XRP Whales’ $500 Million Accumulation Pushes Price Past $2.5At the time of writing, XRP trades at $2.65, attempting to establish $2.64 as a new support floor. The token has climbed more than 12% in the past week, marking one of its strongest short-term rallies in months.
If bullish sentiment continues, XRP could extend its rise toward the $2.75 resistance level. Investor support, particularly from whales, may help drive the asset closer to the $3.00 mark, signaling a broader recovery phase.
However, if XRP faces renewed selling or bearish market cues, it could retrace to $2.54 or even $2.35. Such a decline would invalidate the current bullish outlook and suggest short-term exhaustion among investors.
Fundamental Analysis
What To Expect From Bitcoin Price In November 2025At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $114,518, sitting just below the key $115,000 resistance level. With investor sentiment turning increasingly positive, BTC could soon push through this barrier. A confirmed breakout would likely trigger renewed momentum, driving prices toward higher resistance levels in November.
Bitcoin’s near-term target remains its all-time high (ATH) of $126,199, which requires a 10.2% rise from current levels. To achieve this, BTC must first clear strong resistance zones at $117,261 and $120,000, where heavy supply from profit-takers could temporarily slow progress.
However, if Bitcoin fails to sustain momentum above $115,000, short-term weakness could reemerge. A dip toward $110,000 remains possible if buyers lose conviction. Any move below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook.
TGT 1D - hitting the target?On the daily chart, Target Corporation (TGT) has finally broken out of its long downtrend and closed above the consolidation box. The setup suggests a potential bullish reversal with targets at $123 and $146.8.
Technically , the structure looks solid: a possible retest of the breakout zone could offer a great mid-term entry. Volume supports the move, and RSI is recovering from oversold levels.
On the fundamental side, Target is regaining investor confidence. The company is expanding its digital sales, strengthening brand partnerships, and improving supply-chain efficiency. Rising margins and better inventory management hint that profits may start to recover - just in time for the holiday season.
Tactical plan: as long as price holds above $94, bulls have control. The next target? Well… Target itself.
Sell in NasdaqUpdated Nasdaq Market Analysis (as of October 28, 2025 – Current Price: 25,809)
Current Price: Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) at 25,809
Intraday Change: Up +1,605 points (+6.63%) from prior close (~24,204)
Context: This marks an explosive breakout, shattering all-time highs with the strongest single-day surge in over a year. The move is driven by blowout earnings from Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Meta (META), reigniting AI frenzy, alongside dovish Fed signals and U.S.-China trade thaw rumors.
Despite the euphoria, this is a textbook “sell the news” top — and 25,809 is an ideal short entry. Here’s why:
Why It’s a Strong Sell at 25,809
1. Extreme Overbought Conditions (Technical Exhaustion)
• RSI (14-day): 92+ → Highest since March 2000 (dot-com peak).
Anything above 80 is extreme; 90+ is a screaming reversal signal.
• Distance from 200-day MA: Now +22% above — the most extended in 25 years.
• Bollinger Bands: Price 3+ standard deviations above the 20-day mean — a classic “blow-off top” pattern.
• Volume Spike + Distribution: Today’s volume is 2.5x average, but declining stocks outnumber advancers 1.8:1 beneath the surface — institutional selling into strength.
Verdict: This is not sustainable momentum — it’s FOMO capitulation.
2. Valuations at Absurd Levels
Metric
Current
Historical Avg
Implication
Nasdaq Forward P/E
42.1x
25x
Priced for perfection
Price-to-Sales (NDX)
9.8x
4.5x
AI hype detached from revenue
Nvidia P/E
78x FY26
35x (growth stocks)
One miss = 30% drop
Even if AI growth continues, the market has already priced in 5+ years of flawless execution.
3. Earnings “Sell the News” Setup
• Nvidia: Beat estimates by 12%, but guidance only in-line — no upside surprise.
• Microsoft/Azure: Growth slowed from 33% → 29% YoY — first deceleration in 2 years.
• Options Flow: Massive call unwinds post-earnings → smart money taking profits.
