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ES (S&P 500 Futures) - Week Plan Aug 18–22Context (W/D/4H/1H/30M): ES is consolidating just under 6,500. Price is boxed roughly 6,466 ↔ 6,504/12 with a cluster of highs above and recurring demand tests below. Key Levels (zones, not single ticks): Resistance: 6,504–6,512 (near-term lid). Above that: 6,520–6,550 (weekly supply/“weak high”). Decision level: 6,492–6,495 (where control often flips intraday). Supports: 6,464–6,466 (first support) → 6,436–6,440 → 6,380–6,395 (deeper support). How to read it: Bull path: A firm break and hold above 6,504 favors a push toward 6,520 → 6,535 → 6,550. Bear path: Failure at 6,495 or a clean break below 6,464 opens 6,440 → 6,390. If price stays between 6,466 and 6,504, expect range behavior until a catalyst pushes it out. Scenarios (next week): Range continues: Chop between 6,466–6,512 until mid-week events. Upside break: Hold above 6,504 → test 6,520–6,550 (watch for reaction there). Downside break: Lose 6,464 with momentum → 6,440, then 6,390 if pressure persists. Key events (ET): Wed: Federal Reserve meeting minutes (afternoon). Thu: Weekly claims; flash PMIs; existing home sales (morning block). Thu–Sat: Jackson Hole economic symposium (watch for policy remarks). Notes: Levels are zones and may see initial reactions before acceptance or rejection. This post is for market commentary/education only.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
Day 8 — Trading Only S&P Futures — From -400 to +155Welcome to Day 8 of Trading Only S&P Futures! Today was a battle of patience and discipline. I started the day with a -400 loss from an overnight short order that got stopped out before the market even opened. It was tempting to close up shop, but I traded small, stayed disciplined, and waited for the right setup. Once I saw the X7 Sell Signal align with X3 Bearish Structure, I sized up — turning the day from deep red to +155 before fees. 📈 What you’ll learn How to manage a big overnight loss without spiraling The importance of sizing down until confidence returns Using structure + signal alignment for A+ setups Patience in clawing back losses ⏰ Timestamps 0:00 — Intro & Day 8 Recap 0:40 — The Overnight Loss & Mindset Shift 1:40 — Clawing Back With Small Trades 2:20 — The X7 + X3 Bearish Alignment Trade 3:00 — Market News & Impact 3:30 — Key Levels for Tomorrow 📰 News Highlights DOW jumps over 400 points, VIX falls as stocks end higher on rate cut bets. 🔔 VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST) 3:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 9:42 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 10:26 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Sell signal 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 11:20 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double buy) 1:25 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal 2:13 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow Above 6440 = Remain Bullish Below 6410 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
Bullish Energy in Natural Gas: -DMI Extreme + Wedge BreakoutThe Spark in the Gas Market Natural gas has been quietly simmering in recent weeks, building pressure beneath a surface of consolidation. Traders watching closely will have noticed a rare alignment — one that history shows can potentially precede outsized moves. We’re talking about the convergence of two powerful signals: a -DMI yearly extreme and a falling wedge breakout. In the past, this combination has marked moments when bearish momentum had run its course, giving way to swift and decisive bullish reversals. Now, that same alignment is flashing again, inviting a closer look at the technical landscape and the potential opportunities it presents. Why This Setup Matters The -DMI (Directional Movement Index) measures the strength of downward price moves. When it pushes beyond two standard deviations above its yearly linear regression channel, it signals an overextended bearish phase. Historically, these extremes have often coincided with market bottoms in Natural Gas Futures. Layer on top a falling wedge — a bullish reversal chart pattern — and the probability of an upside move gains weight. The wedge compresses price action into a narrowing range, reflecting reduced volatility and setting the stage for a potential explosive breakout once resistance gives way. The current breakout level sits near 3.18, with technical projections aligning closely to a well-defined UFO resistance (UnFilled Orders) zone around 3.90. The Technical Story Unfolds Looking at the daily chart in the present, the -DMI has recently breached the +2 standard deviation