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#202448 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold futures: Neutral. Bulls need a strong break above 2700 to test 2720 and the upper triangle line, above that is 2750 and if they break even that, no more resistance until 2800. Most bullish target I have left is 2900 but that’s too far to talk about right now. If bears break below 2630, it’s likely going down to 2560 again. Quote from last week: comment: Market overdid it a bit with the selling and since Monday there are no bears to be found. Measured move up gives us 2866 and if we reach that, 2900 is probably given. You can’t think bearish at all until we reach 2800 again. 5 very strong bull bars closing at the highs. Can’t get any stronger for the bulls. Right now we went from overbought to oversold to overbought. Some pullback is expected and it will likely be a great buying opportunity. comment: Talk about you can’t time the market. Pretty good call that was from the above outlook last week. Higher low, and lower high. Triangle on the daily, very bullish above and very bearish below. Not rocket science to read this. I do think bulls are slightly favored. current market cycle: Bull trend key levels: 2500 - 2900 bull case: My line in the sand was 2650 and low was 2630. Next stop for the bulls is 2700 and 2720. A break above the bear line opens the market up to 2800 again. That is all there is to it right now. Clear invalidation levels and breakout points to set alerts. Invalidation is below 2630. bear case: Bears had a pretty amazing day on Monday but the follow through was disappointing and so we have formed a triangle. Wait for the breakout to either side and hop along or play the current range. Invalidation is above 2750. outlook last week: short term: Max bullish if we stay above 2650. 2800 is my expectation and 2900 possible. → Last Sunday we traded 2712 and now we are at 2681. Missed the low by about 20 points but ok. Not the best outlook but I wrote that a pullback is expected and we got one. short term: Slightly bullish if we stay above 2630. Max bullish above 2750. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon. current swing trade: None chart update: Added bear trend line from the triangle.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
#202448 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futurestl;dr sp500 e-mini futures: Max bullish. New ath is done, now I have two upper targets left for this year. We have 2 decent upper bull trend lines where only the #1 target of 6300 fits. The other would be 6450 but too far and too low probability for now. Bears would need anything below 5850 to kill the rally. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish bias I had, bullish it was. Market looks like it wants up bad. Every dip is bought heavily on increasing volume. Time is now to get above 6100 or we won’t get it at all. Market is beyond overvalued, overbought and the poor late bulls are just arriving. Guess who will be left holding the bags again. comment: Bullish bias I had, bullish it was. Again. Market wanted up and it got it. Is this stopping here? Probably not. Look for longs . current market cycle: Bull trend key levels: 5850 - 6150 (maybe even 6500) bull case: Last hurrah. 6150 is my next target and if we don’t stop, 6500. Is this a bubble? Yes. Can you short this? No. Trends can go much further than anyone can imagine and your account can not sustain the drawdown of early shorts. Breakout is clear, as is the chart. Invalidation is below 5850. bear case: Non-starter is this here. Daily close below 5850, then I start looking at this with a bigger bullish eye. Invalidation is above 6070. outlook last week: short term: I want to join the bulls again. Need strong confirmation first though. Still no interest in selling as of now. → Last Sunday we traded 5987 and now we are at 6051. Perfect outlook. short term: Bullish all the way. If market closes below 5900 I would turn neutral and daily close below 5800 would probably be the end of my bullish thesis and I turn bear. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: 6150 and 6500 are my last targets for the bulls before this bubble begins to pop or at least deflate. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
The History of Forex Trading: How It All Began Ever wondered how forex trading became the massive, 24/5 global market we know today? Here’s a quick look at its fascinating journey: 1️⃣ The Gold Standard Era (1870s–1930s) Forex trading originated when countries began linking their currencies to gold. This system created fixed exchange rates but collapsed during the Great Depression due to economic instability. 2️⃣ Bretton Woods Agreement (1944–1971) After World War II, nations agreed to peg their currencies to the US Dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the USD the world’s reserve currency and gave rise to modern foreign exchange systems. 3️⃣ Floating Exchange Rates (1971–Present) When the Bretton Woods system ended, currencies began to "float," meaning their values were determined by supply and demand in the market. This shift created today’s forex market, where traders speculate on fluctuating currency prices. 4️⃣ The Rise of Retail Forex (1990s–2000s) The advent of the internet and trading platforms like MetaTrader brought forex to individual traders. What was once reserved for banks and institutions became accessible to anyone with an internet connection. 5️⃣ Today’s $7.5 Trillion Market (2020s) Now, forex is the largest financial market in the world, with $7.5 trillion traded daily. Traders from every corner of the globe participate, using advanced tools and strategies to navigate this dynamic market. Forex has come a long way, and we’re part of its exciting evolution. What do you think the future holds for forex trading? AI tools? Crypto integration? Let me know in the comments!