History: 8 of the last 10 times Nasdaq surged >5% in a day on earnings, it corrected 7–15% within 2 weeks.
4. Macro & Event Risks Clustering
Event
Date
Risk
U.S. Elections
Nov 5
Policy uncertainty (tariffs, regulation)
Fed Meeting
Oct 29–30
Dovish cut already priced in — hawkish surprise risk
CPI (Oct)
Nov 13
Sticky inflation → rate cut delay
China Stimulus Fade
Q4
Early 2025 growth slowdown
Risk-on sentiment is at peak — any disappointment triggers rotation out of tech.
5. Sentiment & Positioning Extremes
• CFTC Data: Speculative net longs at all-time highs.
• AAII Bull-Bear Spread: +48% (top 5% historically).
• X (Twitter) Sentiment: “Nasdaq to 30,000” trending — contrarian sell signal.
Everyone is in → No one left to buy.
Trading Signal: SELL (Short) Nasdaq at 25,809
Entry
25,809 (current) or on bounce to 25,900–26,000
Target 1
24,500 (-5%)
Target 2
23,800 (-8%) – 50-day MA
Stretch Target
22,000 (-15%) – 200-day MA
Stop-Loss
26,300 (above psychological 26k)
Risk/Reward
1:3 to 1:5
Execution Options:
• Short Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) or Inverse ETFs (SQQQ, PSQ)
• Put Options: NDX Dec 25,000 puts (high liquidity, defined risk)
• Trailing Stop: Use 1.5% ATR (~400 pts) or previous day’s low
Why Now Is the Perfect Sell
• Parabolic move complete — check
• Earnings catalyst exhausted — check
• Valuations unsustainable — check
• Everyone bullish — check
• Major events ahead — check
This is the top of the AI bubble Phase 1.
The next 5–10% down will be fast and violent — sell strength, don’t chase.
Final Note: Long-term, AI and tech remain dominant. But 25,809 is a generational shorting opportunity. Lock in gains, raise cash, and prepare to buy the dip at 22,000–23,000.
Position sizing: Max 2–3% risk per trade. Use stops religiously.
Monitor: Fed statement (Oct 30), U.S. election polls, China PMI (Oct 31).
XAUUSD: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in Safe-Haven Asset XAUUSD: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in Safe-Haven Asset Amid Geopolitical Tensions – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Insights
📊 Introduction
As of October 28, 2025, XAUUSD (Gold/USD) is experiencing a short-term correction following record highs above $4,300 earlier this month, trading around $3,950 per ounce. This pullback reflects improved risk appetite in equity markets amid stabilizing U.S. economic data and reduced recession fears, with the S&P 500 up 2% week-to-date. However, broader macroeconomic factors, including persistent inflation at 3.2% year-over-year and central bank gold purchases exceeding 800 tonnes year-to-date, underpin a supportive environment. Sector dynamics highlight gold's role as a hedge against geopolitical risks, such as escalating Middle East tensions and U.S.-China trade uncertainties, though volatility is elevated due to a strengthening USD index near 105.
🔍 SWOT Analysis
**Strengths 💪**: Gold serves as a proven inflation hedge and store of value, with central banks accumulating over 900 tonnes projected for 2025 per analyst estimates, driving demand. Its liquidity is unmatched, with daily trading volumes surpassing $200 billion, and physical holdings in ETFs like GLD have risen 15% year-over-year to 1,200 tonnes. Low correlation to equities (0.2 beta) enhances portfolio diversification, while above-ground stocks of approximately 218,000 tonnes ensure scarcity amid annual mine production of just 3,500 tonnes.
**Weaknesses ⚠️**: As a non-yielding asset, gold incurs opportunity costs in high-interest environments, with U.S. 10-year real yields at 1.8% pressuring holdings. All-in sustaining costs (AISC) for miners have risen 8% to around $1,600-1,700 per ounce due to energy and labor inflation, per industry reports, potentially squeezing margins if prices dip. Storage and insurance fees add 0.5-1% annual costs for physical investors.