boundary of its 252-period regression channel — a rare occurrence that, as said, has preceded multiple major bullish reversals in the past year. When this condition appeared, downside momentum often faded, making room for buyers to take control. This time, the current signal aligns with a falling wedge that has been developing for weeks. Price is about to break above the wedge’s upper boundary at approximately 3.18, suggesting a potential trend reversal. The Trade Blueprint Direction: Long Entry: 3.18 (confirmed breakout above wedge resistance) Target: 3.90 (wedge projection + UFO resistance) Stop Loss: 2.858 (below wedge and technical support floor) Reward-to-Risk Ratio: ~2+ to 1 This structure allows traders to define risk tightly while targeting a meaningful upside move. The setup applies equally to both Natural Gas Futures (NG) and Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG), offering flexibility in capital allocation. For smaller accounts or those wanting to reduce margin exposure, the MNG contract delivers the same tick size precision with only one-quarter of the notional value. The Contract Advantage Natural Gas Futures (NG) represent 10,000 MMBtu per contract, with a minimum tick size of 0.00025 — equivalent to $2.50 per tick. Micro Natural Gas Futures (MNG) are one-tenth the size at 1,000 MMBtu per contract, with the same 0.00025 tick size equaling $0.25 per tick. Margin requirements vary with volatility and exchange adjustments, but at the time of writing, the CME lists initial margin for NG in the range of $3,500 per contract, while MNG margins are proportionally lower at $350 per contract. This creates flexibility for traders to scale positions or manage risk without altering the technical logic of the trade. Both contracts trade nearly 24 hours per day, Sunday through Friday, offering the ability to react to global energy market shifts in real time. Risk Management as the Safety Valve Defining risk is the cornerstone of any trade plan. The stop loss at 2.858 is not arbitrary — it sits below both the wedge’s lower boundary and a nearby technical support level. If price were to close below this level, it would undermine the bullish thesis and call for an exit. Using smaller MNG contracts can help align risk with account size, allowing for partial position scaling and better drawdown control. Equally important is avoiding undefined risk scenarios, particularly in a commodity as volatile as natural gas. Precision in both entries and exits reduces exposure to intraday whipsaws while maintaining the trade’s structural integrity. Closing the Loop The natural gas market has aligned a rare set of conditions — a -DMI yearly extreme and a falling wedge breakout — each of which has historically preceded significant upside moves on their own. Together, they offer a compelling technical case for a defined, risk-managed long position targeting the 3.90 zone. While no setup guarantees success, this one seems to offer clarity: a well-defined entry, stop, and target, supported by historical probability and pattern structure. In volatile markets, those moments of clarity are worth paying attention to — and acting on with discipline, and always depending on the trader’s trading plan. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:NG1!Education
by traddictiv
BTC - Short Trade / Crash Update and DetailsPer my previous post here are the details on my personal trade. Note this is NOT financial advice, and this is my own personal trading plan only. Please use your own judgement. Entry - 116,300 to 116,600 Stop Loss - 121,800 Target 1 - 95,700 Target 2 - 61,500 Target 3 - 35,000 Target 4 - 8,000 Note that Bitcoin should move up from the 35,000 target to 88,000 making a corrective wave on HTF. At this point I will post an update and advise my own strategy and if I long 35,000 to 88,000. Happy trading
Short
by DickDandy
10
UPDATE ON THIS MORNING'S TRADEEarly in the morning, I posted a trade (Sell USOIL) in which we trargeted the LQ level which the market came closer to and didn't touch, which isn't a big deal. As you can see on the chart, as I told my students during the LIVE TRADING SESSION they assisted, it's all about trade management. On the screenshot on the left, we added another order at 50% lvl of the FVG, xhich the market respected at that moment before giving us a double bottom which is a sign to the change of the movement of the market. For a safe closure of the trade, as you can see in the picture on the left, we waited for the market to break through the 5min LQ we have to close, and that's what exactly happened. We'll wait for another trade to take later in the US session. Follow for more!
