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BTC at Risk: Structure Break + RSI Warning$BTC/USDT is showing some concern on the monthly chart as price has broken below the rising wedge and is now retesting a major demand zone. Losing this zone could trigger a deeper correction. At the same time, RSI is showing a clear multi-year bearish divergence, highlighting weakening momentum. Until BTC reclaims the wedge support or closes back above the resistance band, downside risk remains elevated. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Short
by unichartz
6
CHFPLN preparing a move or just testing everyone patienceCHFPLN continues to trade inside a developing upward structure after breaking out of a wide descending channel. The current pullback has brought the pair into the demand zone between 4.48 and 4.44 which aligns with the Fibonacci correction range at 0.5 and 0.618. Weekly oscillator divergence signals active buyers defending the lower boundary of the structure. The horizontal level at 4.50 also acts as support increasing the probability of a local reversal. As long as price holds above 4.44 the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. The main target is located near 4.86 which corresponds to the key resistance of the previous pivot. A breakdown of 4.44 may trigger a deeper correction however current price behavior and buyer reaction still favor a recovery. The market may pretend nothing is happening yet demand zones rarely forget what they are designed to do.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
USDJPY Breakout Below Key Support – Bearish Momentum BuildingUSDJPY – Key Levels Breakdown & Breakout Outlook Price has been consolidating within a tight range, and today we finally saw a clean breakout below the red support zone, signaling potential bearish momentum. The market rejected the strong support area above (highlighted in green), confirming sellers are in control for now. 🔍 Key Zones to Watch Breakout Zone (Red): Recently broken. Price is now trading just below it, showing early signs of continuation. Strong Support (Green): Previous demand zone where price repeatedly bounced. Now acting as a potential retest level if price pulls back. Strong Resistance (Yellow): A deeper downside target if bearish momentum continues. Breakout Target Area (Upper Green): If buyers regain control, this is the zone price may revisit. 📌 Trading Outlook Bearish bias as long as price stays below the breakout zone. A retest rejection at the red zone could offer a clean continuation setup. If buyers push price back above the breakout level, we may see a move toward the strong support or even the breakout target area above.
Long
by Adrian_Trades_
USD/CHF – Watching for liquidity sweep into origin demandPrice is trading inside a clean descending channel. Below current price sits untouched inducement — a liquidity pool that lines up perfectly with the origin demand zone where the previous impulsive rally started. If price sweeps that inducement and taps the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation (MSS + FVG/OB) for a potential move back toward the channel midline or upper boundary. Bias: Bullish upon sweep + tap Invalidation: Clean break below demand Confluence: Channel low + origin demand + resting liquidity Not financial advice.
Long
by SmellyTaz
Can a GBPCHF Long Fix BTC Losses?Ladies and gentlemen, based on research from my own trading journal—after opening hundreds of positions—I've discovered that my win rate drops noticeably on Fridays. And trust me, this rings true for a lot of traders out there. But the currency pair we're breaking down today? It's absolutely worth your time, so stick with me till the end. 📊 I’m Skeptic, founder of Skeptic Lab. If you want to elevate your long-term performance through genuine psychology, data-driven insights, and proven strategies, you’ve landed in the right spot. Let’s dive right into GBPCHF . It’s also broken its downside trendline on the daily timeframe. Spot on—for trendlines where a break signals a trend reversal, we need solid confirmation. That’s why we drop to the 1H chart a clean break of resistance at 1.06704 would serve as our long trigger. 🔍 For momentum confirmation, lean on RSI pushing into overbought territory (here, it's not the classic 70 but hitting 65.16 ). Plus, Right now, the core structure and momentum aren't driven by the 4H or 15-min—only a decisive 1H candle break can hand us the real trigger. ⚡ If this analysis helped you, I’d really appreciate a boost. It keeps the energy flowing. 🩵 Don't FOMO, and don't forget capital management :) Now get outta here.