**Opportunities 🌟**: Heightened geopolitical risks, including potential escalations in Ukraine and Taiwan, could boost safe-haven inflows, similar to the 25% price surge post-2024 elections. Monetary policy easing by the Fed (projected 50bps cuts by year-end) and ECB may weaken the USD, favoring gold, with forecasts targeting $4,500+ by mid-2026. Emerging market demand, led by India and China (combined 1,500 tonnes annual consumption), offers growth amid de-dollarization trends.
**Threats 🚩**: A stronger USD from hawkish Fed pivots or robust U.S. growth could cap upside, as seen in the recent 5% correction. Competition from high-yield bonds and cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin up 25% YTD) diverts capital, while environmental regulations may increase AISC by 10-15% over the next five years. Oversupply risks from recycled gold (1,200 tonnes annually) persist if economic slowdowns reduce jewelry demand.
💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation
Adopting a value investing approach for commodities, we estimate gold's intrinsic value using a monetary backing model, which assesses its role as a reserve asset relative to money supply, incorporating a margin of safety (20% discount). Key inputs from public data: U.S. M2 money supply at $22.195 trillion, U.S. gold reserves at 8,133 tonnes (≈261.5 million ounces), and an assumed fair coverage ratio of 6% (historical average post-Bretton Woods, adjusted for modern dilution; current coverage ≈4.7% at $3,950/oz).
Formula: Intrinsic Value per Ounce = (M2 Money Supply × Coverage Ratio) / Gold Reserves in Ounces
- M2 × 6% = $22.195T × 0.06 ≈ $1.332T
- $1.332T / 261.5M ounces ≈ $5,092
Apply 20% margin of safety: $5,092 × 0.8 ≈ $4,074
At current price ≈$3,950, XAUUSD appears undervalued by ≈3-29% (factoring upside to $5,092 fair value aligned with central bank demand and inflation metrics). No debt flags apply directly, but sustainability relies on demand outpacing monetary expansion. 📈 Undervalued.
📈 Entry Strategy Insights
Institutional strategies emphasize support zones near $3,900-3,940 (aligned with 50-day SMA and recent lows) for unleveraged, long-term positions through dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Scale in during 3-5% dips, leveraging non-repainting volume indicators to validate rebounds from oversold levels. Ideal for building 5-10% allocations over 1-3 months, with targets at $4,200 for partial exits on breakouts. 🚀 Spot zones.
⚠️ Risk Management
Allocate 1-5% of portfolio to gold to buffer against volatility, diversifying with bonds or equities for balance. Implement trailing stops 5-10% below entry (e.g., $3,750) and maintain long-term holds if macroeconomic hedges strengthen, tracking central bank reports and USD trends. Caution on sharp reversals from rate hikes or equity rallies.
🔚 Conclusion
Gold's entrenched role as a monetary hedge, coupled with undervalued metrics and robust demand drivers, supports potential growth to $4,074+, with safety margins embedded. Key takeaways: Prioritize geopolitical monitoring for demand spikes, cross-verify money supply data independently.
This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
Can Defense Giants Print Money During Global Chaos?General Dynamics delivered exceptional Q3 2025 results with revenue reaching $12.9 billion (up 10.6% year-over-year) and diluted EPS soaring to $3.88 (up 15.8%). The company's dual-engine growth strategy continues to drive performance: its defense segments capitalize on mandatory global rearmament driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, while Gulfstream Aerospace leverages resilient demand from high-net-worth individuals. The Aerospace segment alone grew revenue by 30.3% with operating margin expanding 100 basis points, delivering record jet deliveries as supply chains normalized. Operating margin reached 10.3% overall, with operating cash flow hitting $2.1 billion—an extraordinary 199% of net earnings.
The defense portfolio secures decades of revenue visibility through strategic programs, most notably the $130 billion Columbia-class submarine program, which represents the U.S. Navy's top acquisition priority. General Dynamics European Land Systems has secured a €3 billion contract from Germany for next-generation reconnaissance vehicles, capitalizing on record European defense spending that reached €343 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach €381 billion in 2025. The Technology division strengthened its position with $2.75 billion in recent IT modernization contracts, deploying AI, machine learning, and advanced cybersecurity capabilities for critical military infrastructure. The company's 3,340-patent portfolio, with over 45% still active, reinforces its competitive moat in nuclear propulsion, autonomous systems, and signals intelligence.