FX:USOIL
by YassineAnalysis
Day 3 — Trading Only S&P 500 FuturesDay 3 — Trading Only S&P Futures Daily P/L: -142.87 Sleep: 7 hours Emotions: Headache & stress from the morning :thought_balloon: Today’s Trade thoughts: I made a typo when i was putting some orders in from last night that triggered and started the day -300 so I spent most of today just grinding it back again. I think going forward, I am going to make a rule to limit myself of only doing 2 MES MAX during night time if i plan to put orders in because it really sadden the mood when you start the day negative. Overall, today's trading day wasn't that bad, we had bullish structure and AAPL event that carried the market up. I took some shorts at 6355 that didn't work out but eventually made money at the end of the day as i shorted 6375 zones. I have noticed that** max Gamma levels don't truly settle until 11am. ** :bell:News Highlights: *TRUMP TO IMPOSE ADDITIONAL 25% TARIFF ON GOODS FROM INDIA :bar_chart: VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST): 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! @everyone* 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 11:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 12:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double sell) 1:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal (double buy) :chart_with_upwards_trend: Key Levels for Tomorrow: Above 6332 = Remain Bullish Below 6315 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
5
Day 2 — Trading Only S&P Futures — -$100, Grinding Back from Los Day 2 — Trading Only S&P Futures Daily P/L: -100 Sleep: 8 hours Emotions: Good :thought_balloon: Today’s Trade thoughts: I rushed into a trade thinking 6330 was going to be a good area of support to buy and oversized my position going 5 mes deep in my first trade and adding 5 more at the 48 min MOB at 6325 and got stopped out at the bottom down -400 and pretty much spent the rest of the day grinding back up. Overall market seem to have rejected the higher timeframe resistance and deciding which direction to go. :bell:News Highlights: U.S. STOCKS END LOWER, VIX JUMPS AFTER WEAK ISM SERVICES DATA :bar_chart: VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST): — 9:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal — 9:40 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal — 9:48 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 11:00 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy signal) — 12:50 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal — 1:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 1:30 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal** :chart_with_upwards_trend: Key Levels for Tomorrow: Above 6332 = Bullish Below 6310 = Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DiYWALLST
3
BTC - About to TankBitcoin is holding below these bearish trendlines pointed out on previous posts. Here we can see liquidation levels on the HTF. I see two potential moves: Scenario A) 115,000 to 17,000-20,000 range Scenario B) 3 Wave Corrective Pattern 115,000 to 35,000 35,000 to 83,000 83,000 to 8,000-10,000 DXY is retesting a major bearish breakdown on the weekly / monthly time frame. This is why we have been seeing the recent drop, and preparation for a mass liquidation / flash crash. The above stated is my own personal views and is not intended as financial advice. Please trade responsibly.
Short
by DickDandy
29
Day 1 Trading Only S&P Futures — Starting with $200 Profit Day 1 — Trading Only S&P Futures Daily P/L:+ 204 :moneybag: Sleep: 8 hours Emotions: Tired and sored from muay thai. :thought_balloon: Today’s Trade thoughts: I was leaning bearish in the market because we had such strong selling pressure on Friday butonce we broke over the level i posted last week at 6330, I gave up on my bias and I just followed the signals and traded the the X1dd buy signal with @gohawks14 and shorted the Max gamma resistance around 6352 and called a day when i made $200. I think for this week as we start the trading challenge, I want to have one account where i just make $200 and call it a day so this way i can build consistency and get my trading % up. :bell:News Highlights: DOW REBOUNDS NEARLY 600 POINTS, VIX PLUNGES AS U.S. STOCKS END SHARPLY HIGHER ON RATE-CUT OPTIMISM :bar_chart: VX Algo Signals (9:30am – 2pm EST): 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:10 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 10:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 11:40 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal (Double buy signal) 11:40 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal 12:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 1:21 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 2:00 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal :chart_with_upwards_trend: Key Levels for Tomorrow: Above 6332 = Bullish Below 6300 = Bearish :link: Recap & Charts: www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:MES1!
by DiYWALLST
1
Corrective Dip or New Downtrend on the S&P 500 Futures?🟣 1. Impulses vs. Corrections – The Classical View When price trends, it doesn't move in a straight line. Instead, it alternates between directional movements called impulses and counter-directional pauses or retracements known as corrections. Most analysts define an impulse as a sharp, dominant move in the direction of the trend—typically accompanied by rising volume and momentum indicators. Corrections, on the other hand, tend to be slower, overlapping, and often occur with declining volume. Common methods to identify impulses vs. corrections include: Swing structure: Higher highs and higher lows suggest impulse; overlapping lows suggest correction. Fibonacci retracements: Corrections often retrace up to 61.8% of a prior impulse. Moving averages: Price above a rising MA is often viewed as impulse territory. Volume analysis and oscillators such as RSI or MACD are used to confirm price behavior. Despite the abundance of methods, the distinction between impulses and corrections often remains subjective. That’s where the Directional Movement Index (DMI) provides an objective lens—especially when paired with price action. 🟣 2. Rethinking Impulses with the DMI Indicator The Directional Movement Index (DMI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, offers a quantitative way to assess the strength and direction of price movement. It breaks down market activity into three components: +DMI (Positive Directional Movement Index): Measures the strength of upward movements. −DMI (Negative Directional Movement Index): Measures the strength of downward movements. ADX (Average Directional Index): Quantifies overall trend strength but is optional in this discussion. The key to applying DMI lies in the crossover between +DMI and -DMI: When +DMI > -DMI, upward price moves dominate—suggesting bullish impulses. When −DMI > +DMI, downward moves dominate—suggesting bearish impulses. Calculation is based on a comparison of successive highs and lows over a specific lookback period—commonly set to 14 or 20 periods. While EMAs track trend direction and momentum, DMI helps dissect who’s in control. This makes it a powerful filter when evaluating whether a breakdown or breakout is likely to become an impulsive trend—or just another correction in disguise. 🟣 3. Case Study – Two Breakdowns, Two Outcomes Let’s apply this logic to two recent moments on the E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) daily chart. 🔹 Feb 21, 2025 Breakdown Price broke sharply below the 20-period EMA. At first glance, this looked like a potential trend reversal. The DMI confirmed this suspicion: −DMI surged above +DMI, signaling downside impulses were in control. The market followed through with a clear downtrend, confirming the move was not just a pullback—it was a shift in market structure. 🔹 Aug 1, 2025 Breakdown A similar sharp break below the 20 EMA just occurred again. However, this time +DMI remains above −DMI, despite the bearish price action. This divergence tells a different story: the breakdown may not be impulsive in nature. Instead, it's likely a corrective dip within a broader uptrend, where buyers are still the dominant force. This is a textbook example of how a moving average crossover without DMI confirmation can mislead traders. By combining these tools, we’re able to make more informed decisions about whether price action is signaling a true shift—or just a pause. 🟣 4. CME Product Specs – ES vs. MES Traders can express directional views on the S&P 500 using two primary CME futures contracts: the E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) and the Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES). Both track the same underlying index but differ in size, capital requirement, and tick value. ✅ E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) Symbol: ES Contract Size: $50 x S&P 500 Index Tick Size: 0.25 index points Tick Value: $12.50 Initial Margin: Approximately $21,000 (varies by broker and through time) Market Hours: Nearly 24/6 ✅ Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES) Symbol: MES Contract Size: $5 x S&P 500 Index Tick Size: 0.25 index points Tick Value: $1.25 Initial Margin: Approximately $2,100 (varies by broker and through time) The Micro contract provides access to the same market structure, liquidity, and price movement as the E-mini, but with a fraction of the exposure—making it ideal for smaller accounts or more precise position sizing. 🟣 5. Risk Management Matters Understanding whether a market move is impulsive or corrective isn’t just academic—it’s the difference between positioning with the dominant flow or fighting it. Traders often get trapped by sharp moves that appear trend-defining but are simply noise or temporary pullbacks. Using tools like DMI to confirm whether directional strength supports price action provides a layer of risk filtration. It prevents overreaction to every EMA crossover or sudden price drop. Stop-loss orders become vital in both impulsive and corrective conditions. In impulsive environments, stops help lock in profits while protecting from reversals. In corrective phases, they act as circuit breakers against breakouts that fail. Moreover, knowing the product you're trading is critical: A single ES contract controls ~$320,000 of notional value. An MES contract controls ~$32,000. This disparity means poor sizing on ES can magnify errors, while proper sizing on MES can offer flexibility to test, scale, and hedge with tighter capital control. Whether you're reacting to price or preparing for continuation, risk management is the only constant. It’s what turns analysis into disciplined execution. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
4
XRP ANALYSIS🔮 #XRP Analysis - Update 🚀🚀 💲 We can see that there is a formation of Falling Wedge Wedge Pattern in #XRP and we can see a bullish movement after a good breakout. Before that we would see a little retest and and then a bullish movement. 💸Current Price -- $2.9130 📈Target Price  --  $3.1290 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸 #XRP  #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
1
CORN; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing market structure or imbalances. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by Matej_trader
SOYBEAN; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing market structure or imbalances. ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
CBOT:ZS1!Short
by Matej_trader
5
How to Use Engulfing Candles in TradingViewEngulfing patterns are among the most powerful candlestick formations because they signal strong momentum shifts and can help you spot dramatic trend reversal opportunities. What You'll Learn: • How to identify valid engulfing formations where one candle completely covers another's body • The two types: bullish engulfing (green candle engulfs red) and bearish engulfing (red candle engulfs green) • Psychology behind engulfing patterns: when one side completely overwhelms the other • Using volume analysis to confirm engulfing pattern validity • Finding meaningful engulfing patterns at trend highs and lows for reversal setups • Timeframe considerations for engulfing analysis on any chart period • Step-by-step trading strategy for engulfing reversal setups • Setting proper stop losses above engulfing candle highs • Determining profit targets below engulfing candle lows • Managing wide-range drawdowns common with strong momentum shifts • Advanced entry technique: waiting for retracements to improve risk-reward ratios This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to use powerful candlestick patterns to identify significant momentum changes. The strategies covered could assist you in creating effective reversal setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key price levels. Learn more about futures trading with Tradingview: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by OptimusFutures
1