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Smart Money Concept (SMC)📊 SMC Analysis – Bullish Target 3,700 Hit ✅ Fake Out + BOS Price made a fake out around the support zone and confirmed with a Break of Structure (BOS). ✅ Rejection at Support As projected, price retested the zone and gave a rejection, signaling continuation. ✅ Distribution Breakout The market broke out strongly from the distribution phase, validating institutional accumulation. ✅ Target Reached The bullish move extended perfectly to the new target at 3,700, proving once again the accuracy of the setup. 🔑 Lesson Smart Money Concepts work best when you: 1. Identify fake outs and liquidity grabs. 2. Wait for the retest and rejection. 3. Trust the structure for bullish continuation. 4. Let the trade run until TP is achieved. 👉 Another textbook execution — precise, disciplined, and profitable. GOOD JOB TRADERS ;)
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Fonseca87
Flowers Food | FLO | Long at $13.51Flowers Food NYSE:FLO . Maker of Nature’s Own (the top-selling bread brand in the US), Wonder Bread, Tastykake, and many others, has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. While the fall has been steep since 2022, the company is trading at a price-to-earnings of 13x (typical food industry is around 20x) and offers and 7%+ dividend. It's not a play for future growth, however, which is expected to be mild to stagnant ( based on forward annual earnings and revenue . This position is a value / dividend play given the high likelihood of lower interest rates and a certain group of investors moving out of banks and into dividend / income stocks. So, while I wouldn't be shocked if NYSE:FLO dips into the $12 rage in the near-term, I have created a starter position in the company at $13.51. My targets are modest, although there is a blaring gap in the $27-$28 range that will likely be filled... some time. Targets into 2028: $14.75 (+9.2%) $16.25 (+20.3%)
NYSE:FLOLong
by WorthlessViews
Dovish Spells or Hawkish Surprises? FOMC Prep for ES, NQ, GCLet’s start with the biggest event this week. Unless, of course, some unexpected headline swoops in and steals the spotlight — because markets love a good plot twist. Emotions are running high, and volatility is flying around like confetti at a surprise party nobody asked for. But don’t worry, Chair Powell might just play the role of the calm voice in the chaos. Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed this week. Interestingly, the future path of rate cut expectations has been in the doldrums. Is it a bird or a plane? No, it’s Superman. Likewise here, is it 1 cut or 2 cuts? No, it’s 3 cuts priced at this moment until the end of 2025. Excuse the humor, but what fun is it if you cannot entertain yourself while analyzing the complexities of markets day in and day out. Execution is boring; risk management is much like dementors sucking out life force when risk is not respected. And analyzing and preparation is where the creativity and fun is. And as Kurt Angle would say, it is “ True ”. Index futures including ES futures and NQ futures have all climbed steadily higher since September 2 low. Markets are turning higher in anticipation of a new bull run. Gold futures are rallying, currently trading above $3700. Since the Jackson Hole dovish pivot, gold has not looked back and has rocketed higher above major resistance. Our focus is on the Fed meeting. All eyes will be on the forward guidance; risks to inflation, risks for the labor market and FED’s SEP (Summary of Economic Projections). This also includes GDP forecasts and the most anticipated Dot Plot. Which of the two mandates will the Fed prioritize, labor market weakness or sticky inflation? The interesting thing to note is that despite sticky inflation, markets are anticipating 3 cuts of 25 bps for each of the meetings this year. Thus far, as we have previously mentioned, the Fed will likely be moving away from their 2% inflation target to an average inflation target in the range of 2% to 