However, significant operational headwinds persist in the Naval segment. The Columbia-class program faces a 12-to 16-month delay, with the first delivery now anticipated between late 2028 and early 2029, driven by supply chain fragility and specialized workforce shortages. Late delivery of major components forces complex out-of-sequence construction work, while the defense industrial base struggles with critical skill gaps in nuclear-certified welders and specialized engineers. Management emphasizes that the upcoming year will be pivotal for driving productivity improvements and margin recovery in Naval operations.
Despite near-term challenges, General Dynamics' balanced portfolio positions it for sustained outperformance. The combination of non-discretionary defense spending, technological superiority in strategic systems, and robust free cash flow generation provides resilience against volatility. Success in stabilizing the submarine industrial base will determine long-term margin trajectory, but the company's strategic depth and cash generation capability support continued alpha generation in an increasingly uncertain global environment.
GBPJPY TRADE IDEAhi all
For the GBPJPY pair, a breakout has occurred on the trendline. I’m currently waiting for a breakout at the nearest support level before entering a short position at that level.
My nearest target is around the 199.212 level
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Gold (XAUUSD): Please wait for the correction to completeGold (XAUUSD): Please wait for the correction to complete. Market in HTF is bullish. Any sell opportunity is risky, although I missed a good one yesterday. Wait for the correction to complete. A good reaction to the highlighted area a good sign that gold will turn to bullish in MTF and LTF soon. Be patient.
Cheers
BTCUSD TRADE IDEAhi all
For the BTCUSD pair, a breakout has occurred on the H1 timeframe. This current pullback presents an opportunity to enter a long position, with a short-term target around the 115,529.68 level. From that level, I anticipate a potential swing setup, with the next target near 111,666.21
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
SOL: Unlocking 35% Upside in High-Performance BlockchainSOL: Unlocking 35% Upside in High-Performance Blockchain Amid ETF Momentum – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Insights
📊 Introduction
As of October 28, 2025, Solana (SOL) is navigating a post-ETF launch environment with oversold rebound characteristics. The cryptocurrency trades around $200, reflecting a mild correction after recent highs near $231, influenced by broader market liquidity injections from the Federal Reserve's $2T stimulus and cooling inflation data. Sector dynamics show Solana's DeFi ecosystem surging, with total value locked (TVL) expanding due to high transaction throughput and low fees, outpacing competitors like BNB Chain in 24-hour DEX volume ($1.47B vs. $1.3B). Macro factors, including institutional inflows into crypto ETFs and reduced China tariff risks, support a stabilizing trend, though volatility persists from regulatory scrutiny and altcoin rotations.
🔍 SWOT Analysis
**Strengths 💪**: Solana boasts exceptional network performance with up to 65,000 transactions per second (TPS) and sub-$0.01 fees, enabling scalable DeFi and NFT applications. Recent metrics highlight robust growth: DeFi TVL has reached approximately $16B (per aggregated chain data), with platforms like Saros Finance alone at $250M and 150K+ active wallets. Institutional adoption is evident through the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) launch, offering ~7% annual yield, and partnerships like Visa's USDC support. Revenue from transaction fees and staking (current APY ~6-8%) bolsters sustainability, with over 3.5M SOL held by corporate treasuries valued at $591M+.
**Weaknesses ⚠️**: Historical network outages, though reduced since 2024 upgrades, remain a concern, with the last major halt in February 2024. Centralization risks arise from a validator concentration (top 19 control ~33% of stake), potentially exposing the network to downtime or governance issues. Debt-like metrics are minimal in crypto, but high inflation from token unlocks (total supply 612.84M vs. circulating 549.7M) could dilute value if adoption lags.
**Opportunities 🌟**: The Alpenglow upgrade, slated for late 2025, promises 150ms block finalization, enhancing real-time applications in payments and derivatives. ETF momentum, including Canary's HBAR/LTC launches as proxies, could drive SOL inflows similar to Bitcoin's $1.5B ETF projections. Expanding meme coin and gaming ecosystems, backed by $150M from Solana Ventures, position it for market share gains in Web3, with potential for $300+ highs if resistance at $260 breaks.
**Threats 🚩**: Regulatory pressures, such as SEC delays on further ETFs or China's stablecoin warnings, could cap growth. Competition from Ethereum L2s (e.g., Arbitrum's 2.5M daily transactions) and bridges poses risks, alongside market-wide volatility from Bitcoin dominance (57.6%). Broader threats include quantum computing vulnerabilities, though mitigated by ongoing cryptographic enhancements.
💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation
Adopting a value investing lens for cryptocurrencies, we estimate Solana's intrinsic value using an adapted discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on network fundamentals, incorporating a margin of safety (20% discount). Key inputs from public data: TVL ~$16B, circulating supply 549.7M SOL, staking yield ~7%, and projected annual growth rate 50% (based on DeFi volume surges and ETF catalysts).
Formula: Intrinsic Value per Token = (TVL per Token * Weight) + (Annualized Yield * Growth Multiplier)
- TVL per Token = $16B / 549.7M ≈ $29.10 (weighted at 0.7 for core network value)
- Annualized Yield = 7% (weighted at 0.3, multiplied by 10x growth factor for ecosystem expansion)
Calculation:
(29.10 * 0.7) + (0.07 * 10) = 20.37 + 0.70 = 21.07
Scaled to market comparables (e.g., ETH's P/TVL ratio ~9.3 vs. SOL's current 6.8): Adjusted Intrinsic = 21.07 * 13 (blended multiplier for TPS advantage and adoption) ≈ $273.91
Apply 20% margin of safety: $273.91 * 0.8 ≈ $219.13
At current price ~$200, SOL appears undervalued by ~9-35% (factoring upside to $271 fair value per P/TVL alignment). No major debt flags, but sustainability hinges on TVL growth exceeding token inflation. 📈 Undervalued.
📈 Entry Strategy Insights
Institutional approaches favor identifying support zones around $180-190 (near 200-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term entries via dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Scale in during 8-12% dips, using non-repainting momentum indicators like volume-weighted averages to confirm rebounds. Optimal for accumulating 10-20% positions over 3-6 months, targeting breakouts above $210 for scaling out partial profits. 🚀 Spot zones.
⚠️ Risk Management
Limit position sizing to 1-5% of portfolio to mitigate volatility, diversifying across Layer-1s and stable assets. Set trailing stops at 10-15% below entry (e.g., $170) and hold long-term if fundamentals remain strong, monitoring validator health and TVL metrics. Caution on overexposure amid potential 15-30% pullbacks from macro events.
🔚 Conclusion
Solana's high-speed infrastructure, ETF-driven momentum, and undervalued metrics position it for sustained growth, with calculated upside to $219+ incorporating safety margins. Key takeaways: Focus on network adoption for value accrual, verify TVL trends independently.
This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
(Apex Critical Metals Corp. | TSX: APXC) — Swing Trade 💰 APXC — Swing Trade Breakdown
(Apex Critical Metals Corp. | TSX: APXC)
🏢 Company Snapshot
Apex Critical Metals is a Canadian exploration company focused on rare earth elements (REE) and niobium, with projects in carbonatite and alkaline rock settings across Canada and the U.S. Recent acquisitions and exploration updates have sparked momentum as traders rotate into the critical minerals theme.
📊 Fundamentals
APXC is a pre-revenue explorer, so profitability metrics don’t apply. The company carries minimal debt, limited tangible book value, and negative free cash flow as it funds exploration. Market cap sits around CA$150–200 million. Like most juniors, it’s high-risk/high-reward — leverage is low, but dilution risk is high.
Summary: Early-stage speculative profile — clean balance sheet, no earnings, no dividend, pure exploration exposure.
📈 Trends & Catalysts
• Revenue Growth: N/A — still in exploration phase.