by Safaric
#SOL 4H: EXPECTING A LOCAL CORRECTION. 12/01/24Currently, the price is moving sideways and remains under a descending trendline that acts as resistance. If this trend persists, I anticipate a slight breakout upward followed by a correction to the $222-$218 range. This area could be ideal for considering a futures position or cautious spot accumulation, with near-term targets of $260-$290. #SOL is definitely a must-have in your portfolio. My minimum expectations for #SOL are $300-$400. Everything is illustrated on the chart. DYOR.
Short
by trendbooster
#STRK 1D. Risky Trade Setup with High Targets! 11/25/24We’ve broken out of the range with a strong upward impulse—exactly as forecasted. What’s next? Either a minor pullback to support or a continuation upward from current levels. To put it plainly and concisely: the nearest target, which we will 100% reach, is $0.6582. Will we see #STRK hit $1 this cycle? Absolutely, yes. That’s my call, and I’m saying it right now. Lock this in your mind, and in time, we’ll check if my expectations were correct. Could we see #STRK at $0.8767 as early as next month? It’s entirely possible. Key factors supporting this move: we’re closing the week bullish, with solid volumes, and above the upper boundary of the range. Ideal setup, in my view! This is worth a shot, though it’s high-risk. Check the stop. Setup: Entry: $0.5800 - $0.5400 Targets: $0.6513, $0.8759, $1.1000, $1.3597 Stop-Loss: $0.3928 On spot: no stops. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 02 - Dec 06]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,721 USD/oz to 2,605 USD/oz, then increased slightly and closed the week at 2,650 USD/oz. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply in the early sessions of this week was because President-elect Donald Trump nominated Mr. Scott Bessent, a traditional Wall Street financier, to hold the position of the US Treasury. The market expects Mr. Bessent to contribute to stabilizing the US economy and increasing the strength of the USD. Besides, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, announced earlier this week, also eased worries about geopolitical tensions, reducing the appeal of gold as a safe haven. In particular, Mr. Trump threatened to impose a 25% tax on Mexican and Canadian goods imported into the US and proposed imposing a 10% tax on all products from China, also increasing concerns about a tariff war. , causing the FED to delay reducing interest rates, or even increase interest rates again. In addition, the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) in November still increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, higher than forecast and much higher than the FED's target of 2%. This may make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term. Many people believe that the gold market will have some unpredictable fluctuations in the near future as it continuously reacts to Mr. Trump's comments before his inauguration. In the short term, gold prices next week will continue to be dominated by statements posted on social networks by Mr. Trump. In addition, the market will focus on important US economic data, such as manufacturing and service PMI index; Employment indexes: ADP, NFP, unemployment rate... If US employment figures, especially NFP, increase stronger than expected, it may cause the FED to delay cutting interest rates at the December meeting. coming, causing gold prices to come under pressure to adjust next week. On the contrary, if US employment figures continue to decline sharply, it will cause the FED to continue cutting interest rates, thereby positively supporting gold prices next week. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold price may still fluctuate between 2,500 - 2,750 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,600 – 2,606 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2751 - 2749⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2539 - 2541⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2535
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD increased thanks to the weakening of the USDOANDA:XAUUSD rose, boosted by the weakening of the USD and safe-haven demand due to concerns about persistent geopolitical tensions. Despite recovering in the final trading session of the week, gold still recorded its worst month of performance since September 2023. The US Dollar Index fell to its lowest in more than two weeks, but was still up 2% in November as Republican Donald Trump's victory earlier this month boosted expectations of big fiscal spending. , higher tariffs and tighter borders. This month, gold prices have fallen more than 3%, the worst monthly decline since September last year. After Mr. Trump's victory, the USD continuously increased in price and triggered a strong sell-off in the gold market. OANDA:XAUUSD forecast Geopolitical instability is still increasing, gold prices may still increase in the near future. Gold is often considered a safe investment in times of economic and geopolitical instability such as trade tensions or conflict. The new administration's policies in the US can impact economies, causing the central bank to increase gold reserves. This prompted a sharp increase in gold trading by central banks. This is the group that bought the most gold on the market recently. BCA Research recommends buying gold when prices fall due to long-term prospects. Gold is a commodity that benefits from the policies of the new administration in the US. Increased global policy uncertainty will support gold buying demand.