Long
by SkepticLab
BTC.D Pullback Could Open Doors for AltsBTC dominance has broken below its long-term trendline and is currently holding near the 58–59% support zone, but momentum still appears weak. The key resistance area sits between 61% and 62.5%, and any retest of this zone may struggle to break higher, especially with its alignment to major Fibonacci levels. If BTC dominance fails to reclaim this zone with strength, the broader structure points toward continued downside, potentially targeting the 57% level and possibly lower if that support breaks. A continued decline in dominance would generally favor altcoins, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation before making any decisions. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by unichartz
3
USD/JPY: Is Tokyo’s Holiday Trap Ready to Snap?The USD/JPY pair currently navigates a minefield of divergent policies and geopolitical maneuvering. Japan’s currency hovers near critical lows, pressured by aggressive fiscal strategies and enduring U.S. economic resilience. Traders face a complex landscape defined by imminent Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervention and shifting interest rate expectations. Geostrategy: The Tactical Holiday Window Strategic timing defines the current currency defense playbook. The U.S. Thanksgiving holiday creates a classic liquidity vacuum. Thin markets allow authorities to move prices sharply with minimal capital expenditure. Takuji Aida confirms Japan holds excessive foreign reserves to fund such active intervention. A surprise operation during this low-volume window would maximize the tactical shock of Yen-buying. Japan’s leadership likely views this week as the optimal moment to strike. Macroeconomics: The Takaichi Doctrine Domestic politics drive the Yen’s recent depreciation. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi champions aggressive spending alongside low interest rates. Takuji Aida advocates stimulating the economy despite the risks of increased debt issuance. Markets interpret these moves as a commitment to monetary looseness. Investors fear Japan’s fiscal discipline is crumbling under Takaichi’s growth strategy. Consequently, capital flees the Yen for higher-yielding U.S. assets. Economics: The Fed’s Mixed Signals U.S. economic data complicates the trajectory of the currency pair. Federal Reserve policymaker John Williams suggests rates could fall in the near term. Futures markets price a distinct possibility of a December cut. However, persistent inflation creates conflicting signals for the dollar. Traders await U.S. retail sales data to gauge genuine consumer strength. Robust consumption would delay Fed easing, exerting further upward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. Management & Leadership: A Narrative Pivot Leadership rhetoric in Tokyo has shifted from sanguine acceptance to combative defense. Initially, the administration downplayed the negatives of a weak Yen. Now, policymakers openly fret over inflationary side effects. Rising import costs threaten domestic political stability. This swift change in tone indicates the administration recognizes the liability of uncontrolled depreciation. Management strategy has pivoted toward active market control to protect political capital. Business Models: The Export Dichotomy The weak Yen forces a bifurcation in Japanese corporate models. Exporters in automotive and heavy industries reap windfalls from repatriated earnings. Conversely, domestic-focused models suffer from soaring energy and raw material costs. Aida notes that the demerits of a weak currency now rival its benefits. Firms must rapidly adapt pricing architectures to survive this volatility. The era of passive currency acceptance is over for Japanese importers. Industry Trends: Retail Meets Liquidity Global retail trends directly collide with currency flows this week. U.S. Black Friday sales serve as a critical bellwether for the American economy. Strong sales would reinforce the "higher for longer" U.S. rate narrative. Simultaneously, Japanese markets face holiday closures, creating dangerous liquidity gaps. These disconnects foster distinct industry trends where volatility spikes become the norm rather than the exception. Technology & Cyber: Algorithmic Risks Algorithmic trading systems thrive on current market instability. The cyber dimension of FX trading becomes critical during low-liquidity holiday weeks. Automated systems may exacerbate price swings if Japan intervenes unexpectedly. Traders must utilize advanced tech platforms to detect sudden order flow anomalies. The disparity between Tokyo’s manual decisions and New York’s automated execution speeds creates a high-risk environment. Science & Innovation: The Cost of Progress A weak currency erodes the purchasing power of the scientific sector. Japanese research institutions rely heavily on imported technology and rare materials. A depreciating Yen drastically increases the foundational cost of innovation. While exporters gain cash, the price of scientific advancement rises. Fiscal stimulus must specifically target these R&D gaps to prevent a lag in global competitiveness. High-Tech & Patent Analysis: The IP Imbalance Japan’s high-tech sector faces a double-edged sword. Patent analysis suggests Japanese IP becomes cheaper for foreign entities to license. This trend could accelerate cross-border technology transfers out of Japan. However, acquiring foreign patents becomes prohibitively expensive for Japanese firms. The Takaichi administration must address this intellectual property imbalance. Strengthening the Yen is vital for sustaining high-tech acquisition power. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair stands at a volatile intersection of policy and market forces. Japan possesses the capital to intervene, and the U.S. holiday provides the perfect tactical cover. Traders must remain hyper-vigilant as economic data and geopolitical strategy converge.
Long
by the5erstrading
STRK Finally Escapes the RangeNASDAQ:STRK has finally broken out of its long consolidation zone and pushed above the descending trendline—something the chart hasn’t managed to do for months. This breakout shows a clear shift in momentum, with buyers stepping in strongly. As long as price holds above this zone, STRK could be gearing up for a continuation move to the upside. The structure looks healthier now, and the breakout suggests the trend may be turning in favor of the bulls. DYOR, NFA Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Long
by unichartz
1