• EPS Trend: Negative — consistent losses, normal for juniors.
• Cash Flow: Declining; ongoing exploration expenses.
• Balance Sheet: Low debt, modest cash reserves — likely needs future financing.
• Catalysts:
– Upcoming exploration results and permit updates.
– Continued REE/niobium hype amid North American supply chain focus.
– Potential JV or strategic investment announcements.
• Risks: Dilution through equity raises, exploration risk, and volatile rare-earth pricing cycles.
🪙 Industry Overview
The rare-earth exploration space has been hot, with select juniors up hundreds of percent YTD. After a steep run, the group saw a 10% weekly pullback on profit-taking but remains up ~60% month-over-month and up 500%+ over 12 months. Sentiment is speculative but still constructive while commodity demand themes stay in focus.
📐 Technicals
• Current Price: CA$3.29
• 50-SMA: ≈ CA$2.50
• 200-SMA: ≈ CA$1.20
• RSI(2): 44.8 — neutral, post-pullback.
• Pattern: Breakout → consolidation; momentum cooling after a strong vertical run.
• Support: CA$2.80 – 3.00 (prior breakout area)
• Resistance: CA$4.50 – 5.00 (swing high zone)
• Volume: Well above historical averages — clear sign of accumulation earlier this month.
🎯 Trade Plan
Watching for an entry between CA$2.90–3.30, ideally on a low-volume pullback or consolidation near support.
Stop: CA$2.50–2.70 (below structural support).
Target: CA$4.50 (first major resistance).
R/R: ~2.5× potential if the setup holds.
Alternate setup — momentum continuation: a breakout above CA$4.00 on volume could confirm another leg higher.
🧠 My Take
APXC remains a high-beta, news-driven play tied to the critical minerals narrative. Technicals show a healthy consolidation after a massive speculative run, offering a possible second-leg swing if REE sentiment stays positive. I’m bullish for a short-term trade off support but keeping stops tight — failure to hold CA$2.80–3.00 would invalidate the setup and suggest momentum has dried up.
Why Most Traders Exit Too Early — Psychology of Taking Profits1. Introduction
Most traders obsess over finding the perfect entry.
But what really separates professionals from everyone else is how they exit.
Closing trades too early kills more profits than bad setups ever will.
The problem might be one's psychology.
2. The Two Fears That Control Exits
When managing profits, every trader battles two emotions:
Fear of Loss – “ What if the PRICE reverses?”
Fear of Regret – “What if it keeps running after I close?”
Both pull you in opposite directions. One makes you take profit too soon; the other makes you hold too long.
The balance between them defines your discipline.
3. Why Most Traders Close Too Early
After entering a good trade, emotions rise. As profit builds, so does anxiety.
Instead of trusting their plan, traders imagine losing what they’ve just gained, so they close the trade prematurely.
In doing so, they trade emotion, not logic.
It feels safe in the moment, but long term it destroys reward-to-risk consistency.
4. The Solution: Predefine the Exit
The only way to remove hesitation is to plan exits before entering.
Decide in advance:
– Target levels based on structure or risk-reward.
– Conditions that justify partial profits.
– Situations that allow for trailing stops.
When these decisions are made beforehand, emotions can’t interfere mid-trade.
You act according to a plan, not a feeling.
Visual idea: Screenshot-style mockup of trade plan with marked “Entry,” “Partial,” “Final Target.”
5. The Real Lesson
Profit-taking should be systematic, not emotional.
Your job isn’t to catch every little move, it’s to execute your plan without hesitation.
NZDCAD continues to move inside a large patternNZDCAD continues to move inside a large pattern
NZDCAD continues to move inside a large pattern, where both resistance and support levels are clearly respected.
Currently, the price tested teh support zone and bounced in a clear way.
Given that this week is going to be very volatile a possible bearish movment to 0.8040 could happen as correction before NZDCAD goes up again.
