allianz for reinsurance launched (Allianz Jio Reinsurance Ltd) • Jio BlackRock AMC launched 8 funds; AUM crossed ₹17,000 Cr2 • FY26 outlook: 30–35% revenue growth, AMC scale-up, and reinsurance approvals pending
Final Investment Verdict
Jio Financial Services Ltd. offers a high-growth digital finance story built on platform scale, strategic partnerships, and deep consumer integration. Its improving profitability, zero debt, and multi-vertical expansion make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s fintech, AMC, and insurance evolution.
S&P 500 - Retracement overdue?The S&P 500 has statistically exhibited a Seasonal tendency to retrace during September. The further the bullish extension continues, the more aggressive any bearish retracements may become.
Despite a unique set of economic, geopolitical and technical circumstances being present, there is a general tendency to revisit the mean or the larger moving averages.
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Geopolitics Spark Trades!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) reversed an early Asian session dip from $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), holding strong near record highs as markets price in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical tensions, from Ukraine’s strikes on Russian energy to Iran’s call for Qatar to counter Israel, boost gold’s safe-haven appeal. With major central bank events looming, let’s analyze the market and find trade setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines Amid Uncertainty 🌟
Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US labor data (surging jobless claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keeps USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally. The Fed is set to cut rates three times in 2025, starting 17/09.
Geopolitical Support: Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy, US pressure on NATO for tougher Russia sanctions, and Iran’s missile proposal in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven status.
Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), decisions from Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09). Weak CPI and labor data suggest shallow dips—prime for buying!
Technical Analysis: Broad Sideways Consolidation – Buy Dips 📉
Gold is consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, and H2 timeframes around 3650. If rate cut news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) offer buying opportunities. Monitor volume to confirm entries and avoid liquidity traps near round levels.
Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666
Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Scalp:
Range: 3623 - 3621
SL: 3617
TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641
Buy Zone:
Range: 3608 - 3606
SL: 3598
TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646
Sell Scalp:
Range: 3654 - 3656
SL: 3660
TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636
Sell Zone:
Range: 3665 - 3667
SL: 3675
TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627
Gold holds near highs—watch for liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls target new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Manage risk tightly with central bank volatility ahead! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
Gold price today (afternoon of September 15)Last week, the world gold price had a fourth consecutive week of increase amid growing concerns about the weakening US labor market, which overshadowed inflation worries ahead of the US Federal Reserve's meeting next week.
The market is currently predicting that the Fed will almost certainly cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points at the two-day meeting on September 16-17, while the possibility of a larger cut (0.50 percentage points) has decreased. Gold usually increases in a low interest rate environment.
Uncertainties related to the independence of the Fed are also a factor contributing to the recent increase in gold prices.
Analyst Giovanni Staunovo of UBS bank said that with these favorable factors and after the recent increase in capital flows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), UBS now forecasts gold prices to rise to $3,900/ounce by the middle of next year.
Gold - DAILY - 15/09/2025Gold climbed near record levels in Asian trading as weak US labor data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this week. Markets anticipate a quarter-point move on Wednesday and further easing into 2026, supporting demand for the non-yielding asset. Ongoing US-China trade talks add another layer of risk sentiment, with any sign of easing tensions potentially weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal.
From a technical point of view, the price of gold seems to have reached a plateau, holding near its all-time highs. This is a rather dangerous point in time to trade this instrument because the risks are quite high from a technical analysis perspective. Price is near the all-time high, and the Stochastic oscillator has been in the extreme overbought levels for more than 3 consecutive weeks, hinting that a bearish correction might be imminent. On the other hand, the moving averages are validating the overall bullish trend, and the Bollinger bands are quite expanded, showing that volatility is there to support any major moves in the upcoming sessions.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
AUDCHF BUY ForecastAUDCHF New forecast👨💻👨💻
Note:
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Big events in gold this week!Gold closed with another positive line on the weekly chart. Although it has a long upper shadow line, the overall upward pattern is still solid, the trend has not been destroyed, and it still maintains a strong pattern. The daily level shows a high-level yin-yang cycle consolidation. It has failed to break through the 3660 high in the short term. Therefore, it will temporarily respond with a shock thinking, waiting for another bullish opportunity after the breakthrough. What needs to be paid attention to is that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is about to come this week. The market may usher in a new direction choice, and volatility may intensify. At that time, the market rhythm will be more critical. Pay attention to the 3620-3660 area in the small range of the day. If it can break through, look at the extension space of the large range of 3675-3610. Remind brothers, this week’s trading should pay more attention to rhythm and risk control, avoid blindly chasing ups and downs, wait patiently for the key positions to be confirmed before entering the market accurately, execute high-winning trading plans, and lock profits firmly in the account.For the specific layout and operation rhythm, please refer to the bottom notification I released at the first time to ensure consistent execution and unified thinking, and avoid blindly following the trend and causing unnecessary risks.
Gold Weekly Analysis – Key Zones and Fed Rate Impact.This is an important week for Gold (XAUUSD): Wednesday’s Federal Funds Rate Decision could move markets sharply. Expectations from recent Fed commentary suggest a moderate chance of a rate cut or at least dovish language, which may support gold upside.
🔑 Key Buy Zones to Watch:
Demand Zone 1: 3615–3612
Demand Zone 2: 3600–3597
Discounted Buy Area: 3673 (if price pulls back then)
Trend remains bullish — no strong signs of bearish reversal currently.
🎯 Weekly Targets:
Primary target: 3700
If momentum strong and resistance broken: potential new highs beyond that
⚠ Risk & Strategy Notes:
Watch Fed Rate Decision for surprises — hawkish tone could push gold lower temporarily.
Use stop losses below demand zones to protect against downside risk.
Only take buys from those zones or after confirmation (bullish candle structure, rejection from support).
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Regards: Forex Insights Pro.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #WeeklyAnalysis #FedRate #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportDemand #Trading