3%. This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal less inflation are going to fall sharply lower. Given this, we anticipate gold to continue higher as the US Dollar's purchasing power erodes away, with mounting debt, higher inflation and falling real yields. The real question we should be asking is: What if the meeting outcome is hawkish with the Fed delivering just 1 cut in the September meeting and staying on hold for the remainder of the year? What other risks are there that could pull stocks and indexes lower? And bonds higher? Tariffs at this point seem like an old talk unless something reinvigorates and puts them on the front and center of market worries. Based on these thoughts, here are our scenarios: Base Case: 25 bps cuts and dovish guidance but iterates meeting by meeting approach. ES & NQ: Data dependent Fed, that is likely behind the curve and markets may translate this as Fed too slow to react to emerging risks, risks of recession goes higher. In this case, although stocks may push higher with rates coming down initially, in our view, much of this is priced in and this may be ‘sell the fact moment’. Portfolio adjustment: Sell index futures, Buy Gold and Bonds. Ultra-Dovish: Fed’s dot plot confirms 2 additional rate cuts of 25 bps for Oct and Dec meeting and further 4 cuts till end of 2026 to bring terminal rate lower to 250-275. USD weakens further, real rates sink, reinforcing gold bid. Portfolio adjustment: Buy everything. Buy the dip. Hawkish Surprise Only 25 bps in September, then pause ES & NQ: • Sharp pullback as equities reprice for tighter liquidity. • ES could retrace recent gains, downside risk toward 4,900–5,000 zone. • NQ likely hit harder due to tech sensitivity to discount rate. GC: • Short-term correction as USD firms and yields spike. • However, downside may be limited if market shifts focus back to debt & long-term inflation risks. Risk-Off External Shock- Geopolitical event, tariffs ES & NQ: • Drop as risk sentiment sours; defensives outperform growth. • Bonds rally, yields fall, curve steepens if Fed cut expectations accelerate. GC: • Strong safe-haven bid, spikes higher regardless of Fed stance. Comment with your thoughts and let us know how you see the markets shaping up this week
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
Gold All Time High Continue – Next Target?Gold is currently trading around $3688, just above the 3675–3680 breakout zone, which has now turned into a crucial support. Price is moving within an upward channel, but the recent breakout above equal highs and the labeling of a “weak high” suggest that buyers may still push towards the 3740–3750 resistance area before facing stronger rejection. A decisive break above the $3,700–3,750 zone would open the way to targets in the $3,800+ region and eventually toward $4,000 if the Fed proves dovish and ETF/central-bank demand remains strong. However, failure to hold above 3680 would shift momentum back towards the lower channel, where immediate supports lie at 3565, 3530, and 3498. A deeper breakdown below these levels would open the door for further downside towards the 3440–3400 zone. Any surprise hawkish Fed commentary, a meaningful USD recovery, or a quick drop in inflation expectations could trigger sharper mean-reversion. Buy Zone & Buy Trigger: - Buy Zone: 3670 – 3680 area - Buy Trigger: A clean breakout and 4H close above 3700 will be a buy trigger. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
UNH – Break of Downtrend, Bullish Setup EmergingUnitedHealth (UNH) has recently broken out of a sustained downtrend, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The stock is now retesting near-term levels, with the green uptrend line providing structural support for further upside. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current Price: $347.89 Trend: Downtrend in red broken, new uptrend support holding. Support & Stop-Loss: $321 | SL: $311 (Medium risk – 4H support) $280 | SL: $273 (Swing entry if reached – daily support) Bias: Bullish while above $321. 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Holding $321 paves the way for continued upside, potentially retesting prior breakdown levels. Bearish Case: Losing $321 would weaken momentum, shifting focus toward the $280 swing support zone. 🌍 Fundamental View UNH remains one of the largest healthcare insurers, benefiting from strong cash flows and defensive demand. Risks include higher medical cost ratios and policy uncertainties in U.S. healthcare. Valuation: While not “cheap,” UNH’s strong earnings base and dividend growth support long-term attractiveness compared to peers. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
NYSE:UNH
by husseindergham
In the game between bulls and bears, where will gold go?After a slight pullback yesterday, gold broke through the previous high of 3674 in the US session, reaching a high near 3685. After an intraday correction, it reached a new high in the European session, currently reaching 3699. Since the start of its strong rally, gold has gained nearly $386, almost continuously breaking new highs. Market expectations for bullishness have further intensified, and the current trend remains clearly bullish, with no signs of a significant bearish pullback. Short-term support is closely watched at 3675, a previous high and a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. If it stabilizes above this level, bulls are expected to regain momentum. The European high and the 3700 mark will become key short-term resistance levels. If it breaks through and stabilizes at 3700, it is expected to continue to rise to test resistance in the 3710-3720 area. In terms of operational thinking, if gold first rebounds to below 3700 and comes under pressure, you can try to short with a light position, with the target at 3685-3670 area; if it stays at 3700 for a long time, you need to adjust the short position in time, follow the trend and go long, waiting for a new round of upward opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
BTC: All eyes on 116,814.5 into the FOMC__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is coiling below the 116.6–116.8k supply zone, keeping the higher-timeframe uptrend intact but capped by the daily pivot at 116,814.5. With the FOMC ahead, volumes remain normal, favoring “break & hold” confirmation over anticipation. Momentum: Mild bullish bias 📈 but capped under 116,814.5 → high-range 115.0–116.8k. Key levels: - Resistances : 116,600–116,814.5 (D/4H pivot), 117,600–118,000 (local liquidity), 124,277.5 (major D pivot). - Supports : 115,100–114,900 (1H/30m), 114,447.7–113,421 (4H/12H confluence), 111,965.8 (weekly pivot). Volumes: Normal across TFs; a volume spike is needed to validate the 116.8k breakout. Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H Up (MTFTI filter), 6H/4H/2H NEUTRAL BUY with stair-step structure; notable exception: 1D Dashboard at STRONG SELL, tempering extensions. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRE VENTE (slight risk-off tilt) — this contradicts the tactical bullish momentum, so demand robust breakout confirmation. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic stance: primary uptrend intact but locked by 116,814.5; favor confirmed breakouts and clean retests. Global bias: Neutral-bullish while 113,421 holds; key invalidation on a close < 113,421 (HTF). Opportunities: - Breakout long: Buy a break & hold > 116,814.5 (≥2 closes 4H/12H), target 117.6–118.0k then 120k. - Buy the dip: Tactical bids at 115,100–114,900 with tight stop below 114,447.7, targeting 116.2 then 116.8k. - Tactical sell: Fade 116.6–116.8k if 115.1k/114,447.7 breaks, target 113.42k. Risk zones / invalidations: - A loss of 113,421 unlocks 111,97k and invalidates the bullish bias. - Failed hold above 116,814.5 (fast rejection) = bull trap risk; wait for a “break & hold”. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): - FOMC: 25 bp cut expected; Powell’s guidance/dot plot will steer risk. - Softer USD, record gold and strong equities = conditional tailwind. - Elevated post-Fed whipsaw risk; avoid impulsive entries. Action plan: - Plan A (Breakout long) : Entry 116.9–116.4k (retest), Stop 114.9k, TP1 117.6–118.0k, TP2 120k, TP3 124,277.5, R/R ~1.8–2.5x. - Plan B (Buy the dip) : Entry 115.10–114.90k, Stop 114.40k, TP1 116.20k, TP2 116.80k, TP3 117.6–118.0k, R/R ~1.5–2.0x. - Plan C (Tactical sell) : Entry on 116.6–116.8k rejection confirmed by a 115.1k break, Stop > 116,814.5, TP1 114.45k, TP2 113.42k, TP3 111.97k, R/R ~1.8–2.2x. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Higher TFs remain constructive but constrained by a single overhead pivot, while tactical TFs lean bullish provided a confirmed breakout. 1D/12H: Up with higher highs/lows; 116,814.5 is the decision pivot. Holding above unlocks 118–120k; below it, high-range 114.9–116.8k persists. 6H/4H/2H: NEUTRAL BUY; stair-step advance with bids near 114.4–115.1k. The Dashboard (4H = STRONG BUY) supports a clean breakout if volumes expand. 1H/30m: NEUTRAL; compression 115.1–116.0k with supply 115.6–115.9k. Validation requires > 116.20k then > 116,814.5. 15m: NEUTRAL BUY; micro higher lows but intraday cap intact. Key confluence: single 116,814.5 resistance + normal volumes → need a catalyst. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro is FOMC-driven (cut expected) with a softer USD and record gold aiding risk, yet event risk is elevated. Macro events: A 25 bp cut is widely anticipated; Powell/dot plot to guide risk. DXY pullback and equity momentum are tailwinds; whipsaw risk post-Fed remains high. Bitcoin analysis: Price compressed under ~116.8–118k; 115k acts as intraday pivot. The 114.45–113.42k cluster is critical; losing it invites 111.97k. On-chain data: Spot/ETFs flows tempered; derivatives more influential with moderate leverage — a durable breakout needs spot volume and multi-bar holds above 116.8k. Expected impact: A dovish Fed improves odds of a break & hold > 116,814.5; a hawkish tilt risks a slide toward 114.45–113.42k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is in a high-range under a single daily pivot, with an intact uptrend but macro headwinds. - Overall trend: neutral-bullish while 113,421 holds; a clean break of 116,814.5 is needed to target 118–120k. - Top setup: confirmed breakout > 116,814.5 with a successful retest and rising volume. - Macro factor: FOMC ahead; softer USD and record gold support risk but heighten whipsaw potential. Stay patient: wait for “break & hold” or buy the manageable dip — discipline around major pivots is key.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
Solana: Selling Pressure Hits 6-Month High as SOL Price Nears $2Currently, Solana trades at $235, sitting just 6% below the $250 milestone. Over the weekend, SOL attempted to reach this target but failed. However, it has managed to hold steady above the $232 support level. If bullish momentum continues, Solana could rebound from $232 and test resistance at $242. A successful breach, particularly if long-term holders slow their selling. This could push SOL toward reclaiming $250 in the near term. However, if selling pressure from long-term holders accelerates, Solana may struggle to defend $232 as support. This scenario could result in a correction toward $221, undermining bullish momentum and invalidating near-term upward projections.
by BeInCrypto
Can 2-Month High Inflows End HBAR Price’s Downtrend? At the time of writing, Hedera is priced at $0.237, facing resistance at $0.241. The cryptocurrency has been weighed down by a two-month-old downtrend that began after it failed to break above $0.248 earlier this summer. Given current market inflows and bullish technical indicators, HBAR is likely to bounce back from the $0.230 support. If successful, the price could retest $0.241 and possibly $0.248. Surpassing this level would officially end the ongoing downtrend. However, if bearish sentiment intensifies, Hedera could lose its footing. A breakdown below $0.230 would expose the cryptocurrency to a fall toward $0.219. Such a move would invalidate the bullish outlook and risk extending the downtrend further.