Key Targets:
0.8110
0.8150
0.8250
Tomorrow the BOC is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points from 2.5% to 2.25%. Comments regarding the future of the Canadian economy and the challenges it may face related to US tariffs could create temporary weakness for the CAD.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
USD/JPY – Trend Exhaustion or Start of a Reversal Phase?After several consecutive distribution ranges and bearish impulses, USD/JPY is showing early signs of structural recovery on the H1 timeframe. The market has formed a series of consolidation blocks followed by sharp breakdowns, but recent price action suggests that the downward momentum is losing strength.
Technical Outlook:
Structure: The pair has broken out of the most recent consolidation box around 0.00654 – 0.00656, forming a short-term bullish leg.
Trendlines: The prior descending structure has been violated as price created a higher low – the first hint of a potential reversal setup.
Support zones:
0.00655 – key intraday demand zone (former breakout level).
0.00652 – secondary support aligning with the previous accumulation area.
Resistance zones:
0.00660 – short-term target; first test of structure liquidity.
0.00663 – extended target, potential reaction area for profit-taking.
Momentum indicators: RSI is hovering above 55, showing early bullish pressure after long consolidation. EMAs are flattening, signaling the end of the bearish dominance.
Trading Strategy:
- Buy setup (continuation scenario):
Entry: 0.00656 – 0.00657 (retest zone)
Stop Loss: below 0.00653
Take Profit 1: 0.00660 | Take Profit 2: 0.00663
Risk/Reward: approx. 1:2.5
Bias: bullish continuation after a clean breakout.
- Sell setup (only if structure breaks down again):
Entry: below 0.00652
Target: 0.00648
Stop: above 0.00656
Summary:
The overall bias remains neutral-to-bullish for the short term. A confirmed H1 close above 0.00660 will validate the first bullish breakout after several failed recovery attempts. Traders should watch for a potential pullback to 0.00656 before any upward continuation.
If price sustains above this level, the next bullish leg could extend toward 0.00663–0.00665, aligning with the previous structure’s mid-range.
Stay alert — this could mark the start of a trend reversal phase for USD/JPY after weeks of compression.
If you find this analysis helpful, save it and follow for daily trading setups and strategies.
XAUUSD UPDATEhi everyone
For this upward movement, the first resistance is at the 3494 level. A breakout at this level would also coincide with a breakout of the trendline. If both the trendline and resistance are broken, the price is likely to move toward the next resistance at 4984. The target price could reach the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
I’m also interested in entering a long position around the 3862 area. However, if the support at 3884 breaks, I will reconsider the setup
good luck all
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
$tao TAO Bittensor Descending Triangle PatternGETTEX:TAO TAOUSDT Bittensor/Tether shows large descending triangle pattern forming on the Weekly timeframe— a classic setup for a major breakout when price breaks the downtrend line.
Current Price: $419
#TAO Chart Structure & Trend
Strong horizontal support between $224–230
Price recently bounced strongly from around $315 to $401, signaling momentum building toward a potential breakout of the triangle.
A decisive breakout above $450–470 would likely confirm a bullish reversal.
Key Levels
* Short-term: between $450–470 (trendline resistance and breakout zone)
* Medium-term: $630 (tp1)
* Extended: $870 (tp2) and $1,108 (tp3)
Invalidation of this Bullish bias is under $315
Tabuk Cement
🏭 Location & Strategic Position
Tabuk Cement is located in the northwestern region of Saudi Arabia, close to the borders with Jordan and Egypt (via the Red Sea).
Its strategic position allows it to efficiently export cement and clinker to Jordan, Egypt, and potentially Syria, utilizing both land and sea routes.
The company’s plant is situated near Duba Port on the Red Sea, enhancing its maritime export capabilities.
⚙️ Operations & Products
Main Products:
Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC)
Sulfate Resistant Cement (SRC)
Primary Markets:
Domestic construction projects across northwest Saudi Arabia.
Regional exports to neighboring countries.
🌍 Competitive Advantages
Proximity to export markets: Jordan, Egypt, Syria, and Sudan.
Access to key infrastructure projects within Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 development framework.
Reliable supply chain through road and sea connections.
💰 Financial Highlights
Dividend Policy: Regular dividend payments of around SAR 0.50 per share, reflecting stable profitability.
Financial Health: A solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels and consistent cash flow from operations.
Challenges: Rising fuel costs and strong competition in the Saudi cement sector.
✅ Summary
Tabuk Cement is a strategically located, financially stable, and regionally significant cement producer. Its export access to Jordan, Egypt, and Syria gives it a unique geographic advantage among Saudi cement firms, while its prudent financial management and steady dividends make it an attractive long-term value and income investment.
first target 10.47 second target 10.6 investor 12
Novartis Increases Purchase of Avidity BiosciencesNovartis Strengthens Its Rare Diseases Strategy with the Purchase of Avidity Biosciences
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Novartis (SWX: NOVN) has taken an important step to strengthen its presence in therapies for rare diseases. The company announced the acquisition of Avidity Biosciences (NASDAQ: RNA) for 12 billion dollars in cash, paying 72 USD per share, 46% more than Friday's close.
As part of the deal, Avidity will separate its cardiac unit into a new publicly traded SpinCo, allowing Novartis to concentrate its resources on the rare diseases segment, a strategic area with high margin potential and lower competition. The operation comes at a critical moment, amid the loss of patents for key products such as Entresto and Cosentyx, making pipeline diversification a priority to sustain revenues.
Fundamental Analysis
The acquisition of Avidity strengthens Novartis’ portfolio in the face of patent expirations, offering a pipeline with innovative therapies and potential for sustainable growth. The company maintains a solid financial position, with sufficient liquidity to finance the operation without compromising its balance sheet. This allows it to reduce risks from declining revenues of mature products while positioning itself in a high value-added segment.
Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: NOVN.CH)
The stock is trading today around 99.47 Swiss Francs, after recently rebounding from highs of 106.88 CHF. Since then, bullish volume has been losing strength, and yesterday the 50-day moving average support was breached. The current support in the first trading hour is located at the 100-day moving average. The medium-to-long-term trend has remained bullish.
The RSI has dropped to 34.96%, reaching oversold levels, which could indicate that a technical bottom has been reached. The MACD has entered negative territory, although its signal and moving averages remain above the histogram in negative territory, with volume gradually increasing. This could suggest that if the current price loses value, it may test the 96 CHF support in the coming sessions if the 100-day moving average does not hold. The Point of Control (POC) coincides with this level, concentrating most of the trading power in this zone.
The ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse indicates a neutral risk, slightly increasing, but with no relevant market data showing correlation with these company developments.
Indicators:
RSI: 34.96%, moderate relative strength signal in oversold territory
MACD: positive, with an increasing bearish histogram, anticipating continuity of the impulse
Key support: 96 USD
Resistance: 106.88 USD highs if the current trend holds, key pivot for bullish momentum near the point of control (~102 USD)
The market interprets the acquisition as a strategic reinforcement of the pipeline and an action to diversify revenues, which could maintain bullish momentum in the short and medium term. The current correction is interpreted as a temporary devaluation following the acquisition, very common after consolidations of this type.
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XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue to Fall?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 30-minute timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The reduction in its downward momentum in the demand range will provide us with a better risk-reward buying position. A move towards the supply range above the channel will be our next short trade!
Gold prices fell below $4,000 per ounce for the first time since October 10, following a sharp $125 decline.
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For 2025, the survey anticipates an average gold price of $3,400, up from $3,220 in the previous poll, while the average silver price is forecasted to rise to $38.45 from $34.52 previously.
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Lu Ting, Nomura’s chief China economist, noted that the world’s two largest economies appear to be settling into a predictable pattern of “strain–escalation–pause”, which may define the framework of their relationship in the foreseeable future.
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Lu cautioned that while short-term cooperation may continue due to mutual economic dependence, long-term strategic competition between Washington and Beijing is expected to intensify.
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Such a backdrop implies persistent volatility in global markets, particularly in commodities and technology sectors, which are highly sensitive to trade developments between the two nations.
Investors should prepare for alternating periods of optimism and renewed tension.
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At the same time, Morgan Stanley reported that U.S. dollar positioning has turned positive for the first time in several months, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the U.S. economic outlook.
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