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Geopolitical risks pushed GOLD to increase rapidly in the short In the early trading session on Asian markets on Friday (November 29), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot rose suddenly and rapidly from the intraday low of $2,633 and headed into a key technical position for technical downside expectations. Impacted by escalating tensions in Ukraine. Russia launches joint attack, Putin "speaks tough" While Israel and Lebanon have reached a 60-day ceasefire agreement, this will essentially create pressure on gold as market risks become less. However, the escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict may continue to keep gold prices stable above 2,600 USD/ounce in the near future. The latest Reuters report on Friday said that Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday local time said Russia could use the new "Hazel" hypersonic missile to attack Kiev in response to Ukraine's missile launch. Western fire penetrated deep into Russian territory. So far in the 33-month war, Russia has not yet attacked Ukrainian ministries, government agencies, parliament or the presidential office. Putin said on Thursday that Russia's large-scale attack on Ukraine was a "response" to Ukraine's use of Western missile systems to attack Russian territory. Earlier in the day, Ukraine reported that energy facilities across Ukraine were being attacked by Russian armed forces. Ukraine's Air Force said Thursday that Russia launched a joint attack on Ukraine using missiles and drones starting early that morning. Most regions in Western Ukraine are under attack, especially Ternopil, Lviv, Lutsk, Vinnitsa, Khmelnytsky and others. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the social platform on Thursday that he had a conversation with the Air Force commander, the Minister of Internal Affairs and the Minister of Energy that day about the Russian attack. Mr. Zelensky said that the target of Russia's attack this time is Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Russia launched about 100 attack drones and more than 90 missiles of all types. In the current market context, traders need to pay attention to geopolitical conflicts, their escalation or reduction will have a sudden impact on gold in the short term. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold recovered from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level but is temporarily limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level and the EMA21 moving average. In the short term, Gold can still decrease in price as long as it has not broken the medium-term trend price channel. In the immediate future, gold does not have enough conditions to increase in price in the short term, but a drop below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level will cause gold to fall further with the goal of reaching the original price point of 2,600 USD. However, geopolitical risks are dominating the market, so any purely technical structure could be broken quite easily during this time. The $2,693 level will be the next target in case the 0.50% Fibonacci level is broken above. The market is very volatile in the short term, so long-term open positions will be less effective, and notable technical levels for the medium-term bearish outlook from the price channel on the daily chart will be seen. noticed again as follows. Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2575 →Take Profit 1 2586 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2591
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2024-11-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures - Same as for dax. Retest of yesterday’s open price and bears could only correct sideways and biggest dip was 5 points. Big bull trend line was support and we are on our way up. I expect 6040 and probably higher. If not tomorrow then next month. We have a perfect channel upwards which leads 6100+. I don’t think bears can even get below 6015 again. If they do, 6000 has to hold or we could have seen the highs. comment: Not much difference to my dax outlook. Relentless buying today, ath in sight and a decent channel upwards. Bears need something below 6000 to make bulls cover. Big bullish bias for me. Possible that we stay around 6000-6050 for November, to then do the Santa rally somewhere in December. Closing 2024 above 6000 would be amazing for bulls. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 6000 - 6050 (above 6050 comes 6100 in play) bull case : Higher lows and higher highs. Clear invalidation price given and big resistance above. I doubt bears can get this below 6010/6015 tomorrow. Only longs for me. If we stall around 6040, you should have a tight stop and from a r:r perspective, new longs above 6040 are bad. Invalidation is below 6010. bear case: Bears need something below 6000. That’s it. How likely is that? Look at the daily chart. Is there any bearishness in there? Invalidation is above 6050. short term : Bullish. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Could have bought pretty much anywhere.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
2024-11-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Max bullishness. Bulls bought it all today. We barely made higher highs and are still under 19500 but every small dip was relentlessly bought. Bulls also defended the Globex gap and that fact + that we closed right at the highs is the strongest buy signal going into tomorrow there is. I expect a quick move abov 19500, followed by some sideways movement before we go for 19600 and I don’t think it can prevent a new ath either tomorrow or next week. I only get bearish below 19350. comment : Bulls set up a big breakout for the coming days. Every dip was bought and we closed at the highs. Easy validation levels now. 19519 was high of the week and we will likely hit it tomorrow for some sideways movement afterwards. Very bullish for 19600 after that. If we drop below 19380 again, means the bull trend line broke and we have many support prices between that and 19300. Do or die for the bulls here. Fail and down to 19300 or lower. Break above and likely 19600 and new ath. current market cycle : trading range key levels: 19300 - 19600 bull case: Bulls want the breakout above 19520 and they are perfectly set up to get it. Measured move from today brings us almost exactly to the ath 19802. There. Are. No. Coincidences. Invalidation is below 19350. bear case: Bears need to stay below 19500 to have a reasonable chance of going more sideways and then down below 19350. Below that, they will likely gain more momentum and go down to 19300 or 19200. Until then, they have little arguments on their side after today. Market now closed 4 consecutive bars above the daily 20ema and bears could not even close the Globex gap today. That is so bullish because it’s so rare, you can not think about shorting this until bears have shown strength again. Invalidation is above 19520. short term: Bullish. Expect a meltup. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Longs only. Every dip buy made you money.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024Long