by BeInCrypto
EURUSD Currently in a battle between trendsEURUSD Locked in a Battle Between Trends EURUSD is currently caught between two opposing structures: an ascending green trendline providing support from below, and a descending red resistance trendline capping price action from above. This squeeze highlights an imminent breakout, where the next directional push could set the tone for weeks ahead. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current price: 1.1719. Price is consolidating inside a triangle formation: Support: Ascending trendline from early August. Resistance: Descending red trendline from July highs. Above lies a major daily resistance at 1.2094, roughly 182 pips away. 🛡️ Support Zones (if pullback occurs): 🟢 1.1710 – Immediate Trendline Support Nearest defense. Losing this could trigger deeper correction. 🟡 1.1451 – 4H Support (Great Entry) Strong structural zone for bulls. Stop-loss: Below 1.1386 🔼 Resistance Levels: 🟥 1.1820 – Trendline Resistance First major cap. Break above confirms bullish momentum. 🟥 1.2094 – Daily Strong Resistance Key ceiling. Clearing this opens path toward 1.2186. 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Hold above 1.1710 + breakout past 1.1820 → continuation toward 1.2094 and beyond. Bearish Case: Rejection under red trendline + break below green trendline → deeper correction into 1.1451. Bias: Neutral → waiting for a clear breakout of the squeeze. 🌍 Fundamental Insight The euro’s strength has been capped by sluggish growth and ECB caution, while the USD remains volatile on rate expectations. A dovish Fed stance could lift EURUSD higher, but stronger U.S. data or dollar demand would reinforce resistance. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is at a critical decision point, caught between opposing trendlines. Traders should watch closely for a breakout confirmation: above 1.1820 for bullish continuation, or below the green trendline for bearish correction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
by husseindergham
USDCAD: CPI Day Setup | Shorting Resistance Levels.USDCAD CPI Day Analysis: Today Canada will release CPI (Consumer Price Index): CPI m/m forecast: 0.0% (prev. 0.3%) Median CPI y/y: 3.1% (prev. 3.1%) Trimmed CPI y/y: 3.0% (prev. 3.0%) 📌 If CPI prints higher than expected → CAD strengthens → USDCAD bearish continuation. 📌 If CPI prints weaker → CAD weakens → USDCAD may spike higher. 🔎 Technical Setup Resistance levels: 1.3760 & 1.3780 (Short zone) Stop-loss: Above resistance zone Targets: 🎯 TP1 → 1.3740 🎯 TP2 → 1.3720 Trend remains bearish while below 1.3780, supported by USD weakness. ✅ Trading Plan I am looking for short opportunities near 1.3760 – 1.3780 with tight risk management. Fundamentals + Technicals both favor CAD strength if CPI comes strong. ⚠️ Reminder: Always use proper risk management. This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. 💬 If you find this helpful, like, comment, and share to support my work. Regards: Forex Insights Pro. #USDCAD #CPI #Forex #PriceAction #TradingPlan #CanadianDollar #FXMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals
Short
by Forex_Insights_Pro
Starconics: Top 11 Crypto Presales for Trading in September 2025In the fast-evolving crypto landscape of September 2025, presales offer early entry points for savvy traders seeking high-reward opportunities. With the market consolidating after a summer surge—Bitcoin holding steady above $115K and altcoins rotating—new projects blending meme culture, DeFi utility, and innovative tokenomics are drawing sharp interest. From Starconics Investment Group, a premier analytics firm specializing in on-chain metrics and AI-driven signals, we dissect 11 standout presales. Our analysis focuses on tokenomics for sustainability, RSI for momentum, and on-chain signals for whale activity and holder growth. Selected based on funding traction, community buzz, and roadmap viability, these include MoonBull, Bonk-inspired variants, Gigachad, and emerging gems like Bitcoin Hyper and BullZilla. Data as of September 16, 2025—ideal for early positioning before Q4 rallies. Starconics equips traders with real-time dashboards for on-chain tracking; sign up for our demo to spot these edges first. 1. MoonBull ($MOBU) — Ethereum Meme Powerhouse MoonBull's presale emphasizes deflationary mechanics and whitelist exclusivity, raising over $370K in Stage 1. Tokenomics: Total supply capped at 1B tokens; 30% presale allocation with 10% weekly burns post-launch, 20% staking rewards (66–80% APY), 15% liquidity lock. RSI at 52 signals neutral momentum post-dip, avoiding oversold territory. On-chain: 50K+ whitelist apps in 24 hours, whale accumulation up 15%; Ethereum integration boosts DeFi TVL potential to $10M early. 