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EURUSD Trendline Liquidity HuntEURUSD has completed a clean sweep into a major demand zone while respecting higher-timeframe support. Price is now positioned for a potential expansion toward the descending trendline liquidity, offering a favorable risk-to-reward long opportunity. The current reaction suggests institutions may have accumulated positions after engineering liquidity beneath the recent lows. Key Observations • Liquidity swept into a strong demand zone. • Bullish reaction from discount pricing. • Descending trendline liquidity remains the primary magnet. • Buyers are attempting to reclaim the equilibrium. Bullish Outlook 🟢 Hold above the current demand zone. 🟢 Build higher lows on the lower timeframe. 🟢 Target the descending trendline liquidity and premium pricing above. Invalidation A decisive close below the demand zone would weaken the bullish structure and increase the probability of fresh sell-side expansion. Trade Plan ✅ Entry: Demand zone reaction 🛑 Stop: Below the liquidity sweep 🎯 Target: Trendline liquidity / Premium highs ⚖️ Favorable Risk-to-Reward setup Liquidity first. Expansion second. The trendline is where resting liquidity sits, and if buyers maintain control, that's the draw on liquidity. Trade with confirmation, not anticipation. 📈 #ICT #SMC #EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #Liquidity #OrderBlocks #Trendline #TradingView #DayTrading #SmartMoney #YCGHCapital
Long
by YCGH_Capital
AUDCAD 4H: ABC Extension & FVG Magnets in PlayFollowing up on the OANDA:AUDCAD structure, the 4-hour chart is developing beautifully. We’ve officially broken above the S&R flip zone (0.9820 - 0.9830) , confirming that Leg C of our bullish ABC sequence is actively underway. 🔍 The Technical Breakdown The ABC Structure: Point A gave us our initial structural high, and Point B locked in a definitive higher low. FVG Clusters: The FVG Candle Highlighter has mapped out three key fair value gaps acting as upside magnets. The most critical imbalance sits directly inside our ultimate ABC Target box (0.9890 - 0.9920) , which aligns perfectly with higher-timeframe supply. Strict Invalidation: The line in the sand is clearly defined. A clean break below the Point B swing low at 0.9780 invalidates this setup entirely. ⚡ Execution Strategy Chasing the immediate green expansion candle isn't the move here. The high-probability play is to practice patience: Watch the Pullback: Allow price to drop back down to retest the newly flipped S&R zone. Confirm, Don't Guess: Rather than leaving a blind limit order at the zone, wait reactively. Look for price to sweep internal liquidity, followed by a lower-timeframe Market Structure Shift (MSS) to confirm the bulls are reclaiming control. Trigger: Once the shift is secured, look for the entry to ride Leg C up into the FVG target zone. Manage your risk cleanly and let the setup come to you! What are your thoughts on CAD pairs heading into the sessions? Let me know below.
Long
by SmellyTaz
USDJPY (H1) - Bullish SMC Setup After CHoCH📊 Technical Analysis Market Structure: Following a strong corrective markdown, price has bottomed out and shifted its momentum. Confirmation Signal: Price has successfully printed a CHoCH (Change of Character) to the upside by breaking above the key structural swing high at 161.612. Supporting Factors: This aggressive bullish expansion has left behind multiple FVG (Fair Value Gap) inefficiencies below. We are anticipating a healthy technical retracement back into this discount/demand zone before the next leg up. 🎯 Trading Setup We are looking to set a Buy Limit order to capture the retest with an optimized Risk-to-Reward ratio. Order Type: Buy Limit (Long) Entry Zone: 161.500 - 161.600 (Confluence of the CHoCH breaker block and FVG) Stop Loss (SL): 161.140 (Placed safely below the key local FVG invalidation level) Take Profit (TP): 162.614 (Targeting the major structural liquidity pool / recent swing high) 📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~ 2.40+ ⚠️ Risk Management Risk per trade: Recommended risk is 0.5% - 1% of your capital. Trade Management: Once the entry is triggered and price reaches 1R in profit, consider moving your Stop Loss to Break-Even (BE) to secure a risk-free position. Note: Keep an eye on high-impact USD or JPY macroeconomic news releases that could induce abnormal volatility. Good luck with your trades this week! Feel free to share your thoughts and updates in the comments below.
