Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) in World Trading Systems1. Understanding CBDCs
1.1 Definition
A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is a digital form of a country’s sovereign currency, issued and regulated by its central bank. Unlike bank deposits or private stablecoins, CBDCs are a direct liability of the central bank, making them risk-free in terms of credit and liquidity.
1.2 Types of CBDCs
CBDCs are broadly categorized into:
Retail CBDCs – Designed for everyday transactions by individuals and businesses, functioning like digital cash.
Wholesale CBDCs – Used by banks and financial institutions for interbank settlements, large-scale cross-border trade, and capital market operations.
For world trading systems, wholesale CBDCs are particularly relevant because they address cross-border settlement delays, currency risks, and high transaction costs.
2. Historical Context of Trade & Money
To understand how CBDCs might transform world trade, we need to briefly revisit the evolution of money and trading systems.
Gold & Silver Standard: Ancient trade relied on commodity money (gold, silver, copper), valued for scarcity and intrinsic worth.
Paper Money & Fiat Currencies: With modern nation-states, paper currency and fiat systems emerged, backed initially by gold (Bretton Woods, 1944) and later by trust in governments.
The Dollar Dominance: Post-1971, the US dollar became the world’s reserve currency, dominating global trade settlement, particularly in oil and commodities (Petrodollar system).
Digital Payments & Cryptocurrencies: In the 21st century, fintech innovation and blockchain technology challenged traditional banking, raising questions about efficiency, privacy, and sovereignty.
CBDCs represent the next evolutionary step—a blend of sovereign money and digital innovation—capable of transforming not only domestic payments but also cross-border trade systems.
3. CBDCs in Global Trade: Opportunities
3.1 Faster Cross-Border Settlements
Today, cross-border trade payments often take 2–5 days, relying on intermediaries, correspondent banks, and SWIFT messaging. With CBDCs, settlement can be instantaneous, reducing time and risk.
For example, a Chinese exporter selling goods to an African buyer could receive payment in digital yuan instantly, without waiting for dollar-clearing in New York.
3.2 Reduced Transaction Costs
International trade involves currency conversion, banking fees, and correspondent charges, which can add 3–7% to transaction costs. CBDCs, by enabling direct currency-to-currency exchange via digital platforms, could significantly lower costs.
3.3 Financial Inclusion in Trade
Many small and medium enterprises (SMEs), especially in developing economies, struggle with cross-border payments due to lack of banking access. CBDCs can democratize access, enabling SMEs to engage directly in global markets.
3.4 Bypassing SWIFT & Dollar Dependence
One of the most debated impacts of CBDCs is their potential to challenge US dollar hegemony. Currently, over 85% of global trade is invoiced in dollars or euros. CBDCs like the digital yuan (e-CNY) aim to provide an alternative, especially in Asia, Africa, and Belt and Road countries.
3.5 Programmable Money & Smart Contracts
CBDCs can be embedded with programmability, enabling conditional trade payments. For instance:
A CBDC transaction could release payment automatically once goods clear customs.
Smart contracts could enforce trade finance agreements, reducing fraud and disputes.
4. Key Global CBDC Experiments
4.1 China’s Digital Yuan (e-CNY)
The most advanced large-scale CBDC, piloted in over 25 cities.
Being tested in cross-border trade via Hong Kong, Singapore, and Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) partners.
Aims to internationalize the yuan and reduce dollar dependence.
4.2 India’s Digital Rupee
Introduced by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in 2022–23.
Wholesale pilot programs for interbank settlements.
Potentially useful for India’s high-volume trade with Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.
4.3 Europe’s Digital Euro
European Central Bank exploring a digital euro for retail and wholesale use.
Expected to strengthen eurozone trade settlement systems and reduce reliance on US intermediaries.
4.4 Project Dunbar & Project mBridge
Project Dunbar (BIS): A multi-CBDC platform involving Singapore, Australia, Malaysia, and South Africa.
Project mBridge: Collaboration between China, Thailand, UAE, and Hong Kong, enabling real-time cross-border CBDC payments.
These pilots suggest that CBDCs are moving beyond national borders into multilateral trade systems.
5. Implications for World Trading Systems
5.1 Geopolitical Shifts in Currency Power
CBDCs could accelerate the shift from unipolar dollar dominance to a multipolar currency order, where regional CBDCs (digital yuan, digital rupee, digital euro) coexist and compete.
5.2 Trade Alliances & CBDC Zones
Countries may form CBDC trading blocs, agreeing to settle in digital currencies instead of dollars. For example:
BRICS nations exploring a CBDC trade platform.
Gulf states considering digital settlements for oil exports.
5.3 Transparency vs. Privacy
CBDCs offer traceability, reducing trade-based money laundering and fraud. However, this raises concerns about state surveillance of international transactions.
5.4 Impact on SWIFT & Correspondent Banking
If CBDCs enable direct central bank-to-central bank settlement, traditional intermediaries like SWIFT and correspondent banks could lose relevance.
5.5 Exchange Rate Mechanisms
With real-time settlement, CBDCs may require new FX models, possibly leading to dynamic currency baskets for trade invoicing.
6. Challenges & Risks
6.1 Interoperability
For CBDCs to work in world trade, different national CBDCs must interact seamlessly. This requires standardized protocols and cross-border agreements.
6.2 Cybersecurity Threats
CBDCs, being digital, face risks of hacking, cyberwarfare, and systemic attacks, which could disrupt global trade.
6.3 Monetary Sovereignty Conflicts
If a foreign CBDC gains dominance in another country (e.g., digital yuan in Africa), it may undermine local monetary control.
6.4 Technological Divide
Advanced economies may adopt CBDCs faster, leaving developing nations behind, creating digital trade inequalities.
6.5 Political Resistance
The US, benefiting from dollar dominance, may resist widespread CBDC adoption in trade settlement. Sanctions, regulations, and political pressure could slow CBDC globalization.
Critical Perspectives
While CBDCs promise efficiency and inclusivity, critics warn that:
They may fragment global finance if each nation builds incompatible systems.
CBDCs could be used as tools of geopolitical influence, where powerful economies push their CBDCs onto weaker partners.
Privacy concerns and state control may reduce adoption in democratic societies.
Thus, the success of CBDCs in world trading systems depends not only on technology but also on trust, governance, and global cooperation.
Conclusion
Central Bank Digital Currencies are no longer theoretical—they are becoming reality. Their integration into world trading systems could redefine how goods, services, and capital move across borders. CBDCs promise faster, cheaper, and more inclusive trade settlements, reducing reliance on intermediaries and potentially reshaping global monetary power.
Yet, the transition is fraught with challenges: interoperability, cybersecurity, political resistance, and the risk of financial fragmentation. The future likely points to a multi-CBDC ecosystem, coordinated by international institutions, where nations balance efficiency with sovereignty.
In essence, CBDCs represent both a technological innovation and a geopolitical tool. Their impact on global trade will depend not just on design and adoption but on how nations choose to cooperate—or compete—within this new digital financial order.
Gann
Eurodollar & Offshore Banking MarketsPart I: The Eurodollar Market
1. What is a Eurodollar?
At its simplest, a Eurodollar is a U.S. dollar-denominated deposit held outside the United States. For example, if a bank in London, Paris, or Hong Kong holds deposits in U.S. dollars, those deposits are Eurodollars.
Key points:
They are not issued by the U.S. Federal Reserve but still represent claims in U.S. dollars.
Despite the name, Eurodollars are not confined to Europe; they can exist in Asia, the Middle East, or the Caribbean.
They emerged as a way for banks and corporations to avoid U.S. regulations on interest rates and reserve requirements.
2. Historical Background
The Eurodollar market traces its origins to the 1950s and Cold War tensions. Several factors contributed:
Soviet Union and U.S. dollars: The USSR, fearing that its U.S. dollar deposits in American banks might be frozen during geopolitical conflicts, moved its dollar holdings to European banks.
U.S. banking regulations: At the time, U.S. banks faced regulations such as Regulation Q, which capped the interest they could pay on deposits. Foreign banks were not subject to these rules, making them more attractive to depositors.
Rise of multinational trade: Post-WWII reconstruction and expanding global trade increased the demand for dollars as the world’s reserve currency.
By the 1960s, London had emerged as the global hub for Eurodollar transactions, giving rise to a powerful offshore dollar market.
3. Growth and Development
From its modest beginnings, the Eurodollar market exploded in size. By the 1980s, it had grown into trillions of dollars, outpacing many domestic financial markets. The reasons for its rapid growth include:
Regulatory arbitrage: Banks outside the U.S. could offer higher interest rates and greater flexibility.
Global trade dominance of the dollar: Oil, commodities, and manufactured goods were priced in U.S. dollars, fueling the need for offshore dollar financing.
Institutional investors: Pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and corporations used Eurodollars for liquidity and hedging.
Today, the Eurodollar market remains one of the largest financial markets in the world, although it has become less visible due to the rise of new funding channels and regulatory reforms.
4. How the Eurodollar Market Works
Deposits: A corporation, government, or investor deposits U.S. dollars in a non-U.S. bank.
Loans: That bank can then lend those dollars to other entities—governments, corporations, or other banks.
Interbank lending: The Eurodollar market is largely an interbank market, where banks borrow and lend dollars to manage liquidity.
Benchmark rates: For decades, Eurodollar interest rates were benchmarked by LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate), which became a global standard until its phase-out in 2023.
5. Importance of the Eurodollar Market
Liquidity source: Provides massive pools of dollar liquidity for international trade and investment.
Financing channel: Enables borrowers outside the U.S. to access dollar funding without dealing directly with U.S. banks.
Influences monetary policy: The Eurodollar market often dilutes the Federal Reserve’s control over dollar liquidity since so much activity occurs offshore.
Global benchmark: Eurodollar rates long influenced bond yields, derivatives, and loan agreements worldwide.
Part II: Offshore Banking Markets
1. What is Offshore Banking?
Offshore banking refers to holding financial accounts or conducting financial transactions in a country other than one’s own—usually in a jurisdiction with favorable tax, secrecy, or regulatory frameworks.
Key features:
Offshore banks are typically located in financial centers like the Cayman Islands, Switzerland, Singapore, Luxembourg, and Panama.
They cater to multinational corporations, wealthy individuals, hedge funds, and even governments.
Offshore banking often overlaps with the Eurodollar market, since many offshore banks hold large U.S. dollar deposits.
2. Why Do Offshore Banking Markets Exist?
The rise of offshore banking is tied to several motivations:
Tax optimization: Offshore centers often have low or zero taxes.
Confidentiality: Many jurisdictions protect account-holder secrecy.
Regulatory flexibility: Offshore markets usually impose fewer restrictions on lending, derivatives, or leverage.
Globalization of finance: Companies and investors prefer jurisdictions with ease of cross-border transfers.
3. Evolution of Offshore Banking
Early roots: Switzerland pioneered offshore banking in the early 20th century with its famous banking secrecy laws.
1960s boom: As global capital flows increased, small island nations like the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, and the Bahamas developed into tax havens.
Modern era: Offshore financial centers now play host to hedge funds, insurance companies, and multinational corporate treasury operations.
4. Offshore Banking Activities
Offshore banks and markets offer a wide range of financial services:
Accepting deposits in multiple currencies (especially U.S. dollars).
Syndicated lending to corporations and governments.
Hosting investment funds (hedge funds, private equity).
Structured finance and derivatives trading.
Tax-efficient corporate structures and trusts.
5. Key Offshore Financial Centers
Cayman Islands: World’s largest hub for hedge funds.
Luxembourg: Center for mutual funds and investment vehicles.
Singapore & Hong Kong: Major Asian offshore centers.
Switzerland: Traditional private banking and wealth management.
Panama & Bermuda: Shipping registries, insurance, and banking.
Part III: Eurodollar and Offshore Banking Interconnection
The Eurodollar market and offshore banking are deeply intertwined:
Dollar dominance: Most offshore banking activity is denominated in U.S. dollars, linking it directly to the Eurodollar system.
Regulatory escape: Both markets developed as ways to escape stricter U.S. or domestic regulations.
Liquidity networks: Offshore banks often use Eurodollar deposits to fund lending and investment activities.
Shadow banking overlap: Many offshore banking activities resemble “shadow banking,” operating outside traditional regulatory oversight.
For example:
A hedge fund in the Cayman Islands may borrow Eurodollars from a London-based bank to finance a leveraged trade.
A corporation might use offshore subsidiaries to issue Eurodollar bonds and avoid domestic capital controls.
Part IV: Benefits and Risks
Benefits
Global liquidity: Eurodollars and offshore markets provide deep pools of capital.
Efficient financing: Corporations and governments can raise money at competitive rates.
Flexibility: Offshore markets are often more innovative and less constrained.
Reserve diversification: Countries can park dollar reserves outside the U.S. financial system.
Risks
Regulatory blind spots: Lack of oversight can lead to instability.
Systemic risk: Eurodollar funding shortages have triggered crises (e.g., 2008 global financial crisis).
Tax evasion & illicit finance: Offshore banking is often linked to money laundering and tax havens.
Monetary policy leakage: The Federal Reserve cannot fully control dollar liquidity abroad.
Part V: Case Studies
1. The 2008 Financial Crisis
During the crisis, global banks faced a shortage of dollar liquidity. Many European banks, heavily reliant on Eurodollar funding, found themselves unable to roll over short-term borrowing. The Federal Reserve had to establish swap lines with foreign central banks to provide emergency dollars—showing how central offshore dollar markets are to global stability.
2. LIBOR Scandal
For decades, Eurodollar deposits set the LIBOR benchmark rate. In the 2010s, scandals revealed manipulation by major banks, undermining trust and leading to LIBOR’s replacement with alternative benchmarks (e.g., SOFR in the U.S.).
3. Panama Papers & Offshore Secrecy
The 2016 Panama Papers leak exposed how corporations, politicians, and wealthy individuals used offshore structures to hide wealth, evade taxes, or launder money. It highlighted the dark side of offshore banking markets.
Part VI: The Future of Eurodollars and Offshore Banking
Shift to digital currencies: Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) could reshape offshore markets by offering direct alternatives to Eurodollars.
Greater regulation: International pressure is increasing on tax havens and offshore secrecy jurisdictions.
Continued dollar dominance: Despite talk of “de-dollarization,” the Eurodollar system remains deeply entrenched in global finance.
Asia’s rise: Offshore centers in Singapore and Hong Kong are expected to play an even larger role in the future.
Conclusion
The Eurodollar and offshore banking markets are the invisible arteries of global finance. They emerged from the need to bypass restrictions and optimize global capital flows, but over time, they became fundamental pillars of the world economy.
On one hand, they provide liquidity, efficiency, and flexibility for international trade and investment. On the other, they pose serious challenges: regulatory blind spots, risks to financial stability, and opportunities for illicit financial activities.
As the global economy evolves—with digital finance, geopolitical shifts, and regulatory changes—the role of Eurodollars and offshore banking will also transform. Yet, their core purpose—channeling capital across borders—will ensure they remain central to the world’s financial system.
GOLD DAILY PLAN 09/15: SMC & WYKOOF LOGIC🔎 Market Overview
Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently within a short-term descending channel but showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620 – 3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area.
Wyckoff: After the supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push upwards to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688 – 3703).
Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity BUY: 3595 – 3592 (major demand area)
Liquidity SELL: 3688 – 3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone)
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703
Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617
🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup)
Entry: 3595 – 3592
Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3615
TP2: 3625
TP3: 3635
TP4: 3645
Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target)
🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade)
Entry: 3698 – 3701 (Liquidity SELL zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3690
TP2: 3680
TP3: 3670
TP4: 3660
Open TP: 3650
⚡ Scalping Strategy
Only enter when confirmation signals occur at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones.
Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance.
Apply strict risk management: no more than 1–2% risk per trade.
✅ Conclusion:
Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595 – 3592, targeting the 3685 – 3700 region.
At Liquidity SELL 3688 – 3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660 – 3650.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 9/16 /2025Is Bitcoin’s Cycle Ending, or Just Another Correction?
BTC made a new all-time high last month, followed by significant selling pressure. This raises the question: Has the BTC cycle ended, or is this just another corrective wave before another push higher?
In my view, BTC has already completed its cycle since the bear market ended in November 2022, based on the following factors:
1. Wave Structure Suggests Completion of Wave 5
From my primary scenario, the 5-wave cycle beginning after the November 2022 bear market is as follows:
Cycle Wave I: Nov 21, 2022 – Apr 14, 2023
Cycle Wave II: Apr 14, 2023 – Sep 11, 2023
Cycle Wave III: Sep 11, 2023 – Jan 20, 2025
Cycle Wave IV: Jan 20, 2025 – Apr 9, 2025
Cycle Wave V: Apr 9, 2025 – Aug 14, 2025
Within Cycle Wave V, we can clearly see wave 1 and wave 3 of the initial impulse, followed by a correction (wave 4), and then a final 5-wave sequence. This last push shows signs of exhaustion: although wave ④ (part of wave 5) lasted nearly a month, the market struggled to achieve new highs. This behavior suggests that buying pressure is exhausted and Cycle Wave V may have ended.
2. Post-High Wave Structure
The decline after BTC’s all-time high could be interpreted as the start of a new impulse down, or as part of a complex corrective structure such as WXY or WXYXZ.
We need further confirmation, but one thing is clear: after the upward correction completes, another downward wave should follow, either to complete the correction or as wave 3 of a larger bearish impulse.
Micro Analysis
Based on my Elliott Wave count, it seems BTC has completed wave II or wave b.
This is confirmed not only by Gann fan resistance, but also by the divergence on the abrupt wave 5 in the 4-hour chart, which was followed by a strong downward move. This implies BTC has already entered wave III, or has at least completed its correction.
If this current impulse is indeed wave 3 of a larger downtrend, the target for wave V would be around $81,000, supported by a Crab harmonic pattern projection.
DXY: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 96.860 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 96.957 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42.542 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17581 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17487.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURGBP One to One Chart breakdown Q3 W36 D15 Y25EURGBP One to One Chart breakdown Q3 W36 D15 Y25
📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|
📊 EURGBP Daily Forecast Update
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
Gan strategy’s In dow jones has return after determining and calculating it’s considered my angle is 90 dgree and for time angle i calculated 90 candle though. Its in square shape and maybe it completes all major angles which is 360 last one
The smal rectangle consider price / time
And the trend line is my bias which golden one is major road and red is for selling and green is for buying.
Les see
AVNT Falling Wedge Breakout Brewing
Price is coiling at the edge of the falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal setup on the 1H chart🧐
Momentum is building. If the wedge confirms a breakout, watch for rapid moves toward:
🎯 T1 → $1.5477
🎯 T2 → $1.7387
Volume confirmation + pattern alignment = potential explosive breakout📈
Stay ready. The squeeze is real.
UB Ready for Lift-Off
Bullish breakout confirmed from the descending wedge on the 4H chart!🔥
Cup forming + volume picking up = momentum shift is underway👀
Watch these clean levels ahead:
🎯 Target 1: $0.05752
🎯 Target 2: $0.06881
🎯 Target 3: $0.08059
Momentum follows structure. Wedge breakout → cup handle formation = bullish continuation on the cards📈
#ARB/USDT Pro | ARB Set for Pump After Pullback to Support#ARB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.4890, which represents a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.4942
First target: 0.5085
Second target: 0.5216
Third target: 0.5400
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 15thGold Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Resistance: 3670, Support: 3600
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3657, Support: 3627
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3647, Support: 3633
Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in overbought territory. The 1-hour chart suggests continued range-bound trading. If gold prices break through resistance near 3657, they could retest last Tuesday's all-time high of $3675, potentially moving towards the $3700 mark. Meanwhile, the Asian trading session low near 3627 provides short-term support, followed by the $3610-3600 range. A sustained break below last week's low of $3580 could trigger a further correction to the crucial support levels of 3565-3560. In the New York market, focus will be on resistance at 3650-3675, while support at 3627/3600 is expected. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is 3633! My personal recommendation: Sell high and buy low, with buying low as the primary trading strategy.
SELL: 3650near
SELL: 3657near
BUY: 3628near
BUY: 3603near
EURGBP Daily Forecast Update Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25| 📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|
📊 EURGBP Daily Forecast Update
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:EURGBP
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend Anaysis for Sept 16, 2025If the 25,154 support level breaks, Nifty Futures may find the next support at 25,126. From there, a potential rebound toward resistance levels at 25,212 or 25,235 could materialize by around 1 PM. Beyond that, the market is likely to trade range-bound with a mildly bearish bias. Overall, I anticipate a strong intraday buying opportunity for tomorrow.
This is just my view. This view may change in the real-time market due to various reasons. Traders are suggested to conduct your own technical studies before entering the trades with proper risk management.
EURUSD – Short Setup Update - Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|EURUSD – Short Setup Update 📉
1H rejection spotted from our POI.
Waiting for imbalance fill from the previous 1H candle close.
At the moment, only a 1-minute BOS has formed → still fairly bullish into the area.
⚠️ This means trade management must be aggressive — rejection here could just be a higher low before a push to new highs, which could take us out. Stay sharp.
✅ A 5-minute BOS would give much stronger confirmation.
The POI remains valid — now it’s a case of waiting to see how price action develops.
📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|
📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:EURUSD
Altcoins about to start 200 week bullrun?The cryptocurrency market has always followed Bitcoin. The issue is Bitcoin is legacy technology compared to some of the next generation blockchains being developed now. For this industry to grow properly then there must be a decoupling of altcoins from the Bitcoin 4 year cycles.
I will watch this chart as we approach a time squaring, this could mark the beginning of a 200week cycle.
If this is the case we might see the most intense market movements the world has ever seen. The QE from the last decade is yet to really enter markets.
Gold a $25 Trillion asset is going parabolic like a memecoin.
S&P500 is going parabolic like a crypto.
If any of this capital at all finds its way back into the crypto market I cannot even begin to imagine what will happen.
Just hold on and watch.
Fiat is dieing faster and faster and the solution is being built here by the people.
Holders of the long position in gold at 3615 should take profitsAfter a period of decline and adjustment, gold has resumed its upward trend in the intraday market, currently trading around 3,655. Yesterday, we publicly recommended buying at 3,615-18, and those who followed this advice have already reaped considerable profits. Congratulations to all who participated in this operation.
From a technical perspective, the gold price on the hourly chart remains above the 5-day moving average. After a rapid surge, it appears somewhat weak. 3,650 has temporarily become a support level. At present, there is no significant trading opportunity, and it is expected that the market will remain volatile. In terms of operations, those who bought at 3,615-18 yesterday may consider reducing their positions or taking profits. Let's secure the gains for this week's final trading day. If there are suitable trading opportunities within the day, we will notify you.
Friends who are confused in trading, please follow me. My trading strategies will definitely not disappoint you. Please keep following and give me a thumbs up for support! TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
GBPJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|
📊 GBPJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPJPY
EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|
📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
OANDA:EURUSD