2. Bonk ( SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK ) — Solana Meme Revival Bonk's ongoing "presale-like" airdrop extensions fuel community burns, with $1.86B market cap but fresh utility pushes. Tokenomics: 81T supply, 50% community airdrops, 1T burn milestone for holders nearing 1M; 20% DeFi incentives. RSI at 55 (rising from 40) indicates bullish recovery. On-chain: Holder count +5% weekly, Solana TPS spikes 20% on BONK trades; $5M inflows signal meme resurgence. 3. Gigachad ( BME:GIGA ) — Solana Fitness Meme Gigachad's CTO revival post-2024 positions it for 2025 listings, with FDV at BTC 1,013. Tokenomics: 10B max supply, 40% presale/community, 25% NFT staking (gamified rewards), 10% burns on milestones. RSI at 39 flags oversold bounce potential. On-chain: 81% "GIGA meter" filled for launchpad integration; whale buys +10%, volume up 3.57% amid fitness NFT hype. 4. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) — BTC L2 Pioneer Bitcoin Hyper leads L2 presales, raising $15.26M for scalable BTC apps. Tokenomics: 1B supply, 50% presale, 20% ecosystem (cross-chain bridges), deflationary burns on transactions. RSI neutral at 50, MACD bullish crossover. On-chain: 1,300+ holders, $14.6M inflows; Bitcoin settlement layer shows 70% holder retention. 5. BullZilla ($BZIL) — Meme with Burns BullZilla's Stage 2D presale hit $370K, blending narrative with Roar Burn tech. Tokenomics: Dynamic pricing (+10% Sundays), 50% presale, 30% burns on milestones, 20% staking. RSI at 55, neutral-bullish. On-chain: 1,300 holders, netflows -70% but scarcity drives +20% whale interest. 6. Maxi Doge ( NASDAQ:MAXI ) — Doge Evolution Maxi Doge leverages DOGE appeal with tech upgrades, presale at $0.00001. Tokenomics: 100B supply, 40% presale, 25% liquidity, meme-tech hybrid rewards. RSI 52, balanced post-dip. On-chain: Community growth 15%, Solana integrations boost TPS signals. 7. PEPENODE ($PEPENODE) — Mine-to-Earn Meme PEPENOD's gamified mining presale offers 4,000% APY staking. Tokenomics: Deflationary (70% burn on upgrades), 30% presale, referral 2%. RSI rising to 55. On-chain: Node sales +20%, leaderboard activity spikes holder engagement. 8. Wall Street Pepe ($WEPE) — Multi-Chain Meme WEPE's $73M presale ends with Solana burn mechanics. Tokenomics: 200B cap, burns on migrations, 30% staking. RSI 50, neutral. On-chain: Dual-chain TVL $15M, 659M tokens sold. 9. Tapzi ($TAPZI) — Skill-to-Earn Gaming Tapzi's BNB presale focuses on PvP rewards, raising $1M+. Tokenomics: 20% presale (3-month vesting), 70% burns on upgrades. RSI 52. On-chain: 10K+ users, cross-chain volume +25%. 10. Remittix ( NYSE:RTX ) — PayFi Utility Remittix's $25.3M presale targets remittances. Tokenomics: 659M sold at $0.108, daily USDT rewards, Visa integration. RSI neutral 50. On-chain: Beta wallet launch drives 10K daily users. 11. Best Wallet ( BMFBOVESPA:BEST ) — Web3 Super App Best Wallet's presale integrates DEX and debit cards. Tokenomics: No private sale, 50% community, multi-chain support. RSI 55, bullish divergence. On-chain: 500K+ users, presale portal activity +30%. Conclusion: Early Entry with Starconics September 2025's presales like MoonBull and Bitcoin Hyper shine with robust tokenomics and on-chain momentum, poised for 10x–100x gains amid BTC stability. Starconics' AI spots RSI bounces and whale signals—71% bullish sentiment overall. Diversify early, but DYOR on audits. Ready for alpha? Join Starconics Investment Group for on-chain alerts. Which presale excites you? Comment below! #CryptoPresales #NewTokens #Tokenomics #Starconics #September2025
IG:CRYPTOB10Long
by CryptoLifeone
SAP has exited an uptrend and is now forming two peaksSAP has exited an uptrend and is now forming two peaks. I would not call this a double-top formation since there is no supporting evidence in the volume. However, one should be aware that the price has support around 213 (see also the 3-year volume profile). If the support holds, this is positive for the price. But if there is a breakdown with increased volume, it would be a sell signal in the medium term (1–6 months) for investors with that time horizon. The price currently has negative momentum as it is trading below all moving averages (50, 100, 200), the Ichimoku cloud, and the RSI 21 is trending downward. Fundamental analysts remain broadly positive on the stock. My assessment is that the valuation has been too high for some investors, prompting profit-taking. Whether the valuation — with a P/E of around 40–50 — is still considered too high remains to be seen. It should also be noted that while annual results are positive, they fluctuate significantly. Disclaimer: I hold a position in SAP. I do not use a stop loss regarding a potential breakdown below 213, but I have set an alert. I will only consider selling if there is a breakdown with strong volume, and in that case I would look to buy back at a lower level. My overall position is long on SAP.
XETR:SAP
by scorpiris
(Fed) will cut interest rates at the upcoming meetingGold's surge today was fueled by optimism ahead of the US Federal Reserve's meeting. Investors are expecting the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in a year, a move that typically reduces the cost of holding non-yielding gold. At the same time, the US dollar was under pressure, with the dollar index losing 0.3% to 97.3 points - the lowest since July. Since the beginning of 2025, the index has fallen more than 10%, while global gold prices have increased by more than 40%. However, analysts say the rise in gold prices is not only due to the weakening of the USD but also strong investment demand. This shows that gold is attracting great attention from investors, far beyond its role as an asset that benefits from currency fluctuations.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
MARKET ANALYSIS – XAUUSD I 16 - Sep ⚙️ Current Context: - Gold has broken out of the previous downtrend and established a clear uptrend with a sequence of Higher Lows – Higher Highs. - Current price is around 3682, sitting above the short-term supply zone (3671–3685) and near the Swing VaH. - Volume Profile shows liquidity concentrated around 3650–3685, with SWING VAL 3647–3653 as a potential support zone in case of pullback. 🧭 VOLUME PROFILE & PRICE STRUCTURE 🟩 Swing VaH zone: 3685 → Short-term resistance 🔹 Supply zone: 3671–3685 → Potential profit-taking area 🟧 Swing VAL zone: 3647–3653 → Support if price pulls back 🔺 Demand zone: 3636 → Medium-term buy zone if a strong flush occurs 🎯 MAIN TRADE SCENARIOS ✅ Scenario 1: Buy Pullback around 3650–3653 📍Conditions: Price retraces into old Supply zone + Swing VAL Bullish confirmation candle (Bullish Engulfing / Pin Bar M15–M30) 🎯 Target: 3685–3700 🛑 SL: Below 3644 ✅ Scenario 2: Buy Breakout if price clears 3685 📍Conditions: H1 candle closes above Swing VaH 3685 Strong breakout volume 📌 Entry: 3686–3688 🎯 Target: 3705–3710 🛑 SL: Below 3671 ⚠️ Scenario 3: Short-term Sell if strong reaction at 3685–3690 📍Conditions: Bearish Pin Bar / Fakey (M15–M30) appears around 3685–3690 📌 Entry: 3685–3688 🎯 Target: 3655–3653 🛑 SL: Above 3695 🔁 Scenario 4: Buy around Demand Zone if price drops sharply 📍Conditions: Price falls into 3636 (Demand zone) Strong absorption (Pin Bar / Doji M30–H1) 📌 Entry: 3636–3638 🎯 Target: 3665–3680 🛑 SL: Below 3628 💬 Notes & Key Takeaways - The market is consolidating near the top, and a technical pullback may occur before further upside. - Prioritize BUY setups in line with the main uptrend; SELL only for short-term reactions with tight SL. - Strictly manage risk & always respect Stop Loss.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68