Long
by CIPHERCHART
1
USDCHF at HTF Resistance | Bearish Liquidity Sweep Ahead?USDCHF is trading inside a major higher timeframe premium zone, aligning with a confluence of a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), H4 Fair Value Gap, and H4 Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL). This area represents a high-probability reversal region where smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep before expanding lower. Until buyers can secure acceptance above this HTF resistance, the bias remains bearish toward the next imbalance and sell-side liquidity. Market Structure Insight • Price has rallied directly into HTF premium pricing. • Daily FVG and H4 FVG overlap with H4 Buy-Side Liquidity. • Multiple institutional confluences increase the probability of distribution. • Bearish objective targets unfilled H4 imbalances below. Bearish Scenario 🔴 Sweep H4 Buy-Side Liquidity. 🔴 Reject from the HTF Fair Value Gap. 🔴 Target the first H4 FVG around 0.8045. 🔴 Extended objective sits near the lower H4 FVG around 0.8025. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Resistance: H4 BSL + Daily/H4 FVG confluence 🔹 First Target: H4 Fair Value Gap (0.8045 region) 🔹 Final Target: Lower H4 Fair Value Gap near 0.8025 Trading Perspective This is a classic ICT premium-to-discount setup. Price has reached a high-probability institutional sell zone where liquidity and imbalance align. If bearish confirmation appears after the liquidity sweep, the path toward lower HTF inefficiencies becomes increasingly attractive.
Short
by YCGH_Capital
Will a Surging EUR/JPY Shatter the Global Carry Trade?Macroeconomics and Central Bank Divergence The EUR/JPY cross-currency pair reflects a massive macroeconomic chasm. The European Central Bank maintains relatively high interest rates to combat sticky inflation. The Bank of Japan has been tightening too, raising its policy rate to 1% in June and signaling further hikes toward a 2% neutral level, but it remains far behind its European counterpart. This stark and still-wide gap pushes the Japanese Yen toward historic multi-decade lows. Investors aggressively exploit this wide interest rate differential through the carry trade. Consequently, the currency pair has pushed well past the 186.00 level, trading close to its 2026 record high near 187.60 set in April. Momentum now builds toward a potential test of that record. Geopolitics and Sovereign Geostrategy Currency valuations act as modern geopolitical weapons. A severely weakened Yen reshapes competitive dynamics across Asian trade corridors. It provides Japanese exporters with an artificial trade advantage over regional rivals. Meanwhile, Europe seeks to project economic stability despite ongoing localized conflicts. Policymakers in Tokyo face intense pressure to stabilize their currency. However, global investors remain highly skeptical about the effectiveness of unilateral market interventions. Strategic currency depreciation ultimately alters international balance-of-power dynamics. Industry Trends and Corporate Business Models The surging EUR/JPY cross directly impacts global corporate business models. European industrial giants face stiff headwinds as their exports become expensive. Conversely, Japanese conglomerates enjoy booming nominal overseas revenues. However, this currency divergence creates a dual-edged sword. Japan imports almost all of its raw energy and industrial components. Therefore, the weak Yen drastically inflates domestic production costs. Corporate leadership must completely reinvent supply chain models to preserve profit margins. Technology, High-Tech, and Algorithmic Trading Advanced technology completely dominates modern foreign exchange markets. High-frequency trading algorithms execute massive EUR/JPY orders in microseconds. These quantitative systems track moving averages and key technical resistance levels. The recent break above critical technical thresholds triggered automated buy programs. This algorithmic momentum accelerates the Yen’s downward spiral. High-tech trading infrastructure now dictates intraday volatility more than traditional economic data releases. Patent Analysis and Innovation Velocity Currency volatility heavily influences corporate research and development strategies. Patent analysis reveals intense competition between European and Japanese tech firms. Historically, both regions dominated fields like automation, precision robotics, and green tech. Today, the weak Yen diminishes the global purchasing power of Japanese researchers. European firms can acquire foreign intellectual property much more cheaply. This financial disparity will reshape the global patent landscape over the next decade. Company Culture and Management Leadership Corporate leaders must navigate extreme currency volatility with absolute agility. Japanese management traditionally favors conservative cash preservation strategies. However, the current currency crisis forces executives to adopt aggressive shareholder-return models. Meanwhile, European managers must foster deeply innovative corporate cultures. They cannot rely on favorable exchange rates to sell goods. True leadership requires driving efficiency to offset the expensive Euro. Cybersecurity and Financial Infrastructure The multi-trillion-dollar foreign exchange market requires flawless digital security. Financial institutions execute massive cross-border carry trades daily. This concentrated capital flow makes FX clearinghouses prime targets for state-sponsored cybercriminals. A successful cyberattack on trading infrastructure could freeze global liquidity instantly. Therefore, robust cybersecurity defense remains a baseline commercial requirement for international banks. Digital resilience protects the global financial system from sudden systemic collapse. The Pharmaceutical Nexus and Bio-Science The pharmaceutical sector relies heavily on stable international trade. Europe and Japan both host premier global bio-science corporations. A surging EUR/JPY pair significantly alters pharmaceutical supply chains and cross-border mergers. European drug makers find Japanese biotechnology startups incredibly attractive targets due to the cheap Yen. This financial dynamic accelerates cross-border acquisitions. Currency trends directly fund the next generation of life-saving medical discoveries. The Bottom Line The EUR/JPY pair is testing uncharted financial waters. Passive market observers view it as a mere exchange rate. In reality, it exposes deep cracks in global economic policy. Investors must watch whether the pair can challenge and clear its 2026 record near 187.60.
Long
by the5erstrading
2
GBPAUD - Bullish Bias | Waiting for Liquidity Sweep Price has just created a fresh inducement into the supply zone. The major sell-side liquidity sitting just above 1.94059 has not been swept yet. Market Structure & Plan: Expect liquidity sweep above 1.94059 to take out the high and trapped sellers. It's likely to happen since there's no valid OB below 1.94059 After the sweep, I anticipate a downside move to fill the imbalance resting just above the demand zone at 1.88834. The tiny imbalance at 1.86882 exists, but momentum and structure suggest buyers will show strong interest at 1.88834 rather than pushing lower. Trading Plan Bias: Bullish (after liquidity sweep completion) Watch for raid above 1.94059 (liquidity sweep) Then look for long opportunities on the pullback to 1.88834 once we see confirmation (demand reaction, bullish Order Block, or FVG fill) Target: 2.01000 (major supply zone) Liquidity Sweep → Imbalance Fill → Mitigates OB → Reversal from Demand Zone. Still waiting for that sweep above 1.94059 before the real move lower begins. Once filled, the path to 1.88834 should open up for longs. What's your thoughts? Sweep incoming or different scenario playing out?
Long
by tochukwu3046
AUDUSD: Bear-Flag-Formation, Targets to Consider!Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about AUDUSD on the 2-hour timeframe perspective. The forex pair recently emerged with massive bearish alignments towards the downside. Now, I have spotted a major underlying bearish formation, which is likely to trigger further selling pressure in the upcoming times. Especially when the formation completes, this is going to offer a solid trading opportunity. As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how AUDUSD is forming this huge bear flag. Within the flag, AUDUSD has this massive resistance cluster from where a pullback is primed to settle. A pullback from this area and a breakout below the lower boundary are going to complete the bear flag and form the bearish confirmation. Once the final breakout has emerged, AUDUSD is going to activate the lower target zones as marked in my chart. At the moment there is not a lot of possibility for an invalidation of this formation and continuation in the other direction. Especially as the flag formation already completed the wave count, the whole formation and targets are primed to be completed. In this manner, thank you a lot for watching! The support is highly appreciated. VP
by VincePrince
13
AUDUSD: Buyers Building a Base, Waiting for a Breakout?The AUDUSD H4 chart is trading around 0.71649, after a fairly good recovery from the bottom around 0.7090 – 0.7120. What I notice is that the price is no longer falling uncontrollably, but is gradually forming a rounded accumulation base, indicating that buyers are starting to absorb selling pressure. Regarding news, the AUD is being supported by a weakening USD and improved risk-on sentiment. However, the previous Australian labor data wasn't very strong, so I don't see this as a completely "clean" uptrend. For AUDUSD at this time, technical analysis remains crucial and needs clear confirmation. On the chart, the 0.71200 – 0.71235 area is a very important nearby support level. As long as the price remains above this area, the recovery structure is still intact. Above, AUDUSD is approaching the resistance zone around 0.71757 – 0.71840. If the price clearly breaks through this area, stronger buying pressure could be triggered, paving the way to 0.72160. I lean towards a continued upward trend for AUDUSD, but I don't prefer chasing the price while it's near the resistance zone. A better scenario would be a slight retest of 0.71200 – 0.71400, holding support, then bouncing up to break 0.71840. Reference strategy: Good buy: around 0.71200 – 0.71400 if there are signs of price consolidation Buy breakout: when H4 closes clearly above 0.71840 TP1: 0.71840 TP2: 0.72160 In summary, AUDUSD is currently showing a fairly positive upward trend, but the 0.71840 level will be key to confirmation. If this level is broken, buyers could push the price up to 0.72160 in the short term. Conversely, if the price falls below 0.71200, the current upward structure will weaken significantly.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
Mastering Orderflow:How to Catch Big MovesWhat is Orderflow? Orderflow is the study of how buyers and sellers interact in real time. It helps traders understand why price moves, not just where it moves. Every candle tells a story of aggression, absorption, rejection, or continuation. 1. Rejecting & Breaking High/Low If price rejects a previous high/low, it signals opposing liquidity entering the market. If price aggressively breaks a high/low, it shows strong participation and directional intent. Rejection = possible reversal. Clean break = continuation bias. Breaking Lows looks like this:https://www.tradingview.com/x/Dv1mRLi8/ Rejection of Low looks like this:https://www.tradingview.com/x/Me6m6IyR/ Rejection of High looks like this:https://www.tradingview.com/x/RWPeXRtK/ Breaking of Highs looks like this:https://www.tradingview.com/x/xRDfaTkY/ 2. Using Intermediate-Term Highs & Lows Intermediate-term highs/lows act as liquidity pools. Price often targets these levels before delivering expansion. Watching how price reacts around them reveals institutional intent and short-term narrative. # Highs and lows inside FVG is called ITH & ITL respectively Some of the examples: 3. PD Arrays Being Respected or Disrespected PD Arrays include FVGs, Order Blocks, Breakers, etc. Respecting a PD Array shows algorithmic precision and continuation strength. Disrespecting it indicates weakness, inefficiency, or potential shift in orderflow. Strong markets defend premium/discount structures cleanly. Here are some examples: Happy Trading, YCGH Capital
Education
by YCGH_Capital
What’s GOOD with The GOLD?Price delivered perfectly from the Premium PD Array around 5,100 – 5,250 and continued respecting the bearish structure after liquidity was taken above the previous HH. Current model: HH sweep → Premium rejection → Bearish displacement → Continuation lower As long as price remains below the premium zones and continues accepting lower, my focus remains toward the Discount PD Arrays below. Key observations: • Strong rejection from premium • OG / TrendMaster flipped bearish • Structure shifted bearish after displacement • Lower highs continue forming 🎯 Main downside focus: 4,400 → 4,250 Discount PD Arrays For now, I’m not interested in chasing longs inside the middle range. Waiting for premium reactions continues to make the most sense within current structure. Not financial advice. Manage your own risk and position sizing accordingly. 🧠
OANDA:XAUUSD
by iamtradingdon
2
BTCUSD Possible Reversal From Support ZoneBitcoin is currently trading inside a strong support area after a clear bearish trend movement from the recent highs. Price is respecting the demand zone around 76K, while the descending trendline continues acting as major resistance. A short-term bullish bounce is possible if buyers defend the current support level. The chart suggests a potential move toward the trendline resistance before the next major decision. Key Levels: 🟢 Support Zone: 76,100 – 76,300 🔴 Resistance Zone: 77,500 – 78,000 Trade Idea: ✔️ Bullish reaction expected from support ✔️ Momentum confirmation needed for upside continuation ✔️ Breakout above trendline could push BTC toward higher levels ⚠️ Manage risk properly and wait for candle confirmation before entry. Market remains volatile.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Adrian_Trades_
Gold Weekly Outlook: NWOG Tap Before Weekly SSL DeliveryPrice tapped directly into NWOG territory while a Daily iFVG remains resting above current structure. Current framework: NWOG interaction completed Daily bearish iFVG sitting overhead H1 buyside liquidity resting above current price Weekly sell-side liquidity acting as downside draw Market still trading in bearish higher timeframe delivery My expectation: Price may retrace higher into the Daily iFVG and sweep the nearby H1 buyside liquidity before bearish expansion resumes toward Weekly SSL below. The market often reclaims internal liquidity first before delivering into major external lows.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
EURUSD: Descending Wedge Formation Breakout Incoming!Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about EURUSD on the 4-hour timeframe perspective. In recent times, I spotted interesting forex trading pairs that are likely to turn into great trading opportunities. One of them being EURUSD, the chart shows significant signs of trade potential. As when looking at my chart, we can watch there how EURUSD is completing the descending wedge with a breakout above the upper boundary. It has several supports in this structure. The lower boundary support, the 200-EMA marked in black, and the 800-EMA marked in green hold the trend to the upside. Once the breakout above the upper boundary emerged, as seen in my chart, the bullish target zones will be activated. An aggressive entry would be to enter directly. A conservative entry would be to await the breakout before entering. A trader's risk preferences determined the final entry scenario. In this manner, thank you a lot for watching! The support is highly appreciated. VP
by VincePrince
5
XAUUSD Bearish Rejection From Resistance | Sell Setup on 1HGold is showing bearish pressure after multiple rejections from the resistance zone around 4700–4720. Price failed to hold above breakout structure and now forming lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Current setup suggests a possible continuation toward the downside if sellers keep control below resistance. Market already reacted from supply zone and momentum is slowing near support. 🔴 Sell Zone: 4685 – 4700 🛑 Stop Loss: 4717 🎯 Target 1: 4650 🎯 Target 2: 4625 🎯 Target 3: 4615 📊 Analysis: Rejection from resistance area Lower high structure formed Weak bullish momentum Bearish continuation possible toward support zone ⚠️ Manage risk properly and wait for confirmation before entry.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Adrian_Trades_
3