by priceactiontds
GOLD fell rapidly in the short term, pressured by US dataIn the early trading session in Asian markets on Thursday (November 28), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery suddenly dropped sharply in the short term, currently trading around 2,629 USD/ounce. Gold prices gave up much of their earlier recovery gains after data showed inflation progress was stalling, as the data could make the Federal Reserve cautious about cutting interest rates further. According to Wednesday's economic data, US durable goods orders rose 0.2% month-on-month in October. While it did not meet expectations of 0.5%, it was an improvement. improved compared to a decrease of 0.4% in September. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the US in the week of November 23 remained stable at 213,000, lower than the expected level of 217,000. The real (quarterly annually adjusted) rate of gross domestic product (GDP) in the United States in the third quarter was unchanged from its baseline value, at 2.8%, and growth slowed from 3% in the second quarter. But the GDP report still shows that the US economy still has good resilience. GDP growth has exceeded 2% in eight of the past nine quarters. A report released by the US Department of Commerce showed that the Fed's favorite inflation index rebounded in October compared to September. The data supports Fed officials taking a more cautious stance in recent times. next interest rate cut. The Fed's favorite measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index that excludes volatile food and energy, rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, a highest since April this year compared to September, up 2.7%. Additionally, the core PCE price index increased 0.3% month-over-month in October, in line with expectations. The PCE price index increased 0.2% month-over-month and 2.3% year-on-year in October, both in line with the forecasts of analysts surveyed by Dow Jones. The PCE index's annual increase in October was higher than September's 2.1% gain. Wednesday's data showed that U.S. personal income rose 0.6% month-on-month in October, significantly better than the expected increase of 0.3%. Minutes of the Federal Reserve's November monetary policy meeting released Tuesday showed that although Fed officials said they expected to continue cutting interest rates in the future, they said the pace Interest rate cuts will take place “gradually”. The gold market fluctuated strongly this week. As Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon declared a ceasefire, reducing demand for safe havens, gold suffered its biggest one-day drop in more than five months on Monday and prices fell to a low. most since November 18 on Tuesday. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain its main bearish trend after approaching and coming under pressure from the 21-day moving average (EMA21). The drop below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement is a good signal for bearish expectations as the target behind that is at the levels of 2,606 – 2,600USD. Note to readers in the previous issue. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is flat below 50, if it is pointing down this can be considered a good signal for a downtrend. As long as gold remains below the EMA21 and within the price channel, it will remain bearish in the near term and price rallies should only be considered short-term recoveries without changing the current primary trend. During the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable points listed as follows. Support: 2,606 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,634 – 2,644USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2575 →Take Profit 1 2586 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2591
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
#IOTX 1D: 100% Circulating Supply – Stable Growth. 11/28/24Launched in 2017 as an open-source project, IoTeX has evolved into a decentralized platform empowering the open economy for machines. It is an ecosystem where people and machines interact with trust, autonomy, and carefully designed economic incentives. Nearly 100% of all tokens are already in circulation, a crucial factor as it eliminates future unlocks that could lead to large-scale sell-offs. This reduces market volatility caused by major sales. The current price level appears to be a "bottom," making further declines unlikely. With a market cap exceeding $400 million, IoTeX has growth potential. If its market cap increases significantly, the token price could follow, indicating the project has yet to reach its full potential. IOTXUSDT shows promising potential for further growth, supported by the limited availability of tokens for large investors.
Long
by trendbooster
#DOGS 1D. Symmetrical Triangle – Key Levels Inside! 11/28/24Over the past week, I noticed that trading volumes for this token on Binance have risen to levels comparable to many popular tokens, both on futures and spot markets. Currently, the price has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on increasing volume, bouncing off the support level. This could indicate potential for further growth. I plan to take profit on both spot and futures positions in the $0.010 - $0.012 range, as I don’t see value in holding beyond that. Setup is shown on the chart. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster